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twinstalker

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Everything posted by twinstalker

  1. twinstalker
    Huh. At this point not thrilled with any. I thought the Kentucky OF would have been good at 33 but he went right before. I guess we'll see on all.
  2. twinstalker
    As I dig, I think it might be a broken stat on milbtracker.com. Though this site has been around for a few years, there are often glitches. It's possible the 2.4% is how he started at AA and is truncated to whatever point that was. Thank you for bringing that to my attention.
  3. twinstalker
    Since I see I now have to read ads, can you unblock us from the videos that require ad-blockers to be turned off? I've turned everything off and still can't see the videos for the years you've posted them.
  4. twinstalker
    I'm more than a little surprised that Walt Dropo's OPS of .757 was exactly average for his time period. His numbers do look a lot like what we've gotten from Miranda so far.
  5. twinstalker
    Oof. Those are four pretty average performances to be listed as the best.
  6. twinstalker
    Kenley Jansen is light brown toast.
  7. twinstalker
    First, because I'm probably deemed a downer, I want to say Andrew Morris is my favorite Twins prospect, and wow, he's been killing it. I ran across a disturbing stat the other day, and that is his swinging strike rate is only 2.4% at AA. As you can imagine, the stat itself is pretty predictive. To put some context to it, it's foremost a smaller sample size, but unfortunately not small enough. Zebby's rate is 14.2% at AA. Morris was 14.3% at A+. Varland is 12.6% at AAA Keoni Cavaco's as a pitcher was 7.1% for Cedar Rapids. Anyway, 2.4% is a horrible rate; he's not missing bats. How he gets 9 k's in a game or two is beyond me, but I doubt he could repeat whatever he's doing in an MLB game. That all said, his SwStr rate was good (not great) at A+, and it provides hope that this is somewhat of an aberration. But at this moment, it's a cross your fingers sort of thing, imo.
  8. twinstalker
    Not going to worry about the order. It doesn't matter. This is completely embarrassing. And unacceptable.
  9. twinstalker
    You may suspect Wallner is valuable, but teams won't want someone who strikes out over 30% of the time in AAA. If somebody does want that, they'll pay the going price for that, which is another flawed player with predictors that say he won't make it in MLB.
  10. twinstalker
    Starting in round 3 or 4 or so, I'd take Bailey Ober, Zebby Matthews, Cory Lewis, Andrew Morris, David Festa, a healthy CJ Culpepper, and so on. If you have a formula that's produced those guys, screw trying to take anyone else. I'd take the surest guys out there with my first few picks (Jenkins, Lee, Berrios), then start taking the blocks of clay in the fourth round. Every draft should yield 15 of these guys. :-) Fill all your positions with internationals, Eeles-type, and trades. I'm only partially kidding.
  11. twinstalker
    The premise of this article is erroneous, I believe. There will be no extension with the Twins, save for one accompanied by gasps at the numbers. The only way the word "discount" should be used is something like "never going to be a discount." Twins would have to pay stupid money to extend him a couple of years, and I doubt they could really even do that, since Royce has taken longer to get to FA than anticipated. Boras isn't going to let him get two years older before his really big contract. The topic should really be about why the Twins are in bed with Scott Boras when they know his and his players' only goal in a contract is to increase the salaries of all future contracts. As I've said for the last year, enjoy Lewis while you can, and if the Twins are strategic about this, they might be looking to deal him with multiple years left under team control. Check out the Nationals' haul on Juan Soto. Or keep him, which is fine, too, as long as everyone understands he's six and out, and there's really nothing the Twins can do to change that.
  12. twinstalker
    I've never understood the fascination with Raya, much less the usage. He doesn't appear to do well in his short stints, which gives me little faith in him even as a reliever. I would never have had this guy in my top 20. I think that requires doing something first, unless maybe you're granted one free ticket due to being a first-round pick. The response variable we're ultimately looking at is getting results in MLB. It would seem a required antecedent of that would be getting results somewhere prior to MLB.
  13. twinstalker
    They definitely pitched to contact.
  14. twinstalker
    It was an incredible day, and I ended up spending three hours inside listening to the radio instead of enjoying the outdoor pool 90 feet away.
