howeda7
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Everything posted by howeda7
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Game Score: White Sox 11, Twins 1
howeda7 replied to Nate Palmer's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Since June 8th, he's batting .175 with a .442 OPS (and has 3 errors.) I don't see how it could possibly make them worse to play Polanco with Arreaz or Gordon.- 25 replies
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- beau burrows
- miguel sano
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In Defense of the Twins Front Office
howeda7 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
They already have the "we need some vets to keep us from embarrassing ourselves" cards played in trading for Gant and inexplicably keeping Pineda. This call up is ridiculous, especially with the young lefty dealing in St. Paul. -
In Defense of the Twins Front Office
howeda7 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I won't be outraged when they're back next year, but I've seen enough. They may be able to get the Twins back to play-off contention, but they'll never contend for a World Series with this front office. They proved that when they did nothing at the deadline in 2019. There are a lot of problems with the moves made last winter. I can forgive Happ and even Colome because both were worse than anyone could have expected. There's zero excuse for losing Wade and Badoo for the sake of Jake Cave, etc. But let's focus on what they're doing now. Continuing to run Simmons and Jake Cave out on a regular basis is maddening. Why is either one on the team? And they finally end the Burrow experiment, but who do they call up? A 35 year-old waiver claim. What is the fascination with garbage heap waiver claims. Call up some of the young arms already. Ugh. -
Game Score: White Sox 11, Twins 1
howeda7 replied to Nate Palmer's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I feel sorry for anyone who spent $ on on tickets to this, only to have the team forfeight before the 1st pitch. Get Burrows, Simmons and Cave off this team. They have zero chance of being contributors in 2022. And for God's sake, IL Donladson already and get Miranda up here.- 25 replies
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- beau burrows
- miguel sano
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NIck Gordon Sent to AAA - Is He a Long Term Player?
howeda7 commented on LA Vikes Fan's blog entry in LA Vikes Fan
Keeping Simmons on this roster and sending Gordon down makes zero sense. None. -
Twins Acquire RHP John Gant for J.A. Happ
howeda7 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Supposedly Brad Hand was very interested in coming home this off-season. We chose Colome instead. Sigh.- 67 replies
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- 2021 trade deadline
- ja happ
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Twins Acquire RHP John Gant for J.A. Happ
howeda7 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This is like leaving your sofa on the curb and still having someone give you $100 for it. Unless it's counterfeit and the cops are in hot pursuit around the corner. I assume the "cash considerations" - the Twins paid his entire remaining salary. Still a good trade.- 67 replies
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- 2021 trade deadline
- ja happ
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Twins Acquire RHP John Gant for J.A. Happ
howeda7 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
They're nowhere near that strategic.- 67 replies
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- 2021 trade deadline
- ja happ
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José Berríos Traded to Blue Jays
howeda7 replied to Matthew Taylor's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Except we'll trade Kiriloff, Larnach and Belazovich in 2025 to save $ and get prospects for "the future."- 304 replies
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- 2021 trade deadline
- jose berrios
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Trade Deadline: GM For A Day
howeda7 replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Trade:: Pineda, Robles and Thielbar. Do what it takes to trade Donaldson and Sano (throw in some $ this year for the salary relief next year.) Cut: Happ and Simmons. Extensions: Berrios 5/$110. Buxton 5/$100 w $5m/year in incentives. FA signings: Scherzer 2/$60. Eddie Escobar 2/$30. Relievers TBD $15 m Fire: Rocco- 66 replies
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- andrelton simmons
- michael pineda
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Because even if they got to or above $20 million/year with incentives, he's not taking a contract that is 70% incentives. There are almost no comparable contracts structured that way for a prominent player. The player's union would frown upon it big time. $25 m per year with incentives is fair. They need to increase the guaranteed portion to at least $15-20 million/year. The ratio has to be at least 60-80% guaranteed and 20-40% incentives. Not the other way around.
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We should have two rotation spots open soon (Pineda and Happ.) Sounds like one of them is going to Tokyo though.
- 100 replies
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- drew stotman
- nelson cruz
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I'm not in favor of trading anyone who can help in 2022, with the exception of Sano, Donaldson, who's $ can be spent elsewhere, and possibly Duffy. I agree this team is already drawing flies and has TV distribution issues. Trading Berrios/Buxton and waving the white flag on 2022 (which might occur after a lock-out) and you may lose a huge chunk of fans you never get back. They need to move the obvious pieces. Cruz, Pineda, Simmons and Robles and reload for next year.
