Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Twins News & Analysis

    Week in Review: Turn for the Worse 

    A dominating start to the week in West Sacramento gave way to a losing streak and potentially calamitous injuries in the rotation. Can Minnesota's top-tier pitching staff weather the storm of midseason attrition?

    Nick Nelson
    Image courtesy of Dennis Lee-Imagn Images

    Twins Video

    The Weekly Nutshell:
    Things started off swimmingly, with the Twins securing three straight lopsided victories against the Athletics and rising to seven games above .500 midway through the week. However, they lost Pablo López to an injury in one of those games and it proved to be an ill omen. The A's avoided a sweep on Thursday with a blowout win and then the Twins dropped tight games against Toronto on Friday and Saturday, sucking the wind out of their sails and offsetting their early-week success. Adding to their woes, Minnesota lost another starter to another shoulder injury over the weekend, leaving their once-admirable rotation depth in a state of disrepair.

    The Twins closed out the week with a win to end a three-game skid, with their league-best bullpen leading the way. They'll be hoping for plenty more of that as they prepare for life without two critical starting arms.

    Weekly Snapshot: Mon, 6/2 through Sun, 6/8
    ***
    Record Last Week: 4-3 (Overall: 35-30)
    Run Differential Last Week: +7 (Overall: +37)
    Standing: 2nd Place in AL Central (7.0 GB) 

    Last Week's Game Results:

    Game 59 | MIN 10, ATH 4: Buxton Drives in Five as Twins Rout A's in Sacramento

    • Buxton: 2-5, 5 RBI

    Game 60 | MIN 10, ATH 3: Offense Goes Off in Late Innings, Pablo Goes Down with Injury

    • Castro: 2 HR

    Game 61 | MIN 6, ATH 1: Lights-Out Pitching, Power Hitting Propel Twins to Another Win

    • Twins bullpen: 4 IP, 0 R, 10 K, 1 H, 1 BB

    Game 62 | ATH 14, MIN 3: Athletics Ambush Festa, Avoid Sweep with Blowout Victory

    • Festa: 3.2 IP, 8 ER, 3 HR

    Game 63 | TOR 6, MIN 4: Middle Inning Malaise Flips Script as Early Lead Vanishes

    • Ober: 7 IP, 5 ER

    Game 64 | TOR 5, MIN 4: Jax Surrenders Costly Homer, Lineup Comes Up Short Again

    • Jax: 1 IP, 2 ER, L

    Game 65 | MIN 6, TOR 3: Twins Overcome Sloppy Play, Ride Bullpen Brilliance to Win

    • Twins bullpen: 4 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 0 BB

    IF YOU'D RATHER LISTEN TO THE WEEK IN REVIEW THAN READ IT, YOU CAN GET IT IN AUDIO FORM! FIND THE LATEST EPISODE ON OUR PODCAST PAGE, AS WELL AS ON APPLE AND SPOTIFY. SUBSCRIBE TO OUR CHANNELS SO YOU DON'T MISS OUT!

    NEWS & NOTES

    The Twins were on their way to a second consecutive blowout win over the A's on Tuesday when Pablo López signaled for trainers during his warmups in the sixth inning. He exited the game with right shoulder tightness, and was later diagnosed with a Grade 2 teres major strain that will sideline him for eight to 12 weeks.

    This is the very same injury that Joe Ryan suffered last August, ending his season. While obviously a huge bummer, the good news here is that López – who ranks second only to Byron Buxton among Twins in fWAR (1.6) – has plenty of time to make it back and help the cause. The team is expressing optimism that he can return and make a significant impact in the regular season, let alone the postseason, where he might be their single most important player.

    In the meantime, the Twins will need to make do without their No. 1 starter, which they were theoretically as well-equipped as any team in the league to do. They felt confident turning to David Festa, who has pitched very well in the minors and majors this year, for Thursday's series finale in Sacramento but the righty got blown up for eight runs. Hopefully just a small hiccup because the Twins are going to have to rely on him.

    On Friday, Minnesota called up right-hander Travis Adams to relieve a worn-down bullpen, replacing Kody Funderburk who was optioned to St. Paul. Adams has yet to make an appearance but whenever he does he'll become the fourth Twins player to make his MLB debut this season, joining Luke Keaschall, Carson McCusker and Ryan Fitzgerald. Adams is expected to fill a multi-inning long relief role but as we saw over the weekend, that type of usage can be tough to plan around.

