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    Can Twins and Astros Match Up on a Trade for a Left-Handed Bat?

    Houston’s search for left-handed power could make Minnesota a natural trade partner as the deadline approaches.

    Cody Christie
    Image courtesy of © Katie Stratman-Imagn Images

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    With the MLB trade deadline fast approaching, teams are beginning to sharpen their focus on roster needs. The Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros could be potential trade partners, especially as the Astros look to address a clear need: adding a quality left-handed bat.

    Houston Has a Problem
    Despite enduring a wave of injuries that wiped out most of their starting rotation, the Astros remain firmly in control of the AL West. They’ve built a five-game cushion over the Seattle Mariners and are poised, once again, to be buyers at the deadline. Houston’s front office has attempted to keep their winning window open as long as possible, and that could lead to another active trade deadline. 

    Astros general manager Dana Brown recently made it clear in a radio interview that his club's most significant need is a left-handed hitter. With slugger Yordan Alvarez sidelined by a fractured hand and no firm return date in sight, the lineup has leaned heavily right-handed. Victor Caratini, a switch-hitting catcher, represents their only consistent left-handed option in the starting nine.

    While Taylor Trammell was just activated, and César Salazar or Luis Guillorme could fill in occasionally, this isn’t the left-handed presence a contending team wants to rely on down the stretch. Brown also didn’t specify a position of need. Left field, designated hitter, or second base could all be landing spots, depending on the player acquired. All three positions have been among the worst in the lineup, according to wRC+, but sometimes, the players on the roster dictate how the team approaches the trade deadline.  

    The situation in Houston is tricky. Jose Altuve has struggled defensively while adjusting to left field, and his numbers at second base haven't been much better. Designated hitter is also a question mark, but when Alvarez returns, he’ll slide back into a nearly everyday role. There isn’t one clean solution here, which is why a versatile bat—possibly from the Twins—could be a fit.

    Possible Twins Trade Chips
    UTL Willi Castro

    If the Astros want versatility, Castro may be the best fit on Minnesota’s roster. He’s a switch-hitter who can play nearly every position, infield or outfield, and he’s on an expiring contract, which would limit Houston’s long-term commitment. For a team that could use someone to move between left field, second base, and other spots, Castro offers plug-and-play flexibility. His speed and ability to hit from both sides give the Astros the lineup variety they’re missing without Alvarez. After a slow start, Castro has rounded into form and might be having the best season of his career (126 OPS+). The Twins, meanwhile, seem likely to move him if the team continues to fall out of contention.

    OF Trevor Larnach
    Larnach, a former first-round pick out of Oregon State, has had flashes of being the middle-of-the-order bat the Twins hoped for, but he hasn’t fully seized that kind of spot in the big leagues. His raw power is evident, and a change of scenery could unlock more consistent production. Over the last two seasons, he has posted a 110 OPS+ while being utilized in both corner outfield spots and as the designated hitter. Larnach also comes with team control through 2027, giving the Astros several years of potential value if he clicks into a new environment. His limited defensive versatility compared to Castro makes him slightly less of a fit, but Houston could use him as a designated hitter or left fielder while Alvarez recovers.

    OF Matt Wallner
    This would be the bold move. Wallner has been one of Minnesota’s best hitters over the past three seasons, when healthy (135 OPS+). He’s powerful, young, and under team control through 2029, making him the most valuable and costly of these potential trade pieces. There’s been no real indication that the Twins are actively shopping Wallner, but if they want to shake up the lineup or land a significant return, Wallner would be the chip to do it. For Houston, adding Wallner could solve their left-handed power need not just for this year, but for several seasons to come.


    The Astros have made it clear they need a left-handed bat. The Twins have a few to offer, and if Houston’s front office gets aggressive, this could turn into a legitimate deadline match. Whether the Twins are willing to part with one of these names may depend on how serious they are about restructuring their roster for both the present and the future. Plainly, the big question is what the Twins could get from Houston in exchange for any of these players, and it's hard to know that right now. The Astros farm system is one of the worst in the league, but they have some intriguing chips. Catcher Walker Janek could take the Twins' interest. So could right-handed pitcher Miguel Ullola, who's on the cusp of the majors despite showing shaky control.

    As the deadline approaches, keep an eye on these two clubs. Their needs line up better than some, and that always makes for a fun trade rumor season.


    Which player makes the most sense for Houston? Would the Twins be willing to deal Wallner? Leave a comment and start the discussion. 

