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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    Cruz also takes grounders at second though I don’t think it is preparation for the possibility of playing 2B.
  2. jorgenswest
    Are the Twins odds of winning the AL Central better than they were 1 week ago? Are the Twins odds of winning the ALCS better than they were 1 week ago? If the answer to either of those is “no” how can the deadline be described any other way than at best disappointing?
  3. jorgenswest
    I hope they don’t make a last minute move for a middling reliever. Go big or stay with their roster.
  4. jorgenswest
    If the Twins do nothing... I look forward to listening to or watching tonight’s game I avoid the discussions about what they should have done For now I am still hoping.
  5. jorgenswest
    I hope they go big or do nothing today. The Romo trade grades OK but I think it helps them get to the playoffs but not enough to help them win in the playoffs. I don’t want more deals like this. I’d rather keep the prospect and give the opportunities to the current roster. Don’t get someone that might be a slight upgrade over Duffey but is either a rental or in decline. My fear as taken individually the trades grade OK but does not move the bar in taking on the Astros or Yankees. If they can get a Daniel Hudson for Nick Gordon let’s keep Gordon and develop the relievers in the system. Syndergaard or Smith or Diaz or even a lefty specialist like Watson should be the targets. Aim high.
  6. jorgenswest
    It depends on whether the number is from Pitch f/x for Baseball info solutions. They are different. His pitch f/x zone% is 36.2. Either way he is extreme in how little he pitches in the strike zone and backs that up with getting swings in balls out of the zone at a high rate for relievers only exceeded by Tony Watson. This mix should work well against the inexperienced hitters he will face as the next two months.
  7. jorgenswest
    I am not sure I see how Romo matches up well against the Yankees. Yankee right handed batters crush right handed pitching and are not nearly as effective against lefties. Romo is at his best when batters are swinging at his pitches out of the zone getting ahead in the count. His combo of pitching out of the zone and getting swings on those pitches is extreme. The Yankees are very patient at the plate and work the count though. I know the Romo is better against right handed batters than left handed but most right handed pitchers are better against right handed batters. What is it about Romo that he will be the right handed pitcher that matches up well against the Yankees when most others have not?
  8. jorgenswest
    The Twins wouldn’t use an option on Graterol calling him up as long as they don’t return him to the minors. Maybe they will keep him in relief in the minors and give him a look in September.
  9. jorgenswest
    Romo gets more batters to swing out of the zone than anyone other than Tony Watson at 41%. He couples that with hardly ever throwing the ball in the zone at 36.2% (for comparison Watson 42%). This is a successful combination and it takes a patient hitter to work the count and get him to pitch in the zone. I suspect he will be very successful against most of the Twins remaining schedule of teams with inexperienced line ups and help the Twins get to the playoffs.
  10. jorgenswest
    One year deals for number 3 pitchers into their 30s seems a wise direction. I think the Twins should make a qualifying offers to the two they have the most confidence in maintaining their performance.
  11. jorgenswest
    The possibility that a reader could read that article and believe that Cron or Goldschmidt are replacement level is where fangraphs was irresponsible. They even admitted cherry picking by saying that Vogt should have been in the group after an 0-4 but they chose not to include him. The overall message that the Twins might be able to improve at 1B for next year isn’t bad. Sano or Kirilloff or Rooker could be better. Cron has been hitting at the league average for 1B. There is space to improve. I don’t know how to measure his glove. I believe fangraphs uses a measure that relies on a batted ball but a 1Bs value comes from how they deal with throws from infielders much more than batted balls. That could be why there is a huge difference between Cron’s fWAR and bWAR numbers.
  12. jorgenswest
    League wRC+ from first base is 108. Cron sits at 109. Tyler Austin is at 81. I would suggest Austin is at replacement level. They can certainly look to improving on Cron. Kirilloff might be ready. They might move Sano there and utilize Gonzalez at 3B but I don’t see the support for replacement level at 1B.
  13. jorgenswest
    The Yankees right handed batters crush right handed pitching. They do not do nearly as well against left handed pitching. Romo also has had the benefit of coming in to start innings this year. He has not pitched nearly as well with runners on base and certainly did not in 2018 when he has the more difficult role of coming in to put out a fire.
  14. jorgenswest
    I will give a grade if B or even A on this trade. I think the minor league aspect of this trade is a good fit for both teams. I have a different goal at the deadline. I want the Twins to have a top 3 in the pen that can compete with the Yankees and Astros. This deal makes no progress on that goal. Where would Romo fit in either of those pens? So the grade is an incomplete thus far. They still need two very good late inning relievers. My fear is their sites are set winning a deal for a Daniel Hudson instead of breaking the bank for a Ken Giles. This is a nice safe trade.
  15. jorgenswest
    Where is the support for lining up well against the Yankees? They crush righties as a team with a team OPS+ of 120 and are league average hitters against lefties at 101. Yankee right handed batters have been destroying right handed pitching at 133. In the last series weren’t lefty AAA call ups Smeltzer and Thorpe pretty effective? I think Romo helps the team in the regular season schedule of AL central but costs the Twins the game in the playoffs. This doesn’t change their need for a late inning right handed reliever that can put out a fire or a pitcher that can get a left handed hitter out in the middle innings. I am worried it changes their motivation to go find those two pitchers.
  16. jorgenswest
    I guess I agree because the alternative is to put him in a role where he needs to put out a fire. He was fourth last year in inherited runners scored. He won’t see many inherited runners coming in at the start of the ninth inning.
  17. jorgenswest
    He will pitch worse than at least one of the three the Twins have just DFA’d. This is not the playoff caliber reliever they need. I would have preferred Belisle who would not cost Diaz.
  18. jorgenswest
    Seems like Romo headed to Twins according to Passan. I would guess that one of Parker, Magill or Morin out pitch him the final two months.
  19. jorgenswest
    I am not offering extensions to any of the three starters right now. Let’s see how the season plays out. I would much rather make a qualifying offer and pay more for one year than commit to three for a league average starter in or entering their 30s. Their isn’t enough space for decline.
  20. jorgenswest
    I don’t think Hudson would be much different than Parker. His low ERA is without foundation. The peripherals suggest he has not pitched well. The Twins need someone that they have confidence late in a playoff game.
  21. jorgenswest
    I think they can get it done offering the Mets their choice of 1 position player and 1 pitcher (excluding key major leaguers) If nothing else it would force the Astros to offer Whitley and Tucker to win the deal. If they can’t have Syndergaard it least it will cause some pain to the Astros.
  22. jorgenswest
    Living in Giant territory there is no question that fans would expect them to add. They have to a better job of identifying and developing talent but teams with resources like the Giants do not need to tear down in order to return to competitive play.
  23. jorgenswest
    Duran, Balazovic and Larnach might all be at a relative high in value. I would think any one of them in combination with lesser prospects should return a helpful bullpen piece. They need to make at least two of those trade.
  24. jorgenswest
    What a really strange combination of strike outs and balls in play from Odorizzi. How do you strike out 7 of 24, walk 2 of 24 and only turn the other 15 plate appearance into 5 outs? I am not sure I have seen a mix like that before. Odorizzi’s xFIP probably improved last night. In comparison Smeltzer struck out 4 and walked 0 of 19 plate appearances. The remaining 15 plate appearances turned into 11 outs (one was a DP). They each had 15 balls put in play (including home runs) but the results could not be more strikingly different.
  25. jorgenswest
    I assume you join me in the significantly overpay group to ensure a better return than the Astros or Yankees. The alternative is to be patient and wait out a more reasonable deal risking losing that deal to a competitor.
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