Rosterman
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Everything posted by Rosterman
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The Finance Desk: a look at 2018 attendance
Rosterman commented on Bryan Borchardt's blog entry in The Circleback Blog
The twins sold a lot of full price tickets because of their success last year. So, they aren't hurting. Winning puts butts in the seats. Establishing some player stars helps with promotions. And, people comign to games means more ad revenue, plus concessions and such. Plus, the ahrd reality is that they SHOULD be able to spend upwards of $150 million and not suffer, especially in a weak division. The rotation is still a shambles, with a couple of low price fixes that is absically throwing money to the wind (the bounce back of Hughes, the rebirth of Sanchez, the promise of May). May promises Santana's return, but the twins are still one short of a full cup of solid arms. Time to cut the bait and get on with going forwards. The rookies are still a half-season away, and maybe ready for short game callups. Slegers and Mejia are in the wings, but only as short-term probables. Next year you may lose someone, and then work Pineada into the mix. But the Twins are NOT losing money. Plus, their part of the stadium is almost (if not) paid off. -
Article: Buxton Extending Into the Future
Rosterman replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Well, at today's prices, he would probably eclipse $25 million over three years if he plays well. So that is the chance you take. Do you go 4 with an option year (pushing him towards year 30). Can you do it, for say, $26 million and what is the option year...$10...$15? Who is in the pipeline? The Twins have an abundance of shortstops. Would Kiriloff be the future in 2-3 years? Is Royce Lewis an outfield fixture in that time? I'm sure there are a couple of more names to nady around for the corner spots. Do you also TRY and do Sano? What one guy signs for will relfect what others get. How do Kepler and Rosario fit into longterm plans. It seems the new front office will be cautionary when spending monies, along the line of you don't have to obverpay...because players will be there, and if you develop the system right, the pipeline could feed you.- 27 replies
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In some ways, just eating the salary for Hughes and moving on is better than trying to get some, any, value from the guy. Too bad too late to write-off Hughes on last year's books. And then look at Hughes salary and Sanchez salary and you CAN get a $20 million a year guy, probably two years of one. But the Twins do need a 4th starter. They are out there (free agents not signed who can predictably produce, rather than chance or remakes). The roster will fill up quickly at Rochester, not just the rotation, but also the bullpen (who will be closing down there). My bigger concern is when/if Gonsalves, Romero or Jorge will be ready to compete. I almost want to see Duffey as the 5th starter and see what we have in Kinley.
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Free Agents Who Singed for Less Than the Qualifying Offer They Rejected
Rosterman commented on Andrew Thares's blog entry in Rounding Third
They should've taken a qualifying offer....but still, the chance loomed that they would get a multi-year deal for 2 or 3 times (or more) the money. That is the rub, it is all about the ULTIMATE amount of money. You don't sign for $17 million because you might get $25 or $38 or something million guaranteed. Who knows what might happen to you after a season (injury is the biggest fear). It's a gamble. And when a team makes a qualifying offer, it is part reward for past services, and part protection that you will get something BACK for the player if they do walk.- 3 comments
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Aces High or Aces Low? Do you Need an Ace to Win the World Series?
Rosterman commented on Jamie Cameron's blog entry in Curveball Blog
Yes, and it should've been Ervin Santana in the wild card game, especially given the early lead. He performed that role for the Twins in 2016 AND 2017, sadly losing many a low-scoring game or to the bullpen, that would ruffle the feathers of many a player overtime. And, as the recent free agent marketplace showed, none of the Big Four was really that shutdown ace, although Davish has the potential, but maybe not the overall poise. True longterm Aces are few and far between. Some have moments, but gew have careers...which is why it was nice to see Jack Morris rewarded for his fine work with the Hall of Fame. He was an ACE, albeit one with solid run production being his efforts. But also a workhorse. -
Hughes pitched poorly inhis latest start. Maybe he glared at the umpire on his way to the dugout, and it was windy, but that didn't account for some of the pitchers who did just fine against the B-squad, so to speak. At some point, you MUST cut and run. It's a big chunk of change to swallow. But you are losing even more if the production, for your team, doesn't happen.
