DJL44
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Everything posted by DJL44
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Contemplating Gio Urshela’s Final Arbitration Year
DJL44 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Leaving aside the nitpick of "that's not how replacement level works" I am curious about the defensive value of Urshela and 2021 Platinum Glove winner Carlos Correa. Both pass the eye test, making the plays they should make when you're watching them in the field and often making standout athletic plays. Both also are each having one of their worst defensive seasons by more than one metric. I wonder if there is something in the shifting the Twins do that is causing the poor ratings. MLB Team Fielder Positioning | baseballsavant.com The Twins shift the 3rd most against lefties which will leave Urshela by himself to cover the whole left side of the infield. They also have one of the worst wOBA against lefties. Not having a LH starting pitcher can't help there. They don't shift particularly often (compared to the league as a whole) against RH batters and their wOBA against is better than average. -
Twins Minor League Report (8/24): Edouard Julien is Him
DJL44 replied to Andrew Mahlke's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
The plan to replace Cave/Beckham has already started Beckham should be outrighted by September 1. They're not going to add Julien because (assuming Larnach returns) they would be burning an option on him before the season is through. Julien should be playing everyday somewhere and is likely to see AAA in September simply because the Double-A season ends earlier.- 30 replies
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- edouard julien
- cody laweryson
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Twins Minor League Report (8/24): Edouard Julien is Him
DJL44 replied to Andrew Mahlke's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Wallner has a .202/.326/.342 slash line in AAA. Julien has yet to play a game at that level. I'm not sure people understand how big of a jump it is from AA to the big leagues. If you aren't one of the 10 best players in AA you're probably not ready for the majors. This feels like all the football posts you see with people begging for the backup QB. Then once they actually see the backup QB in action they're begging for the starter to return.- 30 replies
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- edouard julien
- cody laweryson
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Twins Minor League Report (8/24): Edouard Julien is Him
DJL44 replied to Andrew Mahlke's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Isola isn't even a starting catcher in AA. Players who start at catcher in the big leagues play more than 20 games there in the minors the season before. He's played more games at DH and at 1B than C. He should probably win the job in Wichita before you hand him the job in Minneapolis.- 30 replies
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- edouard julien
- cody laweryson
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Is Carlos Correa Really Going to Get Paid?
DJL44 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Correa's offensive rate stats look pretty good. He's missed 20 games due to a bruised finger and COVID. His defensive numbers have not been as impressive but I wonder how much of that is the Twins defensive positioning versus where the Astros positioned him.- 45 replies
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- carlos correa
- trea turner
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Please, for the love of baseball, don't try to rely more heavily on the guy with the 88 MPH fastball.
- 38 replies
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- dylan bundy
- michael fulmer
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Twins Minor League Report (8/24): Edouard Julien is Him
DJL44 replied to Andrew Mahlke's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I think that might be part of the problem. The Twins would like to develop him more as a second baseman but his bat is ahead of his glove right now. His bat is ready for AAA but his glove probably isn't. They will need to make a decision on his future positions at fall instructionals. If he isn't making improvement at 2B it's probably time to move him to LF. Unfortunately they have to make the same decision on Austin Martin who isn't a SS but keeps playing most of his games there.- 30 replies
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- edouard julien
- cody laweryson
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Are Reinforcements Close Enough for the Twins?
DJL44 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Michael Conforto is still available. He'd be a huge help but my guess is he's holding out for a better team to make an offer.- 41 replies
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- trevor larnach
- kenta maeda
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Is Carlos Correa Really Going to Get Paid?
DJL44 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
For the next 2 seasons he's definitely worth $35M per season. He will provide that much value this year and I think he's underperforming his potential.- 45 replies
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- carlos correa
- trea turner
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Is Carlos Correa Really Going to Get Paid?
DJL44 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The Cubs will also be looking.- 45 replies
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- carlos correa
- trea turner
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Is Carlos Correa Really Going to Get Paid?