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    Im not interested in trading any of the OF mentioned in this post, all 3 are young and Larnach has shown improvement this year. 

    Castro can be moved and bring solid talent back; starting pitching based on the last month, seems necessary again.

    6 hours ago, Cory Engelhardt said:

    I guess I see as close to zero chance that Wallner is traded as just about anyone in the organization. I'd be open to being wrong, but being a MN native and able to carry enormous ops's for long stretches of time, I don't see him getting moved.

    You are almost certainly correct. However, let us just say that the front office really wanted to find a path to putting a winning team together. In that event, isn't it possible that some other team sees great potential in Wallner and is willing to trade a really good prospect for him? Wallner is pretty much all or nothing. His offense can be fun to watch. Realistically though, he will never be ok on the bases or in the field. I'm hoping that Matt Wallner becomes hugely successful as much as anyone on this site. I also wonder how the Twins will ever be a team to win like teams from 2001-2010 again. 

    I don't have an answer but the current roster cannot defend adequately or create runs. In order to win, the Twins need almost everything to click. It did in May and it will again. Is it sustainable over two months?

    Last November I saw huge value in moving Wallner. Then again, I believed that November of 2023 was a prime time to trade Edouard Julien and Royce Lewis. I was also willing to trade one of our 3 top starting pitchers for the right deal. I'll keep watching though.

    FWIW, right now I'm watching Milwaukee use contact, speed, and defense versus Pittsburgh and Paul Skenes. The Brewers are fun to watch. They play smart too. They have not run on Oneill Cruz. If you will recall they ran freely on every Twin.

    1 hour ago, beckmt said:

    If you are not going to compete for this year, Jenkins, Rodrequez, Gonzales could all be here next year.  I know Jenkins is a left handed bat and don't know about the other two.  You also have Lee and Castro who are  switch hitters and more coming.  Plus Sabato might make it here and is another 3 true outcome players.  We need to figure out who can make it and who can't.  Will never do that with players being blocked. 

    Jenkins and Emma are lefties. Gonzalez and Sabato are righties. 

    This whole discussion just drives me crazy. Houston wants a left handed bat. I get it... they are tremendously right handed.

    The Twins are constantly looking for right handed bats despite being tremendously right handed to begin with and the few left handed hitters that we retain are punished for being left handed. They sit against left handed starters and we pull them from the game if a lefty enters the game. 

    At some point in time... The Twins just need to think about developing and acquiring hitters period. Developing them prospects completely and we need to stop strip mining them for parts. 

    They need to stop trying to build Frankenstein... because those parts wear out after a year and need replacement every off-season.  

    If we have 7 lefthanded hitters on the 26 man roster so be it... in fact... it would be awesome since 75% of the pitching is right handed. As it stands right now... 4 left handed hitters on a Twins roster is over stocked because we don't have enough right handed hitters to cover. 

    I am so platooned out... I can't stand it and I just have no room in my heart for any team looking for a left handed hitter or right handed hitter specifically. If a GM tried to explain it to me... I'd tell him to knock it off and... 

    Just Go find hitters! The development price tag and roster space price tag isn't worth the tiny percentage gains in one or two individual AB's out of 6,000 plus that teams take during a given season. 

    Just go FIND HITTERS.  

    7 hours ago, Schmoeman5 said:

    Yes. Trade Trevor Larnach please. 

    If I was Trevor... I'd want out. 

    All in all, it's his Dad's fault for two reasons.

    1. Not realizing that the Twins would draft him.

    2. Letting him swing left handed as a child when he clearly throws right handed or... or...  providing the gene that makes swing from that goofy side of the plate.  

     

    10 minutes ago, tony&rodney said:

    You are almost certainly correct. However, let us just say that the front office really wanted to find a path to putting a winning team together. In that event, isn't it possible that some other team sees great potential in Wallner and is willing to trade a really good prospect for him? Wallner is pretty much all or nothing. His offense can be fun to watch. Realistically though, he will never be ok on the bases or in the field. I'm hoping that Matt Wallner becomes hugely successful as much as anyone on this site. I also wonder how the Twins will ever be a team to win like teams from 2001-2010 again. 

    I don't have an answer but the current roster cannot defend adequately or create runs. In order to win, the Twins need almost everything to click. It did in May and it will again. Is it sustainable over two months?

    Last November I saw huge value in moving Wallner. Then again, I believed that November of 2023 was a prime time to trade Edouard Julien and Royce Lewis. I was also willing to trade one of our 3 top starting pitchers for the right deal. I'll keep watching though.

