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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    That's Fangraphs.
  2. DJL44
    They filled the hole at 1B by acquiring the 37th and 43rd best first basemen of 2025.
  3. DJL44
    Manny Margot had a much more impressive career than Wagaman has had to date and was coming off a more productive previous season when the Twins acquired him.
  4. DJL44
    To be fair, this isn't a half-measure. It's more like a 1/4 measure.
  5. DJL44
    Plus Julien. They have six 13th men on the roster.
  6. DJL44
    They have $12M tied up in Josh Bell and Trevor Larnach.
  7. DJL44
    Kreidler is the only player on the 40-man roster who can play shortstop. That said, I am 99% sure that giving that 26-man roster spot to Kaelen Culpepper is a better idea.
  8. DJL44
    Clemens is one of the best defenders on the team. I'm not thrilled with this move. I would have preferred Miguel Andujar for this role. He's still available, maybe they can still add him and option Wagaman later. The fail with this move is cutting Fitzgerald and not Eddie Julien. Wagaman eliminates any role for Julien and he's out of options. I don't see how they can co-exist on the same 26-man roster.
  9. DJL44
    It probably isn't, but .360 should be good enough for him to hit leadoff. A .270/.360/.360 season would be great for Martin. I like Martin/Keaschall/Buxton in that order whether it is 1/2/3 or 9/1/2. Bell, Jeffers, Wallner and Lewis are the middle of the order with Lee and Clemens at the bottom. I think Keaschall will play 2B and Martin will play LF but they could swap positions during the course of the season. Either of them could even get games at first base. I expect Kody Clemens to get innings at 1B, 2B and LF as well.
  10. DJL44
    They also trade away short-term veterans in that same situation.
  11. DJL44
    They rushed Keaschall to the majors
  12. DJL44
    What would it take to swing a blockbuster trade with the Cardinals? Brendan Donovan, Lars Nootbaar and JoJo Romero for ??? Is Emmanuel Rodriguez, Kyle DeBarge, Riley Quick, Ryan Gallagher, Marco Raya and Billy Amick enough? How about a 1-for-1 with Roden for Nootbaar?
  13. DJL44
    They don't have to make the team better in the future, just 2026. None of the 5 players I want to cut make the team better in the future. Miguel Andujar and Isaiah Kiner-Falefa (for example) make the team better in 2026. Dump Outman and Julien and add those two. Then watch the waiver wire for players like Kody Clemens to replace Gasper and Kreidler.
  14. DJL44
    They have outfield prospects on the cusp, but no infielders above Double-A. "Bench guys" play a LOT of at-bats. Julien, Outman, Kreidler, Gasper and Fitzgerald had 500 plate appearances in 2025 for a combined WAR of -2.0. Replacing their playing time with two 1.0 WAR players adds 4 wins to the team. I saw this same argument last season. "The Twins shouldn't add Harrison Bader, they have DaShawn Keirsey on the roster already." It was a dumb argument then and looks even dumber in hindsight.
  15. DJL44
    Brendan Donovan is very available, fits in the 2026-27 window, fills a gaping hole on the roster and fits in the budget. That's the kind of move they need to make if they are serious about contending in 2026 and 2027. If the team fails to "thread the needle" he's tradeable again at the deadline. Other players who "fit the window" Taylor Walls, Hyesong Kim, Lars Nootbaar
  16. DJL44
    There are some interesting things about the Fangraphs 80-82 roster projection. 1) It depends on the Twins starting Kaelen Culpepper at SS. Culpepper projects as the 3rd most valuable player on the roster - ahead of Luke Keaschall, Ryan Jeffers and Royce Lewis. Does anyone see this front office handing Culpepper the job out of spring training? Does anyone think ZIPS might be a bit too optimistic about Culpepper's 2026? 2) It thinks Outman (1.3 WAR), Julien (1.2), Gasper (1.0), Clemens (1.0), Jackson (0.9), Pereda (0.7), Fitzgerald (0.6), Bell (0.5) and Kreidler (0.4) will all be above replacement value contributors. It estimated Keirsey Jr as a 1.0 WAR player. This is due to ZIPS regressing numbers to the mean and only estimating playing time assuming a player will actually contribute. That group combines for 7.5 WAR and I'd put the actual number much closer to zero. Making that contribution zero drops the overall projection from 80 wins to 73. There is some upside. If the Twins can replace Outman, Julien, Gasper, Fitzgerald and Kreidler with actual 1.0 WAR contributors, they can get back to 78 wins with this roster. Players like that are still floating around in free agency waiting for an opportunity.
  17. DJL44
    Trust the process....
  18. DJL44
    They could move him to the bullpen and use that to increase his velocity.
  19. DJL44
    This roster would look better if Gasper, Outman, Fitzgerald, Kreidler and Julien were replaced with better players. To truly contend they will also need better players than Jackson, Clemens, Lee, Larnach and Bell, but let's start by replacing the five AAA players with actual MLB talent.
  20. DJL44
    Please, replace all 3 with better players. Fitzgerald hasn't "earned" anything. He's a 32-year-old career minor leaguer.
  21. DJL44
    If they do want to compete in 2026-27, then they need to make some moves to make the 2026-27 team stronger at the expense of the 2028 and beyond teams. They loaded the minor leagues with tradeable prospects last summer. They can spend some of those to make the team better in the near-term. Their plan seems to be rolling the same team out again and hoping the players all magically improve.
  22. DJL44
    The Twins have Austin Martin for that same role.
  23. DJL44
    The Twins defense looks even worse than their offense. It's a team full of mediocre DH types.
  24. DJL44
    This players in the article are already too old and/or too defensively challenged to have a Hall of Fame level career. Walker Jenkins is the only player in the entire minor league system who looks like he has HoF upside and that upside becomes less likely every month he stays in the minors.
  25. DJL44
    I'm fine with trading Larnach, but the Twins can't be in the business of bringing in declining veteran players like Bell to block better, cheaper, younger players like Wallner if they want to compete. That will only lead to an expensive roster full of bad, old players.
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