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mnfireman

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Everything posted by mnfireman

  1. mnfireman
    Gordon and Garlick provide enough RH OF bats, no need for him. Edit: My bad, Gordon bats LH......
  2. mnfireman
    Player's generally want the option to opt out of a contract to pursue either a bigger, longer contract or higher AAV. Correa's value is at its peak because of his age (28) and position (SS). In 4 or 5 years he will be "old" by MLB standards and ready for a positions change, both of which mean less $$$. He could have played out his contract in MN and not cost himself anything, unless he got hurt in year 3. He would be 30 years old and inline for another big payday, lets say 7 years, $245 MM. That would equate out to 10 years, $350.3 MM including the 3 year, $105.3 signed last year. I don't think he gets that much this year competing against Judge, Bogaerts, Swanson, Turner, Verlander, deGrom, etc...
  3. mnfireman
    Why don't the Twins just sign Drury and Haniger in hopes they provide 3.0 WAR each. They could then trade Kepler, Arraez, Gordon and Polanco for a SP and a starting C. Might have to make it a 3 team trade as I don't know if Oakland has any starting pitching ready to be a #2 or #3 immediately, but Murphy would be nice. This trade then makes room for Larnach, Kirilloff, Miranda, and Lewis immediately and opens spots for Martin and Lee if they are ready by August or September. Of course would still need to sign a short term SS or play Urshela there until Lewis is ready in late May or June. There is some sarcasm implied here, but probably not as much as should be. Martinez may experience a late career resurgence and turn into Nelson Cruz, but this team doesn't need bat only players who are on the backside of their careers.
  4. mnfireman
    No. Failing in SD was one thing, but it continued in Milwaukee. It actually got worse in Milwaukee.
  5. mnfireman
    A TD user, rwilfong86, stated several times after Lopez began struggling that he (Lopez) had personal issues going on at home, something with one of his children. Do not underestimate how much something like this could affect his performance, especially after being traded to a different team and being separated from family.
  6. mnfireman
    So a .291/.366/.467 130 OPS+ slash line is disappointing? 5.4 bWAR & 4.4 fWAR is disappointing? Among qualified SS (21) his AVG was 3rd, his OBP was 2nd, and his SLG was 2nd. He didn't grade out very high according to defensive metrics, and we can all read into those what we want.
  7. mnfireman
    Fulmer - maybe Rogers - no May - no Pagan pitched as well (???) as any of the 3 listed above and gets no love, his secondary/rate numbers are the best of the 3. He will get about $3.5M in arbitration, but he is from another organization (outsider). I am NOT saying Pagan is the answer, but his late season numbers (after accepting coaching??), salary and rate numbers say he is as good or better of an option than the 3 former Twins suggested.
  8. mnfireman
    In the games I was able to watch he looked unsure on which plays to make and which to let go on hits to his right, he didn't leave the base on bad throws on several occasions, leading to errors and extra bases and I saw him have issues with throws in the dirt. The first two issues can probably be addressed with coaching, but Arraez didn't show very soft hands as a 2B or 3B, so the third issue will probably continue.
  9. mnfireman
    Twins - 19 of 30 teams in earn runs, 19 of 30 in ERA. MLB average runs allowed 632, Twins 639. MLB average ERA 3.96, Twins ERA 3.98. Don't know where you got your info.
  10. mnfireman
    I think it will be interesting to see how SDI rankings will be affected by the elimination of the shift starting next year, or does SDI already take that into account? I will admit to being surprised by Arraez's ranking, he looked very below average to me in the 2 dozen or so games I was able to watch.
  11. mnfireman
    Bogaerts and Correa. Turner is represented by CAA.
  12. mnfireman
    The Dodgers have enough money coming off the books to chase quite a few top FA's; Price $16M (Red Sox paid the $16M), Kimbrel $16M, T. Anderson $8M, T. Turner $21M, and Kershaw $17M. J. Turner and Muncy will probably be bought out, saving $25.5M. I don't think it will happen, but they could also not offer Bellinger arbitration, saving at least $17M. Looks like room to re-sign Kershaw and T. Turner, and sign Correa, Judge and Rodon. Not fair!!
  13. mnfireman
    My favorite argument
  14. mnfireman
    Technically all of the teams starters outperformed Berrios this season. bWAR: Berrios -0.5 Gray 2.3; Ryan2.2; Smeltzer 0.9; Varland 0.4; Paddack 0.2; Mahle 0.1 (2.1 w/ CIN); Ober 0.9; Archer 0.0; Winder -0.1 & Bundy -0.3. Berrios did have 172 IP and took the mound 32 times, so there's that. The Twins may have gotten Berrios' best years, and that says a lot because he is only 28.