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Article: What's Next For Kennys Vargas?
Rosterman replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Money-wise, Vargas' best bet would be foreign ball to establish his credentials a bit more. If someone wants him, they will start to swing a deal now. But they would need that 40-man roster space open and be prepared to keep him on their own roster. Grossman is another story. Do you want him or Granite? Do you want the bench bat, or the runner/defender? Of course, Aybar is purely around because of the possible need of a temporary Sano replacement. That's not to say that Escobar won't start at third. Like Sanchez...he's here until Santana returns, or Hughes implodes, if he doesn't implode first. And we still would have Mejia and Slegers as backup (or maybe Duffey). But Vargas....again, salary wise he would look good to find a job in the Far East!- 65 replies
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I'd love to see Buxton hold down the leadoff spot, and Dozier bat third. Sadly, I would like it better if I knew that Mauer/Dozier would still be on the team come next season. But both need to produce to keep free agent drms alive, and I can't think of two better players to get the msot at bats in the lineup. With a middle of Sano/Morrison and Rosario, the Twins have quite a punch. And then the end of the lineup with Kepler/Castro and Polanco looks pretty darn good. Let's see: a bench of Wilson or Garver, Escobar, Grossman and one other guy. I can live with that.
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Article: Missing Pieces? Lost Minor League Players
Rosterman replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Sadly, you can't cut any of the guys added to the 40-man during the off-season. By the end of spring training, yes. And the Twins saw more worth in Enns and Slegers than Chargois for the moment...and I'm sure either of those would be claimed if put on the waiver wire. -
They still could cut a Rodney. They might go with one less bat. Or they might add one if Sano faces suspension. Don't count out Bobby Wilson with Garver returning to work with some future pitches fulltime behind the plate at Rochester. If Hughes isn't producing, walk away from the contract, folks. Anyways, the Twins will face a situation when Santana returns. Of course, could they still sign one of the unsigned three?
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Article: Missing Pieces? Lost Minor League Players
Rosterman replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Still remember back when we traded a guy named Eddie Morlan to the Rays (instead of Juan Rincon). Minor leagues are a crap shoot. Look at the guys named above and then go see where they fall on the Top Prospect lists of their new teams. Yes, Burdi may come back to haunt.....but don't see any superstars there. Nothing that won't be replacable by other arriving prospects. -
Article: Brian Dozier: I'll Be A Free Agent
Rosterman replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The joy then is that Dozier is one of many players who should have a dynamite season: Santana, Gibson, Rodney, Mauer, Escobar, Duke...if they ant to cash in on the free agent market. And, they could also be trade bait if the Twins suffer and die come July. Considering the free agent marketplace for many guys this year, I don't see Dozier being a longterm second baseman for any team...where would you slot him if not at 2nd...thid base or first base, or a DH. But then we saw what kind of money Logan Morrison got this year. -
Sano not here for the long haul? You never know. Still, having Morrison as a bench bat, too, when someone else is the DH is intriguing. And Mauer doesn't have to DH all-the-time when NOT playing first, thus you have another strong bench bat for a dozen or so games. The question is still the rotation...can they give you six innings or more consistently, then you can stick with a 7-man pen and have more play in the field.
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People say it would be ahrd to play Sano at DH. Logan makes sense as a DH and also a bench bat, and someone to spell Mauer, who could then also be a bench bat. Overall, a decent signing...but the Twins might NOW need to carry only 12 pitchers rather than 13.
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Article: Twins To Sign DH Logan Morrison
Rosterman replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Though he is NOT the right-handed bat the Twins were seeking, he is an upgrade at DH and a capable backup at first, plus an option if the Twins don't resign Mauer. Question is: Where does Kennys Vargas go? And, do the Twins go with Granite or Grossman as the spare outfielder. Of course, looks like the Twins will probably give away someone from their roster. And does this mean that the front office has faith that PHIL HUGHES will break the rotation and there is no need for an additional starting pitcher acquisition? Better signing than Napoli, fer sure, at least on paper. I do hope the Twins bring the BEST players north. None of this out-of-options we must keep, Rule 5 pickup need to keep, aging veteran should stay in place of rookie kinda stuff. On another note, Matt Belisle signed with Cleveland and Francisco Liriano with Detroit! -
The Dodgers saw enough in Chargois to add him to the 40-man. That visit could be short-lived. Watch the Dodgers to pass him thru waivers and send him to the minors considering 27 other teams passed on Chargois.