DJL44 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If he opts out he's not going to do worse than Trevor Story did. That's 6 years, $140M. However, if he stays he's guaranteed 2 years $70M. If those are his only options he should bet on himself and opt into the Twins deal, knowing he can find a deal that beats 4 years, $70M in two seasons. Realistically he should probably opt in unless he can get at least 6 years $180M this offseason.- 45 replies
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- carlos correa
- trea turner
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Twins Minor League Report (8/23): Tough Sledding Tuesday
DJL44 replied to Steve Lein's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I suppose they could have called up Contreras. He's the only other healthy position player on the 40 man roster.- 11 replies
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- dalton shuffield
- miguel olivares
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Twins Minor League Report (8/23): Tough Sledding Tuesday
DJL44 replied to Steve Lein's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
By positional flexibility do you mean that he's a bad defender at more than one position? Looks like another Brent Rooker.- 11 replies
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- dalton shuffield
- miguel olivares
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Are Reinforcements Close Enough for the Twins?
DJL44 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
No, not really- 41 replies
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- trevor larnach
- kenta maeda
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If Correa finishes the season with the same production he has had all year he'll finish with 4.5 WAR. $35M is the going rate for that kind of production.
- 56 replies
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- byron buxton
- sonny gray
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Leadership Seems Lacking as Twins Look Lifeless
DJL44 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Inflation has taken most of the discretionary money out of people's budgets. They should be doing deep discounts on the cheap seats to get people into games but I think they're afraid discounts will eventually make it to the expensive seats if they devalue the cheapest tickets.- 47 replies
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- byron buxton
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And yet, they were clearly outperforming the other options in AAA. People should remember that when they say "fire player XX and call someone up from the minors"
- 56 replies
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- byron buxton
- sonny gray
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3 Reasons the Twins Farm System Ranking Continues to Drop
DJL44 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Part of the problem is they are incredibly reliant on the MLB draft to fill the pitching pipeline. They are getting nothing from their international scouting.- 45 replies
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- royce lewis
- emmanuel rodriguez
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Are Reinforcements Close Enough for the Twins?
DJL44 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Agreed, but Dobnak has started the process. He should be up first, and considering they are depending on Aaron Sanchez to start at the moment he could be useful.- 41 replies
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- trevor larnach
- kenta maeda
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Leadership Seems Lacking as Twins Look Lifeless
DJL44 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Classic projection. "I'm angry about the team losing, and if I don't see Rocco screaming and yelling and throwing a temper tantrum every day then he doesn't care about winning and losing." The manager is not there to mirror the emotions of the fans. He's there to prepare the team to win. I don't know about you but if my manager yelled and screamed at me all day I'd quit. Throwing a temper tantrum because your team is losing is poor management. Rocco might not be manager of the year but at least he's not an immature hothead who will quickly alienate his players.- 47 replies
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- byron buxton
- carlos correa
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Leadership Seems Lacking as Twins Look Lifeless
DJL44 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
They should call this the "backup QB fallacy"- 47 replies
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- byron buxton
- carlos correa
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Leadership Seems Lacking as Twins Look Lifeless
DJL44 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
16th in defense and 23rd in pitching. They've made moves to improve the pitching but not the defense.- 47 replies
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- byron buxton
- carlos correa
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Leadership Seems Lacking as Twins Look Lifeless
DJL44 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think people need to be careful about projecting their feelings onto other people's motivations. The players are professionals and I'm sure they're putting in the necessary work. They don't have the talent. I'm actually impressed with how much value Rocco has been able to squeeze out of Chris Archer and Dylan Bundy. I didn't think Griffin Jax would be this good in the bullpen. They ended last season with rookie Joe Ryan and that's about it for a pitching staff. 54-70 one year ago, 62-57 this season. That's a huge improvement. It is frustrating that this division is so weak and they aren't taking advantage of it but the talent is just mediocre.- 47 replies
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- byron buxton
- carlos correa
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Leadership Seems Lacking as Twins Look Lifeless
DJL44 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Wasn't he injured?- 47 replies
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- byron buxton
- carlos correa
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