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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    They were 3 games under on June 26. I said they needed 16 wins to buy at the deadline. They are 1-3 since and are now 5 games under .500. 23 games remain until the trade deadline. To be buyers they need to go 15-8. The peak of the probability bell curve is probably at 9-14. I don't really want to do the weighted coin probabilities right now to figure out how unlikely 15-8 (or better) is. Baseball Reference gives them a 95.5% chance of missing the postseason.
  2. DJL44
    Julien is AAA depth, like Mickey Gasper. He's there in case someone else gets hurt.
  3. DJL44
    Kody Clemens is a better choice for that role. He's already on the roster.
  4. DJL44
    WTH is a "bullprint"?
  5. DJL44
    I have a feeling you would not be a fan of Julien's "wait for the pitcher to make a mistake" approach.
  6. DJL44
    So bench Wallner or Larnach to play Julien? I don't agree.
  7. DJL44
    Which player would you bench to put Julien in the lineup? He's still bad on defense.
  8. DJL44
    And Eiberson Castellano. And Matt Canterino.
  9. DJL44
    Jackie Robinson received death threats (thousands). Hank Aaron has a whole chapter of his autobiography dedicated to the vile things people sent him in the mail. Roger Maris received death threats. Barry Bonds received death threats. The difference now is it doesn't just seem to be the major players who receive all the negative attention. Lance McCullers, Paul Sewald, Mitch Garver, Bailey Ober and Liam Hendriks are not major stars.
  10. DJL44
    It's a bet on talent over recent performance. Betting on Lewis is betting that his talent shows up quickly. If they just keep following the plan they created before the 2024 season, eventually it will work. They're not big fans of Sun Tzu.
  11. DJL44
    There is no reason to bench Kody Clemens to put Julien in the lineup.
  12. DJL44
    I wouldn't say that people experience worse today than they did previously. Fans have been abusing players verbally since the 1800s. I can't say with a straight face that the abuse they hand out today is worse than what Jackie Robinson endured in the 1950s. I do agree that people can do better. We don't have to live in a world of nasty, violent horribleness.
  13. DJL44
    The biggest problem with moving Correa to 3B is the Twins don't need a third baseman. Brooks Lee is perfectly fine at 3B and Royce Lewis can handle the position as well. Moving Correa to 3B probably means trading Correa or trading someone else. If the Yankees call about Correa at this deadline, and Correa is interested, I'd trade him and not expect much in return. He's a great ballplayer but not a good fit for the future.
  14. DJL44
    Is he going to grow out of the position as he bulks up?
  15. DJL44
    I agree that Greinke is a much bigger oversight.
  16. DJL44
    And I won't, which means you really don't care much about convincing me of anything.
  17. DJL44
    Culpepper is going to get a lot of attention, mainly because he is the only infielder in the system who looks like he could be an average glove at SS. He might fall short, but nobody else even looks close.
  18. DJL44
    You haven't proven that point. 5 runs below average is a long way from "not viable".
  19. DJL44
    American democracy has been getting things wrong for 250 years. It didn't start recently. Democracy is messy. An idea doesn't have to be good, it just needs 51% support.
  20. DJL44
    Especially when the other options will be even worse.
  21. DJL44
    Who is going to pitch in blowouts now?
  22. DJL44
    I am assuming this move doesn't happen until Culpepper is ready. Half the MLB teams have a "below average" SS on defense.
  23. DJL44
    Right now I think he needs to take one for the team and work on it in the big leagues. They don't have anyone better to use.
  24. DJL44
    Fun fact - Kody Clemens doesn't even hit arbitration until 2027. If they sell all the expiring contracts they're going to need Clemens just to play out the remaining games.
  25. DJL44
    Gabriel Gonzalez just keeps on hitting.
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