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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Agreed, but there is also going to be a lot of noise in SB numbers. The pitcher matters, the runner matters, catchers only get about half the games for a team. With Jeffers you're talking about 38 stolen base attempts in 2022. Nobody would expect OBP to tell the whole story after 38 at-bats. With that small amount of data you're probably better off with a stopwatch measuring pop time and estimating. Even for his career it's 103 stolen base attempts. You can get some information about batting after 103 at-bats. Then we have the unknown of how Jeffers would do if he stopped setting up with a leg out and set up in a crouch instead to stop the running game when there is a fast baserunner.
  2. DJL44
    Then they'll probably tell Jeffers to set up in a crouch.
  3. DJL44
    Sounds like a future billionaire.
  4. DJL44
    A strong defensive catcher who hits .250 is a borderline All-Star. The league hit .243 last season.
  5. DJL44
    Drew Millas is probably the best Rule 5 option behind the plate. If they want him they should trade for him and option him to AAA. I don't think he's ready for the big leagues.
  6. DJL44
    He's coached to frame the ball low as much as possible, including receiving the ball with a leg out instead of in a crouch. That decision affects his ability to block and his pop time to second base. I think Jeffers could adjust and improve in these areas if the team wanted him to do so. They'd rather have him framing low pitches for strikes. I keep going back to Jeffers' actual stats for base stealing. He was 3 bases below league average. Not runs, but bases allowed. If he's "terrible" then the average MLB catcher is also "terrible". With base stealing at a 50 year low I doubt the catchers are that bad at throwing out baserunners. It's far more likely that teams only attempt to steal with elite baserunners. I would love to see the team sign Vazquez. I enjoyed watching him play during the postseason (which also showcased the elite skills of Realmuto). I agree the team needs to add AAA depth as well.
  7. DJL44
    My question is whether he had good mechanics that deteriorated or he's always had bad mechanics and it's just catching up to him now.
  8. DJL44
    They also have the option of giving him a qualifying offer after he is done with arbitration. Most #2/#3 starters are worth a 1 year qualifying offer.
  9. DJL44
    It's a better idea than locking up Randy Dobnak. I think they can wait a year before making this move. He's under control for the peak of his career so the reason to do this is to keep arbitration costs down.
  10. DJL44
    Reducing demand does not usually increase the price
  11. DJL44
    The catchers market usually moves first but I think Sean Murphy may have to get traded before there is any real movement.
  12. DJL44
    Unfortunately his performance didn't improve in the bullpen last season. Too many walks, not enough command of the strike zone.
  13. DJL44
    He's already controlled for 3 more years through arbitration. The reason to do an extension is to buy out a free agent year or two. That would mean a 4 or 5 year contract and/or some sort of team options.
  14. DJL44
    I was trying to figure out a comp for Arraez. There are so few players like Arraez but John Kruk feels like a good comparable. Kruk had high batting averages, modest power, bad knees and was a short first baseman. He managed to play to age 34. I don't see a lot of risk locking up Arraez until age 30.
  15. DJL44
    A good contract extension makes him more tradeable, not less.
  16. DJL44
    The Twins will lose leverage every season after this one. It's a lot easier to say "no" to an extension when you have $7M in your pocket than when you only have $2M. 5 years, $50M could be enough to get him to sign. His arbitration awards could go $5M/$10M/$15M - that's 3/$20M so you would be tacking on 2 years $30M. [Edit, That's actually 3 years $30M, 2 more years at $20M seems light] His lack of power and bad knees are going to keep him from getting paid silly money as a free agent. The Twins were able to get Polanco and Kepler to sign for a lot less than I expected.
  17. DJL44
    Coming off injury I'd plan on getting no more than 140 innings out of Maeda and 125 seems like a better target.
  18. DJL44
    Athletic has a writeup on Julien. I'm not a subscriber so I can't see it. Ten Arizona Fall League prospects scouts liked most, plus 5 who left mixed impressions - The Athletic
  19. DJL44
    Arraez is the only player on this list they should pursue a long-term contract with. Even then I think I'd do a Brian Dozier type deal that only buys out a year or two after arbitration.
  20. DJL44
    He should get a Qualifying Offer of around $20M if he finishes the season healthy. That's not too much to pay for one season. There is little incentive for the Twins to give him an extension right now or for Gray to accept. That decision will happen in the next offseason.
  21. DJL44
    I agree that he will adjust but I'm not sure he ever gets back to the performance we saw in July. They know what he likes to hit and they aren't going to give it to him. If he can get back to an 800 OPS he should be a useful player.
  22. DJL44
    Why do you think the C is red?
  23. DJL44
    Why would anyone want to sign Pagan to a multi-year deal? Glad he turned them down.
  24. DJL44
    I hope this is why they added Legumina. Farmer isn't great but they needed a utility player who can actually play SS.
  25. DJL44
    He only has to play 3B until Royce Lewis is ready to come up. Not sure how 3B is more taxing than 1B for someone's knees.
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