Rosterman
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Everything posted by Rosterman
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Article: Missing Pieces? Lost Minor League Players
Rosterman replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Still remember back when we traded a guy named Eddie Morlan to the Rays (instead of Juan Rincon). Minor leagues are a crap shoot. Look at the guys named above and then go see where they fall on the Top Prospect lists of their new teams. Yes, Burdi may come back to haunt.....but don't see any superstars there. Nothing that won't be replacable by other arriving prospects. -
Article: Brian Dozier: I'll Be A Free Agent
Rosterman replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The joy then is that Dozier is one of many players who should have a dynamite season: Santana, Gibson, Rodney, Mauer, Escobar, Duke...if they ant to cash in on the free agent market. And, they could also be trade bait if the Twins suffer and die come July. Considering the free agent marketplace for many guys this year, I don't see Dozier being a longterm second baseman for any team...where would you slot him if not at 2nd...thid base or first base, or a DH. But then we saw what kind of money Logan Morrison got this year. -
Sano not here for the long haul? You never know. Still, having Morrison as a bench bat, too, when someone else is the DH is intriguing. And Mauer doesn't have to DH all-the-time when NOT playing first, thus you have another strong bench bat for a dozen or so games. The question is still the rotation...can they give you six innings or more consistently, then you can stick with a 7-man pen and have more play in the field.
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People say it would be ahrd to play Sano at DH. Logan makes sense as a DH and also a bench bat, and someone to spell Mauer, who could then also be a bench bat. Overall, a decent signing...but the Twins might NOW need to carry only 12 pitchers rather than 13.
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Article: Twins To Sign DH Logan Morrison
Rosterman replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Though he is NOT the right-handed bat the Twins were seeking, he is an upgrade at DH and a capable backup at first, plus an option if the Twins don't resign Mauer. Question is: Where does Kennys Vargas go? And, do the Twins go with Granite or Grossman as the spare outfielder. Of course, looks like the Twins will probably give away someone from their roster. And does this mean that the front office has faith that PHIL HUGHES will break the rotation and there is no need for an additional starting pitcher acquisition? Better signing than Napoli, fer sure, at least on paper. I do hope the Twins bring the BEST players north. None of this out-of-options we must keep, Rule 5 pickup need to keep, aging veteran should stay in place of rookie kinda stuff. On another note, Matt Belisle signed with Cleveland and Francisco Liriano with Detroit! -
The Dodgers saw enough in Chargois to add him to the 40-man. That visit could be short-lived. Watch the Dodgers to pass him thru waivers and send him to the minors considering 27 other teams passed on Chargois.
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They al;so traded for Dietrich Enns, Tyler Watson, Gabriel Moya and Zach Litell. All four should contribue in some way to the team.
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Article: Twins To Sign Erick Aybar
Rosterman replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think a lot will hinge on what happens with the Sano case. Would the Twins rather have a moment of experience on the bench? Right now, they have TOO MANY minor league free agents stop-gapping the way for prospects at Rochester. Will see how spring training shakes out. Considering the Twins have 14 players on their 40-man and at least 13 expected to make the club. -
The Lynn price would have to match the qualifying offer, or he would have egg on his face. And 2-3 years would be a better fit than 4 or more. Of course, you sign a multi-year contract with a bonus takes away some of the shame of signing below what the Cardinals would've been forced to pay you. I'm starting to see the "qualifying offer" like arbitration...a way a player can get overpaid (and a gamble for the offering team that the player will accept) or they enter the marketplace and take a cut in salary. How many players aren't offered arbitration because they have become too expensive. How many players need to take the qualifying offer, because they may not be that good to get...then and now...a bigger long-term contract.
