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chpettit19

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Everything posted by chpettit19

  1. chpettit19
    Lopez wouldn't be on short rest for game 5 so I'd fully expect him to start that game with no question. I'd start Ober game 1 and Ryan game 4, but will not at all be surprised if your setup is what actually happens.
  2. chpettit19
    You've said that he was "just standing there" on a few threads now. Have you actually gone and looked at the play? I'm not saying it's the greatest ever, but he certainly wasn't "being a little lazy." He was covering 2B which was his responsibility on that play. They were shifted as far right as they could be for the lefty hitter. He started the play behind 2B, took 2 immediate steps to his right then started going towards 2B to field any possible throw there. His responsibility was absolutely not to backup Jorge on that play. Other players would certainly have made that play. Not a large number, but there are other guys. But don't bash him for not backing up the play when that wasn't his responsibility. His responsibility was to cover 2B since Julien was deep in the hole at 2B.
  3. chpettit19
    How is range a "non-measurable talent?" It's actually quite easy to measure. How far can you get in a set amount of time? We're able to measure where a player was standing when the ball was hit, how hard the ball was hit, at what angle the ball was hit, what direction the ball was hit, how long it took the ball to get from the bat to any point on the field, and how far the player had to travel in that amount of time to get to the ball. Pretty easy to compare that all to other players and how much ground they're able to travel in the same amount of time. It's really simple math to calculate range. Now defensive stats are wildly untrustworthy in single season sample sizes at this point. They're all based on very different things, and learning how each is calculated is very important when deciding how trustworthy they are. But suggesting that we can't measure this stuff is simply false. We can measure them. The questions surround how to interpret the collected data and form it into a meaningful stat. They're improving on that side of things, but definitely aren't there yet. But range is incredibly easy to measure.
  4. chpettit19
    All the data says it is absolutely a thing. Hitters are pitched to differently in Colorado because the ball moves differently. There is a well studied drop in production (below their normal away from Coors performance) the first couple games after a team leaves Coors and readjusts to sea level. Should the Twins use that as an excuse for scoring 5 runs in 2 games? Not really. But the leaving Coors Field effect is absolutely a thing.
  5. chpettit19
    Would be nice to have one of these bats continue the dominant stretch Lewis, Martin, and Julien have the system on in the AFL. The pitching there is nothing to write home about, but the guys who truly dominate that league at the plate tend to be legit major leaguers in the near future. I don't mean just be good, but truly dominate. The Twins have had 3 guys do it recently, and 2 of them are massive catalysts for the current major league team, and many of us hope the 3rd guy opens 2024 on the major league roster. Keeping that trend going would be great.
  6. chpettit19
    It will be interesting to see Houston's roster for the series. Framber obviously gets game 1 or 2, but they also have 3 other lefties on their 40-man. Matt Gage only threw 6.2 major league innings this year. Parker Mushinski threw 14.2. And Bennett Sousa through 9. That's not an impressive amount of innings, but the Astros know the Twins tendencies, and I'd be shocked if they aren't carrying at least 1, if not 2, of those guys for the series. If you fear the lefties more than the righties in the Twins lineup (which I think everyone does), and you know you can very likely get at least 2 lefties out of the lineup anytime you want by putting in a lefty of your own, why wouldn't you carry them to be able to take advantage of the Twins being so predictable? Houston does have the starters to not have to worry about it a ton as they expect Framber and Verlander especially to be able to handle any lineup, but I'd think you'd carry a lefty or 2 in the pen just in case one of those guys struggles, or to be able to be more strategic with Javier/Brown/France in game 3. Starting a lefty opener in game 3 would be an interesting strategy as well for Houston.
  7. chpettit19
    Don't play games with this. Put your best pitchers out in the playoffs as often as possible. Worry about game 3, or game 1, when you have to. There's nothing set in stone that just because we all expect Ryan to start game 3 if it's needed that means he's the game 1 starter against Houston. Put your best option out there in each game and win series as quickly as you can. Anything can happen in any given game, you don't play with things, you just put your guys out there and advance as quickly as possible.
  8. chpettit19
    I think 8-10 years at 14-17 mil per year would be what I'd be offering him. Julio Rodriguez just got 12/210 that could be 17/470. His injuries and age mean he gets a little less than Rodriguez, but Rodriguez is getting 18 mil per through his age 33 season with a club option after his age 29 season. Locking up Royce for slightly less through his age 33-35 season would be a good deal for the Twins, and take the injury concerns out of his head.
  9. chpettit19
    Actually, if you watch the play Correa starts behind the second base bag while Julien starts in a strong pull position. Correa takes a couple steps to his right before going to cover second base like he was supposed to with a runner on first. He reacts to Polanco missing the ball when he should. Correa was not supposed to be backing up Polanco, and wasn't in position to do so at the start of the play.
  10. chpettit19
    Sorry the Twins care more about winning playoff games than meaningless regular season games. So heartless of them. Could you imagine an NFL team sitting their stars the last week when they have their playoff spot locked in?! They'd never! Oh wait, they do that all the time.
  11. chpettit19
    If Bill expected Rocco to go all out trying to win a meaningless game that's on Bill. Welcome to the world of professional sports, folks. Adjust your expectations now because you're going to be disappointed in every franchise ever if your expectation is that they go all out to win at all times.
  12. chpettit19
    Not after he threw 6+ innings on Sunday.
  13. chpettit19
    I think the Jays have an advantage in the top 4 in the lineup, but the Twins have the advantage 5-9. Bottom half of the order going to have to do some damage. Pitching feels pretty even. Should be a good series. Go Twins!
