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mnfireman

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Everything posted by mnfireman

  1. mnfireman
    This right here is what has been wrong with the Twins going back to TK, "Get away day" line-ups. Terrible C, starting 2B at SS, and AAA guy in CF. They did not stand a chance to win this game and its no surprise they were almost no-hit. Rocco has enough issues making out a line-up, he doesn't need to keep trotting out the back-ups on "get away day." 1. Byron Buxton (R) DH 2. Luis Arraez (L) 2B 3. Gio Urshela (R) 3B 4. Jorge Polanco (S) SS 5. Gary Sanchez (R) C 6. Max Kepler (L) RF 7. Miguel Sano (R) 1B 8. Gilberto Celestino (R) CF 9. Nick Gordon (L) LF
  2. mnfireman
    His glove....
  3. mnfireman
    The Padres have been tied to Dominic Smith and Brian Reynolds, both in their age 27 season and aren't FA's until '25 (Smith) and '26 ( Reynolds). Kepler is in his age 29 season and can be a FA after '23., so probably not what they are looking for.
  4. mnfireman
    Padres are looking for a young, controllable STARTING OF, not scrap heap left-overs. Would probably take Kirilloff, or maybe Miranda (or both) being included to get a deal done.
  5. mnfireman
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/03/twins-trade-rumors-frankie-montas-sean-manaea-athletics.html
  6. mnfireman
    Twins and A's are reportedly discussing Manaea and Montas and the A's just traded Matt Olson to Atlanta. Would including Kirilloff in a package for Montas be overpaying? (For the record I wouldn't include him) Discuss below.
  7. mnfireman
    Time to sign Story and package Arraez and some prospects for pitching help....
  8. mnfireman
    The timetable on most of the teams prospects has been pushed back two years, one for Covid and one for all the injuries incurred because of the year off. I still believe that more of these prospects will pan out than won't, but that's me.
  9. mnfireman
  10. mnfireman
    If the Twins thought that Polanco and Arraez were the answers up the middle we would have seen that last season, all season. Instead they signed Simmons as a place holder and potential late season mentor for Lewis. moved Polanco to 2B and Arraez moved into a utility role. Then Lewis got hurt, throwing a wrench into the machine. Nothing has changed, if anything Polanco's season justified the team moving him to 2B and Arraez's ability to move around the diamond, however subpar defensively, coupled with his trips to the IL justified not giving him a starting role. Like it or not, the team needs to hit the reset button. Whether they view Lewis as a SS going forward determines what they do next. If they do, they sign another stop-gap veteran. If they don't, they need to sign Story or trade for someone to play SS for the next few seasons.
  11. mnfireman
    They shouldn't have to, neither failed a test. Media didn't like either of them.
  12. mnfireman
    How about right next to this guy - .286/.319/.360? Another light hitting middle infielder, who is now out of the game because he can't hit for power and can't play defense. But he can sure steal bases, 333 of them in his 10 year career. Hint: his younger brother is on this team. Guys who can hit but can't field better be able to hit for power (Cruz, E. Martinez, Pappi, Baines, Thome) or they will find themselves out of the game, especially if they don't have speed and have a history of knee problems at a young age. Schoop started 110 games 2B in 2019, 72-38 .654 record. Arraez started 49 games, 34-15 .694 record. Arraez started 31 games at 2B in 2020, 20-11 .645 record. Marwin Gonzalez started 21, 13-8 .619 record. So no, not really, and winning percentages were about the same.
  13. mnfireman
    Polanco is not a SS. His metrics (and the eye tests) are horrible. The Twins were 9-17 (.346) with him at SS last year and a full season of him and Arraez up the middle would be a disaster. Simmons couldn't hit his way out of a wet paper bag, but was one of MLB's top fielding SS's. But he tested positive for Covid and missed time. Several other players also tested positive and received a pass from this forum, but not Simmons because he spoke out against vaccines. Not one of those other positives was traced to Simmons, but he was still vilified. He was signed as a stop-gap until Lewis was ready, but Lewis got hurt, and the team needs another stop-gap year. Any other year and any other player, and this forum would be all for re-signing said player for another year, even with sub-par offensive numbers, because he would be the best stop-gap option again. Polanco is not the best option at SS for this season, or any season going forward, because that would mean Arraez is playing everyday at 2B and that is not good. You can cover one bad defender with offense, but not two, especially up the middle. There are several short term options the team could sign on the cheap, or they could sign Story, further clogging the 2B/SS depth, and go forward, hoping to win 8-7 every night and hoping to catch lightning in a bottle in a trade.
