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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    If he continues to rake in AA, they are forced to roster him or trade him, no?
  2. jkcarew
    Absolutely!
  3. jkcarew
    I would at least think the Twins would try him in the bullpen, wouldn’t they? They need another left-hander...and it’s not like there isn’t other players on the 40-man that are (even) less likely to help in 2019 and beyond (Ronald Torreyes).
  4. jkcarew
    Lewis played SS his senior year. Meanwhile, Cavaco played multiple positions, primarily 3rd...and, by all reports, rarely if ever SS. Not that I am trying to represent any of that as definitive. But the point stands...based on what people (scouts) who saw them play at the same stage had to say, the prospect of Cavaco sticking at SS seems materially lower than what the information available at the time had to say about Lewis's chances.
  5. jkcarew
    I guess you have to highly rank a prospect recently drafted as early as Cavaco was. But, I really don't see the Lewis parallels. Cavaco popped late, and based primarily on the power tool. He didn't even play SS on his high school team...and it's really hard to even find a scouting report on him that even mentions anything other than 3rd base. Nobody's saying he has Lewis's speed, or even that his speed is sure to be an outstanding tool at the major-league level. He seems to be a lottery ticket type of pick...albeit, where the jackpot is Kris Bryant. I'd have him a bit lower out of the gate.
  6. jkcarew
    Kepler the worse snub, I think. Berrios maybe. Garver, Castro, Buxton hurt by relatively low counting results due to low number of games played/PA. Some others are close, but probably on the outside looking in. I take it as a strong comment on the balance and depth the club has shown this season
  7. jkcarew
    After 5 innings, only tie games get suspended, right? I think the Twins are lucky at this point that neither team plays tomorrow...and Chicago doesn’t have any travel either...play next at home on Tuesday.
  8. jkcarew
    Is Charley aware the league has instituted a wild-card into the playoff format? Does the Pioneer Press still publish the standings?
  9. jkcarew
    Knuckle-ballers are always a riot, it seems.
  10. jkcarew
    I’d call that an unrealistic ceiling.
  11. jkcarew
    When Arraez’s BABiP normalizes...and it will normalize a lot...we’ll probably have a high BA major leaguer with almost zero power, average on the bases, and adequate defense at second. So kind of high floor, low ceiling at this point. The challenge will be that I think he would have more value as a Escobar/Gonzalez/Adrianza type long term, but don’t see that level of defensive skill. He’s 22, and in the majors...I’d have him ranked a little higher.
  12. jkcarew
    With the lineup the Twins trotted out there, the tired bodies, etc....kind of felt like we’d need a dominant performance from Berrios. Didn’t get one. The errors hurt, but 8 swinging strikes in 105 pitches, tons of hittable pitches, two HR, speak for themselves...and to a White Sox lineup that, while not terrible, still falls well below average. Don’t know if I’d give my ‘ace’ bonus points for surviving into the 8th against the White Sox, nevertheless he didn’t fail in that regard. Maybe the Twins capitalize on that this weekend.
  13. jkcarew
    I know! Why does Rocco keep starting Garver in the 17-inning games?!
  14. jkcarew
    Agreed...no-brainer for Twins. But Tampa Bay has been getting basically the same production out of Yandy Diaz...$600K vs $4.8M. You have to hand it to them...they are simply way better at this than the other small-market teams.
  15. jkcarew
    I still think Bumgarner is unlikely, simply because I think someone will come along and blow SF away with an offer. And that that someone won't be the Twins. Having said that, I'm wouldn't part with a top-5 for a rental. (But, I also wouldn't have Graterol in my top 5 at this point.) It's worth noting, though, that almost all the 'reservations' stated in this thread regarding Bumgarner, would have held true...twofold...for a guy like Jack Morris in 1991 (if you imagine Morris had been a deadline acquisition rather than a FA signing). By 1991, all his numbers were trending in the wrong direction...no reason to expect him to be a major difference-maker. But he came in fairly handy...in the regular season, as well. Bumgarner strikes me as a strong candidate to fit that mold of a 'once-elite' pitcher over-performing when reacquainted with competitive teams and competitive situations. He loves winning...and he knows how.
