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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    The Twins average pitching age is the oldest in the AL. Only the Angels have given up more runs than the Twins. There is no Santana and Liriano or Scherzer and Strasburg to get them out of this hole. This window has closed. I would plan with 2023 in mind.
  2. jorgenswest
    Wondering about comparing the age numbers… We’re the numbers you co pared end of season vs. the one month into the season? Would that skew the comparison? As the season progresses I would expect younger players to move up a level pushing down that average age number by seasons end.
  3. jorgenswest
    Wondering about Gordon… Wasn't he also considered a pitching prospect at the draft? His arm must be pretty good for SS. Is it his footwork or his reaction/read time that prevent him from playing a passable SS? His minor league error rate doesn’t seem to be the problem. If he is to be a super utility shouldn’t he be getting time in the outfield as well as 3B in St. Paul? His arm should be able to handle those spots. His speed should work in CF. Reading the ball off the bat and getting the best jump would need a lot of reps that can happen in St. Paul.
  4. jorgenswest
    The Rays have traded solid prospects at the deadline like Jesus Sanchez and Genesis Cabrera in recent years. There will need to be some sense of urgency and demand. Would that urgency be more likely near the deadline?
  5. jorgenswest
    Rogers and Garver are both 30. I would try to sell high.
  6. jorgenswest
    The window has closed. This is the White Sox division. They White Sox lost some key players to injuries but have the depth to win games. I don’t think the 2022 Twins can come close to matching them. The Twins the oldest average pitching age in the AL and the batters are older than league average. If they don’t retool the greatest likelihood is a team that might be competitive in 2002 but not a contender. After losing Buxton, Berrios and Rogers 2023 seems pretty dismal. Trade anyone who they can’t extend on the team for 2023. They also should look to move Garver, Donaldson and Maeda.
  7. jorgenswest
    The pitchers the Twins acquired this year on one year deals have not worked out. Was it a failure to identify pitchers who they could acquire on low budget deals? Was it a failure to allocate enough of the budget on pitching stemming from the signing of Donaldson? Is it Wes Johnson’s failure? I would be very tempted to reassign Wes Johnson to a role developing minor league pitchers. I believe he can help pitchers develop pitches. I think his game planning and pitch sequencing has a lot of room for improvement. I wonder if LaTroy Hawkins would do a better job of that planning and working with the pitchers.
  8. jorgenswest
    His OPS+ Over 2018-20 was 94. This year it is 91. I don’t think we should have expected better. There will be some decline. His OOA is +9 which is among the best in baseball. It seems like he has been exactly as they expected. He will have trade value but the demand will be low. He only really fits as a starting SS so they need to find a fit where a starter is needed. The Twins we’re on the other end of one of these deals trading for Orlando Cabrera in 2009. Cabrera had a couple of gold gloves at SS and the Twins had a need. They gave up Tyler Ladendorf their second round pick from a year earlier.
  9. jorgenswest
    In this deal they are offloading salary and getting a prospect. I don’t like the prospect but this is a deal for the future. Maybe the 15 million makes it close to wash through 2022 but wouldn’t there be significant offloading of salary for 2023? They may get lucky and Bradley starts hitting at the 800 OPS he had last year. He might turn into another trade for a prospect. Otherwise it is a smaller sunk cost than Donaldson. If the Twins want to get anything in return for Donaldson they are going to need to pay off a good chunk of his salary. The Brewer deal might not be the right deal but any deal is going to look something like this.
  10. jorgenswest
    I would trade Donaldson. A deal where they take on some bad money and send money in exchange for a prospect is feasible. That number 6 ranking for Kelly has to come before TOS. He is not worth the cost now. They are better off with Donaldson. Ashby at number 7 might make sense. This is where we need Falvey’s staff needs to acquire that pitching talent as they did in Cleveland.
  11. jorgenswest
    I think he is reasonably similar to Tyler Austin and maybe CJ Cron. If either was on the left handed side of the platoon they probably have a good opportunity to establish themselves. If you bat right handed and are limited defensively it is hard to get that opportunity. Cron stuck around on the Angels lot get that opportunity before being traded to the Rays for very little. Even a big year in Tampa Bay ended up with him on waivers.
