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twins_89

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Everything posted by twins_89

  1. twins_89
    I think it fairly unlikely Smeltzer makes the opening day roster. If the Twins go with the guy who is performing the best it looks like Dobnak should get the spot, he has been quite a bit better both last season and so far in Spring training. If the Twins want to give a chance to the vet bounce back guy, it will be Chacin. Barring injuries I just don't see a path for Smeltzer since Pineda and Hill will also be needing rotation spots as the season progresses.
  2. twins_89
    I am fairly confident in the rotation depth for the regular season. The Twins have enough starter options to rack up a lot of wins even if some of the pieces don't work out. A more relevant question is do the Twins have the rotation quality to compete against the top teams in a playoff series.
  3. twins_89
    It's hard to believe, but Smetlzer+Raley has a real chance of being a better return for Dozier than a De Leon+Alvarez package would have been.
  4. twins_89
    I'd imagine Rosario is very motivated to have a big year since he has to know that Kirilloff/Larnach are a couple good months away from the majors. I really hope Eddie can have a bounce back season and be a main contributor on a deep playoff run.
  5. twins_89
    I'd rate Ryu as being a clear tier up from Maeda and Wheeler a half a tier better with significantly more upside (with Bumgarner being roughly the same). As a full time starter in a healthy season Maeda can make around $13M a year so the Twins are saving $8-10M a year, but his contract incentives provide some really nice insurance for injuries or a drop off in production. Taking everything into account I'd probably still prefer Ryu or Wheeler since at this point the Twins biggest need is top end starting pitching, but to fill innings it's hard to argue that Maeda provides great value.
  6. twins_89
    Coming into Spring training I thought that Thorpe and Romero were the two guys who had the best chance to play themselves onto the opening day roster. Unfortunately, missing time is going to make it difficult for either to win a roster spot.
  7. twins_89
    I would love to see the Twins take some of the cash they got for selling a pick to the Dodgers and use it for a Trevor May extension.
  8. twins_89
    The best Twins starting pitcher trio has to be the 2006 group of Santana/Liriano/Radke. Before Liriano got injured both he and Santana were legitimate Cy Young contenders.
  9. twins_89
    I really want Kirilloff to have a healthy year. His wrist problems last season (and Tommy John recovery in 2017) make me want to see if a healthy Kirilloff can repeat his awesome 2018 season.
  10. twins_89
    As far as acquiring a front of the rotation starter, a trade seems more likely than signing a free agent. My guess would be the Twins going after guys like Syndegaard or Gray if they become available at the trade deadline.
  11. twins_89
    Good article, it highlights what is the number one issue going forward for the Twins. Without a starting pitcher upgrade, this team is going to be great in the regular season followed by a quick elimination in the playoffs due to being outclassed in the rotation. Keeping the focus on the issue is going to be important since I suspect that regular season wins will make it easy to overlook the problem.
  12. twins_89
    Maeda really solidifies the Twins odds of winning the division, but the move does not fix the problem of the rotation in the playoffs. Minnesota still has a glaring need for a guy who can start game 1 or 2 of a playoff series and give the team a good chance to win.
  13. twins_89
    Did Thorpe ever make any of the prominent top-100 lists? I don't recall that happening, but I could be mistaken.
  14. twins_89
    Raley makes sense as the prospect included since he doesn't have all that much value and he's pretty redundant as a left handed 4th outfield option (Twins already have Cave and Wade to fill that role). I'm a bit less thrilled with basically selling the draft pick.
  15. twins_89
    I think the Twins keeping Graterol could end up as a very good outcome. I'd much rather see the team use something like Graterol+Larnach as the basis to trade for a pitcher with a higher upside than Maeda.
  16. twins_89
    I 100% support the position of the Twins front office. I wasn't a big fan of the Maeda deal, but I could understand why Falvey agreed to the trade. Asking for more than Graterol for Maeda would have made it a horrific deal for Minnesota, so I am extremely happy that we held firm and are willing to back out.
  17. twins_89
    There are two outcomes I'd be ok with: 1) getting Graterol back, or 2) leaving the Twins part of the deal as originally defined. Adding any additional value would be a massive mistake.
  18. twins_89
    If the Twins are being asked to add more value to the trade I really hope they walk away. I was not completely comfortable with giving up Graterol for an OK but not great pitcher, so giving up more would be a major mistake.
  19. twins_89
    Barring injury, the only real question marks are the 5th starter and 7th/8th bullpen spots (Stashak/Wisler). I expect the last rotation spot to come down to a competition between Chacin/Thorpe/Dobnak. If Chacin is able to bounce back he makes the team, otherwise Thorpe/Dobnak battle it out. I could also see Thorpe taking one of the last bullpen spots due to the lack of left-handed relief options. The other guy who could easily earn one of the last spots is Romero. His stuff is probably the best of the likely options, so if he looks good in Spring training he has a real shot at making the roster.
  20. twins_89
    With the Maeda addition the Minnesota rotation looks solid and potentially deep for the regular season. The problem is that come the playoffs the Twins lack of high end starters is going to be a major liability. This team really needs to find one front of the rotation starter to make the step from playoff team to world series contender.
  21. twins_89
    Another move that looks focused on raising the teams floor. At some point Falvey is going to have find a way to raise the ceiling of the starting rotation, since that is the glaring weakness that is going to kill us in the playoffs.
  22. twins_89
    I don't consider guys with a career OPS in the mid 800s versus right handed pitching a problem. That's still really good production and coupled with the left handed bats (and switch hitters) the Twins offense will be very dangerous no matter who is on the mound.
  23. twins_89
    More competition for the starting rotation is a good thing, but I still dream of getting a starter that I actually believe will be an upgrade over last season.
  24. twins_89
    Celestino probably needs to be in the discussion as well. If he maintains the hitting he showed the second half of last season I could see him in AA by the end of the year. From what I've read he is very likely to be a plus defender in CF, so if he can hit a bit he could be another option in the not too distant future. Just the fact that the Twins gave him a 40 man roster spot tells me they think of him pretty highly.
  25. twins_89
    One side note to the sign stealing is that the impact was more than just the times when a breaking ball was signaled. There is also value in knowing that a breaking ball is not coming (no banging). In that instance hitters could sit on a fastball with a higher degree of confidence.
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