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2wins87

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Everything posted by 2wins87

  1. 2wins87
    Scherff (from Boston for Robles) has been good too and is younger than both. Sisk has a lefty sidearm delivery. That kind of thing can often be funky enough to be tough on major league hitters as well.
  2. 2wins87
    Celestino was called up after just a month at AA last year. He wasn't nearly ready, and he only got at bats like every 3rd or 4th day when he was up last year. It was not a good way for a 22 year old to learn to adjust to MLB pitching. You have to consider the context before making judgements on the young guys. He actually adjusted incredibly quickly considering his situation. I think they planned for him to still be getting seasoning in AAA this season too but at this point he's become a necessity for the roster and he doesn't seem to have any need for AAA either. I think he's here to stay unless they somehow really need a roster spot, which doesn't seem likely anytime soon.
  3. 2wins87
    He pitched on Tuesday. Probably again next Tuesday.
  4. 2wins87
    Wallner has been so streaky, I don't know what to think of him. I have a hard time believing the success will translate to the majors with a K rate consistently above 35%. When he's on he just produces though.
  5. 2wins87
    Isola is in AA and could be in the mix next year. I'm not saying 3rd catcher is their ceiling, but realistically it is the most likely outcome. It's not meant as a slight, even in a deep system the most realistic outcome for anyone outside the top 20 is some kind role player probably doing a lot of shuttling between AAA. I think looking at prospect lists from 2013 or 2014 can set a good baseline. I actually think that the Twins' best catching prospects have tended to be underrated lately, and there are some interesting guys in the system right now, but I wouldn't be ready to put any of them in my top 30 right now.
  6. 2wins87
    I don't think I'd describe Rodriguez as an aggressive hitter. He's always been willing to take walks, including in the complex last year. He's had some swing and miss in his game, but he's cut down on that pretty nicely this year. I'm going to watch for him to continue to keep his K rate under 30% this year, and hopefully make a little further improvement in the future.
  7. 2wins87
    Noah Miller has really heated up lately after a bit of a cold start. I hope he can keep it up, what little I've seen of his defense looks really great for someone at his stage of development.
  8. 2wins87
    I mean, I'd be much more confident in the defense with Urshela/Correa/Polanco/whoever, but I am excited to watch the young guys play.
  9. 2wins87
    I buy this narrative somewhat too, though the difference between the % of lefties faced by Jeffers and Garver last year was less than I expected when I looked it up. 34% for Jeffers vs 43% for Garver. Then again, when Garver was out Jeffers was probably seeing nearly every lefty possible, and his OPS was over .800 in June and July last year. He also had an OPS over .800 in September 2020 when Garver also missed a bunch of time. Whether it was being hampered by not seeing many lefties or just not seeing regular enough at bats, I don't think it could be entirely a coincidence that Jeffers has always been good when he's had the starting catching duties. Probably those splits are a little bit fluky, but I think they also show that yes, Jeffers is a really good starting catcher.
  10. 2wins87
    It's a good question. The best prospects Isola, Camargo, Mack, all seem more likely to be 3rd catcher types. Maybe they could surprise, but I think getting a veteran backup will probably be a priority in the coming offseasons.
  11. 2wins87
    Lewis has been looking fantastic at AAA. I'm cautiously optimistic that he'll step in and help the Twins win some games right away. Big test of the depth now early with Miranda and Lewis filling in full time roles and Winder getting pushed into the rotation. If they manage to keep winning over this stretch we will have to feel good about the way the team is built.
  12. 2wins87
    He was supposedly finalizing a deal with an independent league team last week. Of course every team will be attending his starts once he starts pitching but I'd be pretty surprised if the Twins had a ton of interest in him compared to other teams. So far college pitching appears to be this front office's least likely type when it comes to first round picks.
  13. 2wins87
    Sounds like he was sitting around 93 in this start. He is old for the level, but I think we should have learned from guys like Ober, Winder, and maybe Varland next not to sleep on their mid-round college pitching picks. He's probably top of the list for a promotion. If he's made some refinements and is able to carry his success into AA then sure, he could be a GUY.
  14. 2wins87
    The AJ trade tree is pretty great too, including Eduardo Escobar and Jhoan Duran. Maybe the Cruz trade gets there some day but its not there yet.
  15. 2wins87
    While technically a trade, it was really just a rule-5 pick in spirit. I don't remember the specifics of why they did it that way, but the Twins wanted Santana and the Marlins wanted Camp. Terry Ryan just decided to get weird with it.
