chpettit19
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Everything posted by chpettit19
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Since his blowup games April 16 and 18 (a month and a half ago) he has 19 appearances for 18 innings. ERA of 1.50. 31 Ks. FIP of 0.86. I think it's time to give up your "Jax is struggling!" crusade. He's back to being one of the most dominant relievers in baseball.
- 43 replies
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- chris paddack
- matt wallner
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Are we now complaining about Brooks Lee getting an off day? The guy with a .613 OPS? 71 OPS+? .541 OPS and .219 BA for the month of May? I assume you weren't upset with Jonah Bride or Christian Vazquez being on the bench, so the only other option left with Buxton today was Lee. That's our big complaint for the day? The guy who isn't hitting well sat for another guy who isn't hitting well in the 9 hole?
- 43 replies
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- chris paddack
- matt wallner
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There isn't a realistic deal to be made for Skenes. By any team.
- 31 replies
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- paul skenes
- walker jenkins
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Interesting! 30 days is real aggressive. I'm going to take my sweet time and use the whole summer. Well, at least most of it. Will definitely be sharing my adventures! Will probably start by looking for opinions and ideas on the best foods to try or must sees in each park from folks around here who've already been to different places. Will also put together a bit of a checklist to keep track of certain things at each park to compare them all and will get some input from the TD gang on what they would find interesting for that, too. Then I'll report back as I go.
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You're only middle aged once! Also going to hit up the World Baseball Classic (that's why I chose next year) and some Spring Training games. Should be a nice little summer of baseball. And, technically, it'll only be 29 MLB stadiums because of those other disdainful owners out in California (soon to be, but not yet, Las Vegas). Really putting a damper on my plans.
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I can enjoy this team without giving the Pohlads any of my money (or at least very little, indirectly). It doesn't have to be one or the other. I don't have to go to Target Field to enjoy the team. I am enjoying the team without paying the Pohlads a dime. It's a lovely situation for me. I know it's not possible for everyone, but it is for me so that's how I'm doing things. I'm able to stream the team without paying for it and I had no problem canceling my season tickets and not attending games in person. I can enjoy the team from my local drinking establishment, a boat, the softball fields, walking my dog, or my couch just fine. I don't think anybody needs to fan the way anybody else fans. Go to games if you want to go to games. Pay for Twins.tv if you want to pay for Twins.tv. Listen on the radio if you want to listen on the radio. Don't watch or listen to a single pitch if you don't want to watch or listen to a single pitch. The Twins make decisions and we get to make our own decisions. They made a business decision after 2023 and I've made mine. They right-sized and I've right-sized. I couldn't care less what anyone else thinks about how I choose to spend my money or not spend my money. How I choose to be a fan is my business. I'm not hurting anyone and I'm enjoying the team plenty. I don't need to enjoy the team in the same fashion anyone else enjoys the team. I don't need to buy a jersey or go to games just like some people don't enjoy reading articles online and discussing the team on forums. We do and it's why we're all on TD doing it. Some of us enjoy talking about the decisions ownership makes. Some of us enjoy talking about the decisions the front office makes. Or Rocco makes. Or other teams make. Or swing mechanics. Or base running. Or fielding. Or any number of things. Be a fan however you want to be a fan and let everyone else be a fan how they want to be a fan. It's nobody's business how I enjoy the Twins. I'll fan how I want to fan. It's not my job to help them sell the team. And if they never sell it it's not my responsibility to ever pay them a dime to own the team. They'll get a little of my money next season (if they still own the team) when I go to all 30 parks in a season. It's a trip I've wanted to do for a while and my thoughts or feelings on the Pohlads won't stop me from doing that. But I don't need to go to Target Field more than that to enjoy the Twins. If they end up owning the team for the foreseeable future and earn my business back I'll return to Target Field more frequently. I'll get season tickets again. A month of winning games after a month of losing games doesn't a "contender" make. (I don't know what "contending with conviction" means, but they weren't even limping through the central for the first month of the season). An offseason of not slashing payroll, but also not adding any real talent doesn't make up for an offseason of slashing payroll after winning your first playoff series in 2 decades. They've made their choices. They've run their business poorly and they're paying for it. It's not my job to bail them out. But they have a fair chance to earn my business back. They haven't done it yet. But I can still enjoy the team by watching the games on my TV, computer, or phone. I don't have to be at Target Field to do that. You're welcome to enjoy them that way, though, if it's how you choose to enjoy them.