    The pitching staff received more meaningful help on Sunday in the form of Danny Coulombe, who was activated from the injured list following just one rehab appearance in Triple-A. The return of Coulombe restores a key piece to Rocco Baldelli's late-game mix, but this reinforcement comes at a cost – we learned on Sunday that Zebby Matthews will be joining López on the injured list, after being diagnosed with his own shoulder strain. He'll be out for an undetermined amount of time. It looks like Simeon Woods Richardson, who was scratched from his scheduled start with the Saints on Sunday, will be recalled to replace him.

     

    Carlos Correa had a bit of a scare with his back, which flared up in Sacramento – evidently because of how much he was sliding around in the batter's box in a minor-league ballpark. “It’s the worst box I’ve ever stepped in,” he told reporters. Correa, who has a history of back problems, sat out the last two games of the A's series and the first game of the Blue Jays series, but was back in the lineup for Minnesota on Saturday and Sunday. Twins players intimated that field conditions at Sutter Health Park played a role in López's injury, and it's also worth noting that Matthews last pitched in the ballpark before landing on the IL with his injury. 

     

    HIGHLIGHTS

    At long last, Royce Lewis is showing signs of breaking free from his unrelenting slump, which dates back to August of last year. He's shown occasional flashes this season, but this past week Lewis really seemed to be turning a corner, going 7-for-16 with two doubles, five walks and just three strikeouts. Lewis reached base all four times in Friday night's game against Toronto, and then reached in all three trips on Sunday after entering as a pinch-hitter. 

     

    Willi Castro, meanwhile, continues to heat up. He had another two-homer game against the Athletics on Tuesday, helping key a 10-3 blowout, and was 9-for-23 with four walks on the week, showing power and patience that were both amiss throughout the first two months.

    A few other outstanding performers for the Twins offense in a week that saw them score 43 runs across seven games:

    • Trevor Larnach and Matt Wallner are bringing the left-handed thump that this lineup badly needs, with both homering twice. Larnach has seemingly earned his way into everyday entrenchment near the top of Rocco's lineups, even against lefty starters. Wallner has homered three times in seven games since coming off the IL, and seems like he's still shaking off the rust.
    • Ryan Jeffers went 5-for-16 with a double, a homer and three walks. His .357 wOBA ranked fifth among major-league catchers entering play on Sunday. He's an underrated linchpin in the Twins' lineup.
    • Ty France has been unexceptional overall but he's doing what the Twins signed him to do: get on base. He did so steadily in the past week with 10 hits, a walk and two more HBPs that pushed his league-leading total to 12. He has reached base in 20 consecutive games, becoming the first Minnesota hitter to do so since Edouard Julien in 2023. France also hasn't slowed down with the clutch-hitting heroics, now batting .381 with runners in scoring position.

     

    In the bullpen, the Twins keep on riding Louis Varland hard, and he keeps on responding in a big way. Varland pitched three times in Minnesota's seven games, striking out six over three scoreless innings. He has appeared in almost exactly half of the team's games so far, putting him on track for one of the highest appearance totals in franchise history, and is holding up very well under the heavy usage, seemingly getting better and stronger as the year goes on. 

    Unleashing maxed-out stuff in a short-burst relief role, Varland is averaging 98 MPH with his four-seam fastball and carving hitters up with an overpowering knuckle curve, which is yielding a .140 batting average and generating whiffs on 43.7% of swings.

     

    One final point of positivity worth noting: Byron Buxton drew three walks for the first time in his career on Sunday. This came on the heels of a two-walk game on Friday night. Buck's bat went mostly quiet after he picked up four hits in the first two games against the A's, but finding a way to still get his speed aboard when that's the case adds another dimension to his game. He has now drawn 12 walks in his past 15 games after drawing five in his first 34. 

    Mainly I'm just really glad to see Buxton tracking the ball so well and taking at-bats of this quality after the concussion scare. It strikes me as a very reassuring sign.