  16. 2wins87
    I wasn't sure what Wes Johnson & co. could do in such a short time for a guy coming over literally on opening day. That fastball heatmap for Paddack though... I'm sure the Padres didn't want him throwing it down the middle, and they must have been aware, right? I'm sure there's a difference between saying "Hey, don't throw your fastball down the middle!" and saying "Here's what we're going to do mechanically or mentally or whatever to keep your fastball up and out of the middle of the zone..." and I guess that's why Wes Johnson is so well regarded. Still kind of wild though.
  17. 2wins87
    Garver has a lot of power, that's a fact. I don't think we need to go back to 2018 before his breakout or slight his production since 2019 which has involved a couple slow starts and an injury to make the case for Jeffers. Jeffers has a lot of power too, though he has had a bit more swing and miss to his game which has limited the average and the ability to get to his power more. But, I would agree that Jeffers is closer to Garver than most probably have realized. When given the primary catching duties last year and starting out this year, he's been a lot more consistent at the plate. He was around an .800 OPS in Garver's absense last year and is now around .760 while offense is down overall. Given the relative age, cost, and defense, it really was a no brainer which guy to keep and which to shop. Garver has had some slow starts so I do think his batting numbers will look quite good by the end of the season. But I also think Jeffers won't be too far behind if he's able to get consistent at bats and see a slightly higher ratio of left handed pitchers.
  18. 2wins87
    I think he was in the mid 20's or late teens prior to the 2019 season. He was a lot like Bailey Ober a couple years later. Tall guy with good control for his size, getting deception from his height and putting up better numbers than the raw stuff would suggest. He missed all of 2019 after a Tommy John surgery and and I'm not even sure if he pitched at the alternate site in 2020, so he was just a big question mark coming into 2021 when the Orioles took him in the rule-5. His pitch location seemed really good last night, and I'm guessing it's not always quite so sharp. He was getting ahead painting fastballs in the top corners of the zone. When he missed, I don't think he missed in the zone so the Twins hitters didn't see too many good pitches to drive.
  19. 2wins87
    Maybe a better team gets a few more timely hits or timely outs against us, but it wasn't a better team, it was the Orioles, and the Twins did what they needed to get the first W in a series where they should get at least 3 of 4. After a couple early bullpen implosions I was pretty ready to criticize Rocco, but it hasn't taken him long to get Duran into big situations, and he seems to be trying to work Duffey and Thielbar back in slowly with the hopes they regain their stuff. I wonder if the bullpen hierarchy will just be much flatter going forward. I think Duran, Pagan, and Smith are the highest leverage guys right now, and I'm hopeful that Thielbar will work his way back, but we might just see whoever's arm is the freshest going in the close middle innings and medium leverage late innings. After Duran and Smith, I don't know that I really trust anyone a whole lot right now, but I think they will mostly get it done in one or two inning stints not pitching back-to-back days. The bullpen will probably continue to be this team's weak spot but I don't think it'll be a liability.
  20. 2wins87
    Miranda had a lot of big moments last year obviously. The 3-HR game in his first AAA game...on his birthday. I also remember a big 9th inning, 2-out, 2-run game-tying HR in Wichita (absolutely crushed). If I remember the game correctly they later walked-off in extras on a Gilberto Celestino homer. Another good note, his 2019 promotion to AA was for the final game of the season, basically just to get him onto the playoff roster in AA rather than A+. He then actually went on quite a tear in the playoffs, despite it being his first taste of AA.
  21. 2wins87
    Probably nothing, but kind of interesting that he'll get his first career start against former Twins' prospect Tyler Wells. I wonder if he crushed against him in the Covid instructional league in 2020. Not that it would necessarily mean much two years removed, but still makes me wonder.
  22. 2wins87
    Thielbar's command has been bad, but he's actually throwing harder than ever. Hopefully he can get better control over his new velocity soon. If he does I think he'll be good again. He has actually still been missing bats and getting mostly weak contact. Duffey, on the other hand, has continued giving up hard contact all over the place, including today. I'm pretty concerned about him, and I'm also afraid he's going to get a longer leash and more high leverage opportunities because of his history of being good for Baldelli.
  23. 2wins87
    This team looks good. Probably better over the last week and a half since some point in 2019. The pitching pipeline is here. We've talked about it for a couple years now, and a lot of people said "I'll believe it when I see it." We've seen a good chunk of it now. Winder, Ober, Duran, Ryan (though only part of our pipeline for a few months). Still early for Winder but I think he's gaining confidence in his pitches and will be at least a solid starter for years to come. We're only a couple more pitchers making the transition away from having a mostly homegrown rotation and bullpen that is really good.
  24. 2wins87
    First career start tomorrow!
  25. 2wins87
    Jeffers is a much better defender at a much more important position than Garlick. But of course we can always just play Sanchez and Jhon Romero behind the dish. That will go great.
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