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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Actually, WAR overrates relievers by giving them credit for leverage. WPA is a completely useless garbage stat. Think back to last year in the playoffs when Carlos Correa made the outstanding pickoff play at SS WPA says "Great Job, Sonny Gray!" When Correa threw out Bichette at home WPA says "Fantastic Work, Pablo Lopez!" Any stat that ignores defense completely and assigns all run prevention to the pitchers is a junk stat.
  2. DJL44
    Nice story. Terry Ryan was a class act. Who lets a colleague take his job (Bill Smith) and go back to a supporting role these days? Terry Ryan was an "org guy" in the best sense of the word.
  3. DJL44
    If you want to look back at where things were last April.
  4. DJL44
    Last spring the plan was "Buxton is going to DH". This is a definite improvement.
  5. DJL44
    At Twinsfest yesterday Buxton announced that the knee is much improved, and he expects to be back in CF this season. Byron Buxton to play center field for Twins in 2024 (mlb.com)
  6. DJL44
    Do you want Ubaldo Jimenez in, too? He's the only pitcher to throw one for the Rockies. Santana should be in the Hall of Fame because he was the best pitcher in baseball for a 5-year stretch and put up 4 additional good seasons. Being the only Met to throw a no-hitter (and he isn't anymore) is a trivia answer.
  7. DJL44
    Billy Wagner choked in the playoffs and then blamed his teammates.
  8. DJL44
    "Sign all the best hitters" is not a viable strategy for assembling a team unless you're the Dodgers.
  9. DJL44
    If we're hell bent on putting relievers in the Hall instead of starting pitchers (which is just upside-down bizzaro world if you ask me) and Joe Nathan deserves to be in then so do these guys John Franco, Tom Gordon, Roberto Hernandez, Tom Henke, John Hiller, Kent Tekulve, Ellis Kinder, John Wetteland, Sparky Lyle, Dan Quisenberry, Francisco Rodriguez, Jesse Orosco, Jonathan Papelbon, Troy Percival, Mike Marshall, Roy Face and Jeff Reardon. That level of performance is not as rare as most people think it is.
  10. DJL44
    The pitchers are better. They throw 4 to 5 MPH harder on average and breaking pitches are better (more sliders and cut fastballs). The 1970s were the "sinker/slider" era and Mathews was retired by then. The slider: A concise history - ESPN
  11. DJL44
    Which makes it worthless for comparisons because they added in the garbage stat WPA.
  12. DJL44
    It's the other way around. Joe Nathan proves that Billy Wagner doesn't deserve to be elected to the Hall of Fame. It is a sick joke that Johan Santana, a much better pitcher, was summarily dismissed while Wagner is on the precipice of election.
  13. DJL44
    MLB pitchers struck out about half as many during Mathews' career. 15% is above league average for that era (13.5% was average in 1960). Are you saying players should strive to strike out at rates above league average?
  14. DJL44
    I'm more interested in Carlos Santana and Brandon Belt than these two guys.
  15. DJL44
    The Twins are going to produce half the second basemen in MLB at this rate
  16. DJL44
    The lowest price franchises are worth $1.1B and they have a much less favorable home market. The Brewers are valued higher than the Twins despite having a smaller market to draw from. The Cardinals and Mariners are each worth $2.2B which tells you what a well-run mid-market franchise is worth,
  17. DJL44
    Both Arizona and Baltimore won because they turned out a helluva lot of cheap talent in a short period of time. Let's see if they can sustain that or if they'll be rebuilding again shortly. At a $150M payroll they can afford to keep some of their own talent through the first years of what would be free agency with contract extensions (Kepler, Polanco). At $100M that isn't possible (see Tampa) and at $120M it means they have to be perfect when handing out those extensions. If it is only a 1 year hiccup then it's even more stupid. No business has to make money every single year. It's common practice for a baseball team to take a short-term loss to try to win a World Series. It shows a nearsighted focus on short term gain at the expense of building durable franchise value.
  18. DJL44
    I really wish fewer of my neighbors sounded exactly like Tom Hanson. Stu has his finger on the pulse of the North Metro Ignoramus.
  19. DJL44
    The Twins have Polanco and Kepler on team friendly contracts and we hear constant rumors about trading them because of budget concerns. They haven't offered a long-term contract to a pitcher other than Pablo Lopez. There is some hyperbole in my comments but they cannot expect to field a contending team on a $120M payroll unless the farm system is consistently turning out talent - at least 3 major leaguers a year.
  20. DJL44
    Because a team that won't spend money has to keep trading players by the time they get to their second year of arbitration.
  21. DJL44
    Detroit has room in the budget to add at the deadline. I don't see them having a fire sale that gives the Twins the division title like Cleveland did last year.
  22. DJL44
    A team that hits .200 with power beats the hell out of one hitting .220 with no power.
  23. DJL44
    I don't buy that explanation. What the Dodgers and Yankees do in free agency doesn't change the value equation for the Twins. Free agent prices are up because MLB revenues are up. The prices at the beginning of free agency are higher than at the end because there are more bidders. It's simple supply and demand.
  24. DJL44
    Unless they continually find 3-5 rookies who can contribute it kind of needs to happen every year. You can't have a contending team with just 3 good players. I understand dialing back spending when your team isn't good but not when it was just 2 wins away from the ALCS.
  25. DJL44
    I can guarantee that MLB is not going to turn into a bunt-and-run deadball league within a year. Dingers sell tickets.
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