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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    I wouldn't put any stock in postseason odds on May 15th. I'd bet MN had pretty high postseason odds on June 1st last year, and then they played 3 months of sub .500 ball before completely collapsing. Right now MN and Cleveland almost mirror each other as far as pitching and offense (or lack thereof) go. The wildcard is of course health.
  2. KirbyDome89
    This is the correct answer. The AL Central is a dumpster fire. I'd take it a step further and say win a playoff series, even if it's a 3 vs. 6 WC matchup; just win an entire series. I'll still cringe if we're sitting here in October celebrating a series loss because the longest losing streak in NA sports has been broken.
  3. KirbyDome89
    Yes, it's constantly brought up as some kind of aww shucks type of defense. Even this article has the obligatory "thank god we didn't trade for Montas," paragraph where Castillo is a mere footnote. Failed development, an overreliance on awful FA SP signings, and trading for a SP with an injury red flag all preceded the move for Mahle last year. Then there's the issue, which has already been stated, of trading for another starter with injury concerns at the deadline. It feels like there are layers of poor decision making here.
  4. KirbyDome89
    Which is why framing this discussion as "Montas, Mahle, or nothing," is so irritating.
  5. KirbyDome89
    I'll take the run, it's desperately needed, but holy moly why is Darvish nibbling on the mound? The Twins are one of the worst hitting teams in baseball and the minute he decides to attack it's two Ks and inning over.
  6. KirbyDome89
    Yeah, I wouldn't be rushing to extend him; I don't think the potential talent/performance payoff is worth the risk.
  7. KirbyDome89
    Is Farmer going to hit though? .226/.286/.355 and a K% rivaling Gallo doesn't feel like an upgrade.
  8. KirbyDome89
    Precisely why he wouldn't be my choice to remove from the 26 man. Farmer isn't going to solve any offensive issues, especially if he's going to be facing RHP as the everyday 3B. Castro and Solano serve little purpose now, or in the future. I would've happily waived goodbye to one of them.
  9. KirbyDome89
    Yeah I'm definitely not against a small reset while staying on the active roster. I don't think going to AAA provides much personal benefit, but if he is actively hurting the team's chances of winning games (and you can easily argue that he is) I understand the move. If Miranda is viewed as a middle of the order bat down the road, ideally he works through his struggles against ML pitching and we aren't crossing our fingers on a placeholder being serviceable, but it is what it is I guess.
  10. KirbyDome89
    We're actually worried about hanging around in the AL Central? Really? KC is challenging Oakland for the title of worst team in baseball. Is Detroit a real threat over 162 games? Chicago tanked their season in April. It's MN and Cleveland, and for as much as we bitch (rightfully so) about the Twins offensive struggles, Cleveland is probably worse. This is a really bad division, and barring a collapse a la MN last year, or Chicago last month, nobody is likely running away with it. A decent 6 weeks and some .500ish ball might be all it takes to claim the division crown.
  11. KirbyDome89
    Yeah I never once thought he looked dominant during the game. He threw nearly 100 pitches, and only about half of them were strikes. He was giving up more than 1 hit per inning coming into the game; couple that with his control issues and it's unreal that a team would only threaten to score in two times in seven innings.
  12. KirbyDome89
    Count me amongst those not exactly excited about the idea of Kyle Farmer playing 3B every day. I get it, kind of, but he barely posted more than 1 fWAR in 145 games last year, and he wasn't off to a particularly great start this season despite being platooned in more favorable matchups. His defense at the corner maybe raises the floor a little, but he's not going to step onto the diamond and make the Twins a better team. SSS yada yada, and if you told me he holds down 3B with average-slightly below average play for 6 weeks until Lee is called up, ok I guess, but I'd still give Miranda a bit more time facing major league pitching.
  13. KirbyDome89
    Master-class pitching duel is probably overstating it a bit. Cleveland is arguably the worst offensive team in all of baseball right now, and the Twins struggles are well documented. Quantrill is an incredibly hittable pitcher, and he lacked command for a good part of the game this afternoon.
  14. KirbyDome89
    It's a philosophical disagreement. I wouldn't feel any differently if it had been the Twins imploding in the 12th yesterday; you shouldn't either.
  15. KirbyDome89
    We should probably mention the fact that Lopez was even worse after moving to lower leverage last season. That's pretty important if we're comparing the two right? No, not for me. Lopez didn't pitch well for the Twins last year, that's really not debatable. I want more than a nice April before I'm handing him the ball over Duran. Yes, having even one more AB, i.e. an opportunity to score an extend the game, makes that a very different situation. A clean 8th inning with another chance to hit guaranteed isn't remotely the same as starting the 10th with a runner on 2nd and the game set to end if that runner scores. I'm happy to see other relievers attempt to get outs if Duran's appearance extends the game, which it potentially would've in that 10th inning. If Duran comes in as a fireman in the 7th or 8th, ok. If he had thrown the 9th inning when it was prevent a run or go home, ok. I do (did if we now know Duran wasn't available) think Rocco made a mistake not inserting what I view as his best bullpen weapon. Misplays happen all the time over the course of a game; there's no point in fixating on one decision, or pinning the loss on an individual.
