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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    Um…the Twins bWAR across position players is NEGATIVE 4.0 Buxton’s bWAR is + 2.0
  2. jkcarew
    If we get the touchdown here, I know the sheet says kick the extra point…but I’d go for two.
  3. jkcarew
    They’ll be 19-31 in their last 50 games (with a loss tonight). Exactly a 100 loss pace, though they probably won’t get there due to the unlikely 11-7 start.
  4. jkcarew
    I mean…it’s 14 innings. His EV is higher with the Twins than it was with TB, yet his BABiP is lower…much lower, 207 vs MLB average of 292. He’s probably somewhere between what we’ve seen with the Twins and what he was doing at TB this year. Probably the best thing to like is that he’s 26 and if he finds sustained goodness, he’s under team control for a good while.
  5. jkcarew
    Melton learning quick to simply not throw the ball over the plate to Buxton.
  6. jkcarew
    I see SWR threw 4 innings of 1-hit ball (0 runs; 3K) in relief in his first outing with Toronto. He’s 25. Meanwhile, we continue to employ some super valuable 25-year old pitchers (and older) at the low A level.
  7. jkcarew
    Just learned: top prospect Eduardo Tait… is pronounced “Ta-eet” (2 syllables) Makes sense. 100% of you probably already knew this.
  8. jkcarew
    Nothing wrong with some optimism. Can’t say I share it, unfortunately. IMO, the most likely outcome is things get worse before they get better, and at this time next year they’ll be dealing the best they can with the fallout of TEN years of pretty much incompetent leadership. (And/or a prolonged work stoppage.) But, hopefully with a much younger roster, so there can be a somewhat realistic reason to at least HOPE things will get better.
  9. jkcarew
    What decided the game was scoring 2 runs…with about 7 guys sharing the blame equally for that. Embrace the futility. Nothing short of total and epic failure will get anything to change in this org.
  10. jkcarew
    Buxton would be out year to year after that.
  11. jkcarew
    I was watching him and didn’t notice one iota of change in approach. What meaningful can be accomplished in that short sample, at that level…except gaining confidence, which isn’t nothing. Maybe the mission was something more subtle…who knows? Look, if he hits 30+ HR a year with this approach, fine. It’s when you deploy the approach, and you pace at 10 HR a year…THAT is a problem. We’ll see what happens. IMO, he’s important enough in terms of future plans…making this season just fine for letting him figure it out (or not) at the only level that matters.
  12. jkcarew
    To be fair, Martin’s 19 miles closer to the play.
  13. jkcarew
    Nice! Just need another 30 pitches or so out of Zebby.
  14. jkcarew
    Ironically we traded Cruz because Buxton couldn’t manage to play CF on a regular basis…or at all for long stretches of time.
  15. jkcarew
    To be even more fair, he’s more of a AA guy, not AAA.
  16. jkcarew
    If they think Lackey’s hit tool is legit, I’m good with this. I prefer a college guy. Seems like we’re good with high-ceiling 19 and 20 year old “possibilities” Would be nice to get someone that’s more of a “likely”…and can show up earlier, close to the Jenkins/Cullpepper wave.
  17. jkcarew
    One, it’s too late to extend him. He’s going to test the market. And even a hard cap (as unlikely as that is) wouldn’t suppress the top end of the market. This is proven in Football, and something he and his agent are betting on. Two, the Twins won’t outbid everyone when he hits the market. Yes, you have to trade him.
  18. jkcarew
    The notion that Lewis…a good athlete, with tons of experience at SS and 3B…can’t immediately play first base, is strange IMO. You see his type thrown over there all the time. And for THIS team?? In THIS season?? Absolutely no reason not to try it. Of course, it only makes you better if he hits.
  19. jkcarew
    I get why Mauer never wanted to be traded. And honestly, that speculation didn’t manifest until very late, when he was of middling value at first base. Buxton is more of a needle-mover than he’s ever been. The return for him right now would dwarf what the org would’ve received for Mauer those last couple of years. Meanwhile, Buxton is in a completely different situation, with home-schooled kids, deep ties only in Georgia. It strikes me as completely odd that he wouldn’t ask for a trade to a contender at this point in his career, and given the state of the org. IMO, this goes beyond loyalty.
  20. jkcarew
    Strange as it sounds, I agree with those that say he hasn’t made any adjustments. If you watch him, he’s trying to pull everything, taking advantage of AAA pitching and small ballparks by hitting home runs and doubles…exclusively pull, exclusively pitches middle-in. The pitches major league pitchers refuse to give him. Still, bring him up. If nothing else, he may have gained some confidence, and will succeed more often when he does get the pitch he’s looking for. My long-term expectations remain severely muted until I see a change in approach. Maybe even more failure is required for him to revert to what we saw his first couple years. And this season would be the year to tolerate that process.
  21. jkcarew
    “…Mlodzinski would be all but guaranteed a rotation spot with Minnesota for the rest of the 2026 season, potentially playing an integral role in the club’s ability to return to the postseason for the first time since 2023.” Oh, most definitely YES! It makes all the sense in the world for the Twins to be buyers this year! 🙄 Let’s ask them which prospects they want.
  22. jkcarew
    He isn’t rated in the top 3 because he’s a catcher. He’s there because he’s been raking for 2 years now in the best college conference there is, AND he’s a good defensive prospect at the position, also considered athletic. Never guaranteed with any of these guys that it translates to the majors…but the guys that are showing significant warts at this point in their development…the high ceiling but lowish floor guys…even if they’re catchers, don’t get ranked this high. I’m pulling for one of the college guys. If Lackey, fine.
  23. jkcarew
    Except the Twins are in a situation where it would be nice to not have to wait for a high schooler. With that in mind, I fully expect Emerson to fall to them. If so, don’t discount the chance of the Twins going under slot and taking someone else, and shooting for a very high upside HS arm with their second pick. Because….Twins.
  24. jkcarew
    This isn’t a thing. It’s just a way to leverage optionable guys…especially guys they feel are maybe only one-time-through-the-lineup guys at this point in development…in a way that acclimates them a bit slower/easier to the majors. And it hopefully shortens the game for the bullpen for that particular game. Not a strategy. Maybe works here and there. Something you’ll do here and there if you have multiple starters injured/out. The juggling required is unsustainable. Prielipp has been throwing 80-90+ pitches since he’s been up…5-6 innings when effective. If…or as soon as, they have similar confidence in Rojas, I expect they’ll ask/expect him to start doing the same. The Twins might favor this in the minors for workload management, roster management, evaluation, whatever…but even they aren’t incompetent enough to pretend this is a viable 26-man major league strategy. Right???
  25. jkcarew
    Slightly below average; slightly below average; bad; really bad; really bad Done.
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