  12. jorgenswest
    In 2018-19 Donaldson had an OPS+ Of 123 playing 64% of the games. In 2020-2021 he has an OPS+ of 117 playing in 60% of games through Friday. It seems like the kind of decline you might expect from age 32 to 35. There will likely be more decline in the next two years. In free agency you buy the decline, Sometimes you pay big for it. Occasionally you get a Cruz who defies it.
  13. jorgenswest
    The Twins need to give them both a significant shot in the majors this year. Happ and Shoemaker are not part of the future and they aren’t going to turn this team around in the present. I hope they don’t wait until August before giving Thorpe and Dobnak a regular turn in the rotation.
  14. jorgenswest
    I think the window on this core has closed. The White Sox are better and have key younger players. We have one more year of Berrios in the rotation and then little to count on beyond. They need to look beyond 2022. If they can’t extend Berrios or Buxton they need to move them this year. Donaldson is a sunk cost with an anchor of a contract similar to Mauer. Move him. Pay whatever salary is necessary to get something of value in return. Anyone that isn’t a part of 2023 I would be willing to move. This winter they need to go low on the payroll. One year commitments that they can trade off will work but they shouldn’t anchor themselves to anyone. They need to see what develops within.
  15. jorgenswest
    Hmmm… maybe I better look at it on a computer. I don’t see much useful screen content on the iPad after selecting a forum. No need to reply. Just giving visual feedback on the initial user experience.
  16. jorgenswest
    I think my note acknowledged the week before AAA starts. I just wonder if that time in AAA including this week before games can help him approach his former success.
  17. jorgenswest
    Gardy would know the central as would McClendon and Renteria.
  18. jorgenswest
    Is Stashak healthy? Seems like his velocity is down and he probably doesn't have much margin for error. Was he sent down the first time due to ineffectiveness? He doesn't look the same.
  19. jorgenswest
    Garver's 2019 season is getting further away. He may be the player we have seen the last two years which is not a major league player. He has two options. I would send him down now and give him a week before playing in AAA. Play him at DH and 1B so he can try to find his swing. I don't think his defense has been very helpful and while Astudillo might be a downgrade defensively I don't think it is a big drop. At least Astudillo is likely to put the ball in play in some one is on base. Bring up Garver after a good month. If the good month never occurs at least they know they have a problem to fix at catcher. The Twins could probably send Jeffers down too but I would start with Garver.
  20. jorgenswest
    A bench coach would help but I think it would need to be someone without a job in major league baseball. That really shrinks the group. Did anyone hire Lloyd McClendon? Rick Renteria? Would either help?
  21. jorgenswest
    Have we passed the service time threshold? I thought it was around the 17th.
  22. jorgenswest
    I would prefer the Twins to be the franchise that is losing guys in the rule 5 than the one that is adding with the rule 5 draft every year.
  23. jorgenswest
    Is he a more expensive Wisler replacement?
  24. jorgenswest
    The Twins spent that money on Donaldson. Before that is was Mauer. In three years Donaldson’s contract will be off the books and they can take on another big contract. Taking on two big contracts by adding up a bunch of smaller pieces doesn’t work because all of those spots need to be filled by someone earning a salary and while several could be at a minimum next year they won’t stay at a minimum.
  25. jorgenswest
    The Rays don’t pay for 1B. They get a guy like Morrison for nothing on a cheap salary and he produces but they let him go when he gets more expensive I. Spite of a monster year. They get a guy like Cron for little and he produces for a few years and when he hits arbitration and a salary of 5-6 million they replace him with Choi. It is time to replace Choi with another pre-arb 1B. They aren’t going to pay for 1B and they certainly aren’t going to pay twice (the cost of his contract and the value of Snell). If they don’t already have a lost cost 1B they will find one without needing to trade off anything valuable. The Twins don’t need to make that call. They can move on.
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