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Everything posted by mnfireman
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Ranking the 2023 Free Agent Shortstop Class
mnfireman replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
So you want to win next year but you also want to start Polanco at SS and Arraez at 2B? Sorry, can't do both. It weakens the defense up the middle, especially with no shifts next year. They also both wore down this year as the season progressed and I don't see that changing next year. I don't know the teams plans for SS next year, but Polanco should not be it. Maybe we'll get surprised by an off-seaon trade....- 52 replies
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- trea turner
- carlos correa
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Ranking the 2023 Free Agent Shortstop Class
mnfireman replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Judge may hold up the SS FA market as most teams can't afford Judge and a top SS, or the SS market could settle early and Judge may drag into February. Who knows ?♂️. Turner or Correa could settle SS for 5 years or more and would make one of Arraez, Urshela, Polanco or Miranda available in a trade for starting pitching. Andrus for $15M, no thank you. I would rather Polanco or Urshela play SS before him. Swanson is an elite defender, but I suspect his offense will fall back to its previous level. Bogaerts is going to wind up being an expensive 3B or 2B, or maybe even corner OF, very soon. The Twins need a SS for 2months in 2023, until Lewis returns from the IL, so I don't see this being a top priority, but Correa was a pretty nice fit this year and I think he would look good out there next year (or 5).- 52 replies
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- trea turner
- carlos correa
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Watching the Cards bullpen do their best imitation of the Twins bullpen...
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Can't have too much depth, as the injuries of the last few seasons have shown, so I say sign him. He is not a superstar, but seems fundamentally sound and comes up with the big hit or big defensive play often enough.
- 82 replies
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- gio urshela
- jose miranda
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Arraez is best suited to a utility player type role; he can play 1B, 2B, 3B or DH 4 days a week, 5 max. I don't think he's a everyday type player, he appears to be breaking down a bit late in the season.
- 45 replies
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- joe ryan
- jose miranda
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Correct. The same guys on here complaining about three true outcomes are complaining about a kid who puts the ball in play ?♂️?♂️. Yes, the GIDP will and has killed rallies, but a ball in play at least has a chance....
- 45 replies
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- joe ryan
- jose miranda
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I don't think the teams "100 game plan" worked at all for either Buxton or the team. I understand the reasoning for wanting him on the field, but did team or player benefit from it? That being said, I don't know how bad the knee injury was initially, but I think a 10 or 15 day IL trip could have been warranted at the time (he only played 3 games over the next 10 days). I also think the injury could have been avoided had he hustled out of the batters box and made second standing up instead of sliding awkwardly. Playing with the ailing knee eventually led to the PRP injection and the hip injury, so he literally played almost his whole season on one leg. Buxton is also on record as saying he has hard time staying involved in the game when DHing. Putting up 4.0 WAR and the team being 48-42 in games he played in is a testament to his ability, but how much better could this team have been if he didn't flail at bad pitches or had to put a lesser player in CF due to him literally having only one leg to stand on. Hopefully the surgery goes as planned (a scope and clean up, not full-on reconstruction) and he his able to start his off-season program around Thanksgiving and is ready to go in spring training.
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Why no heart? THIS is why... Continuation Discussion
mnfireman commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM
CF's ball on the blooper, Celestino having a rough week. Ryan did not have good stuff tonight, it is cold & rainy, and he is at a career high in innings pitched. Maybe send him out for the 5th (it was Trout, Ohtani and Ward), but otherwise I am good with the call Cave's clunker: errors happen. He should have had it. It was raining, but he did hustle on the play (as he did on the triple in the bottom of the 4th), and I am sure he made no excuses for dropping it. -
"Carlos Correa has been an offensive disapointment." From FanGraphs: Year HR BB% K% AVG OBP SLG wOBA xwOBA wRC+ WAR 2022 21 11% 20% .288 .365 .467 .362 .365 140 4.1 Career Average 19 11% 20% .278 .357 .479 .357 .363 129 3.9 Correa is on track for the third-best season of his career by WAR and wRC+. Despite the dual nature of this season, it looks like his 2022 stats and his career averages will be pretty much identical. Hey, maybe he should just re-sign with Minnesota.
- 26 comments
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- 2022 season
- 2023 pitching staff
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Byron Buxton Set for Season-Ending Knee Surgery
mnfireman replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Judge $85.7M & Ohtani $70.4M.... -
Cal Ripken never took a "scheduled day off" from May 29, 1982 until September 20, 1998, and the 1986 - 1988 Baltimore Orioles were pretty bad, he probably could have used a mental wellness day...
