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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    That is a very rosy take on a very inexperienced starting rotation and a mediocre bullpen. Even with that optimism you're just adding two top line starters and two top line relievers instead of my plan of adding three of each. Adding those players as free agents is still going to cost $65M in payroll. This pitching staff is really bad, only better than the Orioles in the American League. In 5 seasons for this front office the best free agent pitcher they have added is Michael Pineda.
  2. DJL44
    Sure. I bet they can win 80 games if everything goes right. That's a 10% improvement. The other assets (Rogers, Garver, Buxton) that could have been traded at the deadline were all injured. The pitching staff has five pitchers returning with a WAR > 0.5. Bailey Ober is currently the staff ace. They need to add 3 starting pitchers as good as Berrios and three relievers as good as Rogers if they actually want to win a playoff series. That's more than a couple solid additions, that's a complete overhaul. To get pitchers as good as Berrios in trade will cost at least as much as they got for Berrios. Signing three starting pitchers that good in free agency will add $75M to the payroll. 2022 is a rebuilding year. If it that didn't happen after trading Berrios it certainly happened when they lost Maeda for the season.
  3. DJL44
    That is a terrible idea. The Twins would be much better off trading Garver to a team that wants him behind the plate than they would be using Garver as their full time DH. He's still an average defender at catcher. As a DH he loses half his value.
  4. DJL44
    Braves
  5. DJL44
    They did trade more than Berrios. They traded Cruz, Happ and Robles. They should have traded Pineda. Buxton, Garver and Rogers were all injured at the trade deadline.
  6. DJL44
    The Twins are pretty obviously rebuilding in 2022 or they wouldn't have traded Berrios. That means trading the older, more expensive player (Garver) as they look toward competing in 2023. Garver will be 32 in 2023. The 2022 catcher free agent market is not good. A contending team will want Garver's bat at catcher.
  7. DJL44
    If you want to contend you want (or most likely already have) someone better than Sano. In the offseason you can usually find someone just as good for a lot less money. The only hope of a trade is for another equal player at a different position. I don't see an equal shortstop on another team with a $10M contract so a trade is unlikely.
  8. DJL44
    Jordan Gore is showing a lot of potential for such a late conversion to pitching. He might end up on the 40 man roster.
  9. DJL44
    I'd actually argue the opposite. They should bring in a bunch of the leftovers on the free agent market on minor league contracts. Volatility also means that sometimes those pitchers figure it out and get better. Low risk, high reward. You can never have enough pitching.
  10. DJL44
    When they traded Berrios the Twins punted on 2022. Rogers is a free agent after 2022. There is no practical difference between winning 75 games and winning 68 games in 2022. Trading Taylor Rogers could make the organization better in the long run at the expense of a few wins in 2022. Same goes for Duffey and Thielbar.
  11. DJL44
    It's not really to free up cash. It's recognizing that there aren't going to be very many leads to protect if they don't get any starting pitching. What's the point of a closer if all the games are over before inning 6? Ultimately it's the fact that he's currently injured that is likely to keep Rogers with the Twins to start next season.
  12. DJL44
    Non-tender is unlikely but trading Taylor Rogers is a strong possibility. A closer who makes $8-9 million is a luxury on a team that doesn't have a #1 or #2 starter on the roster.
  13. DJL44
    I think Celestino's stats at St. Paul are quite promising. Don't forget that he's younger than Jose Miranda.
  14. DJL44
    The tidbit on Bechtold was interesting. If he can catch he's a prospect.
  15. DJL44
    Looking for a reclamation project? Kohei Arihara was designated for assignment. He is 29, only costs $2.5M for next season and has a long track record of success in Japan. I'd rather see him get a few starts before the season ends than Andrew Albers or Nick Vincent. He could also be relief conversion project this offseason.
  16. DJL44
    I'm going to guess he can't turn the pivot on the double play anymore.
  17. DJL44
    Did people already forget that 2020 was a 60 game season?
  18. DJL44
    He reminds me a lot of Shannon Stewart - LF who gets on base all the damned time.
  19. DJL44
    I often get frustrated with the discussion here. The Twins need to get good players, not just get a bargain price for a player. It reminds me of my Scandinavian farmer relatives. They love to go to auctions and get "good deals". Then they end up with two sheds filled with junk nobody else wants. One of them is building a new shed to store some more of these auction treasures. This team has the resources to run a $150M payroll. They play in one of the easiest divisions in baseball. Do they want to win in the playoffs or try to be the cheapest 85 win team in the major leagues? Do the fans want to see a team that wins a playoff series or a team that contends for the Wild Card until the end of September as long as nobody is a big showoff making lots of money? They desperately need a shortstop and the free agent market is full of them.
  20. DJL44
    A 750 OPS is roughly a 110 OPS+. The Twins would be THRILLED to have that production at SS right now. Coupled with his above average defense you get a a 3 WAR SS (and you're being intentionally pessimistic).
  21. DJL44
    Story only wants 4 years at $20M each? Yes, please. That's a bargain basement price for a 28 year old who has played like an All-Star 3 of the past 4 seasons.
  22. DJL44
    I can and do often. I don't play the lottery but I'll buy a beverage if I'm thirsty.
  23. DJL44
    I think the Twins still believe in Royce Lewis as the starter for several years but probably want to get him some time in AAA next season since he's coming back from a lost season. There is a cheap, glove-first SS option who will be available as a free agent. Freddy Galvis has been as productive as Simmons with a much smaller paycheck.
  24. DJL44
    Sometimes, but not often, you win when you buy a lottery ticket. The Yankees won on this scratcher.
  25. DJL44
    If you cherry pick your first baseman's best 75 game stretch and he still only has an 800 OPS while playing awful defense he's probably not that great.
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