  16. jkcarew
    Altuve actually showed considerably more power (and speed) in the minors than has Arraez. (30 HR to 6, both in about 1600 PA). And with the current stance/swing/approach that Arraez employs, I don't think significant power is in the offing. Arraez is a difficult comp...he's low SLG, high OBP (relative to other good/very good hitters). And the OBP will come from a high BA...more so than a ridiculously high BB rate. When you find a guy like this in history, he tends to have a speed profile...but that's not Arraez, either. Offensively, maybe Arraez's ceiling would feel a bit like Wade Boggs floor? (Emphasis on ceiling vs floor here ). 1990 Boggs was 302/386/418 with 6 HR and negligible SB. Mix in a few more base hits and a few less walks....and also playing a more valuable defensive position.
  17. jkcarew
    Even slumping, Schoop's OPS this year with the Twins (.777) is not far from what Arraez has in his minor league career. With that swing/approach, he's not going to develop power, and he's no threat on the bases. So, my offensive expectations for Arraez are muted. Having said that, I'm fine with them rolling with Arraez in 2020 to save money for upgrades elsewhere....the OBP is likely to remain good, he seems adequate at second, and if you have enough power coming from other positions, the OBP plays well. You still ride Schoop in 2019, though.
  18. jkcarew
    So the new score for those still keeping track.... Parting with Hicks for the privilege of being able to roster Ronald Torreyes. . Gotta keep this alive...there must be a possible scenario out there still that has us winning this thing. Maybe a couple of injuries, and Torreyes is named WS MVP?
  19. jkcarew
    Or he was playing his position since a ground ball through the hole he vacates scores a run, and stealing 3rd with 2 outs does nothing.
  20. jkcarew
    The team with the best record in the league is going to forfeit. It’s a bold strategy, Cotton. Let’s see if it pays off for ‘em.
  21. jkcarew
    Don't have any data to back it up...but it's at least my impression that Max has been incredibly streaky in his professional career. I'm not talking about stuff that shows up in 1st/2nd half, or even monthly, splits. But over 20- 30 PA...where he can be so hot or so cold that his numbers swing pretty dramatically, even when the denominators are big. But I agree it seems there's a breakout here, where both the peaks and troughs are going to be materially better/higher. Fun.
  22. jkcarew
    Hey, Arsinio...this is supposed to be FUN with numbers. Not, "things that make you go hmmmm". (But yes...probably does more bad stuff at the plate than anyone...anyone. But those freakish hands bail him out...often. His ability to make contact with almost any pitch is working against him...time for some adjustments.)
  23. jkcarew
    FWIW...I interpreted (assumed) those comments to refer to a shot (or shots) that were part of a rest/recovery regimen...not continuing or part of a game-prep routine. I would hope that's the case. I guess we'll see...I'll panic next time I see him K 3+ times in a game ...that's what happened immediately prior to this last hiatus.
  24. jkcarew
    Good article. Conclusion: Perez is who he is. Wes Johnson and the Twins staff (or any staff) are not capable of anything other than providing information and ideas that can make differences on the margins. (Yes, margins matter in MLB.) But, if a guy can consistently throw multiple major-league-quality pitches where he wants to, he's going to be consistently good. If he can't, he's not. A couple of MPH and pitch sequencing are drops to the ocean that is command. And while Perez is currently regressing a bit, Pineda seems to be moving upward toward his 'norm'.
  25. jkcarew
    Missed the report that he's taking (took) cortisone shots to play yesterday. I'm elated that he's finally back. But if it's enable by cortisone shots...that would be a head-scratcher, IMO. Had a wrist injury, comes back after missing over a month, only to re-injure it. Takes another 3 weeks off, and returns with the aid of cortisone shots? For the Pensacola Blue Wahoos? There has to be some details we're missing.
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