    LOWLIGHTS

    The strength of their rotation was one of the biggest reasons to believe in this Minnesota Twins team, and to an extent, it still is. But attrition is striking this group in a major way here in June. The loss of López is pretty devastating, and adding Matthews on top is a double-whammy of dire proportions. Subtracting these two arms from the picture dramatically lowers the rotation's floor and ceiling, especially when you look at what remains. 

    Woods Richardson is returning after being demoted to the minors for performance reasons earlier in the season. Festa got crushed in his first start back, and himself has dealt with arm fatigue. Then we have Bailey Ober. He gave up five earned runs on Friday, his worst start since the season-opening clunker, although that in of itself was not overly alarming. He still tossed seven innings and gave the Twins a chance to win.

    One aspect of Ober's start that was eye-catching, however, was his diminished velocity. That's been a larger trend for him this year but was really stark in this game, where his fastball averaged just 89.3 MPH, his lowest mark ever in 101 major-league starts. Ober says he's healthy and attributes the velo struggles to mechanics issues that he is working to solve. 

     

    Joe Ryan seems to be the sole rotation member with no durability concerns attached at the moment, and he of course missed most the second half last year with his own shoulder injury. The pressure is now more intense than ever for him overcome that final hurdle by staying healthy and effective through the full schedule.

    Ryan's gonna need to be the de facto ace of this rotation for the time being, and the Twins need him to pitch like one. He didn't necessarily look the part this past week, allowing seven runs (six earned) over 10 innings in his two starts while uncharacteristically struggling to throw the ball in the zone. 

    The Twins also need their back-end bullpen stalwarts to pitch up to their standards. Griffin Jax gave up a leadoff double and then a go-ahead two-run homer in the eighth inning on Saturday night. Jhoan Durán gave up a run on two hits in the ninth. These ones hurt in an eventual 5-4 loss. You can't expect perfection from these guys, and that's more or less what they've been delivering of late – Jax had a 1.32 ERA in May, Durán 0.60 – but the lapses are going to be painful given their extremely high-leverage roles for a team that is now back to playing close games on a daily basis. To their credit, both Jax and Durán bounced back with scoreless innings in Sunday's 6-3 win over Toronto.

     

    TRENDING STORYLINE

    Last year, Simeon Woods Richardson was a life-saver for the rotation, stepping in early to deliver steady and solid work as the team's fifth starter. Is he ready to reprise that role? The Twins have an equally urgent need for quality innings now with two key starters going down, and they'd be thrilled with the kind of performance SWR provided for a majority of his rookie season.

    In his first eight starts with the Twins this year, prior to being swapped out for Matthews in mid-May, Woods Richardson was not up to snuff, and trending the wrong way. He completed five innings in only three of those starts, and got bombed by the Orioles for six runs in his final turn before the demotion.

    The right-hander made just three starts at Triple-A before being recalled, but for what it's worth his numbers there were encouraging: 17 innings, 19 strikeouts, four walks. Efficient work and relatively deep outings – that's what the Twins will want to see from him this time around. Woods Richardson will be pushed into the grinder right away with two starts in his first week back, scheduled to start Tuesday's opener against Texas and Sunday's finale against Houston.

    LOOKING AHEAD

    After getting a break on Monday, the Twins will open another series at Target Field on Tuesday, welcoming the Texas Rangers into town for a three-game series. The Rangers have struggled mightily on the road this season with a 10-22 record. From there, the Twins head to Houston for a weekend series against the first-place Astros, who have been very good at home where they are 22-12.

    TUESDAY, JUNE 10: RANGERS @ TWINS — RHP Tyler Mahle v. RHP Simeon Woods Richardson
    WEDNESDAY, JUNE 11: RANGERS @ TWINS — RHP Jack Leiter v. RHP David Festa
    THURSDAY, JUNE 12: RANGERS @ TWINS — LHP Patrick Corbin v. RHP Bailey Ober
    FRIDAY, JUNE 13: TWINS @ ASTROS — RHP Chris Paddack v. LHP Colton Gordon
    SATURDAY, JUNE 14: TWINS @ ASTROS — RHP Joe Ryan v. RHP Hunter Brown
    SUNDAY, JUNE 15: TWINS @ ASTROS — RHP Simeon Woods Richardson v. RHP Lance McCullers Jr.