  16. KirbyDome89
    Duran was elite from start to finish last year, so yeah, that carries more weight for me. I've never once said Lopez was terrible, again, you need to stop building arguments that aren't there. If you want to tell me that the hierarchy has flipped this year after 13 innings ok; I couldn't agree less. Because the Twins have 2 ABs left after the 7th? This isn't rocket science. They knew going into the bottom of the 10th that the game was over if Chicago scored. Those situations aren't remotely the same. I get that there's an inordinate amount or Rocco criticism on TD, but not all critiques are "blaming Rocco for screwing it up," or on par with the "Rocco sucks," theme echoed across every game thread. I never once pinned the loss on him; don't reduce my posts to that.
  17. KirbyDome89
    If you want to put more stock into 13 innings than all of last year don't let me stop you. Michael Taylor is sitting at 3rd on the team in HRs, and his OPS is higher than Correa or Miranda's; are you going to crusade for him jumping into the middle of the lineup? If Duran is available in a close game, yes, I do want him to pitch. Is that not obvious by now? This isn't difficult, you don't need to muddy the waters here. Don't forego the chance to play your best card, i.e. your best shot at extending the game, and then get knocked out. Oh is this the part where I set parameters and then you pick nits and pull some gotcha BS? I'll pass... More hyperbole? Does this ever start to wear you out? Other pitchers will obviously be used in close games. Duran is the best option (particularly in that 10th inning) hence my desire to him to be used late in a tie game a la last night. Rocco literally used Duran in the 9th inning of a tie game two weeks ago, but I guess he's not "all managers?" Idk...
  18. KirbyDome89
    C'mon, stop with the stawman stuff; Duran is unquestionably their best relief option, and nobody is asking for him to throw every close game. I know there was an availability qualifier involved. It isn't the only way, but it's the best way to give yourself a shot at another inning. The bullpen is doomed is they have to hide Pagan, Moran, and Winder over 162 games; that doesn't mean I want those guys throwing important innings if better options are available. And they likely would've gotten another chance in the 11th, but apparently it's more desirable to save your best bullet for a hypothetical situation, use a lesser arm, and lose in 10 innings.
  19. KirbyDome89
    There is nothing to "solve." Either you use your best arm(s) and improve your odds of extending/winning the game or you hold out hope a save opportunity arises. I'd opt for the former. I'd rather this club try to win an 11 inning game than predict the future, particularly with bullpen usage. This is the same Sox team that committed 4 errors (including literally throwing away the first game) booted multiple double play balls, and had a LF fall down trying to field a routine fly ball in a 3 game series right? That Sox team? Yeah, I think having a runner on 2nd to start the 10th puts more pressure on a piss poor defensive squad, and an offense even like the Twins' can score in that situation. Wild huh?
  20. KirbyDome89
    Set an over/under and we'll make a wager. They're 12 games under .500 right now. It'll take months of 90+ win baseball to get to .500 plus they'll need to maintain that by winning half of their games for another 2-3 months.
  21. KirbyDome89
    It gives you a better chance to solve the problem, that's my point. If Chicago is going to walk off Thielbar, then make them do that in the 11th and give yourself another inning to hit.
  22. KirbyDome89
    Why restrict him? There isn't a pitcher on the roster better suited to start an inning with a runner on 2B. We've seen Rocco use him in high leverage rather than traditional save situations this year too. It's one game, and there are factors leading up to, and following the game that affect usage so it's not really worth much hand wringing, but waiting for a save opportunity to use your best arm seems like a good way to let a few of those chances slip away.
  23. KirbyDome89
    What you're labeling as time to come back I see as a normal ebb and flow in performance. If you're going to invest in players with injury risk, you don't get to play the victim when/if they're injured. They traded for two injured SPs and they handed a rotation spot to a third who has never handled even a modest major league workload. Outside of the SPs, Winder was the only name you could argue was expected to provide relief.
  24. KirbyDome89
    Ryan led the team in innings last year. I wouldn't characterize that as missing significant time. We're just going to disagree that some less than stellar outings were due to a positive test result 3+ weeks prior. The Twins were 10ish games over .500 coming into June, which means all three of those starters were throwing during the actual slide. I'm not saying last year was 100% on the pitching, we're talking about Mahle, so pitching is the focus. This team put a lot of faith in a pipeline that didn't, and hasn't, delivered. They signed multiple low tier FA starters to be placeholders, they overtaxed an undermanned bullpen, and they leaned on guys with serious injury concerns. We can waive it away as bad luck, but when a plan fails that spectacularly it's hard not to attribute a majority of it to human error. To bring it back to the Mahle discussion, I don't see those failures as justification for acquiring another SP dealing with injury.
  25. KirbyDome89
    None of the starters you named (Gray, Ryan, and Bundy) missed significant time, and all three were consistently starting games during those months of sub .500 play. I think Gray might've had one more IL stint in there somewhere though. The rest of that crew? Ober had eclipsed 90 innings once in 4 professional seasons coming into last year. At some point you don't get to be shocked when he isn't available. At least one other team passed on acquiring Paddack due to elbow concerns. That TJ didn't come out of nowhere. Alcala is in AAA right now. He had a long stretch of bad baseball in 2021. They definitely planned for him to be in the pen last year, but losing him didn't create some massive hole the team couldn't recover from. Ditto for Coulombe; if he's your lefty at the back of the pen giving you a decent 30ish innings that's great, but he's a journeyman RP, i.e. the definition of replaceable. I have no clue why Romero is even being mentioned here. I'll give you Winder. The shoulder stuff was tough, but even then that's a fringe SP/possible RP.
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