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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    The Guardians sold. That's not even debatable. What you're arguing is spiraling.
  2. KirbyDome89
    Sure, I'm down to look at it if you don't mind. I'll say upfront if it's extrapolating on their current record vs. West opponents I'm less inclined to be swayed.
  3. KirbyDome89
    Yeah no clue whether this version of Martin is the "real," version. Hopefully it is, I just wouldn't be penciling him as a starter in LF to begin next year.
  4. KirbyDome89
    Yeah the argument you responded to kinda falls apart when you're claiming a guy like Luplow and starting him because you're struggling so badly against LHP. At no point this year has the lineup been so good there just wasn't room for Julien or Kirilloff to get regular playing time against LHPs.
  5. KirbyDome89
    Came here to say the same thing. There were plenty of "wasted," ABs on guys this team could, or should, cut bait with, but Kirilloff and Julien, players with actual everyday potential, can't stay in the lineup. It makes no sense.
  6. KirbyDome89
    I didn't have much trouble snagging a couple for game 3 in 2019. I can't remember which website I used to purchase the tix, but I remember a decent number were available.
  7. KirbyDome89
    The FO wouldn't quit Kepler at any point this year, he's a lock. Gordon and Celestino don't belong in a corner OF discussion. Idk what to think about Martin. The turnaround is encouraging, but the track record is pretty bad. I'm not sure he's a guy you're making plans for. Has Wallner done enough to be counted on as a starter in LF? I'd say no. I'm keeping Larnach. I don't see the point in dealing him at a depressed value, especially when you consider the names blocking him are kinda shaky.
  8. KirbyDome89
    Upgrading from Floro (or any of the 4-8 group) wasn't/isn't hypothetical. There were actual, solid arms, i.e. better arms, available and the Twins passed. Internal options are the only options at this point, so yes, that has to be the route. I can't stress this enough; NOBODY is arguing that any of the desired deadline moves instantly make the Twins a strong WS contender. Let that go. The Twins should be copying a sinking team at the deadline? What? MN won the division because they stood pat? The bullpen being one of the worst in baseball in the 2nd half is a positive now? We're spiraling here....
  9. KirbyDome89
    This isn't a difficult concept. Adding a solid guy to the middle of the pen pushes the back end fodder further down or out. Instead of Dylan Floro imploding in the 6th innings of a tight game, you've got a better option. Whatever hypothetical win total that deadline addition is worth over 60 games is pretty much irrelevant. You're adding that piece to strengthen the bridge from starter to Duran in October. Is everybody else "upset," or are you defending a rather indefensible position?
  10. KirbyDome89
    Or it proves the calculations are flawed, or at minimum lacking context.
  11. KirbyDome89
    The Twins will play 2x more games against low quality divisional opponents than a team like Seattle. That number jumps for the Jays in the East. Again, I don't see how that's only a slight advantage. Do you think MN would be tracking towards a mid 80s win total in the East or West?
  12. KirbyDome89
    4 of the 5 worst records in the AL reside in the Central Division. The Twins will be the only team to finish above .500 in that god awful division, and they're currently 4.5 games out of the last WC spot. Idk how anybody can argue that they haven't had a massive advantage this season.
  13. KirbyDome89
    They're on pace to win 84-85 games, which is pretty much where most people had them. The only reason they're going to hit that modest number of wins is because they've been blessed with one of the worst divisions of all time, and subsequently one of the easiest schedules in baseball. This club isn't outperforming expectations. In what world is a mid tier RP and/or a RH outfield bat pushing all your chips in?
  14. KirbyDome89
    You honestly don't believe they could've done better than anybody 4-8, or Jax at times, or even matched Theilbar's talent level? Seriously? So just don't attempt to get better because there's a chance you won't? That's some massively flawed logic. Cano wasn't a prospect, he was 28 with absolutely no Major League success. He was literally a throw in for Lopez. If you think you're getting established talent back (they did,) you trade guys like Cano 100/100 times. I have no clue why you'd be worried about DFA candidates if the farm system is thin. There were plenty of better options available, and they didn't cost much. Brooks Lee for a 2 month bullpen rental? What is this nonsense?
  15. KirbyDome89
    Holy rose-tinted glasses..... Talented pen? They're 24th in baseball by FIP since the AS break. Floro, Headrick, and Winder are all last guy types. Funderburk has thrown 6 Major League innings. Six. Is Varland going to stop giving up HRs? That's your 5-9 right now. Pagan sucks in high leverage, and with men on base. He has a FIP near 4 over the last month+ since moving up in the pecking order. Jax has been up and down all year, and Duran has looked pretty human in the 2nd half too. Keuchel isn't even worth mentioning. There was zero reason not to get a solid middle inning arm (or two) at the deadline. None. We're latching onto Varland, or a Paddack post TJ September audition because half of the pen is literally unusable in a postseason game right now. The bullpen was poorly constructed from the jump. Starting pitching going deep into games mitigated or hid that deficiency for quite a while, but the secret is out at this point.