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Article: Backstop Battery Becoming an Asset
Rosterman replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Not every team can have a power catcher like Joe Mauer behind the plate forever. I think back...fondly...to the years of Jerry Zimmerman and Phil Roof, amongst others, bridging the gap between our great catchers.- 9 replies
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If he is injured, they would have to carry him on the major league disabled list, so he can't be injured too much. A strange game being played. Maybe he will sneak thru. Seriously, is he ready to pitch in the majors out of spring training? Better to sit back and watch him pitch in the Twins minors and have them need to make a decision, or let him walk, after this summer. He would be a minor league free agent after this season.
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The Twins do have some 40-man roster problems, especially with the signing of two more pitchers and the moving of the likely candidates to create open roster spots already to the 60-day. With 26 pitchers still in camp, half need to find space in the minors, which alredy have 19 pitchers on the rosters at the top two levels. Not much depth in position players, and that really creates a mess. Who to subtract to add someone temporarily when the time comes. IF the Twins would need a new catcher because one of their two roster guys is injured, a palce needs to be made. Same with pretty much any other spot. Yes, there are likely candidates to be cut loose from the major league roster, and the ones with experience would probably be claimed by other teams (Slegers, Rressly) and you don't want to cut those promising arms, of which there are an abundance (Thorpe, Jorge, Romero, Goncalves, Littell, even Enns). Hope everyone stays healthy and the Twins figure out how to work Hughes or Sanchez into-or-out of the plans.
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A Potential Upgrade for Kennys Vargas
Rosterman commented on Andrew Thares's blog entry in Rounding Third
Yes, the two big questions for the Twins are (1) The Future of Joe Mauer and (2) What to Do With Sano. If he starts the season, you have Vargas make the team for sure. But then, you ask, what happens when he returns. The need for Vargas is certainly first base depth. Yes, you can play Sano there. Kepler played 1st in the minors. You don't need Eduardo or Ehire playing first. Garver is the backup catcher. Vargas also has to be hungry. He is playing for a job with the Twins and a job beyond in 2017. His prospect of being at first for the Twins in the distant future is zilch. Rooker and Diaz are both probably ahead of him, just not there yet. Sano will have to be moved eventually, but to fulltime DH (another Vargas only position) or 1B is the question. Hopefully Vargas shows hunger. Gibson, too, entering free agnecy. Ervin Santana is in the hot seat, too. Either pitching strong enough to get the extension, or a solid multi-year free agent contract. Odorizzi also needs to pitch well to win in his last arbitration year. Plus Dozier needs to shine. Lots of incentives for players to play hard. Maybe they play too hard and suffer. But should be an interesting 2019 in Twins land. -
Article: Minnesota and Mauer Facing Important 2018
Rosterman replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Depends on how the front office is positioning the Twins of the Future. Hopefully we would be done with signings like Colon. Wait, maybe we will be done with signings like Rodney and Sanchez. Anyways, where does he play, who is in the wings, what does he bring to the lineup and roster. Two things: Mauer WILL NOT want to be a parttime bench guy if he comes back anywhere in 2019. Second, he will command a minimum of $8 and someone will offer 2-3 years at $10-12 million a year., if they have a need for him and his bat on their roster. But it eventually comes down to Joe. Does he need the money? Does he want to play in a different city? Does he even want to continue with baseball in any way down the line? -
Article: Twins Sign RHP Anibal Sanchez... No, Really
Rosterman replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Well, the Twins missed out on bringing back Bartolo Colon, so this is the next best thing...I guess. -
The Twins have a bunch of pitchers to make a quick decision about before their value plummets. Are Romero and Jorge actually in the plans, or can still cater trade possibilities. Do you cut ties with Phil Hughes? Is May a starter or bullpen guy (could May close). Duke, Reed and Rodney have pushed back the youngsters, who have done a pretty good job of pushing themselves back, too...how does Chargois, Reed, Melotakis, Busenitz fit into the future bullpen plans or will they be pushed aside by others. Is Garver best served riding the bench, or actually catching games pitched by Jorge, Romero and Gonsalves at AAA for a good part of the season. Actually working behind-the-plate and keeping those skills developed. But if the Twins add a Bobby Wilson, they need 40-man spaces. Too many "prospects" on the 40-man roster! TraideBait if you can get proven talent...better than letting them walk via the waiver wire.
