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mnfireman

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Everything posted by mnfireman

  1. mnfireman
    The Dodgers have enough money coming off the books to chase quite a few top FA's; Price $16M (Red Sox paid the $16M), Kimbrel $16M, T. Anderson $8M, T. Turner $21M, and Kershaw $17M. J. Turner and Muncy will probably be bought out, saving $25.5M. I don't think it will happen, but they could also not offer Bellinger arbitration, saving at least $17M. Looks like room to re-sign Kershaw and T. Turner, and sign Correa, Judge and Rodon. Not fair!!
  2. mnfireman
    My favorite argument
  3. mnfireman
    Technically all of the teams starters outperformed Berrios this season. bWAR: Berrios -0.5 Gray 2.3; Ryan2.2; Smeltzer 0.9; Varland 0.4; Paddack 0.2; Mahle 0.1 (2.1 w/ CIN); Ober 0.9; Archer 0.0; Winder -0.1 & Bundy -0.3. Berrios did have 172 IP and took the mound 32 times, so there's that. The Twins may have gotten Berrios' best years, and that says a lot because he is only 28.
  4. mnfireman
    Berrios is not an ace, as shown in Toronto this season. I would also include Duran on this list, as several "ace" type pitchers initially began their careers working a season or two out of the BP. If 3 of 5 on this list become solid #2 or #3 starters then this team will be set up for success for the foreseeable future.
  5. mnfireman
    The "best" trade candidates would be Arraez and Gordon, if the organization feels Lewis, Martin and Julien are close to being ready.
  6. mnfireman
    Unfortunately heart doesn't win games, divisions or titles; talent does. Cruz has been below league average since being traded and Rosario has been dreadfully below average.
  7. mnfireman
    I was thinking the same thing. And after Lewis comes back he can become another Super UT player as he plays SS, 3B, 2B and C.
  8. mnfireman
    Falvey and Levine have basically been trying to buy time until the prospects arrive, and they have slowly been trickling in. Archer and Bundy were supposed to placeholders, but wound up being counted on at MLB due to injuries and slow development. Same with Happ and Shoemaker in '21. Colome' and Pagan were relied on for too long, with Pagan publicly being outed as resistant to coaching. Perhaps Colome' was also. I believe (and several TD posters disagree with me) that the lost season of 2020 hindered a lot of players development. Pitchers were throwing with no coaching (perhaps leading to injuries in '21 & '22, it can't be proven either way) and many position players were missing valuable hitting and fielding coaching. Also, these players were not getting professional baseball strength, conditioning and stretching coaching/supervision. All a formula for failure. To the eye test (mine anyway) injuries, especially to young players, seem to be up over the last 2 full seasons at all levels. And many of these players would have advanced at least 3 levels over the '20 & '21 Milb & MLB seasons, that's a lot of missed high-level competition. And don't tell me that all of baseball dealt with the pandemic and missed seasons, I know that. It just appears to me that the Twins players being counted on for future development were in the stages of development and at the ages where coaching mattered and they were unable to get it. All this and what team could withstand losing their starting C, 1B, 2B, LF, CF, RF, replacement 1B, replacement RF/LF, 3 starting pitchers (actuaully 6, but Archer shouldn't have been here that long Maeda probably wasn't counted on to contribute much, and Mahle was acquired at the deadline), and various relievers and role players throughout the season?
  9. mnfireman
    I'm starting the season with Ober and Maeda in the BP and a lot of rookies/pre-arb players on the roster. They may move into rotation as they build up arm strength and Varland and Winder may need to move to the 'pen. Kirilloff and Lewis are on the IL to start the season. The bench should be fluid with Miranda, Arraez and Gordon able to play several positions and also be used as the DH along with Wallner. Yeah, tied up a lot of $$ @ C and SS, but those are important positions, and, to me anyway, warrant the expense. The Twins system needs to step up and fill spots starting this year and I tried to reflect this in my roster exercise. Decisions will need to be made when Lewis is ready, and if Kirilloff is ready. The arms are young, but SWR, Moran, and perhaps Coulombe, Megill and Paddack will be healthy enough at various points of the season to step in. And I may decide to go over budget and keep Pagan, keeping Sands in AAA until needed.
  10. mnfireman
    C: Willson Contreras ($15.00M) 1B: Luis Arraez ($4.50M) 2B: Jorge Polanco ($7.50M) 3B: Gio Urshela ($9.00M) SS: Carlos Correa ($35.00M) LF: Trevor Larnach ($0.70M) CF: Byron Buxton ($15.00M) RF: Max Kepler ($8.50M) DH: Jose Miranda ($0.70M) 4th OF: Gilberto Celestino ($0.70M) Utility: Nick Gordon ($0.70M) Utility: Matt Wallner ($0.70M) Backup C: Ryan Jeffers ($0.70M) SP1: Sonny Gray ($12.00M) SP2: Tyler Mahle ($8.00M) SP3: Josh Winder ($0.70M) SP4: Joe Ryan ($0.70M) SP5: Louie Varland ($0.70M) RP: Jhoan Duran ($0.70M) RP: Jorge Lopez ($3.00M) RP: Griffin Jax ($0.70M) RP: Jorge Alcala ($1.00M) RP: Caleb Thielbar ($2.00M) RP: Kenda Maeda ($3.00M) RP: Cole Sands ($0.70M) RP: Bailey Ober ($0.70M) Payroll is 5.29% under budget
  11. mnfireman
    He can't officially until after the WS. Nobody is a FA until after the WS>
  12. mnfireman
    Turner having a bad night......