- 25 replies
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- louis varland
- nick gordon
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Minnesota's Pitching Pipeline Plan Failed in 2022
mnfireman replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
There are 6 starting pitchers 25 and under who have pitched enough innings to qualify for rate stats (1 IP per team game), 21 starting pitchers under age 28 who qualify. Not exactly tons. But to be fair, there are only 46 pitchers who have pitched enough innings to qualify,,,- 42 replies
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- jordan balazovic
- matt canterino
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Minnesota's Pitching Pipeline Plan Failed in 2022
mnfireman replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Cleveland has more top starters come from other organizations than they have developed: Traded for: Quantrill, Pilkington (still in development, maybe), Clevinger, Bauer, Kluber, Carrasco. Drafted: Bieber (probably the cream of the crop), McKenzie, Plesac and Civale. Drafted duds: Cody Anderson, Danny Salazar (free agent), Josh Tomlin, Adam Plutko. This is a quick look at their starters since about 2015 or 2016.- 42 replies
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- jordan balazovic
- matt canterino
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Minnesota's Pitching Pipeline Plan Failed in 2022
mnfireman replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think it was a fan base's misguided expectation based on another team's results...- 42 replies
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- jordan balazovic
- matt canterino
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Planning for a Post Correa Reality in Minnesota
mnfireman replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That's more ridiculous than Urshela and Sanchez hitting 4 and 5.....- 36 replies
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- carlos correa
- royce lewis
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Minnesota's Pitching Pipeline Plan Failed in 2022
mnfireman replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Maybe cancelling the 2020 minor league season hurt development more than fans think. The players all got a year older, but lost a year of development. Pitch counts, limiting times facing a line-up and 6 man rotations have had to also affect development, though I have no idea if there is data to substantiate this. Pitching philosophy also has to play into it, Johnson leaned heavily on slider usage and max effort velocity, if this was taught system wide it could very well be part of the reason for the seeming uptick in elbow and shoulder problems throughout both the minor and major league teams.- 42 replies
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- jordan balazovic
- matt canterino
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Fielding a AA/AAA line-up every night is bound to catch up with any team. Having to run Celestino, Cave, Contreras, Leon, Hamilton, Garlick, Palacios and Beckham out there almost every night is not playing without heart, its playing without MLB talent. Each of Buxton, Kepler, Larnach, Kirilloff, Jeffers, and Polanco tried to play through injury, and that is playing with heart. Gray, Mahle, Ober Coulombe, and a few others tried to pitch through injury, and, if what one TD poster says is true, Lopez has been dealing with personal issues but still wants the ball. That's heart. Yes, some players are having down years, but that happens every year, to every team. This team played with immense heart, everything just finally caught up to them about mid-August and has fallen off the rails in September.
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IF everyone gets healthy over the off-season it will be a nice problem to figure out the rotation and the line-up. Rotation: Ryan, Ober, Winder, Varland, Mahle, Gray, Mazda, SWR, Paddock, and possibly Duran. Piggyback 'em, BP 'em, whatever is needed as we have seen that there is no such thing as too many SP's. Line-up: Arraez, Miranda, Polanco, Urshela, Larnach, Buxton, Kepler, Kirilloff, Wallner, Lewis, Gordon, Jeffers, and possibly Correa. Probably need to sign another C. Again, find a place to play 'em and there is no such thing as too many.
- 26 comments
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- 2022 season
- 2023 pitching staff
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4 of the last 5 no-hitters have been combined efforts, including 2 of 3 this year. Going back 6 seasons, 7 of 22 have been combined. It is now the way MLB managers and the analytics play the game.
- 71 replies
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- carlos correa
- jovani moran
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Like it or not, Baldelli made the right call last night. Despite the perceived opinion that he's left Ryan out there to take a beating and run his pitch count up, Ryan has only topped last nights pitch number twice, 110 on 8/9 and 107 on 8/26 and last night was the only the 7th time he's topped 100. He has also now thrown 129 innings, a career high at any level (132 if you count his 3 inning rehab start). Last year he threw 93 combined innings plus 10 innings in the Olympics. In 2020 he didn't pitch due to MiLB shutdown. He will be counted on to pitch down the stretch (as many posters on here say, pennant race experience is valuable) even if the team falters. Had he been allowed to pitch the 8th, the extra 10-15 pitches may have pushed his next start back a day, and the team has 13 games in 12 days and can't afford a bullpen game, especially against the team they are chasing. I also liked that he was mad or felt slighted, it means he's a competitor and wants the ball. Sometimes having a little chip on your shoulder can be a good thing.
- 71 replies
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- carlos correa
- jovani moran
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In the End, the 2022 Twins Never Stood a Chance
mnfireman replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The biggest thing with the Twins injuries is the drop-off to the next level of player. Buxton, Larnach, Kirrilloff and Kepler become Cave, Celestino, Contrearas and Garlick. All 4 of those players are capable players in reserve and specialty roles, not to run out there daily. Polanco and Correa become Palacios and Beckham, Jeffers becomes Caleb Hamilton, Jose Godoy, and Leon, who was in AAA when traded for. Gordon has been the lone bright spot from these injuries. I don't think I have the time or the want to go into the rotation and bullpen, but both fall off drastically when injuries occurred and/or pitchers had to pitch in roles they were not suited for. Correa and Sano being injured gave the team the opportunity to see what Lewis and Miranda could do, and unfortunately for Lewis he also got injured. It also gave Arraez a chance to play everyday, but I suspect that is also why his numbers have fallen off the last month or so. The IL stints also do not include how many games Buxton, Kepler, Polanco, Larnach, Kirilloff, Jeffers and several pitchers tried to play through injuries, affecting their performance and the teams. Injuries de-railed this team, despite them being able to overcome them and be competeive until recently. They are 39-49 since June 1 and injuries have played a significant role.- 94 replies
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- byron buxton
- tyler mahle
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32-43 overall against team with .500 or better winning % is probably an even bigger tell. As well as 8-12 (2-11 vs LA, MIL, AZ & SD) in interleague games and 12-17 vs the AL West (2-11 vs HOU & TEX). The Twins are 10.5 games worse than Cleveland in these 3 categories. They are 12-12 against CLE & CHW, despite how much worse its seems.
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The kids giveth, the kids taketh away. Miranda should have stepped back to get the out, the runner wasn't scoring. And Gordon standing there admiring his hit and getting thrown out at third for the third out, not acceptable. Hopefully there were constructive conversations with each player after their respective misplays. On a bright note, the Twins took 2 of 3 as it looks like Boston's bats are coming to life. And Cleveland also lost.
- 33 replies
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- nick gordon
- jovani moran
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I'm sure he thought it was a foul tip that hit the catcher and rolled slowly out in front of home plate. With whatever may be going on with his health or personal life, Kepler is the one Twins whose hustle I do not question.
- 32 replies
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- gio urshela
- dylan bundy
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