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They al;so traded for Dietrich Enns, Tyler Watson, Gabriel Moya and Zach Litell. All four should contribue in some way to the team.
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Article: Twins To Sign Erick Aybar
Rosterman replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think a lot will hinge on what happens with the Sano case. Would the Twins rather have a moment of experience on the bench? Right now, they have TOO MANY minor league free agents stop-gapping the way for prospects at Rochester. Will see how spring training shakes out. Considering the Twins have 14 players on their 40-man and at least 13 expected to make the club. -
The Lynn price would have to match the qualifying offer, or he would have egg on his face. And 2-3 years would be a better fit than 4 or more. Of course, you sign a multi-year contract with a bonus takes away some of the shame of signing below what the Cardinals would've been forced to pay you. I'm starting to see the "qualifying offer" like arbitration...a way a player can get overpaid (and a gamble for the offering team that the player will accept) or they enter the marketplace and take a cut in salary. How many players aren't offered arbitration because they have become too expensive. How many players need to take the qualifying offer, because they may not be that good to get...then and now...a bigger long-term contract.
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Article: Backstop Battery Becoming an Asset
Rosterman replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Not every team can have a power catcher like Joe Mauer behind the plate forever. I think back...fondly...to the years of Jerry Zimmerman and Phil Roof, amongst others, bridging the gap between our great catchers.- 9 replies
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If he is injured, they would have to carry him on the major league disabled list, so he can't be injured too much. A strange game being played. Maybe he will sneak thru. Seriously, is he ready to pitch in the majors out of spring training? Better to sit back and watch him pitch in the Twins minors and have them need to make a decision, or let him walk, after this summer. He would be a minor league free agent after this season.
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The Twins do have some 40-man roster problems, especially with the signing of two more pitchers and the moving of the likely candidates to create open roster spots already to the 60-day. With 26 pitchers still in camp, half need to find space in the minors, which alredy have 19 pitchers on the rosters at the top two levels. Not much depth in position players, and that really creates a mess. Who to subtract to add someone temporarily when the time comes. IF the Twins would need a new catcher because one of their two roster guys is injured, a palce needs to be made. Same with pretty much any other spot. Yes, there are likely candidates to be cut loose from the major league roster, and the ones with experience would probably be claimed by other teams (Slegers, Rressly) and you don't want to cut those promising arms, of which there are an abundance (Thorpe, Jorge, Romero, Goncalves, Littell, even Enns). Hope everyone stays healthy and the Twins figure out how to work Hughes or Sanchez into-or-out of the plans.
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A Potential Upgrade for Kennys Vargas
Rosterman commented on Andrew Thares's blog entry in Rounding Third
Yes, the two big questions for the Twins are (1) The Future of Joe Mauer and (2) What to Do With Sano. If he starts the season, you have Vargas make the team for sure. But then, you ask, what happens when he returns. The need for Vargas is certainly first base depth. Yes, you can play Sano there. Kepler played 1st in the minors. You don't need Eduardo or Ehire playing first. Garver is the backup catcher. Vargas also has to be hungry. He is playing for a job with the Twins and a job beyond in 2017. His prospect of being at first for the Twins in the distant future is zilch. Rooker and Diaz are both probably ahead of him, just not there yet. Sano will have to be moved eventually, but to fulltime DH (another Vargas only position) or 1B is the question. Hopefully Vargas shows hunger. Gibson, too, entering free agnecy. Ervin Santana is in the hot seat, too. Either pitching strong enough to get the extension, or a solid multi-year free agent contract. Odorizzi also needs to pitch well to win in his last arbitration year. Plus Dozier needs to shine. Lots of incentives for players to play hard. Maybe they play too hard and suffer. But should be an interesting 2019 in Twins land.

