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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    A bunch of different stuff being flung around in here. The Padres are a poorly run franchise. Absolutely. They were being run by a dying owner who was pursuing a dream without regard to profit and loss or financial stability. The owner died in November of last year, and the Padres were forced to cut payroll by MLB because the team was violating rules for liquidity. Essentially, they were in danger of bankruptcy due to negative cash flows -$116MM (last year alone) and a lack of liquid assets. The Twins will never, ever be run in such a reckless manner with the current ownership (group/family). The Diamondbacks are a poorly run franchise. Nope. They would have been in the same position as the Twins this year if they had buckled to Bally Sports/Diamond Sports last year. Instead, the Diamondbacks didn't blink and refused to agree to the deal they were being presented. They decided it would be best to go to MLB. Existing Cable TV subscribers were also given a special channel to watch the games, and MLB.tv subscriptions for in market games cost $19.99/mo. https://www.mlb.com/press-release/press-release-mlb-to-produce-distribute-arizona-diamondbacks-games-july-18-2023 The Twins made a horrible choice in agreeing to terms with Bally Sports North/Diamond Sports. The group was already disreputable, but Dave St. Peter and ownership jumped on board yet again for a ride on a the bait-n-switch Tilt a Whirl with Bally's selling their latest Fyre Festival which turned out to be all smoke and mirrors when Comcast gave a swift kick in the gonads to the demands of the apparently Billy McFarland run Bally Sports groups. There is a perpetrator here (Diamond Sports/Bally). There is one stupid guy facilitator party here (Twins). There is one real victim here (Twins fanbase)
  2. bean5302
    Side note. Brent Rooker (who most folks on this site insist is a AAAA, journeyman, flash in the pan type) is sitting at .279/.368/.553 OPS .921 wRC+ 165. His xwOBA (.392) is right in line with his actual production (.396).
  3. bean5302
    I know, but I was low on time! LOL
  4. bean5302
    Paddack was back throwing 94-95mph today, but I think what you see is what you get, a back end rotation arm. Coming into today, Paddack owned a 4.27 career ERA, and it certainly didn't get better despite the fWAR loving his sparkling 1.13 FIP on the day. Twins scored 5 so the offense did it's job by the end of the game in terms of run production, anyway. I just cannot understand why the Twins lineup refuses to take professional at bats in high pressure games. FIRE GARY!
  5. bean5302
    Yeah, I'm very high on Wallner, and I thought he was a sure fire scrub before he learned how to take walk one day a couple years ago, lol. I believe it'll depend on his mental state, but the way he covered the plate last year, how he wasn't weak against really any pitches and how much power he showed left me highly impressed. I found he was pretty similar at the plate to Bryce Harper in a lot of ways. Wallner's weak inside against pitches, but he crowds the plate so hard it's almost a given. If he turns into a dud, I'll be surprised and highly disappointed.
  6. bean5302
    Yes. I believe Wallner is that much better than Alonso. He'll be the wRC+ 145 hitter he showed last year, and perhaps better still.
  7. bean5302
    Vazquez is a horrible, terrible, awful catcher because he's the worst player in MLB at 70% of his job. FWIW, as I said, there were other deals available. Vazquez is a boat anchor on the Twins' win column.
  8. bean5302
    153 plate appearances isn't that lengthy for a veteran player like Buxton. I mean, that's all it's generally taken for fans to declare him an MVP favorite when Buxton goes on a hot streak, but I've never bought into it. I think Buxton will finish up the year at a wRC+ of around 120, which is what I think fans should have been expecting from him since 2019. His first 10 games back from the IL was .258/.324/.516 OPS .840 wRC+ 138. He's just a streaky hitter. Lots of K's, crappy OBP, lots of power.
  9. bean5302
    Oh, in case anybody is wondering. It's any and all baseball from kids playing on a sand lot in Korea to MLB.
  10. bean5302
    I wouldn't want Alonso; feel free to read my posts on the subject. Depends on the starter, doesn't it? Are they a rental? Are they a multi-year guy? Is the ownership willing to acquire $10MM of salary at the deadline? (I bet they are).
  11. bean5302
    Addiction is not an acceptable excuse for behavior in my book, and this punishment will serve as notice to other players. Unfortunately, there's a pretty narrow path between unfair punishment and encouragement of damaging behavior. When it comes to betting on ANY baseball, it's cut and dried.
  12. bean5302
    I demand a spreadsheet with graph.
  13. bean5302
    The Twins are one pitcher away from being a dangerous World Series caliber team. I don't know why people are so negative around here. If the season ended today, the Twins are in the playoffs. They have an outstanding bullpen, some good mid rotation pitchers, and a lineup which is already dangerous, and getting better. The 1987 Twins team sucked. Viola + Blyleven, Hrbek + Puckett. That's all the team had. The rest of the starters were weak at the plate or pretty much role players.
