bean5302

It's hard to dig up history on Herr and why some Twins fans who've been around for so long hate him, haha. https://www.twincities.com/2009/07/25/tom-powers-twins-have-employed-some-strange-characters-during-dome-era/ https://coffeyvillewhirlwind.wordpress.com/2009/04/24/1988-brunansky-for-herr/ I found plenty about how Herr loved playing for the Cardinals and liked his team. He's in the Cardinals' HoF. He only played 1/2 a season with the Twins, and his performance wasn't bad (1.5 WAR in 86 games), but fans seem to be angry at Herr personally. Brunansky produced the same value as Herr did in 143 games for the Cardinals, btw. Bruno was playable as a starter for a couple years after the trade, but he didn't have a single 2.0+WAR campaign again.

Actually, for generating interest in terms of buyers, it's a good move. The new owner can then cut him and be the hero, if the public actually has the reaction most people expect. That said, it'd probably be a bad idea in terms of getting the desired asking price. New prospective owners are going to be looking for a return on their investment. They do not care about who is on the roster. The bigger the return (more they can increase value), the better, and signing Bauer would potentially decrease the sale price. So if the Pohlad's want to drop the sale price for the team to increase interest without looking like they're not generating interest already, it'd be an interesting strategic choice. I don't see the Twins signing free agent splash players, especially including Bauer. But if we're just advocating for on field value vs. cost while considering the bad reputation of the player, there is no player the Twins could sign with a likely better return in that capacity.

I asked you this elsewhere. What possible reason would Sasaki have for signing with the Twins vs. 29 other suitors? The Twins bring a lame duck owner/front office/coaching/manager. Small endorsement market. History of poor treatment of other KBO/Japanese players. A team which has missed the playoffs 3/4 recent years competing against 2 rising teams who did make the playoffs last year. I'm sure the Twins will go all in on recruiting him, but the Twins are going to be eliminated almost immediately.

This is nonsense. Utility player = player who plays many positions; who isn't entrenched at a specific starting position. Willi Castro is good enough to be a starter, but he's been used as a utility player. Marwin Gonzalez was good enough to be a starter, but he was used as a utility player. Tommy Edman was just signed as a utility player for 5yrs and $74MM. You think the Dodgers are paying $74MM to a guy not good enough to play? On the other side of things, why wasn't Nick Gordon used as a utility player by Miami? Why didn't Detroit use Javy Baez as a utility player? Why wasn't Trevor Larnach used at catcher and shortstop years ago? None of those guys were good enough to be a starter. See Baseball Reference. I trust that's a fairly trustworthy source for baseball related information? I emboldened your unpopular (due to being incorrect, IMO) definition of the term at the end. https://www.baseball-reference.com/bullpen/Utility_player#:~:text=A utility player or utility,with a lot of flexibility.

If you're talking about clubhouse guys with bad reps and value... Trevor Bauer. That's who the Twins should sign. MiLB contract, invite to Spring Training. What does ownership care about fan reaction? Fans are already apathetic and the Twins are selling the team.

What's your sales pitch to get him to Minnesota? If I was arguing against the Twins I'd say. The team is being sold so all the people you're negotiating with are lame duck representatives who probably won't be there next year. The coaches and manager are probably gone, too. The Twins have treated their Korean and Japanese players poorly. Talk to Tsuyoshi Nishioka and Byung-Ho Park about their experiences with the Twins, and how quick management was to move on. Kenta Maeda wasn't necessarily treated poorly, but the Twins didn't do him any favors, either. Endorsement value with the Twins will be limited as the team doesn't have wide spread appeal. There are better endorsement deals available in other lower pressure markets with a good history of supporting Japanese players like Seattle. Finally, the Twins didn't make the playoffs for the 3rd time in 4 years last year, they're cutting payroll, and other teams in the AL Central look better positioned in terms of open window to the playoffs right now.

Pretty sure I saw San Diego advance in the playoffs despite playing in the toughest division in baseball, and then push the Dodgers to the brink of elimination last year as well.

The Twins do not have one of the highest floors. We're only through Winter meetings and the Twins have already dropped from 4th to 7th, and the team isn't signing essentially any of the 117 WAR of free agent value out there who will be going elsewhere. The Twins' 44 WAR is only 4 points higher than 9 other teams, most of whom are expected to be active in free agency yet. That's also not the teams' floor. That's the team's near ceiling, assuming over 450 PA for Correa, Lewis, Wallner, Buxton???, Miranda, and 169-196 innings from Ryan, Ober and Lopez. We're talking legitimate best case scenarios. The Twins also do not have one of the strongest farm systems. They rank #18 in Fangraphs currently, and I suspect they'll rank similar elsewhere. Brooks Lee, David Festa and Zebby Matthews all exceeded rookie status so they've dropped off some lists.