  13. mnfireman
    You might want to go look at the rest of the roster for those two teams and see why the team made the play-offs, again.....
  14. mnfireman
    So if they upgrade the OF and 1B/DH to all-star types, who of Kirlloff, Larnach, Kepler, Arraez, Miranda and maybe even Polanco and Urshela do you trade? All have showed that they have big upside, but have ???'s attached to them.
  15. mnfireman
    So you want to win next year but you also want to start Polanco at SS and Arraez at 2B? Sorry, can't do both. It weakens the defense up the middle, especially with no shifts next year. They also both wore down this year as the season progressed and I don't see that changing next year. I don't know the teams plans for SS next year, but Polanco should not be it. Maybe we'll get surprised by an off-seaon trade....
  16. mnfireman
    Judge may hold up the SS FA market as most teams can't afford Judge and a top SS, or the SS market could settle early and Judge may drag into February. Who knows ?‍♂️. Turner or Correa could settle SS for 5 years or more and would make one of Arraez, Urshela, Polanco or Miranda available in a trade for starting pitching. Andrus for $15M, no thank you. I would rather Polanco or Urshela play SS before him. Swanson is an elite defender, but I suspect his offense will fall back to its previous level. Bogaerts is going to wind up being an expensive 3B or 2B, or maybe even corner OF, very soon. The Twins need a SS for 2months in 2023, until Lewis returns from the IL, so I don't see this being a top priority, but Correa was a pretty nice fit this year and I think he would look good out there next year (or 5).
  17. mnfireman
    Watching the Cards bullpen do their best imitation of the Twins bullpen...
  18. mnfireman
    Can't have too much depth, as the injuries of the last few seasons have shown, so I say sign him. He is not a superstar, but seems fundamentally sound and comes up with the big hit or big defensive play often enough.
  19. mnfireman
    Arraez is best suited to a utility player type role; he can play 1B, 2B, 3B or DH 4 days a week, 5 max. I don't think he's a everyday type player, he appears to be breaking down a bit late in the season.
  20. mnfireman
    Correct. The same guys on here complaining about three true outcomes are complaining about a kid who puts the ball in play ?‍♂️?‍♂️. Yes, the GIDP will and has killed rallies, but a ball in play at least has a chance....
  21. mnfireman
    Gordon's emergence as a "Super-sub" type player may make Buxton's absences more tolerable - if Larnach, Kirilloff and Kepler manage to come back healthy and productive next season and Wallner is able to continue his progression - and the absences aren't too long or too often.
  22. mnfireman
    I don't think the teams "100 game plan" worked at all for either Buxton or the team. I understand the reasoning for wanting him on the field, but did team or player benefit from it? That being said, I don't know how bad the knee injury was initially, but I think a 10 or 15 day IL trip could have been warranted at the time (he only played 3 games over the next 10 days). I also think the injury could have been avoided had he hustled out of the batters box and made second standing up instead of sliding awkwardly. Playing with the ailing knee eventually led to the PRP injection and the hip injury, so he literally played almost his whole season on one leg. Buxton is also on record as saying he has hard time staying involved in the game when DHing. Putting up 4.0 WAR and the team being 48-42 in games he played in is a testament to his ability, but how much better could this team have been if he didn't flail at bad pitches or had to put a lesser player in CF due to him literally having only one leg to stand on. Hopefully the surgery goes as planned (a scope and clean up, not full-on reconstruction) and he his able to start his off-season program around Thanksgiving and is ready to go in spring training.
  23. mnfireman
    CF's ball on the blooper, Celestino having a rough week. Ryan did not have good stuff tonight, it is cold & rainy, and he is at a career high in innings pitched. Maybe send him out for the 5th (it was Trout, Ohtani and Ward), but otherwise I am good with the call Cave's clunker: errors happen. He should have had it. It was raining, but he did hustle on the play (as he did on the triple in the bottom of the 4th), and I am sure he made no excuses for dropping it.
  24. mnfireman
    "Carlos Correa has been an offensive disapointment." From FanGraphs: Year HR BB% K% AVG OBP SLG wOBA xwOBA wRC+ WAR 2022 21 11% 20% .288 .365 .467 .362 .365 140 4.1 Career Average 19 11% 20% .278 .357 .479 .357 .363 129 3.9 Correa is on track for the third-best season of his career by WAR and wRC+. Despite the dual nature of this season, it looks like his 2022 stats and his career averages will be pretty much identical. Hey, maybe he should just re-sign with Minnesota.
  25. mnfireman
    Judge $85.7M & Ohtani $70.4M....
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