  15. twinstalker
    RIP Willie. You and Hank were still a thing when I was a kid discovering baseball. I first remember seeing you (and cheering against you) in the NLDS vs the Pirates. Then you went to the Mets, and I realized you were ending your career, but I was happy you got to play one last time in the World Series. As I watched you for what would be one of your last few ABs, I munched on caramel corn and got violently ill and missed two weeks of school. While I am sure to this day the caramel corn did not give me a two-week case of whatever I had, I have not been able to eat it since. Plus I had a crush on a girl in my class named Lori, and you kept me away from her all that time because I soon assigned blame to what I was watching along with what I was eating. I was watching you. And I hope before I lost it, I got to see one of the two hits you had that series, your last. RIP Willie.
  16. twinstalker
    If you strike out 31% of the time at AA, you have virtually no chance of doing anything at MLB. There are exceptions, and I thought Matt Wallner might be one, but I'm willing to be my house Sabato is not one. Reducing your K rate in your third AA season is more expected than not expected. The Aaron Sabatos of yore all eventually made it to AAA or AAAA status, and to do so, they needed to figure out AA first at a "too old" age. You can find thirty former Twins system guys just like Sabato. I didn't mind the pick at the time, despite my recognition of the extremely small number of rh hitter drafted as 1B making it. Lesson learned.
  17. twinstalker
    You could probably skip the 23 doubles. :-)
  18. twinstalker
    Morris and Culpepper are really part of this group, too, though Culpepper is likely out for a long, long time, and Morris needs more development in some respects.
  19. twinstalker
    Cavaco worst. But Noah Miller close. Guys that got injured or were expected to be back from injuries aren't the worst picks. It's the guys you should be able to tell won't have a chance. Cavaco never had a chance. Miller's upside is Jace Peterson. You never take someone in the first round (supp) whose upside is Jace Peterson.
  20. twinstalker
    Harry's numbers don't really excite in any way unless he's been hurt this year (maybe hurt in the eyes). Low A last year was a step down, and his walk and K numbers reflected that. Despite this, because it's a pitcher's league, his batting numbers were surprisingly good, and he's young for his college draft status. All this leads to anticipation for his promotion to A+, where he's sort of sh*t the bed. His K rate doubled, BB rate halved, and as you'd expect with that, his slash line is bad. It seems clear to me the pitching at A+ has been too tough for him on first try. Right now the odds against him are huge. The hope with him would be a flaw they discover that he can correct. Starting to crush A+ would be a good sign, but there's no indication of that. My guess is he's an organizational player.
  21. twinstalker
    Thanks, but I think the Twins should take with pick 33 a no-chance-to-hit shortstop who's consensus-ranked over 100. How else are we going to get the next Rayne Doncon? I'm not bitter.
  22. twinstalker
    Not. Zebby should, though. Seriously, we think the Twins would trade Zebby before Festa or Soto? That's ridiculous. Not that we're going to trade Festa...it's an absolute need to have someone who can start a game right now, and he's one of two. But Zebby is crushing like few we've seen in all of baseball, much less the Twins. He's older, but it's not that important for pitchers, plus I have very little doubt he'd be crushing AAA right now. Soto is nothing but a lottery ticket and is potential trade bait, though hopefully the FO is tired of getting completely destroyed on trades and will stop trading with smart teams.
  23. twinstalker
    It was quite the switch from sinkerball pitcher to catcher, but kudos.
  24. twinstalker
    Ah, that might be true. "High" and "low" were always used A+ and A, respectively, and they continue to be used, I guess that's what I was referring to. If it's slang, so be it. :-)
  25. twinstalker
    Um, Low A has always been A. There's A and A+, often referred to as low A and high A, respectively. Since forever. There was also, in some systems, A-, and I've never been quite sure what that was. Seems high rookie. When Elizabethton was winning the Appy rookie league most years, it was the Twins high rookie team vs many teams' low rookie team. I imagine a number of those organizations had A- teams. Some organizations just had more resources and therefore more players and therefore more rookie teams. The New York-Penn league and Northwest league were two of these A- leagues, I think. The Twins didn't have teams in either, at least in the last fifty years or so.
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