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Interesting argument here as you make the argument both for and then against metrics once you get to the bottom and start claiming you have any meaningful metrics available for Mickey Gasper behind the plate. His 15% caught stealing percentage (according to b-ref) is not "adequate," and is mostly about the pitcher. 15% in the majors would put him in the 33rd percentile. What are his wild pitch metrics? You've provided passed ball numbers, but not wild pitch. The expectation for major league catchers is that they can block pitches and prevent wild pitches. I didn't even know Mickey Gasper existed 6 months ago. I have nothing against him. I've hoped he was a possible answer behind the plate since the day I found out he was a real life human and he was a new member of the Twins organization. I've wished he was the answer to finally getting rid of Vazquez since the day they made that trade. I have 0 bias against him. In fact, if I had any it would've been towards to positive like for every other Twins player/prospect that you call me out for being too positive on. When I disagree with you too positively I'm drinking the TD koolaid and turning them into superstars unrealistically but when I disagree with you negatively I'm "strongly personally biased" against that player? Or am I just "strongly personally biased" against you when I don't agree with you? The bias I have for Gasper is I wish he'd take Vazquez's spot. But I don't think he can. My bias towards Gasper is the opposite of the bias you're claiming I have. I want him to be good. I've wanted him to be worthy of being the backup since the trade. I didn't even know it was him catching the first game I watched until about the 3rd inning. I'm sorry I don't think he's good. Feel free to actually watch him some time and form your own opinion instead of going off the insanely limited "metrics" you can dig up. But it's all a balance. Especially when it comes to the defensive metrics. It's a mix of "eye test" and metrics. The computers are better at measuring some things than others. Defensive "stats" and metrics are WAY behind the offensive side of things. Pitching is in the middle. But no team does, or should, use just numbers or just their scout's eyes. They all find a balance. Then they cross check. They see what their numbers say and what their scouts say and see if they match up and discuss why they might not match if they don't.
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My guess would be Monday in Tampa after the Royals and their lefties leave town. He sure looks ready, though. And McCusker sitting on the bench never playing in Minneapolis isn't helping him at all anyways so may as well switch them for today's games, if you ask me.
- 30 replies
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- david festa
- travis adams
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Christian Vazquez started 3 straight games over the weekend and 4 of the last 5 games. Only game he didn't start was the one McCusker did start against the lefty that promptly got suspended after 3 innings. Anytime you're starting both of your catchers in 4 of 5 games there is plenty of room in your lineup. (I will note that McCusker was still in AAA for the first 2 of those Vazquez starts)
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Lefty on the mound tonight has paved the way for his first MLB start. Nobody knows what he'll be, but it'll be fun finding out. Hopefully he sends a few into orbit along the way. The odds are against every player who ever picks up a bat, ball, or glove. Carson has made real adjustments in the upper minors and that gives him a chance. To my knowledge, there's never been a player who's proven they can hit MLB pitching while facing AAA pitching. Only way anyone ever proves they can hit MLB pitching is by facing MLB pitching. McCusker is going to get his chance. It's all anyone can ever ask for. He's earned it. Now he needs to earn the chance to stick around for a while.
- 41 replies
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- carson mccusker
- aaron judge
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Aaron Judge is going to be hoping to be Carson McCusker v2.0 by the end of 2025.
- 41 replies
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- carson mccusker
- aaron judge
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A reliever that can only throw 1 inning and can't be used on back to back days doesn't have a career. No MLB team would ever even consider tying themselves to such strict use of any reliever, ever. It's an outrageous idea that ignores the reality of managing a major league team. Either you're good enough that a team would never consider not using you in back to back close games, or (like Alcala) you're not good enough to have your specific ideal conditions being taken into consideration over the top arms in the pen. As you point out, Alcala is no 22 year old rookie trying to figure things out. He's been given tons of chances in tons of situations. He has some very real talent, but hasn't been able to put it all together. Expecting a team to be able to cater to a reliever never being able to throw more than 1 inning or in back to back games is an expectation ignoring the realities of the unpredictability of a 162 game major league baseball season.
