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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. The Fangraphs' prospect guys have said that looking at age this year is really off.....Covid messed up, in effect, two years, for many players (last and this). I expect we'll be back to some kind of normal in 3 years, assuming they play full seasons during that time.
  2. I do think it is fair to want them gone ..... and if they don't show MAJOR progress next year, I'll join the chorus. I also think it is fair to look at how far the system has come, acknowledge Covid messed up last year (and their development of nearly every pitcher they've acquired), and give them another year to show that they can grow talent and acquire long term talent (I'm not interested in more 1 year deals).
  3. Hey Mike .. All the companies you own have record profits! Let's have the prices plummet.....
  4. I think Kepler can be good enough or better. I don't have a lot of belief Rooker. But that's why they are playing them, to get more data. That's what this season is for now.
  5. They are 12th in batting average, btw..... They are getting KILLED by their "defense" and pitching.....
  6. Twins are 11th in runs scored, without Buxton.....I don't think people realize how far BAs have fallen this year. 11th isn't great, but it is fine, at least fine.
  7. If I had to guess, they are trying to get those two as many ABs as possible to see what they have in Rooker, and to get Max out of his funk (hopefully). Much more important than Ws. Also, batting order doesn't matter much....some, not much.
  8. Curt Carlson always said the best way to make money was to use other people's money.....My friends sold their UHG stock to pay off their kids' college costs. We kept ours, and borrowed. We have SO MUCH MORE MONEY now than we would have, it isn't funny. I'd much rather borrow money at 3% and invest my excess cash than not. To each, though, their own, as they say.
  9. Given this, probably time to just pull him off the list.....I get it, he's still eligible, but not for long...
  10. There is a zero percent chance Kepler is not on this roster next year to start the year. Most likely Sano also. Refsnyder has the inside track on the 4th OF spot at this point, imo. I have no idea what you think will happen with Donaldson, care to expand on that? He's signed to a massive deal, he's not getting DFAd...and is hard to trade.
  11. The impending heat must be getting to you .... Imo, Rooker is a great AAAA player. If he had defensive value, it would be different, but he just doesn't have a spot on this roster looking term. He might elsewhere. I am intrigued by these pitchers.....
  12. Who had 10 strikeouts on their bingo card? I admit to true amazement. Good for him!
  13. Concur. They need to sign one and trade for one and get lucky. More improbable things have happened....I don't think it is likely at all, but it isn't inconceivable either. They need a SS badly also.
  14. I think people forget they are nearly .500 the just two months....add Buxton. Get a real SS....boom, five more wins, give or take. It's all about health and finding two good pitchers as starters.
  15. Rosario was traded for nothing this year. He's just not that good. They took over a terrible team, and made it a 100 win team.....
  16. As someone said above, it didn't matter who he brought in earlier this year, they'd fail.
  17. How much do you think a manager matters? I mean, a FA player gets about $7-8MM per win......and only a handful of managers make even $5MM.....I can't see that they matter that much. Probably 2-3 wins, making them underpaid relative to players. I could be wrong, maybe they are worth a lot more, but then I'd think they'd be paid a lot more.
  18. Calling up Nick Vincent in a lost year reduces my trust in the FO by a considerable amount. I really do not understand what they are doing with the bullpen right now. Maybe I should stop trying to give them a chance.....
  19. That's 1 starting pitcher. Seems pretty bad to me. Awful even. I do agree that the core of this roster is from Ryan, but that is what we'd expect at this point in the process for sure. Next year and beyond is the real test of this FO. Larnach, Jeffers, and some pitchers need to be good.
  20. He played in 155 games in 2019....He had 2 seasons playing less than 155 before that. Yes, 2 they were 18 and 17..... People scream and yell they never sign big time FAs, then when they do, and something bad happens it was a bad signing. Dude got hurt, after playing in almost every game in 2019.....I really don't know how to judge year 1, since it wasn't a full year. Look, my main point about that list remains....how does it compare to other teams? Lastly, we won't agree on this, so I doubt I'll reply to anything else on this part of the topic. IMO, they are likely about middle of the road in FA. That isn't good enough when your system is weak, we agree on that. It isn't good enough when your budget is limited and you can't afford mistakes. But I'm not here to say they are bad at it, without context about how well other teams do. I'm here to say a: we don't know and b: they need to be better, but I don't know they are bad at it.
  21. Now we are supposed to predict injuries? I guess my mileage does vary. He was signed for the front of the deal, not the back. I'm not sure how we should ding the FO for the pandemic blowing up last year.......and how that impacted his playing time and how he played. His fWAR per 162 this year is 3 ish.
  22. This can't be stressed enough, IMO. Those were ALL TOP TEN PICKS. If one of those is a 3 WAR player, a success rate that seems fair, how different is this roster overall (not this year, unless he's a SP)? If two of those are good? Those picks should be in their prime in MN right now.......How different are the last couple years if Gordon is Turner instead, for example?
  23. Any analysis that says Donaldson is a poor signing is suspect at best.....I'd move him to good, frankly. That changes the numbers dramatially. And, really, if you look at the ratios, that's probably about what every other team does .....which is 100x more than TR ever did, btw. I can't draw a conclusion, fairly, unless someone does this for every FA signed, and compares to the industry......
  24. Not a particularly likely one........but I'll bite: 1B ... Kiriloff 2B Polanco SS FA 3B Donaldson, Arraez, Miranda LF Larnach, Martin, Arreaz CF Buxton, Martin RF Kepler C Garver, Jeffers, Rortverdt DH Sano, Donaldson, Larnach That's a legit offense, maybe a good D if Martin and Buxton and Kepler are the OF and the FA SS is good. SP Maeda and who the heck knows? I'm guessing one legit FA SP and a trade for a number 3 type. Ober at 4 and then probably Jax or Ryan with Winder, B, and others in AAA ready when needed. That's clearly a major issue. Major. Like, the part I don't think is fixed in one year. RP Rogers, Duffey, Alcala, Moran, Cano, 2 free agents and a whole lot of guys in AAA. That's a better team than this year, on D and O. I don't realistically think SP can be fixed in one year, but maybe they get luck in a trade and a FA signing and Ober is a legit 4.....and one of the others is a 3 or 4. I don't think so.....but I also don't think they are this bad again next year. If I had any confidence in Lewis as a SS, I'd really like their O and D in 22 and beyond (assuming they sign Buxton).....it all comes down to pitching.
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