  15. mnfireman
    Berrios is not an ace, as shown in Toronto this season. I would also include Duran on this list, as several "ace" type pitchers initially began their careers working a season or two out of the BP. If 3 of 5 on this list become solid #2 or #3 starters then this team will be set up for success for the foreseeable future.
  16. mnfireman
    The "best" trade candidates would be Arraez and Gordon, if the organization feels Lewis, Martin and Julien are close to being ready.
  17. mnfireman
    Unfortunately heart doesn't win games, divisions or titles; talent does. Cruz has been below league average since being traded and Rosario has been dreadfully below average.
  18. mnfireman
    I was thinking the same thing. And after Lewis comes back he can become another Super UT player as he plays SS, 3B, 2B and C.
  19. mnfireman
    Falvey and Levine have basically been trying to buy time until the prospects arrive, and they have slowly been trickling in. Archer and Bundy were supposed to placeholders, but wound up being counted on at MLB due to injuries and slow development. Same with Happ and Shoemaker in '21. Colome' and Pagan were relied on for too long, with Pagan publicly being outed as resistant to coaching. Perhaps Colome' was also. I believe (and several TD posters disagree with me) that the lost season of 2020 hindered a lot of players development. Pitchers were throwing with no coaching (perhaps leading to injuries in '21 & '22, it can't be proven either way) and many position players were missing valuable hitting and fielding coaching. Also, these players were not getting professional baseball strength, conditioning and stretching coaching/supervision. All a formula for failure. To the eye test (mine anyway) injuries, especially to young players, seem to be up over the last 2 full seasons at all levels. And many of these players would have advanced at least 3 levels over the '20 & '21 Milb & MLB seasons, that's a lot of missed high-level competition. And don't tell me that all of baseball dealt with the pandemic and missed seasons, I know that. It just appears to me that the Twins players being counted on for future development were in the stages of development and at the ages where coaching mattered and they were unable to get it. All this and what team could withstand losing their starting C, 1B, 2B, LF, CF, RF, replacement 1B, replacement RF/LF, 3 starting pitchers (actuaully 6, but Archer shouldn't have been here that long Maeda probably wasn't counted on to contribute much, and Mahle was acquired at the deadline), and various relievers and role players throughout the season?
  20. mnfireman
    I'm starting the season with Ober and Maeda in the BP and a lot of rookies/pre-arb players on the roster. They may move into rotation as they build up arm strength and Varland and Winder may need to move to the 'pen. Kirilloff and Lewis are on the IL to start the season. The bench should be fluid with Miranda, Arraez and Gordon able to play several positions and also be used as the DH along with Wallner. Yeah, tied up a lot of $$ @ C and SS, but those are important positions, and, to me anyway, warrant the expense. The Twins system needs to step up and fill spots starting this year and I tried to reflect this in my roster exercise. Decisions will need to be made when Lewis is ready, and if Kirilloff is ready. The arms are young, but SWR, Moran, and perhaps Coulombe, Megill and Paddack will be healthy enough at various points of the season to step in. And I may decide to go over budget and keep Pagan, keeping Sands in AAA until needed.
  21. mnfireman
    C: Willson Contreras ($15.00M) 1B: Luis Arraez ($4.50M) 2B: Jorge Polanco ($7.50M) 3B: Gio Urshela ($9.00M) SS: Carlos Correa ($35.00M) LF: Trevor Larnach ($0.70M) CF: Byron Buxton ($15.00M) RF: Max Kepler ($8.50M) DH: Jose Miranda ($0.70M) 4th OF: Gilberto Celestino ($0.70M) Utility: Nick Gordon ($0.70M) Utility: Matt Wallner ($0.70M) Backup C: Ryan Jeffers ($0.70M) SP1: Sonny Gray ($12.00M) SP2: Tyler Mahle ($8.00M) SP3: Josh Winder ($0.70M) SP4: Joe Ryan ($0.70M) SP5: Louie Varland ($0.70M) RP: Jhoan Duran ($0.70M) RP: Jorge Lopez ($3.00M) RP: Griffin Jax ($0.70M) RP: Jorge Alcala ($1.00M) RP: Caleb Thielbar ($2.00M) RP: Kenda Maeda ($3.00M) RP: Cole Sands ($0.70M) RP: Bailey Ober ($0.70M) Payroll is 5.29% under budget
  22. mnfireman
    He can't officially until after the WS. Nobody is a FA until after the WS>
  23. mnfireman
    Turner having a bad night......
  24. mnfireman
    You might want to go look at the rest of the roster for those two teams and see why the team made the play-offs, again.....
  25. mnfireman
    So if they upgrade the OF and 1B/DH to all-star types, who of Kirlloff, Larnach, Kepler, Arraez, Miranda and maybe even Polanco and Urshela do you trade? All have showed that they have big upside, but have ???'s attached to them.
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