Ahmed Rosario is NOT a utility player. He's a shortstop who plugged an emergency hole a couple times, but he had never been deployed as a utility guy until the Rays decided to see how it worked, and Rosario was a disaster in the outfield. Rosario played 7 games in his entire MiLB career at 3B. SS was the only position he ever played. 2017 - 100% SS 2018 - 100% SS 2019 - 99.8% SS, 0.2% CF 2020 - 100% SS 2021 - 89.2% SS, 10.8% CF 2022 - 96.5% SS, 3.5% LF 2023 - 81.1% SS, 18.9% 2B https://www.fangraphs.com/players/amed-rosario/15518/stats?position=SS Quick crash course on defensive stuff for people who don't know. DRS = Defensive Runs Saved. Preferred metric for Baseball Reference UZR/150 = Ultimate Zone Rating over 150 games. My preferred advanced metric because it's much more stable than the other two, and it projects over a full year. OAA = Outs Above Average - (Statcast/MLB) Fangraphs' preferred metric. RngR = I highlighted this in the outfield for Rosario because his range is a huge problem. Notice how Rosario's range in CF is actually better than the corners. That's because CF is easier to play as balls don't slice and hook as much in CF, there's just way more ground to cover. The reason Rosario is terrible in the corners is he can't read the ball off the bat or the ball's trajectory well so he gets a super late jump on it or runs bad routes because he has never been an outfielder. I'm not saying there is no possible way the Twins would sign a SS who can't hit well, and try to deploy him as a utility player, but it doesn't make a lot of sense to me. Also, the Pohlads signing off any any free agents before Falvey purges some salary seems unlikely to me. The ownership proved they were unwilling to even expand payroll a small amount over budget last year at the deadline.

If you're arguing Boyd's performance year didn't matter to teams, knock yourself out.

I'm sure the Twins made a "competitive offer" to Soto and a bunch of other big name free agents. They just couldn't make a deal work, LOL.

I think the biggest thing I'd want when funding a stadium with public money is a guarantee the games must be available to the general public for free. It's abhorrent to ask the public to fund something, then tell them they have to pay to use it, too. Just like my seething hatred of toll roads.

Falvey was unaware you could draft true catchers in upper rounds. He remains confused at how Ryan Jeffers joined the organization.

The MLBPA turned down the offer owner's made for a salary floor, but the MLBPA can technically file a grievance if the Athletics don't spend at least 150% of their rev share money (totals at like $105MM), not that it would likely be successful.

It is peculiar to see Castellano left exposed. The K and walk rates were both excellent, the hits allowed was solid, BABIP was totally reasonable. His ERA and FIP were both solid at the AA level, and he's only 23. I would not be surprised if he opened the year in the rotation since SWR, Festa and Matthews all have options. I'm sure the Twins are looking to move Paddack's contract as well.

Because the claiming team needs to put the prospect on the 26 man MLB roster for the entire year. The Rule 5 pick cannot be optioned.

Paddack.

The Lopez extension is fine in a vacuum, but like all the rosy TD hype machine articles on Lopez, this article dodges some concerning parts to Lopez's performance and intentionally misleads the reader about other pitchers/competition. Free agents making 50-75% the AAV under short contracts are not comparable to Lopez's contract which came as an extension while Lopez was under team control for 2 more seasons. Lopez was not in free agency. The article is also biased against other pitchers in this list, and the cheap shot about the Angels playoff hopes is impressive coming from a Twins site... Luckily, we can look at the last 3 years of Lopez (to only include healthy seasons) including results from Miami while also dinging other pitchers who've had recent injuries. Let's ignore that 5.11 ERA for the first half last year, how Lopez's actual results are often worse than his FIP, and let's also ignore the performances of the pitchers coming off impressive seasons before signing their contracts.

Jeffers and Lewis will be free agents in 2027 and 2028, respectively. Buxton will probably be traded in the 2026-2027 offseason since his full NTC drops after 2026. Predicting 2028 is just guessing. There will be better players drafted in 2025 who'll be in the opening day lineup for the team in 2028. Many prospects don't go on to have a good MLB career. Keaschall, Jenkins and Emma all being a success story is highly improbable.

He did pitch that 1 game in August back in 2021! He's due! Also, yes, that's the last time and only time he's pitched in August since 2020.

Correct. It was an iron-clad, insurmountable defense to what was essentially a complaint about the Pohlad's running a crazy low payroll. While I canceled my season tickets with no intent to renew, and I've been highly critical of the Pohlad's 180* shift in how they planned to run the team, I'm not delusional in regard to the team's spending. The Twins have ranked from #16-20 in MLB since like 2017. They haven't been in the bottom 5 for over 20 years. Fans griping about grievances should change the teams they follow to Tampa Bay, Pittsburgh, and Miami. Those are teams who have payrolls literally $100MM LOWER than the Twins in recent years.

I guess the Yankees had to prove they were willing to spend huge money so they chose to lavish it upon Fried, who will be 31 next year. He's got ace performance, but he's not the most durable. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/12/yankees-max-fried-agree-to-eight-year-deal.html

Nah, the Mets changed their offer to 6yrs with $160MM guaranteed cutting their initial offer in half as I recall. Correa told Boras he didn't want to negotiate with the Mets after they tried to change their original offer, and Correa then has Boras initiate contact with the Twins. Both San Francisco and New York still wanted Correa, but once the offer was pulled, Correa was done with them.

Not have a top 20 payroll in MLB. Don't sign Carlos Correa, Byron Buxton, Josh Donaldson, Pablo Lopez, Christian Vazquez. For all the "cheap Pohlads" posts and griping, the Twins have consistently run the 2nd highest payroll in the AL Central for years and years.

I don't think anybody feels there's any surplus value in Correa's contract for 2025. The potential value comes in 2026-2028, with NPV... a30 2025 = $36.00MM a31 2026 = 31.50MM (30.28MM present) a32 2027 = 30.50MM (28.20MM present) a33 2028 = 30.00MM (26.67MM present) Then, Correa is cheap if he ages well, with salaries rapidly dropping. If he stinks, the team doesn't have to play him a lot so he won't vest each season. a34 2029 = 25.00MM (21.37MM present) a35 2030 = 20.00MM (16.43MM present) a36 2031 = 15.00MM (11.85MM present) a37 2032 = 10.00MM (7.60MM present)