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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. All you need to know about the Twins offense is that they're trying to paper over both 2B and 1B with Kody Clemens.
  2. Wallner has been fighting through it lately, but there isn't anyone in St. Paul I'd prefer to have on the team. Should they bring back Jonah Bride?
  3. The Mets have one of the top 10 prospects at 1B and he's definitely blocked.
  4. Keaschall has 22 recorded games at 1B, which is about as many as he has at 3B, and each OF position. He's mostly played 2B (145 games).
  5. A team might also remember how good Paddack was in the bullpen and convert him back to relief.
  6. I'm probably on the same page as you, but I think there is value in being just okay next year if they do it with young talent instead of veteran retreads. That's how you build a contender for 2027. If they're a wild-card contender, but they're doing it with Festa and Matthews in the rotation, Prielipp and Raya in the bullpen, Gonzalez and Rodriguez in the outfield, Keaschall in the infield and a promising young catcher, that's more exciting. They can take the next step forward in 2027.
  7. If you're looking to AAA for offensive help, you'll be pretty disappointed. Jose Miranda has been terrible and shouldn't be in the discussion at all. Eddie Julien is the exact same player they sent down a few months ago because he wasn't as good as Kody Clemens. Aaron Sabato is sufficiently challenged by AAA pitching. The best player on the Saints at the moment is Jonah Bride. Mickey Gasper might be worth giving another shot, but he's currently getting a lot of time at catcher and he won't get that in MLB. Keaschall is a good idea when he returns. Until then it looks like a Clemens/France platoon. Willi Castro isn't a bad idea. He's good enough on the dirt and the Twins have more options in the OF.
  8. 75 catchers out of ~150 picks * 8 seasons = 6.25% 2 catchers out of 26 players on the roster = 7.7% I'm going to guess that drafts are about 50% pitchers, 19% infielders, 19% outfielders and 8% catchers. Catcher is also a position that seems more likely to have an international free agent than other positions. I think it would be interesting if the Twins brought over the best catcher from Japan. That's an untapped market for catcher talent.
  9. You sell at the trade deadline and buy in the offseason. Get the best prospects available in July, trade for areas of need in December/January.
  10. <10% is baseball reference. Their 90% confidence interval is 73 to 86 wins and a median projection of 80-82. 2025 Major League Baseball Playoff Odds | Baseball-Reference.com It's a mediocre team with a below average offense, about to have someone else get injured (someone always gets injured) and miss part of the season.
  11. Raya missed his window. If he had put together this streak a month ago he would have been promoted instead of Travis Adams. Now it looks like Zebby will be back before Raya gets a shot.
  12. No, neither one would change my mind that this team is not built for the playoffs. The bats are not good enough. They're trying to patch over both 1B and 2B with Kody Clemens. That's already figured into their 9.6% chance at a playoff spot and 0.1% chance to win the World Series. I'm not someone who bets with less than 10% odds of success. That's ironic. The Tigers succeeded because they sold the veterans at the deadline and went with their younger talent. If the Twins make the playoffs, it will mean Correa and Lewis started playing like All-Stars, not because they hung onto Willi Castro, Brock Stewart and Chris Paddack.
  13. I'm interested in actually competing and this sub-.500 team isn't going to go anywhere. I'd much rather build for next year than hope for this year. They have a 10% chance at making the playoffs right now (which means a 90% chance they won't). Besides, I think they players they are likely to sell (Castro, Paddack, Coulombe, Stewart, Bader, France) are mostly replaceable from within. Paddack is their 7th best starting pitcher. Castro makes boneheaded mistakes regularly. Coulombe doesn't face more than 3 batters in an inning. Stewart can't hold runners on base. These are not critical pieces. Bader is the only guy they'll truly miss, so maybe they hold onto him and hope they can negotiate a new contract. Their season success, this season and next, rests on Buxton, Correa, Lewis, Ryan, Lopez, Duran, Jax, etc. It's irrelevant if they keep Chris Paddack if Carlos Correa continues to suck at the plate.
  14. Elon University? These guys are probably underslot. I think Kalai Rosario was also a Hawaii Gatorade player of the year.
  15. I would not be surprised to see Gonzalez in St. Paul in August, if not sooner. He's up to 200 plate appearances of hitting the snot out of the ball in Double-A.
  16. 12 games until the trade deadline. 6 vs playoff teams and 6 vs cellar dwellers. To get to .500 they need to go 7-5.
  17. Can we do a bait-and-switch on all the teams who want Duran and Jax and sell them Brock Stewart and Danny Coulombe instead?
  18. $4 tickets were too good to pass up so I ended up a the Saints game last night. It was "bring your dog" night but my dog is very bad around other dogs, very old and struggling with the smoke in the air so he stayed home. Jonah Bride was good on both sides of the ball, made a couple good defensive plays. I was excited to see Emmanuel Rodriguez. He has a very explosive swing. The first hit he had pinballed off first base (the actual base) and the umpire before ending up in RF. Unfortunately, I think he hurt himself swinging and missing in his second at-bat. That usually means a core injury. Trent Baker was not good; he kept falling behind batters at the bottom of the Cubs' order. Gillispie was meh but he threw strikes. Jose Miranda looks lousy. His batting average has slipped below .200 now. He's not squaring up pitches consistently and when he does they go right to a fielder. McCusker has a lot of levers to pull in the same direction but when he makes contact it is loud. Eeles must live in the weight room when he's not on the field. His lower half is huge for his height. Sabato missed a backhand scoop on a ball in the infield. Not an easy chance, but something a top fielding 1B would have converted. He's at the right level for his development - no reason to rush him. Gasper had a nice block behind the plate, otherwise I hardly noticed him which is good for a catcher. I didn't get to see Austin Martin. Does he get Saturday nights off?
  19. There are a few more - reach on error, fielder's choice, catcher's interference (the tough one to get) https://sabr.org/journal/article/was-there-a-seven-way-game-seven-ways-of-reaching-first-base/ If Buxton hadn't put up a cycle himself the story would have been the team cycle in the 2nd inning.
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