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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Adding a lefty in the rotation to replace Sonny Gray would give a different look that could especially come in handy during the playoffs. Here are three options who will not cost much to acquire. 1) Chris Sale - Boston has a new person at the top of the organization and I'm guessing they will want to overhaul the roster. Sale was effective in 2023 while throwing over 100 innings for the first time since 2019. He will be 35 years old in 2024 but the contract is just a one year $27.5M commitment with a $20M vesting option that will only vest if Sale has a great season. The Twins have the pitching depth to cover his inevitable trip to the injured list. 2) Robbie Ray - Like Sale, Robbie Ray offers Cy Young winner upside with injury risk downside. Ray had ligament replacement surgery and won't be available until the latter half of the 2024 season. The Mariners got along just fine without him last season and should be willing to offload the 3 years and $72M they have committed to his ages 32-34 seasons. Just like with Sale the Twins have depth to cover for Ray's injury rehab. If Ray pitches really well he's likely to opt out from his contract and it would be just a one year rental. 3) Kyle Freeland - The longtime Rockies starter turns 31 next season and has 3 years, $47M left on his contract. His strikeout rate has been dropping but he may be able to bounce back by leaving the thin air of Colorado and joining an organization that uses pitching analytics to improve performance. If not, he could continue his role as an innings eating 3/4 starter for the Twins.
  2. DJL44
    Switch hitting means his bat will take longer to develop than if he was only working on one swing. It will take time to get him enough reps as a RHB to determine whether he's ready for the next level.
  3. DJL44
    The AAA robot strike zone was noted to be narrower than the actual rule book zone. It didn't call strikes on the black of the plate. That probably hurt W-R. With his velocity he needs to live on the edge of the zone to be successful.
  4. DJL44
    He's a great athlete with a bright future but right now he needs reps in AAA. If we see him before the All-Star break that would likely mean bad injury news for the players on the 40 man roster. The plan should be to add enough depth that he can continue to develop playing every day in the minors.
  5. DJL44
    Wallner can actually hit an off-speed pitch. Gallo can't anymore.
  6. DJL44
    I've got data. From the 1970s to the 2000s (a span of 40 seasons) CF and 3B have basically the same OPS+. 3-D Baseball: OPS by Position and Decade
  7. DJL44
    3B and CF are basically the same on the defensive spectrum. CF has a slight advantage that LH throwing isn't an issue which helps with scarcity by providing a lot of athletic lefthanded hitters.
  8. DJL44
    I'm hopeful that Matt Canterino is a rookie who will improve the roster in 2024.
  9. DJL44
    Still a chance to add a little velocity. Even 1 MPH average increase would help a lot.
  10. DJL44
    Hubbard owns broadcast stations in Rochester and Duluth. It's relatively easy for cable stations anywhere in the state of MN to add channel 45 to their basic packages. I watched several Saints games on the CW network this summer. They're owned by Sinclair. A less satisfactory compromise would be to show some Twins games locally on the CW and all of them on BSN. Outside of that, the solution is to end blackouts on MLB.tv. That would make Twins games available for the upper midwest at a much lower cost than the cable package currently required to see Twins games. Streaming is the solution for everyone not in the broadcast area. It makes the TV package less lucrative but the Twins should be more concerned with increasing viewership than making every last cent off this next contract.
  11. DJL44
    PBS is not going to ask people for money to pay for the rights to show the Twins. Baseball is going to be on television in order to sell advertising. I watch a lot of TPT (nature, biography and history) and the pledge drive programming is mostly terrible.
  12. DJL44
    Another option to fill Solano's role is Jorge Polanco.
  13. DJL44
    If they want him back in next season's rotation (see Martin Perez) he's probably worth a QO. I think Paddack took Maeda's spot and they're going to want someone as good as Gray to replace Gray.
  14. DJL44
    Other veteran bat options who wouldn't cost much to acquire: Ty France Whit Merrifield Tyler O'Neill JD Davis fun fact: Adolis Garcia was DFA off the 40 man roster twice in his career
  15. DJL44
    The Twins are seeing a lot of success developing pitchers. Varland, Ober and Festa are all producing far better than the consensus believed. I'm glad they drafted pitcher heavy last summer so they can have more development successes.
  16. DJL44
    Baseball viewership is very regional. People in Minnesota are much more likely to watch the Twins than an MLB game featuring two other teams. The NFL doesn't have as much drop off. But people DO watch if they can watch their local team. Local baseball broadcasts, even with the rules restricting viewership, are routinely the highest rated programs during the summer. If MLB focuses on growing their audience they could get 4-5x the viewers. This will only help attendance and TV ratings for the MLB playoffs. They've been eating their seed corn for years. Now it's time to plant some of it.
  17. DJL44
    That's the whole point. If it's local you can get it over the air, over basic cable or satellite in the broadcast footprint of the station. If you choose to subscribe to MLB.tv you can watch there instead. As long as you're watching the advertising the Twins make money.
  18. DJL44
    KSTC-TV - Wikipedia
  19. DJL44
    Or subscribing to MLB.tv. One benefit of broadcasting locally is the games would end up on basic cable, not an expensive sports tier.
  20. DJL44
    That's why you have the local broadcast partner. Do you really think someone halfway across the country is going to pick the Twins to watch over the other MLB teams? You have local teams because there is enough population locally to draw 2 million fans to the stadium. People from Montana are NOT part of that local population for the Twins. If they're baseball fans they will subscribe to MLB.tv to watch baseball. If they're just looking for something random to watch on TV they can watch a nationally televised game on Fox.
  21. DJL44
    One interesting tidbit - the national TV money went up enough in the most recent contract to cover whatever decrease in local TV money they might see. There's no way their 2024 TV revenue is less than their 2020 TV revenue.
  22. DJL44
    If they've apparently never heard of baseball before and need to decide if they enjoy it the people in Montana have several options. They can watch the nationally televised games on FOX or the free game of the day on MLB.tv. Then once they decide on a team to follow, they should be able to pick whichever team they want. MLB shouldn't care if they're watching the Twins, the Mariners, the Rockies or the Marlins in Montana as long as they subscribe. Streaming revenue should be shared equally across all 30 teams.
  23. DJL44
    They all have sub-channels showing 30 year old reruns that would work for broadcasting the Twins. Channel 45 would be a great fit for Twins games.
  24. DJL44
    Montana can just subscribe to MLB.tv if they want. The key to this is EVERYONE should be able to subscribe to MLB.tv and see the Twins, regardless of where they live.
  25. DJL44
    Even a local broadcast contract would bring in tens of millions of dollars. MLB needs to offer multiple options - over the air, on basic cable and streaming. Get as many people watching as possible and take a cut of the advertising revenue. Increased TV viewership will also increase demand for in-person attendance as part of a virtuous cycle. I think Boston bundled game tickets with their year-long streaming subscription. That's another way to increase revenue creatively.
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