  14. chpettit19
    I don't see a huge need for the 2nd lefty in this series. Varsho had a .674 OPS this year. Kiermaier was .741. Biggio .710. Belt is their only legit lefty (.859 OPS). Are we really going to pull one of our late inning leverage arms for Funderburk just to face Belt? Most likely use of Funderburk is if Belt comes up with 2 outs in the 4th, 5th, or 6th innings. I don't think that's wildly valuable. Stephenson is a really nice postseason piece for sure. His legs will likely come into play at some point. Buxton is so tough. Horrible watching his body betray him like this.
  15. chpettit19
    Him, Paddack, or Funderburk would've been my 12th guy to not make the roster.
  16. chpettit19
    Nobody used more than 10 last year even though there were short starts and extra inning games. And the Brewers and Rays are the teams run most like the Twins in that they'll play to platoon advantages with their bats more. Thus carrying the extra hitter to be able to make more moves throughout the game. Texas has a pretty set lineup and they won't be doing a lot of pinch hitting.
  17. chpettit19
    That could be. I'd probably have carried Luplow then. Either way, I would've carried 15 bats and 11 arms.
  18. chpettit19
    Jays carrying 3 lefties. Kikuchi, Mayza, and Cabrera. Rocco going to have to be on top of his game.
  19. chpettit19
    I'd have carried Larnach over a 12th arm that has no chance of appearing in the series. Jays carrying 3 lefties that I assume they'll deploy early if there's any signs of struggles from their starters and get into the Twins bench. I think having an extra bat to be able to switch the platoon back in favor of the Twins late would be more useful than a 12th arm.
  20. chpettit19
    If you paid 80 bucks per seat to game 162 of the Rockies season when everyone knew they'd be bad and you were disappointed that you saw bad baseball in game 162 it's on you.
  21. chpettit19
    The deeper into the playoffs you get the better chance you have of competing with football on the weekends. If Fox is going to pay good money to air MLB playoff games instead of college football games on Saturday they'd very much prefer a divisional round than a wild card round. And games 162 that matter have a better chance of competing against football on Sunday than game 159 where there's still 3 games to go. I'd bet ESPN very much prefers baseball wild card on Tue-Thur with their full compliment of college football games on Saturday. The season was delayed last year so the playoffs were pushed back. Going off a schedule from the season they were coming out of a lockout maybe isn't the best comparison. People act like these corporations don't know what they're doing. Yes, it's all about the money, but the money comes from eyeballs, and they spend a little bit of time figuring out how to get the most eyeballs on their TVs/computers for these games.
  22. chpettit19
    I don't think many people would categorize me as an "average fan," but I love that the games are throughout the day so I don't have to flip back and forth and miss a bunch of one game or the other. I want to watch as much as possible. I appreciate that MLB gives me that chance. From MLB's perspective, they know most fans will find a way to watch their team if they really want to. The league is far too regionalized as is, and the postseason is the best time to market it to the national crowd. Yes, there are some people who won't be able to watch afternoon games. As some on these boards have mentioned, they'll record it and watch it commercial free later. Some fans have after work/school activities with their kids so they wouldn't be able to watch evening games. Some with young kids have bedtime routines that can take quite a while so they'd miss a large chunk of the night games. They can't hit everyone, but staggering the games gives them the chance to allow their fans to watch as many of the games as possible. I appreciate it as I'll turn the first game on and ride out the entire afternoon and evening with a game on. Much prefer that over only getting to really watch 1 or 2 of the games closely because they play all 4 at the same time or 2.
  23. chpettit19
    Them being the home team doesn't matter, the fact that their market is the farthest west does. "Get away with?" They're a multi-billion dollar organization. You don't think they've done a little research on how to get the most eyeballs on their product come playoff time? Maybe you can't find a way to watch certain games, but plenty of other people can. If they weren't able to fill the stadiums, or their ratings were way below where they want/need them, they wouldn't keep having games at those times. They've run the numbers, and they're doing what makes them the most money. Which means their advertisers, and the TV companies, also agree that the day games are the best idea. Plenty of people are still able to watch.
  24. chpettit19
    Depending on how they build their WC roster, I think this is a great strategy for them to try to deploy in a game. I wouldn't be surprised to see it at all. That's the problem with being so "copy/paste" with your strategies. I don't know how the Twins/Rocco would respond to seeing one of the lefties announced as a starter, but I really hope they've been discussing it, and are self-aware enough to know that's a really obvious strategy Toronto has to be at least considering since they know how the Twins can be rather dramatic with their pinch hitting moves. Will be fascinating to see. I expect to see 4 lefty arms on the Blue Jays roster tomorrow. Or at least 3. Either 4 lefties and 7 righties, or 3 lefties and 8 righties.
  25. chpettit19
    Heck of a game by Ober, and I wish they'd have lined him up to start game 3 (if needed) instead of Ryan. But I hope to see him in round 2! If Rocco would've used any of his playoff arms in the bottom of the 10th Falvey should've fired him before the first pitch of the inning. Why in the world would you take any extra risk at all in that position? That game meant literally nothing. It was a spring training game played in October. The idea of doing everything you can to win every single regular season game in baseball is an awful idea. Especially one you know is literally meaningless. Miami sat Arraez, Bell, Soler, and Chisholm yesterday. They threw Weathers, Brazoban, and Hoeing who have ERAs of 6.55, 4.14, and 5.48 yesterday. Weathers made 12 starts all year. At least 2 of those guys aren't going to make their WC roster, and it's quite possible none of them do. I'm glad the people running the Twins were smart enough to not be trying to win a road game in mile high in extra innings on October 1st when they have their first playoff game on October 3rd.
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