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Article: Trade Target: Collin McHugh (McWho?)
Rosterman replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'm just at a loss of whom the Twins would trade. For anyone. Is there a market for Romero or Jorge, from the 40-man roster? If you do a trade to the Astros or Rays, you need to trade someone, anyone from the roster. Otherwise, you are throwing away another name to add someone. Where do the Twins have offense depth. Right now, every bat on the 40-man could play in Target Field come April. The number of prospects redy to push any of the roster spots is...nill. I just don't see the Twins having major league ready assets to trade. Especially for a talent that still ahs team control. And anyone on the Twins major league roster not named Buxton and probably Sano is far from being on the top of most team's wishlists.- 64 replies
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Breakout Or Break Off With Max Kepler
Rosterman commented on Ted Schwerzler 's blog entry in Off The Baggy
Kepler could be a victim of numbers. Right now, I would trade Eddie Rosario. His value is probably the highest ever (think Delmon Young when he was hot and then followed it up with.....). And you do have to look at the overall picture. Is Kepler the future Jacque Jones, a Michael Cuddyer (was he ever a consideration for first base) and will be breakout before you have to pay him big bucks, or do you have to ink him to a longterm contract. If you say goodbye to Kepler, you are stuck with Granite and Grossman in the outfield this season. Lamont Wade is a prospect to watch. Edgar Corcino is areserve in waiting. Your best bets for the future are Kirilloff (who may be fast tracked) and the loser in the shortstop arena (would Royce Lewis be doomed to outfield play). But like someone said, it is hard to get solid starting pitching, but an outfielder hitting .250 and 20+ dingers and player the corner can be a dime a dozen, or a band-aid, Will Kepler be a superstar? In 2016 I saw a guy who was learning on the job, listening to coaches, working hard, and trying to adjust. In 2017, you saw that the league caught up to him. Can he adjust even further? How much is his talent natural and how much of it is techincal. The question the front office ask, today, is: beyond getting an arm for the rotation, what is our potential roster for 2019 and 2020, Would the 2018 team suffer without Kepler in the outfield (and Grossman/Granite there) and an arm better than Mejia, Gibson and whomever in the rotation?- 14 comments
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How to Solve the Free Agent Crisis
Rosterman commented on minnesquatcha's blog entry in Thinking Outside the Box
It's complicated. First of, drafting. Your placement is also hindered by the amount you have to spend vs. the number of guys you basically need to sign each draft season to keep the minor league system developing. Actually, the draft is almost a parallel of free agency. What determines a guy getting multiple millions from someone getting a few hundred thousand. More askew because you are totally rewarding potential rather than (a a home team) contributions made in the past. And then you still have the hundreds of guys who don't get signed, but do sign at some point, for basically a 1 in 40 chance of getting a cup of coffee in the big leagues. I like to think Jack Morris is the eprfect free agent example. He walked from the Tigers, who ahd every incentive to reward Jack with a BIG multi-year contract, because he was one of many Mr. Tigers at that point of his career. But there was also the chance that he was on the downside. Jack took the "hired gun" route to the max, and got a lucrative deal with the Twins for one season, and then turned around and got an even better two-year deal with the Jays with a taken buyout, and then signed a pretty low deal in his last year to try and stay in baseball. Would the Tigers have given him $10-12 million over three years at that stage of his career? Would the Twins up the ante to a multi-year contract at Jack's age and the budget they had at that point in time? Budget. You can't legislate minimum overall spending for a team. But if you did, do you basically see more of what is happening now, high-price salary sent to rebuilding teams so bigger teams can have money to spend...and the receiving team basically gets an aging vetean for nothing as the other team uses the write-off for the current season, not the future season/s. It would be like (almost) saying that since the Twins offered, say Yu, $20+ million a year for five years...that means they can spend that $20 million still today (and tomorrow) on product, rather than just $5 million of $10 million. Which brings up the question, what happens to the money NOT spent. Does it pay off your stadium investment (the Twins are doing this ahead of schedule, I believe), go into development (which now has caps on how much you spend) cheaper beer and brats, lower ticket prices, raises for front office staff, better butter on the popcorn. Like so many unionized businesses, the players demand their share of the pie, usually 55%. No, the share of the pie is whatever ownership wants to pay for certain levels of talent. A rebuilding team doesn't have to spend that amount. A rich team is spending 55% but, like the Dodgers and Yankees, can still spend more (and they do). They spend more because they have to pay penalities which are rewarded to teams NOT spending their 55%. Go figure. Plus the outmake and outspend a team like the Twins almsot 2-1. Which also means they can afford to have $20-30 million sitting on an inactive or disabled list. (Look at the Twins in 2017...Phil Hughes and Glen Perkins NOT playing and controlling x-amount of salary dollars). I'm sorry, the best player/s in a free-agent class don't have to be the best paid players in baseball or at their position JUST because there is lesser competition. They are paid what they are perceived to be worth to a team, and how that team will have to juggle money today and tomorrow. Yes, the Twins were prepared to commit $20+ million to ONE player for the next 4-5 years. That's a good sign, or smoke and mirrors from the front office (something we have seen in the past..."we are in the game, look at us...dang, we didn't get the prize"). If the puzzle piece succeeds, you are loved. If they start treading water (look at Mauer comments the past few years...up and mostly down at one point) we cry "Foul!" It is hard to run a major league franchise in any sport. You want to pay for play (as fans do too). Again, look at the Draft. It shows you everything that may be wrong with the sport and free agency-type ideas. What are you aying someone millions to do...ride the bus and star in A and AA ball, never make the Big Leagues, drive a better car than msot of their teammates, rewards for being a Top High School of Collegiate player? Same with Free Agency...are you getting the rewards that player gave to his previous team during his early and arbitration years? And don't get one started on arbitration. Yes, the system rewards you above expectations for years you played for cheap. But often at a price. You become too expensive for a team to keep and end up signing on the cheap elsewhere (then getting lucrative deals after-the-fact, see Anthony Swarzak and Brian Duensing, for example, or Pat Neshek). Again, being paid for what YOU DID, not what you MAY DO FOR SURE. It's the FOR SURE that is the tell. You just don't know, and you must gamble. -
Article: The Darvish Contingency Plan
Rosterman replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
We should've resigned Chris Gimenez!- 195 replies
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WARNE: Shopping What’s Left in Free Agency for the Minnesota Twins
Rosterman commented on Brandon Warne's blog entry in BW on the Beat
Yes, Twins start season minus Sano and Santana. But they di need a backup for 1B. Is Vargas still in the mix? Grossman over Granite for 4th outfielder? Of course, Escobar at 3B, Ehire as the spare...both Grossman and Vargas as DH with Granite on the bench. Okay, a Sano-less field staff. But now the rotation. Is May or Hughes in the mix? If not...the Twins need a fulltime body and someone to give a looksee.- 5 comments
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Can The Twins Better Their Bench?
Rosterman commented on Ted Schwerzler 's blog entry in Off The Baggy
I always consider the DH a bench bat, as he primarily comes off the bench to hit anyways. So, you always need a back-up catcher. Garver should fill the bill. He can possibly play elsewhere, too. You need a backup infielder. The Twins have two right now, unless Sano becomes the DH. If you don't carry that extra bullpen arm, that is fine. You need a backup outfielder who can play centerfield. The Twins have Granite and supposedly Grossman. They don't need both. You also have to have someone on the team that can backup your first baseman. That was the value of Vargas, if written in as DH, above Grossman. The idea situation is to have a bat who can possibly get that long fly out (or home run -- Jim Thome comes to mind) but then you often make a triple move, as you need a pinch-runner (did I say it is nice to have someone good on the bases on the bench) and then play the field for whomever you did the pinch-hitting thing for.- 3 comments
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