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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    From Boston Vazquez -.474 Martinez -.423 I don’t know if Vazquez or the pitcher get credit for the pick of Garver. It should be Vazquez but I wonder if it is the pitcher. I know that Sano does not get WPA credit for his game saving play at 3B in the 10th inning. I don’t think Gonzalez makes that play.
  2. jorgenswest
    There were two outs and a runner in scoring position when Kepler pinch hit for Gonzalez. Maybe if Garver doesn’t get picked earlier and there is one out with Gonzalez up he pinch hits for Sano.
  3. jorgenswest
    Teams will overpay for playoff caliber starters and late inning relievers with team control. Larnach will not be enough. He loses value as a corner player and he hasn’t shown great power in high A. The best prospect currency is pitching, catchers, shortstops and center fielders. Let’s hope that Graterol returns and pitches really well so he is a top trade asset. Let’s hope that Lewis heats up. Let’s hope that Kirilloff gets healthy and displays awesome power for a corner player. The top three assets that might set the Twins apart from the trade competition are not at their top value right now.
  4. jorgenswest
    Yes. They made the wild card but there wasn't an extra wild card game. There is a lot of season left. Let’s hope for a great week this week.
  5. jorgenswest
    On June 16, 2006 the Tigers had the best record in the AL and an 11 game lead over the Twins. A good week but I hope they don’t regret the two wins they left on the table. Let’s hope this is a great week.
  6. jorgenswest
    I guess a few questions... How many plays has Gonzalez missed this year that he should have made? I can recall a great catch he made against Chicago and his catch last night in the ninth kept an incredibly fast runner off the bases. Is that balanced with several balls he should have caught like the Maldonado ball? I don’t recall others and I don’t see any on inside edge fielding. Didn’t Adrianza have a game earlier this week against the Mariners where he showed off some excellent base running skill? If I recall he was on second and took third on a ball in the dirt. His secondary lead allowed him that base. He then followed by scoring with the infield in due a nice secondary and great slide. Those don’t seem like the moves of a plodding base runner.
  7. jorgenswest
    I would hope they would be cautious and private about the health of their players. Beyond that they are injured or facts like they had surgery we don’t need to know.
  8. jorgenswest
    From Tom’s video he has made some changes to his arm slot. Maybe that is the edge he needs to make the next step.
  9. jorgenswest
    I suppose it is hard to get to 1500 innings if you are well below average so that set of players may be skewed. Sano is below the median of that skewed group. I looked at the UZR by team at 3B for this year. There are 15 teams above 0 and 15 teams below 0. The Twins rank is second. I don't see support for a conclusion of terrible play at 3B where it would be necessary to move Sano off 3B in the near future.
  10. jorgenswest
    He seems like an inexpensive option. I would prefer they pay up in prospects to get a better reliever.
  11. jorgenswest
    I think people have been wondering if he can stick at 3B since he arrived in 2015. Five seasons and nearly 1800 innings and he has a career UZR150 of -1.1. He has performed as an average 3B. That won’t continue forever but it doesn’t for anyone as they approach 30. Defense declines first. Will he stick at 3B? Is 5 years sticking at 3B? The guys in the Twins front office making a living in baseball see him as a 3B. His performance suggests he will be next year. His performance as close to an average 3B with his power is an asset to this team.
  12. jorgenswest
    Two of his three walks were to Encarnacion and close to intentional. He got the following batter Vogelbach to strike out the first two at bats. It is the third at bat against Vogelbach that was bothersome. He stayed on the outside every pitch of that at bat. He needed to trust his stuff and come in hard inside. Eventually Vogelbach three his bat out there and flared one to left for an RBI. I am not worried about the walks. I do wonder if he is questioning his stuff as he pitches to Encarnacion and even coming inside against Vogelbach.
  13. jorgenswest
    I don’t care what prospect capital they spend to get there but I do care about the bullpen at the deadline. The low bar is acquiring two relievers. One can be a player like Will Smith - a late inning reliever on an expiring contract. The other is an emerging reliever around age 27 with at last one more year of control. Pay in prospects whatever the market demands.
  14. jorgenswest
    I agree. If the Twins are serious about acquiring pitching help they are not starting negotiations with Jake Cave.
  15. jorgenswest
    The Twins shouldn’t prioritize getting the best deal. They need to prioritize getting the best reliever(s). I don’t want Tony Watson because he can be acquired a good price. Pay up and get a better reliever.
  16. jorgenswest
    He won’t be a free agent until 2024. The Reds might sell high on him having a career year at age 27. He won’t be inexpensive.
  17. jorgenswest
    I trust Kimbrel more than Parker, May, Duffey, Harper... I don’t think he is the best option. I would trust Smith, Giles and Hand over Kimbrel.
  18. jorgenswest
    I would look for one of two types. They need to add someone at the top of the bullpen. There are several on the list up there that would qualify. I would avoid Diekman, Romo and Watson. Older guys used in set up roles, I think I would avoid Givens and Holland also. I would certainly want to dig deep on their command. The other type is the Pressly type. Someone with control that appears to be emerging. Amir Garrett or Robert Stephenson from the Reds might be candidates. They are top 10 in pitch/100 for sliders. Carlos Estevez and Brandon Brennan in that list also. There are a few similar pitchers in the curve ball list. How good is Barlow’s curve ball? It has top 10 pitch value but he doesn’t use it as much as his slider. Scouting is key here.
  19. jorgenswest
    Slugging percentage which is a component of OPS stabilizes at around a full season for a starting pitcher (550 AB). Odorizzi is at 247 at bats. It might be something teams look to at the season’s end to suggest there has been a change on skill level (or not) as they make a free agency decision about Odorizzi. At this point in the season the pitch level data is helpful and the Twins have much better data than we can see. I would guess that they also have some useful batted ball data. Of the traditional result data, strike out rate stabilizes earliest and it is encouraging that his strike out is up while his walk rate remains at career norms.
  20. jorgenswest
    I was intrigued by Brandon Warne’s article in April about Duffey and tunneling. https://zonecoverage.com/2019/featured/funneling-to-tunneling-the-rebuilding-of-tyler-duffey/ The mix of his curve ball with a fastball up in the zone may be the recipe for success.
  21. jorgenswest
    I am not sure what a Hildenberger needed. Was it a mechanical adjustment? If so maybe they have worked it out. We aren’t going to see that looking at results in AAA. Even if we could you might expect them to be bad early as he tried to make changes.
  22. jorgenswest
    There is reason to wonder both the velocity and location of Parker’s fastball. His average 4 seam fastball was his lowest of any game since 2014. He was averaging 93s his last two outings in May. Injury?
  23. jorgenswest
    I appreciate that the team isn’t making line up decisions based on the box score stats of the previous few games. I think Molitor has Kepler on the bench for this one.
  24. jorgenswest
    Is this draft considered weak for first rounders? Do teams still get a comp pick if they don’t sign their first rounder? Would it be to any team’s advantage to have drafted a college bound high schooler and not sign them?
  25. jorgenswest
    Has the John Andreoli transaction been reported? I think he is back in the Seattle organization.
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