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    The Twins Need to Make Room for Walker Jenkins Before the Trade Deadline

    Minnesota's top prospect is proving he's ready, and the front office shouldn't wait for an injury to create an opportunity.

    Cody Christie
    Image courtesy of William Parmeter

    Twins Video

    The Twins are approaching one of the most important stretches of their season. With the club battling for an American League Wild Card spot, every roster decision carries more weight than it did in April or May. The front office is expected to spend the next several days evaluating outside additions, particularly for a bullpen that has struggled throughout the year.

    However, the biggest offensive addition available to Minnesota may already be wearing a St. Paul Saints uniform. Walker Jenkins has done everything the organization could reasonably ask since returning from injury. Instead of waiting for a perfect opening, the Twins should be finding a way to get one of baseball's best prospects into their lineup before the MLB Trade Deadline.

    Jenkins returned to Triple-A roughly a month ago, after recovering from the shoulder injury he suffered crashing into the outfield wall while making a catch. Since coming back, he has looked every bit like the hitter scouts expected when Minnesota selected him fifth overall in the 2023 MLB Draft.

    Over the last 28 days, Jenkins owns a .929 OPS. Over the last week, he's been even better, posting a .643 slugging percentage and a 1.055 OPS. Those numbers become even more impressive when considering the context. Jenkins is accomplishing all of this during his age-21 season, while facing competition that is more than five years older on average in the International League. At some point, there isn't much more for him to prove.

    This week's Baseball America profile offered another encouraging glimpse into why evaluators remain so bullish on Jenkins. One of the biggest takeaways centered on his elite swing decisions and bat-to-ball ability against pitches in the strike zone. He has just seven whiffs against four-seam fastballs all season, and nearly all of those swings came on elevated pitches that finished above the strike zone. That type of zone control isn't common, especially for a player this young.

    Major-league pitchers will undoubtedly challenge him differently. Fastballs won't come nearly as often once opponents recognize his ability to handle velocity. Instead, he'll need to adjust to a steady diet of breaking balls and off-speed pitches. Still, the underlying skills suggest the transition could happen quicker than many rookie debuts. Jenkins doesn't chase often, rarely misses pitches he should hit, and consistently controls the strike zone. Those traits tend to translate regardless of level.

    The frustrating part is that the Twins don't appear to have a natural opening for him. Byron Buxton returned from the injured list earlier this week, prompting Minnesota to option infielder Tristan Gray back to Triple-A. The club is also carrying three catchers after Ryan Jeffers returned from injury. Because Alex Jackson is out of minor-league options, the Twins understandably didn't want to risk losing him on waivers.

    That leaves a crowded bench featuring Victor Caratini, Alex Jackson, Austin Martin, and Alan Roden. Martin and Roden are the only players with minor-league options remaining, making them the easiest roster moves if Minnesota chooses to promote Jenkins. As things currently stand, though, it feels like Jenkins's path requires someone else getting hurt.

    That shouldn't be the standard. The Twins have reached the point in the season where roster spots should be earned by performance, not protected by circumstance. Martin has struggled to provide much offensive impact recently, posting a .583 OPS over the last two weeks despite being deployed primarily in favorable platoon matchups. His versatility remains valuable, but if Minnesota is searching for ways to inject more offense into a lineup fighting for a postseason berth, Jenkins offers a significantly higher ceiling.

    Replacing Martin with Jenkins wouldn't solve every offensive concern overnight. It would, however, give the Twins another hitter capable of changing games instead of simply filling innings. Waiting for an injury to create an opening feels unnecessarily passive.

    If Minnesota believes Jenkins is one of the organization's cornerstone players (and every indication suggests they do), there is value in letting him experience the major leagues before the trade deadline. It gives him time to adjust before September, allows the coaching staff to evaluate where he fits best, and provides the front office with a better understanding of what additional moves might still be necessary.

    The Twins are searching for ways to improve their roster over the next week. External additions may grab the headlines, but the organization already has one of its most talented players waiting just down Interstate 94. The challenge isn't determining whether Jenkins is ready. It's deciding whether the Twins are willing to make room for him before someone else forces the decision.


    Should the Twins look to promote Jenkins? Leave a comment and start the discussion.


    Interested in learning more about the Minnesota Twins' top prospects? Check out our comprehensive top prospects list that includes up-to-date stats, articles and videos about every prospect, scouting reports, and more!

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    Featured Comments

    18 minutes ago, DJL44 said:

    So call up Jenkins and have him ride the bench while Larnach, Buxton and Keaschall get the playing time?

    You can play everybody 4 to 5 days by including the DH slot.  Bell doesn't need to be in the lineup every day.  This is what a good manager would do.

    I don't think Jenkins has kicked the proverbial door in, but I think he's getting close to having answered every question he can at AAA. In watching him play, he looks like he could hold his own in the majors. But he's not so dominant that I'm in any rush to call him up before the deadline. You're talking 2 weeks. No need to make roster moves to get him here now. I'd give him until I know I won't lose his rookie eligibility to put him in the driver's seat for RoY and an extra pick next year. Mid- to late-August, or a September call-up would be my timeline.