    FWIW, right now I'm watching Milwaukee use contact, speed, and defense versus Pittsburgh and Paul Skenes. The Brewers are fun to watch. They play smart too. They have not run on Oneill Cruz. If you will recall they ran freely on every Twin.

    I mean, I'm all for making smart deals, and I agree player changes should be made. 

    1 hour ago, Riverbrian said:

    If I was Trevor... I'd want out. 

    All in all, it's his Dad's fault for two reasons.

    1. Not realizing that the Twins would draft him.

    2. Letting him swing left handed as a child when he clearly throws right handed or... or...  providing the gene that makes swing from that goofy side of the plate.  

     

    Actually he started off as a switch hitter. But around 12 or 13 it was strictly left. He had more power from the right side. I only said that because if he were traded to the Astros I might get to watch Oct baseball.  Lol. 

    12 minutes ago, Schmoeman5 said:

    Actually he started off as a switch hitter. But around 12 or 13 it was strictly left. He had more power from the right side. I only said that because if he were traded to the Astros I might get to watch Oct baseball.  Lol. 

    LOL... C'mon... You gotta believe in your team... through thick and thin. 

    Shoulda stuck with the switch hitting. 

    It's not too late. There are things that he can do.

    1. During meals. Make him apply the salt and pepper at the same time with a shaker in each hand.

    2. When chopping wood... make him go to the other side of the tree but make sure that he doesn't lose focus on where the house and car is located.

    3. When he dances... let his wife or girlfriend lead. They end up leading in everything else in life so that alone will free his mind up for getting his feet/base set.  

    If he follows those three steps, he will have it down in no time. He doesn't have to be real good at it. Just being a switch hitter will get him in the lineup for 162 games.  

    17 minutes ago, Riverbrian said:

    LOL... C'mon... You gotta believe in your team... through thick and thin. 

    Shoulda stuck with the switch hitting. 

    It's not too late. There are things that he can do.

    1. During meals. Make him apply the salt and pepper at the same time with a shaker in each hand.

    2. When chopping wood... make him go to the other side of the tree but make sure that he doesn't lose focus on where the house and car is located.

    3. When he dances... let his wife or girlfriend lead. They end up leading in everything else in life so that alone will free his mind up for getting his feet/base set.  

    If he follows those three steps, he will have it down in no time. He doesn't have to be real good at it. Just being a switch hitter will get him in the lineup for 162 games.  

    I still believe they can turn it around.  And as far as the 3 steps. The salt and pepper part he might do. He did his obligatory dance with his wife and his momma at his wedding but other than that I've never seen him dance. And as far as chopping wood. I'll leave it right there. 😃 

    52 minutes ago, old nurse said:

    Career OPS+ 131, Career WRC+ 137. Mike eas a little at at forty, but not so much as to deserve your comment 

    To add some context, your all time Twins career OPS+ numbers:

    Killer - OPS+ 143
    Tony O - OPS+ 131
    Sir Rodney - OPS+ 131
    Wallner - OPS+ 131
    Herbie - OPS+ 128
    Kirby - OPS+ 124 (this one was interesting and surprising to me, as Kirby's forced early retirement kept him from hurting his career numbers by going through a decline phase - I thought it would have been higher)
    Mauer - OPS+124
    Morneau - OPS+120

    Sure...Wallner likely won't maintain his career numbers, but he doesn't have to.  If you can't be excited about the totality of what he has done thus far you aren't looking at the company he is keeping.

    So yeah, don't trade him for anything other than an offer you can't refuse.


     

    25 minutes ago, Road trip said:

    To add some context, your all time Twins career OPS+ numbers:

    Killer - OPS+ 143
    Tony O - OPS+ 131
    Sir Rodney - OPS+ 131
    Wallner - OPS+ 131
    Herbie - OPS+ 128
    Kirby - OPS+ 124 (this one was interesting and surprising to me, as Kirby's forced early retirement kept him from hurting his career numbers by going through a decline phase - I thought it would have been higher)
    Mauer - OPS+124
    Morneau - OPS+120

    Sure...Wallner likely won't maintain his career numbers, but he doesn't have to.  If you can't be excited about the totality of what he has done thus far you aren't looking at the company he is keeping.

    So yeah, don't trade him for anything other than an offer you can't refuse.


     

    Wow. You put Matt Wallner in a list with Harmon, Tony, Rod, Kent, Kirby, Joe, and Justin. All of those players had years where they had plate appearances at, near, or above Wallner's career. Wallner has not, is not, and will never be in any reasonable conversation as close to any of the players you list. It isn't fair to him or to the excellence of those other players to write them together. Brant Alyea, however,  is a good comparison and there are others if you know their names.