  14. bean5302
    If Falvey had to, packaged prospects to dump his salary, but I don't think it would have taken much. Vazquez is worthless at this point, but before the season, the Twins could have picked up Joey Bart from San Francisco as an adequate backup, sent Vazquez and a 15-20 grade prospect. Obviously, that trade would look especially good in hindsight, but there were other options of a similar nature.
  15. bean5302
    I've stated this time and again. Falvey blew $20MM on backups and fringy platoon guys while keeping Kepler and Vazquez costing us another $20MM of emergency spending reserves. It's Falvey's job to know what his budget is and what he needs. 1) Starting caliber center fielder to back up Byron Buxton (fail) 2) RHH power bat (fail) 3) Front end starter (fail) Sonny Gray is earning $10MM this year. 3.00 ERA, 2.64 FIP, 2.48 xFIP. 12.16 K/9, 2.37 BB/9 EASILY better than any pitcher we have. JD Martinez is earning $4.5MM this year.
  16. bean5302
    Since I'm not going to pay money for baseballtradevalues, I'll go ahead and estimate that one: Alonso = July30+ = 1.0 WAR = $8MM, assuming the Mets eat Alonso's salary. Gonzalez is probably enough to get Alonso IMHO. Somebody might be willing to overpay for him, though. Personally, I expect Wallner/Larnach to be far better than Alonso at this point.
  17. bean5302
    The Twins honestly need a legitimate long term every day outfielder with the ability to start at CF. The only outfielder they have in the system who might be able to do that in the relative near future is probably Emmanuel Rodriguez. The closest the Twins might have otherwise is DaShawn Keirsey, but I don't think he's going to be any better than Austin Martin or Andrew Stephenson, but it's a good time to give him a shot, I guess? I keep looking at Larnach's falling stat line wondering if the bubble has burst as I'd already written him off as a 1.0-1.5 WAR outfielder. Good enough as a backup or on a team who just needs a guy who won't kill you if he plays every day. 01-10: .394/.447/.636 OPS 1.096, 10.5% BB, 21.1% K, 93.9mph EV, 11.5% Barrel, 53.8% Hard 11-20: .235/.278/.324 OPS .601, 5.6% BB, 25.0% K, 95.0mph EV, 8.0% Barrel, 56.0% Hard 21-30: .162/.244/.405 OPS .649, 9.8% BB, 17.1% K, 94.5mph EV, 13.3% Barrel, 50.0% Hard I expanded Larnach's sample size to a full season based on the approximate percentage of pitches he'd see of each type (over 5% stuff only) He's just continued doing stuff he's never done before. His K rate is WAY down, and he's hitting breaking stuff better than ever. He's been unreal against the 4 seamer, and I can't see how that is sustainable, but as his sample size grows, he's continuing to rake. He's got to stay up.
  18. bean5302
    He's not good enough to be an MLB regular. That's the issue. Without the injuries this year, he's magically kinda the same hitter he was with all of the speculatory impact from his "injuries" in the past.
  19. bean5302
    Always felt like Deduno had no place on a pitchers mound. The guy was always drilling batters high and inside due to his total lack of control. Practically a miracle he didn't end anybody's career.
  20. bean5302
    Looking back at all the pitches to Yankees hitters it seems like Ober got the benefit on a couple calls. There was only one single significant miss IMHO which helped Judge earn a walk. Royce Lewis... can we clone him?
  21. bean5302
    No he wasn't. He was brought in because Jose Miranda and Alex Kirilloff both had late season/offseason shoulder surgery and because nobody else in MLB wanted Carlos Santana on their roster so the Twins only had to pay him $5MM.
  22. bean5302
    Lewis only hits grand slams when the bases are loaded so I think what you're suggesting is theoretically impossible? LOL. Seriously, nobody will care. The guy was setting records last year with the bases loaded.
  23. bean5302
    That's why playoff caliber teams (like the Twins) make trades. Doesn't have to be for a hitter, there will be some starters available.
  24. bean5302
    I'd say no. Alonso is "good" not great hitter. wRC+ 120 territory for the past two years, which is just a bit better than I'd expect for Jose Miranda. Alonso is best suited to DH duties. So I just don't see Alonso as a significant upgrade over what I expect the Twins to be rolling out the dugout at that point. In regard to the writers idea of throwing a veteran back at the Mets to offset salary... what possible advantage would the Mets see in that type of move? The Mets are going to be happy to eat the $7MM, but they're going to eat it in the hopes of getting a better return, not to dump salary.
  25. bean5302
    The reason for the trade is you think it makes you more likely to win the World Series.
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