    If you call him up, it's to play every day. Not DH, but play the field. That means there's 3 spots for him. LF, CF, RF. The Twins currently have Larnach-Martin, Buxton, and Keaschall in those spots. You're not replacing Martin with a lefty hitting Jenkins to be the short side of a platoon with Larnach. You're not replacing Bell on an everyday basis at DH to put Larnach there and get Jenkins every day ABs. 

    There's no easy fit at this point. And if part of your plan to get him playing time in the big picture is to trade Larnach or Bell, you really don't want to bench them in the middle of a huge stretch for your team. Not exactly selling the "he can help you get to, or win in, the playoffs" narrative by benching someone while attempting to get to the playoffs.

    I see no real reason at all to force Jenkins into a Twins jersey before the deadline. Or even after it if there isn't an injury. Get him a month+ to get his feet wet at the end of the year. That's a plenty reasonable amount of time for a guy who hasn't done anything crazy at AAA, but is clearly a large part of your future and is answering every question in AAA to this point.

    38 minutes ago, chpettit19 said:

    ...If you call him up, it's to play every day. Not DH, but play the field. That means there's 3 spots for him. LF, CF, RF. The Twins currently have Larnach-Martin, Buxton, and Keaschall in those spots. You're not replacing Martin with a lefty hitting Jenkins to be the short side of a platoon with Larnach. You're not replacing Bell on an everyday basis at DH to put Larnach there and get Jenkins every day ABs. 

    There's no easy fit at this point....

    (Bold highlight mine.)

    You've also identified another variable -- where does Jenkins play?

    Injuries change things, I recognize -- Keaschall wouldn't have played CF recently had Buxton not been hurt. But if Buxton is healthy and able to play defense, he will be in CF. I'll buy the approach that says Buxton will eventually move to a corner spot, but I don't see that happening midyear.

    So for now, Jenkins could play CF on days Buxton is off and corner spots on many other days. However, Jenkins hasn't played an inning in the corner since May 2. I suspect we'll get a clue on the likelihood of him coming up when he starts to get some time in corner OF spots in St. Paul. 

    2 minutes ago, IndianaTwin said:

    (Bold highlight mine.)

    You've also identified another variable -- where does Jenkins play?

    Injuries change things, I recognize -- Keaschall wouldn't have played CF recently had Buxton not been hurt. But if Buxton is healthy and able to play defense, he will be in CF. I'll buy the approach that says Buxton will eventually move to a corner spot, but I don't see that happening midyear.

    So for now, Jenkins could play CF on days Buxton is off and corner spots on many other days. However, Jenkins hasn't played an inning in the corner since May 2. I suspect we'll get a clue on the likelihood of him coming up when he starts to get some time in corner OF spots in St. Paul. 

    Totally with you. I'd bet there's a week where he plays a corner 4 or 5 times and he's up the next week. Or maybe it'll be like a 2-week stretch. But, barring injury, there'll be a very clear sign he's on the way when he starts playing in a corner.

    3 minutes ago, IndianaTwin said:

    (Bold highlight mine.)

    You've also identified another variable -- where does Jenkins play?

    Injuries change things, I recognize -- Keaschall wouldn't have played CF recently had Buxton not been hurt. But if Buxton is healthy and able to play defense, he will be in CF. I'll buy the approach that says Buxton will eventually move to a corner spot, but I don't see that happening midyear.

    So for now, Jenkins could play CF on days Buxton is off and corner spots on many other days. However, Jenkins hasn't played an inning in the corner since May 2. I suspect we'll get a clue on the likelihood of him coming up when he starts to get some time in corner OF spots in St. Paul. 

    It's interesting he's played no corner OF, given Buxton isn't going anywhere soon. You may have hit on a clue. 

    2 minutes ago, chpettit19 said:

    Totally with you. I'd bet there's a week where he plays a corner 4 or 5 times and he's up the next week. Or maybe it'll be like a 2-week stretch. But, barring injury, there'll be a very clear sign he's on the way when he starts playing in a corner.

    As a hint toward that, here is his game log before getting hurt: 

    image.png.f862926d9f8e6cf191afdab04f462963.png

    At that point in the season, it was worth it to consider not playing the rookie-status game if he was pounding the door in. At this point, I don't see them ignoring that factor. 

     

    They won't bring him up and start his major league service time clock unless he's going to play everyday....and they shouldn't.  With the uncertainty surrounding whether there will be baseball in 2027, I fear they won't bring him up at all and keep from starting that clock until 2028.

    mike sixel
    2:53
    Do the Twins, or other teams, keep Jenkins down all year, so he's not in the 40 man of there's a stoppage? Or because, in this case, he might win rookie of the year in their mind?
     
    Brendan Gawlowski
    2:53
    I suspect he'll be up soon
     

    If the Twins think he's ready...ok.  But then you have to ditch Larnach and Bell and open up some playing time for guys.

    What I don't get is the narrative to force him up to save this season or boost some false notion of a playoff run.  Do what is right for his development, everything else should be ignored.




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