    We all hope Wallner gets some hits this year, but please use Brant Alyea and his 1970 OPS+ of 142 if you want to compare similar players. 

    3 hours ago, TheLeviathan said:

    I don't love how we line up with them on need.  Their starter Ullola would fit nice, but everyone else is further away than I'd target.  

    This team should be targeting AA and AAA talent.

    Agreed. There are better teams to deal with..

    14 hours ago, tony&rodney said:

    Wow. You put Matt Wallner in a list with Harmon, Tony, Rod, Kent, Kirby, Joe, and Justin. All of those players had years where they had plate appearances at, near, or above Wallner's career. Wallner has not, is not, and will never be in any reasonable conversation as close to any of the players you list. It isn't fair to him or to the excellence of those other players to write them together. Brant Alyea, however,  is a good comparison and there are others if you know their names.

    We all hope Wallner gets some hits this year, but please use Brant Alyea and his 1970 OPS+ of 142 if you want to compare similar players. 

    You aren't following the rules of the site, the rules are to make outlandish comparisons of current Twins players or prospects to all star/HOF type players regardless of they have anything close to similar situations and then defend that comparison by saying I am not really comparing to them just that something similar happened to them and any real comparison might make me feel bad about my opinion or the player . Or wild statements like Wallner was a top 20 hitter last year, but was 330th in at bats, tied for 157th in HRs, tied for 191st in doubles and tied for 90th in WAR or that he somehow belongs on a list of Hall of Famers after never have played more than 75 games in a season. 

    15 hours ago, tony&rodney said:

    Wow. You put Matt Wallner in a list with Harmon, Tony, Rod, Kent, Kirby, Joe, and Justin. All of those players had years where they had plate appearances at, near, or above Wallner's career. Wallner has not, is not, and will never be in any reasonable conversation as close to any of the players you list. It isn't fair to him or to the excellence of those other players to write them together. Brant Alyea, however,  is a good comparison and there are others if you know their names.

    We all hope Wallner gets some hits this year, but please use Brant Alyea and his 1970 OPS+ of 142 if you want to compare similar players. 

    That is a fair critique.  No, I don't believe Wallner will enter the Twins inner circle, and stated I expect his career OPS to drop.  Forced to guess, I'd say a career OPS+ around 110 or 115.  Valuable, but not elite.  I have no meaningful memory of Alyea, but I do expect Wallner to have a better career than some other young outfielders we had hope for like Cordova, D Young, Kielty, etc.  Hey, maybe I'm totally wrong and Wallner's just a modern day version of Randy Bush (limited defensively, only a platoon bat). But Bush never had a start like this, or really any year like Wallner's 2024...and yet he still put in a dozen pretty useful years with the Twins.  

     



     

    2 minutes ago, Road trip said:

    That is a fair critique.  No, I don't believe Wallner will enter the Twins inner circle, and stated I expect his career OPS to drop.  Forced to guess, I'd say a career OPS+ around 110 or 115.  Valuable, but not elite.  I have no meaningful memory of Alyea, but I do expect Wallner to have a better career than some other young outfielders we had hope for like Cordova, D Young, Kielty, etc.  Hey, maybe I'm totally wrong and Wallner's just a modern day version of Randy Bush, but Bush never had a start like this, or really any year like Wallner's 2024...and yet he still put in a dozen pretty useful years with the Twins.  

     



     

    I'm hopeful for Wallner too. Sometimes my reactions are a grumpy old man when comparisons with HOF players get made, such as a time when a poster compared a player to Willie Mays. The players work very hard, in my opinion, to find success but baseball is a tough game because so many adjustments must be made all the time. The history of any franchise is full of guys who look promising, get injured too often, and fade away. The plethora of statistics used today can be selected to make a number of players seem more productive than they may be in actuality. Wallner has shown some promise, Twins Daily writers have touted him in various ways, Matt has crushed a few balls, there are stats to make Wallner look handsome, and there is the everyday reality of the struggle against major league pitchers. I found myself saying "C'mon Matt, stay back and drive the ball" ...... "Let's go Matt, make the pitcher come to you" ..... and so forth last night. He is doing the best he can. I hope he comes out of his trance today but he is at least 5-7 years away and 3,000 plate appearances shy of comparisons to certain players. BTW, Brant Alyea was really good in several years of limited at bats. 




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