I'm sure it's worth more than my guessing. I know some have mentioned that it doesn't take into account the skill level of the pitcher or hitter, but I don't think any of the parties involved were far enough from average skew the numbers too badly I saw somewhere in the thread that the odds of scoring exactly two runs went up by bunting, but that still means they have to outscore the Jays while having one less time at bat, and as a result the win probability dropped after the successful bunt (FWIW, also probably not much). The main problem was being down two going to the 9th, which means no strategy is particularly likely to be successful. It would be nice to maximize the possibility, but the differences between the strategies are miniscule compared to the differences of allowing that lead in the first place. The real cure - pitch better and hit better.