  14. mnfireman
    2021 bWAR - 8+ MVP, 5+ AS, 2+ Starter, 0-2 Reserve: Tatis - 6.6 bWAR Padres 79-83 Story - 4.2 bWAR Rockies 74-87 Swanson - 1.9 bWAR Braves 88-73 WS Champions Torres - 0.8 bWAR Yankees 92-70 SS bWAR doesn't always indicate team record, especially when most of that bWAR comes from the offensive side, Polanco is a better fit at 2B and stands a better chance to remain in the line-up everyday.
  15. mnfireman
    With Donaldson: 2020 - 19-9 .679 2021 - 57-78 .422 without Donaldson: 2020 - 17-15 .531 2021 - 6-11 .353
  16. mnfireman
    As do Hrbek, Gagne, Gladden, Bush, Newman, & Larkin.... Griffey Jr. and Trout also have 0 rings. I don't like using rings for individual player comparisons.
  17. mnfireman
    Both spent 12 years with the Twins, so let's use those splits: Carew - .334/.393/.448 12x AS, ROY, MVP, 63.8 bWAR Puckett - .318/.360/.477 10x AS, 6x GG, 51.2 bWAR, 2x WS Champ, 1x WS MVP Then let's take their age 26-32 season (arguably the best 7 years of each of their careers): Carew - .350/.414/.468 7x AS, MVP, 49.2 bWAR Puckett - .329/.368/.498 7x AS, 6x GG, 36.8 bWAR, 2x WS Champ, 1x WS MVP Carew never won a GG but fielding metrics didn't hate him at either 1B or 2B. Puckett won 10 GG but fielding metrics don't like him very much, though we remember the big plays (kind of like Jeter) If I had the #1 overall draft pick and these were my two choices (knowing these would be their stats), I would pick Carew. But I might also just flip a coin because you couldn't go wrong choosing either...
  18. mnfireman
    MI Depth between MLB & MiLB: Polanco, Arraez, Gordon, Sano, Lewis, Martin Miranda, Cavaco, plus some lower level prospects that may or may not pan out. Arraez is a known commodity and if he can't be traded I think it makes more sense to go year to year in arbitration, much like the team did with Rosario. His knees are bad and his stats are trending the wrong way.
  19. mnfireman
    Yes, are you? His 3 year splits are trending the wrong way: '19 - .334/399/.439 '20 - .321/.364/.402 '21 - .294/.357/.376 AVG down 40 points, OBP down 42 points and SLG down 63 points. And he has bad knees, which will not get better as he gets older. Buxton's (your comparison) 3 year splits are trending up: '19 - .262/.314/.513 '20 - .254/.267/.577 '21 - .306/.358./647 I don't think his numbers will stay at the '21 level, but probably somewhere around the 3 year average - .277/.321/.575. And Buxton's injuries have not included bad knees, but have nonetheless limited his playing time. Gordon, Lewis, Martin, Miranda, or FA signings such as Jonathan Villar, Josh Harrison or Matt Duffy could step in and do what Arraez does.
  20. mnfireman
    Arraez should be traded this off-season before any trade value he has goes away. He has no power, no speed. no defensive position and he has been injured too often. He could be easily replaced by any one of several players with more upside as a defender or hitter or both. I don't think he will be one of those players that we (the fans) will look back on and say "if only the Twins had kept him."
  21. mnfireman
    The Twins will put him in the line-up at 1B & DH, trying to maximize match-ups, as $9.25MM is a reasonable amount to pay him. They will try to move him at the deadline, and, if they get a good offer, will trade him. If unable to trade him, they will look at his numbers and decide whether to exercise the $14MM option for 2023. He has only had 1 season (2018) where he wasn't above league average in OPS+ and compares favorably to some good MLB players through age 28 according to Baseball Reference: Similar Batters through 28 Kyle Schwarber (966.1) Dave Kingman (942.8) Chris Davis (941.8) Greg Vaughn (938.3) Carlos Quentin (934.1) Nick Swisher (932.9) Randal Grichuk (932.0) Michael Conforto (930.3) Joc Pederson (926.1) Max Kepler (919.4)
  22. mnfireman
    Mid-level pitching FA starters left on the market: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/01/looking-at-the-remaining-free-agent-starters-beyond-rodon-kershaw.html
  23. mnfireman
    Twins relievers had a 3.45 ERA in August & September, and this was after they lost Rogers to injury and traded Robles to Boston. I think roles were figured out and the players made the necessary adjustments to be successful going forward. Does this mean continued success? Possibly not, but I think the BP is not of concern on the level of SP, SS and to a lesser extent, LF.
  24. mnfireman
    They also had Rosario in LF, a decent starting pitching staff, a usable BP and a Kepler who could hit....
  25. mnfireman
    LOL! Nice catch, changed it....
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