    Follow Twins Daily For Minnesota Twins News & Analysis

    Recent Twins Articles

    Recent Twins Videos

    Twins Top Prospects

    Riley Quick

    Fort Myers Mighty Mussels - A, RHP
    In his second professional outing, Quick went three innings. He gave up no runs and no hits. He walked three and had five strikeouts.

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments

    Featured Comments

    The Twins should be alright. In early June after an early drought and a couple of weeks of miracle the team are above .500 and have the promise of holding their own going forward. 

    Those who are wanting purity and sustained runs of winning games will find themselves in disappointment. The Twins have pitching, pitching, and a group of pretty average position players willing to find their place in baseball. I'm expecting Correa and Buxton to lead the way in support of the pitching staff. 

    The Twins currently have the same record as Tampa Bay and Toronto and are a half game up on Cleveland and Milwaukee. Really good spot. Considering all things this is a very solid position at the moment. 

    There are frustrations to be sure, but most of those are simply a difference of philosophy. Defense, base-running, and small ball are accepted if it happens for the current management but not a focus. So fans need to see the focused plate appearances and unselfish play from today. Buxton taking a base on balls instead of flailing at pitches out of the zone was a run. Make the plays possible and have grueling at bats - this will need to be the way the Twins win games and stay in a race all summer.

    If the offense can get/remain straightened out, it will do a lot toward keeping the team in contention.  It seems quite likely that there will be a dip in the starting pitching situation, so it's time for the offense to step it up.  

    The sky isn't falling on the pitching side.  We're still covered and we haven't dipped into "break glass in case of emergency - hello Randy Dobnak" territory yet.  In a bizzaro way the games might just get more "interesting" -- in both good and bad ways!

     

    Wallner had a tough week in the outfield. He has decent speed and a fine throwing arm, but bad decisions and bad routes turned outs into hits and singles into doubles. It seems to me that a single player makes a cluster of mistakes. I remember a bad couple of games from Lee at second base and similar struggles for Castro in left field. On balance, none of these guys are really bad fielders, but it does seem that one bobble makes a second mistake more likely. 

    The Twins starting pitching depth will be tested now and their bullpen might face overuse scenarios unless the reinforcements can get deep in games and be effective. Also, I'm wondering how the team will go about making room for SWR on Tuesday. The easiest move would be to return Adams without him getting a chance to pitch. I personally am ready for Alcalá to be DFA'd. 

    There have been more hopeful signs from the offense, but it hasn't quite clicked yet and we're approaching the statistical middle of the season. Seeing two of Lewis, Correa and Buxton get red hot would do wonders for the run scoring.

    The Twins weren't knocked out by their poor start. They are in contention to challenge for postseason play, but they need to play well and avoid slumps if they want to have a chance to make noise in October. 

    1 hour ago, tony&rodney said:

    The Twins should be alright. In early June after an early drought and a couple of weeks of miracle the team are above .500 and have the promise of holding their own going forward. 

    Those who are wanting purity and sustained runs of winning games will find themselves in disappointment. The Twins have pitching, pitching, and a group of pretty average position players willing to find their place in baseball. I'm expecting Correa and Buxton to lead the way in support of the pitching staff. 

    The Twins currently have the same record as Tampa Bay and Toronto and are a half game up on Cleveland and Milwaukee. Really good spot. Considering all things this is a very solid position at the moment. 

    There are frustrations to be sure, but most of those are simply a difference of philosophy. Defense, base-running, and small ball are accepted if it happens for the current management but not a focus. So fans need to see the focused plate appearances and unselfish play from today. Buxton taking a base on balls instead of flailing at pitches out of the zone was a run. Make the plays possible and have grueling at bats - this will need to be the way the Twins win games and stay in a race all summer.

    Really appreciate this take. I fully agree with this one.

    On another note, I just maybe don't understand enough of the stats but I am still surprised how so many of these articles always make a slant on France when making a compliment. Agree, he hasn't been playing like a $20 million star but he isn't getting paid that and you can't really complain about his consistency on getting on base and his average with RISP. He gets on base a lot and we have a lot of other players that aren't making use of his consistency getting on base. Now, if we want to critique base running speed... that is another topic entirely!

    It’s time for the offense to carry the load for a while. It looks like several players are starting to get hot which is a good sign. Getting Keaschall back will be a big boost.