- 45 replies
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- zebby matthews
- royce lewis
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How many games of watching Julien at 2B did it take you to figure out he couldn't play the position at a major league level? I'm guessing it was less than 3. Being bad at 2B is less than ideal, but it's not like being bad at catcher. That's how obvious it is that Gasper can't catch at an MLB level. If any of these teams thought he was a legitimate option as a backup catcher he'd have been getting far more reps at catcher. I understand why you're interested in the possibility. My statements aren't "AAAA" related. Defensive skills are far easier to judge than whether or not a guy can hit at the MLB level. When people talk about as guy being "AAAA" they're talking about his bat. They didn't need to call Julien up to see if his glove would play in the majors, and they don't need to call Gasper up as the backup catcher to know if his glove will play. That isn't at all even remotely close to how it works when it comes to defense. You having never seen him play doesn't make my comments "especially on point" about him being "AAAA" because you can tell the difference between Andrelton Simmons at SS and Jorge Polanco at SS well before they reach the majors. Nobody is calling up a AAA player to see if their glove plays. If he can't block Andrew Morris' breaking ball you don't need to call him up to see if he can block Pablo Lopez's. If Vazquez or Jeffers goes down for 2 weeks, Gasper can serve as the call-up to catch a couple games until they're back. But as a legit, months or season long backup catcher he would be a disaster behind the plate.
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I've watched all 3 of his games behind the plate for the Saints. That's obviously not a lot, but it doesn't take long to see that he's not an MLB catcher. Which is the statement I made here. His arm is not strong. If you watched him play 2B you could see that. So, that shouldn't be a shocking statement to you. And he doesn't block the ball well. Maybe I saw his 3 worst games ever and hes actually much better than that, but the odds of that being true are pretty low. The odds are better that the guy with a .400 OBP (sorry, .395) in the minors who wasn't given any chance at all by his 2 previous teams to be a backup catcher in the bigs is probably not an MLB catcher. Because backup catchers who can get on base at any sort of decent clip are pretty sought after players. Yet two other teams decided to play him more at positions with significantly higher offensive expectations. But, you're probably right, hes probably pretty good behind the plate and all 3 of these teams are passing on an MLB worthy defender behind the plate in order to make the 5'10" non-slugger a first baseman instead.
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Be careful what you wish for with owners
chpettit19 commented on William Malone's blog entry in William Malone IV blogs about Twins
This will be my last comment because I've already provided you with these numbers but you're going to cherry pick out the last place team even though you claim you don't care about just 1 team. The AL east record last year: 410-390 You'll notice that is more wins than losses. The AL central record last year: 387-422 You'll now notice that is more losses than wins. Your prediction was wrong before you even made it because I've already provided you with these numbers. You are the one who can't back up any of the claims you're making without cherry picking out stats. If you're going to stick with your claim that you care about the entire division and not just certain teams that fit your narrative then the discussion is over and you can just admit you're wrong because one division was easily over .500 while the other was well under it. Thanks for playing. I'm done. Because, again, you don't actually care about the numbers on any of this. -
Be careful what you wish for with owners
chpettit19 commented on William Malone's blog entry in William Malone IV blogs about Twins
I did show my work a few comments up and you ignored it because you can't refute it with real number covering the entire divisions. But here's the simple numbers again: the central went 72-88 against the east. You can take Chicago out and the other 4 still went just 62-66. You can't show your work on anything. You were wrong about the new owner not spending in Baltimore. You have to take the 2 best teams in the east out and just show the Twins record against the 3 other teams to get them to be 1 game above .500 against that division. But not actually the division, just the "bad teams." I've provided numerous stats. This conversation is pointless because you don't actually care about the numbers on any of this. Have a good rest of your day. -
Mickey Gasper wasn't with St Paul through the first few weeks of the season so I have no idea what point you're trying to make with that statement. His first stint with them was 4 games. Now he's caught 3 games in his 10 games hes been back there at the same time as Julien who's taken the 2B reps he was getting in his first 4 game stint. They're getting him playing time. They don't have any catching prospects they care about at AAA so they plug him in there from time to time. Catching a game or 2 a week isn't exactly a strong indication that they're getting him ready to be their catcher. Have you ever watched him catch?
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Be careful what you wish for with owners
chpettit19 commented on William Malone's blog entry in William Malone IV blogs about Twins
I already gave you the numbers for those divisions last year. The last place team in that division had 74 wins. It not being as dominant as it usually is doesn't mean it was bad. The NL Central is the only division in baseball who's last place team had more wins than the last place team in the AL east last year. The NL west is the only other division that had two 90 win teams. There's a difference between being an down year for the expectations of that division and being a bad division.