  16. KirbyDome89
    Overall they aren't though. It's an incredibly SSS. Julien has been a part time 2B since Polanco came back, so yeah, "since July...." sounds a lot better than "3 weeks," which is roughly the number of starter innings he has been in the field over that period of time. Do they? You just listed 3 guys (also Plouffe was not a developmental success on the defensive side) that span nearly 60 years. At some point the exceptions prove the rule right? I would trade some defense for offense in this lineup too.
  17. KirbyDome89
    Yep, they're in a good spot, and it's 100% because of this awful ****ing division somehow became even worse. Cleveland is writing the same article last year though, no? Kwan, Gimenez, Josh Naylor, the pitching, yada yada the future is now! Idk why we need to go over the top with so much of this.... No, the Twins didn't run away with anything this season. Games remaining + Cleveland's August slide did most of the heavy lifting, but congrats on losing the season series to the Guardians by only one game I guess. Hell, the Twins wouldn't even be a post expansion WC team right now despite the massive divisional/schedule advantage. MN imploded each of the last two seasons (while trying to win) and missed the playoffs, but we're touting sustainability? Seriously? We're patting the FO on the back for fulfilling that "vision," and talking about dynasties? C'mon..... Remember when "crushing it," became a meme? I do.....
  18. KirbyDome89
    To what extent? Can he be an everyday 2B? That's the real question. Is moving from unplayably awful to just bad enough of an improvement to hand him 2B over the course of a full season? Obviously the amount of pain you're willing to tolerate defensively is tied to his hitting when we're talking about playing time, but the data you're referencing (Idk how much stock you're willing to put into defensive metrics) isn't good, or even ok. Younger players don't look as bad defensively breaking into the majors unless they're actually that bad. The learning curve defensively isn't close to what they face on the hitting side of things. You don't see IF prospects come up and not be able to handle routine plays the same way you might see guys struggle at the plate.
  19. KirbyDome89
    Ok, so if the Twins just play .500 baseball, Cleveland has to go 15-7 after taking the next two against MN right? That's a lot to ask of a team that has consistently played slightly sub .500 baseball all year.
  20. KirbyDome89
    Exceptions prove the rule right? Of course there is still a way for the Twins to bungle this on their own end, but they haven't run into any prolonged slides (good or bad) all year despite being a rather underwhelming team. Cleveland could also get insanely hot, but they've been middling at best for 140 games, Idk why now of all times we'd expect them to turn it on.
  21. KirbyDome89
    Yeah, no. They needed a sweep. Going 2-1 vs MN still puts them 4 games back with 22 to play, that's life support territory. In either scenario it would also take an all time collapse by the Twins, against the likes of Chicago, Oakland, Anaheim, and Colorado no less, for Cleveland to end up on top of the ALC.
  22. KirbyDome89
    That MVP stretch was 13ish games in April where he hit 7 HRs. He's at nearly 300 PAs since then, and like you said, it has been really bad. Idk if perception is really being skewed here. Maybe we need to define "grossly."
  23. KirbyDome89
    Perhaps not to the same extent, but clearly, if you're going to argue that Gallo is an average or better offensive player, the bolded is questionable at best. Look, I understand what these stats are trying to measure. I just disagree that wRC+ best encapsulates Arraez's specific offensive impact. I'm picking on your Gallo example here, but IMO it highlights the point I'm making. At the risk of this turning into another Gallo thread, I'll say my piece and be done with it. I think he's been miserable because he has been. I've watched him be an absolute black hole in the lineup for the last 4 months. I didn't mention his average once (although yes, it's putrid) he has a sub .300 OBP (which is awful) despite the BBs, he's striking out in nearly 50% of his ABs, and even by more traditional slugging metrics he's well below average at what's supposed to be his "strength." There's nothing about who he has been for a vast, and I mean vast, majority of the season that is even close to an average offensive player. It's odd to me that you can accept the fact that other stats fall short of telling the whole story, but you think wRC+ is immune.
  24. KirbyDome89
    Pointing at Gallo's wRC+ is just circular logic. We know he's not close to being an average offensive contributor. We know that because we've watched him for the last 4 months, so isn't it also possible that wRC+ has its own limitations? If it's capable of telling us that a miserable offensive player like Gallo is slightly above average, is it not also capable of undervaluing other players?
  25. KirbyDome89
    I never said it was evil, I said I don't like it. Matt Moore isn't some fringe guy that hasn't been able to carve out an active roster spot, or a veteran player on the decline. Dumping legit MLB players on the waiver wire to save yourself from paying out the final month of contracts feels exploitative. YMMV but I'd be annoyed if teams chasing me were getting handouts. Some team, for the same cost as a ST flier, is going to scoop him, and potentially use him in a postseason game. If the Twins get him it'll be high fives all around. If he's the lefty out of the pen that's shutting them down, I doubt many people will be thrilled with what the Angels did.
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