    On the pitching side it’s hard to DFA Alcala with 2 guys already out, but they likely are going to need some innings eaters until they get healthy so I think you have to look at that. And I’m about ready for Prielipp to get to AAA in preparation for a late July call-up to the bullpen.

    I have advocated even before I joined TD that the Twins need a true long RP, to take the load off the rotation & BP. Injuries & tired arms have plagued the Twins for as long as I can remember. By long relief, I don't mean a mop-up guy. I mean a guy that can come in with a close game when a SP goes 5 or fewer innings, give you 3 or more competitive innings & a chance to win the game. I'm a believer that long relief is a great way to break in rookie SPs, rotate them in & out of AAA, and start them out at mop-up to spot starts. Most of our RPs went right from SP to RP with no time in AAA to be broken in.  I'm far from an expert, if Baldelli wants his long RPs (future MLB SPs) time in AAA to adjust, then fine, give them some time there. They seem to think that Adams fits the bill, I'm not 100% convinced but hope he does because the Twins really need one yesterday, & especially now. As I've said before, I don't think the rotation, especially Festa (tired arm), Simmy, Paddack & Zebby when he comes back, or the BP can maintain this peak usage.

    I'm satisfied with the line-up, we have the inner core of Buxton, Correa & Lewis together & starting to click, together with Castro plus a very good outer core. IMO the defense & baserunning has suffered some & need improvement. We have lost the series to CLE, TB, TOR, SEA & KC. Those are the teams we're competing against for the wild-card spots. The pressure is on to improve our defense, base-running, fundamentals & working together as a team. While maintaining our pitching success. Can we do it?

    57 minutes ago, mikelink45 said:

    After SWR who is next?  If Festa or SWR falters, if another injury do we still have pitching depth?  Sending down Adams seemed strange.  With this rotation having a multi-inning options seems like a good idea. 

    In reverse order: I would agree that a multiple inning relief pitcher would be a good idea. Sending down Adams does seem strange except one must recognize that Jorge Alcala has a great arm despite his faltering ways meaning the Twins are not ready to DFA Alcala just yet. There are still decent arms at St. Paul. Andrew Morris is not on the 40 person roster and he is still working on a number of pitching details, but I would suggest that Morris is as strong a starter as Woods Richardson minus the MLB experience which is actually important. St. Paul also has Darren McCaughan, Ryan Jensen, and the rehabbing Michael Tonkin. For now, pitching is not the biggest concern for the Twins. 

    2 hours ago, mikelink45 said:

    After SWR who is next?  If Festa or SWR falters, if another injury do we still have pitching depth?  Sending down Adams seemed strange.  With this rotation having a multi-inning options seems like a good idea. 

    I was thinking the same thing about sending Adams back down.  Zebby's injury, the Twins need a long reliever more than ever.  What the heck about Alcala?  Potential?  Stop it.  We have enough history.  Let him go.  Maybe another team can untap his "potential".

    19 hours ago, FlyingFinn said:

    Is it just me or have we totally abandoned stealing bases after seeming to emphasize that a little more in April? I'm always wanting Buxton and Castro to steal. Really frustrating when the batter then hits into a DP.

    Sometimes I think we just abandon playing baseball all together , some days are awful tough to watch the games , but I do ...

    State of pitching is solid , still think it's a strength , still have work to do on the fundamentals  , defense  and offense , we are getting close to the half way mark of 81 games , we will know the true identity by tge end of June ....

    Wallner hasn't looked to good in rightfield this year , last year he might of played more left field because we still had Kepler  , maybe we should for good of the team switch wallner to left and larnach to right field  ...

    If wallner stays in right field  I expect him to improve because he is just coming back from an injury , team is probably telling him to take it easy and not run to hard until you know for sure you are close to 100 percent  , look how Lewis started coming back from injury and he seems and we hope he has turned the corner ...

    Base running blunders still amaze me , losing concentration on the bases is unacceptable ...

    I hope Buxton continues the trend of talking walks as opposed to wild swings at pitcher’s pitches. He’s the closest thing the Twins have to a true disrupter on the base paths. It’s always frustrated me that the home run or strikeout only approach he seems to normally bring to the plate pretty much negates a big part of his skill set that can help a team that is otherwise plodding, station to station.



    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...