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- derek falvey
- thad levine
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Game Recap: White Sox 7, Twins 6
howeda7 replied to Nate Palmer's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Brutal loss. Maeda totally wet the bed. Unacceptable performance from a veteran. -
I disagree that it's a "bad" middle infield. I feel like we adopted this narrative retroactively to justify signing Simmons. And he's been good but not great in the field and is awful at the plate. Polanco is adequate at SS. Yes he made a bad error in the play-offs. The FA market for starters this year is pretty deep. I doubt all of the top ones are getting $30M. Especially with some teams in a financial squeeze and the uncertain labor situation. As for what happens when we get to the play-offs, who knows. Getting back there is step 1. The White Sox progression may not be linear. Teams sometimes take a step back. I am taking into consideration increases for Buxton/Berrios, and others. But after 2022, Sano comes off the books. After 23 Donaldson does. Eventually, someone like Kepler/Polanco may be trade candidates etc. The 2023 payroll could be pushed near/above $150 million. That is high but not really that unreasonable. After Donaldson comes off the books it would be back in the $135-140 range.
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It’s Time to Pay Byron Buxton
howeda7 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
There are some here saying we should only offer him a 3 -year massively incentive laden deal. You seem to think he can get 10/$300 from the Yankees. I think reality is in the middle but closer to the lower end. He's injury prone, his best asset is his speed and he's approaching 30. I don't think anyone's giving him a "best player in the game" level contract or one that goes past his age 34 season in December 2022. If that's what he's holding out for, I guess we let him play out the string and trade him next July if we're not in the play-off race. But I don't know that a legit 5 year offer has been made by the Twins. It sounds more like 3 year offers with multiple team options is what they've offered so far. If so, they need to step up and put their best offer out there. -
I am hoping/assuming they can find someone to take Sano off their hands either now or in the off-season. Hence, $50 million to spend. They can allot $20-25 million to a top-end starter. Another $10-12 to bringing back Pineda or getting someone similar. That leaves $15-20 million for the bullpen and a DH. I don't see a need to break the bank for a DH. Perhaps bringing back someone like Eddie R for $8 million or so and rotating Kepler/Larnach/Garver etc. through the DH spot. I am fine with Polanco at SS and Arreaz and 2B. The biggest worry would be the bullpen, IMO.
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It’s Time to Pay Byron Buxton
howeda7 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Because most players choose to sign long-term deals instead of going year-to-year. Bauer is the exception. Currently, Buxton's market value is somewhere in the 5/100 ballpark. Sure, he could play for $10 million in arbitration next year instead of say $16 million on an extension. And then maybe get $25 million on a one year deal for 2023. He'd be no better off in total for the two years. And is he going to continue getting $25-$30 million on 2024, 2025, 2026? Not if he doesn't stay healthy. Not if he loses a step or two and becomes a corner OF'er. Twins extension: Year-to-Year: 2022: $16 2022: $10 arbitration 2023: $18 2023: $25 ---------------Turns 30--------------------- 2024: $20 2024: $25 2025: $22 2025: $20 2026: $24 2025: $20 The same total value. He takes on all the risk going year to year. Could he get more? Maybe. Could he get far less? Quite possibly. Another option is giving him an opt-out after say the 3rd year. If he's stayed healthy and thinks he can do better, he can opt out. -
It’s Time to Pay Byron Buxton
howeda7 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
How often do we sign big external FA's? They often don't want to come here. Donaldson was a notable exception. It's easier/wiser to spend $ locking up your own top players than trying to lure them here. I'd rather over-pay Berrios than over-pay whoever the 2023 FA version of Dallas Kuchel is. -
It’s Time to Pay Byron Buxton
howeda7 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
8 months of health, even if it happens isn't going to erase his injury history from anyone's memory. And realistically, he's not going to sustain the offensive #'s he has to this point over a full season. No one could. Plus, his biggest asset is still his speed. That has already peaked and will inevitably decline going forward. His emerging power #'s offset that somewhat, but not completely. So no, I don't think any team, not even the Yankees or Dodgers, will offer him more than 5 years max. His incentive to sign now is that he could very well get hurt again next year and miss significant time again. If that happens, even a 5 year deal probably won't be in the offering. 5/$100 with another $5 million/year in incentives for plate appearances is very fair. Perhaps a 6th year option for say $26 million with a $5 million buyout if a little more is needed. If he stays healthy, it ends up a 6-year $156 million contract if he hits all the incentives. If he doesn't stay healthy, it's still 5/$105 in guaranteed money. That's hardly a huge discount. -
It’s Time to Pay Byron Buxton
howeda7 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Because even if he comes back in August and stay healthy for a full season, he's not getting and 8 or 10 year contract. Stop it. 5/100 is likely fair or slightly above what he would get in FA. Especially if it's bumped to $125 with incentives. -
It’s Time to Pay Byron Buxton
howeda7 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I can't see him signing for less than 4 or 5 years. And trading won't bring the great haul everyone hopes for. After 2023 they have no one to spend big $ on. -
Game Recap: Cleveland 4, Twins 1
howeda7 replied to Matthew Taylor's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'd take Larnach too, but I don't see that as a binary choice. As long as you're not over-paying him, I don't see how he leads to "mediocrity or failure". They tried to trade him. There was no interest.

