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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Hope that they will amount to much with the bat: nobody Hope that they will amount to much with the glove: Keirsey High confidence they will be a great glove, no bat: Bader
  2. DJL44
    I agree. That's why they can't afford to give scholarships to Martin, Keirsey and Helman. They should already be passing over those guys in favor of Luke Keaschall and Emmanuel Rodriguez if they're looking for upside.
  3. DJL44
    Margot would have been a lot more useful if he could still field like he could at his peak. "Margot was a bad veteran addition so the team should never make veteran additions again" is a terrible knee-jerk reactionary take.
  4. DJL44
    Taylor kept the Twins from using Andrew Stevenson as their starting CF in 2023.
  5. DJL44
    Was it a problem that they had to roster Michael A Taylor for the whole season in 2023?
  6. DJL44
    Bader is one of the few CF who are good enough that it would probably make sense to move Buxton to a corner when they're both in the game at the same time.
  7. DJL44
    Like, a LOT, LOT, LOT better defense. Bader is a 95th percentile outfielder and Martin is a 5th percentile outfielder. It's like saying "Byron Buxton is basically Jorge Soler with better defense."
  8. DJL44
    Unlikely he does it as well as Bader.
  9. DJL44
    With Kepler gone there is a real need for another outfielder who can play defense. I see Laureano as a 2+ WAR upgrade on their current backup outfielder options (Martin, Keirsey, Helman) and they can probably sign him for $4M. There is nowhere else on the roster where they can upgrade that much for that little money. If they don't get Laureano they need to obtain someone a lot like him. Ty France, like Josh Bell, is another 1B option who is a downgrade on Jose Miranda. If he wants to try to convert to catcher in AAA then I'm good with giving him a minor league deal.
  10. DJL44
    Martin's defense can only get better because it would be really difficult for him to be worse than how awful he was last season. He's still unlikely to be as good as Laureano in the outfield. Laureano can catch the ball. That's why Laureano's worst full season in the majors is 2 WAR better than Martin was last season.
  11. DJL44
    Twins pitchers were terrible at holding runners. They didn't even try.
  12. DJL44
    You're not arguing with me. You're arguing with the Statcast baserunning metrics. Typically 10 runs = 1 WAR. The metrics say the difference between the best and worst baserunners is 0.5 WAR. That seems low to me, and it is lower than other baserunning calculators (including other calculators from Statcast) which see a 1 -2 WAR difference between worst and best over the length of a season. The standard deviation of this metric is really low. Most of value in baserunning is not running into extra outs. Getting caught stealing or trying to take the extra base is one of the biggest killers of rallies. Slow and fast players are regressed to the mean by the fact that you only have to be fast enough to make it to the next base and in most situations the player can't be fast enough to take two bases instead of one. Plus, with as much scoring by HR as there is in modern MLB the main thing that matters is being on base.
  13. DJL44
    When your worst baserunners are costing the team 2 runs and your best is adding 3 runs over the course of an entire season it's pretty easy to dismiss baserunning as a way to add value to the team. If a slow player hits 2 dingers more than a fast player, the slower player is worth more.
  14. DJL44
    It is quite difficult to be a major league GM and avoid dealing with Scott Boras.
  15. DJL44
    Festa, Morris, Matthews, Headrick, Raya, Adams, Lewis, MacLeod, Ynoa, Varland, Canterino, Nowlin, Ohl and Randy Dobnak aren't enough to cover the innings at AAA?
  16. DJL44
    I hope he's a relief conversion project. He's a bad AAA starter. They have plenty of options for starting pitchers in AAA.
  17. DJL44
    I don't really want Royce for 10 years. I want him for 6-7, until age 31-32. Then give him the QO and get the draft pick. A 6 year, $72M offer might get an interesting counteroffer. The Twins bet $36M on those two free agent years that might be zero value if he's retired due to health reasons and Royce risks $36M if fair market value is actually $72M. Both sides are in 50/50.
  18. DJL44
    If you wait until he proves it there is no way in hell you get him to sign for 8 years, $70M. I doubt he would sign that contract right now. If he can play 140 games on defense and hit like we have seen, then you are looking at an Austin Riley 10 year $212M contract if you want to lock him up. Wait until he's proven it and he's too expensive to sign.
  19. DJL44
    You think the new general manager is completely incompetent and doesn't know how to use a phone?
  20. DJL44
    Waiting until his results improve and match his stuff would require overpaying. His value is down due to last season which means they could buy low.
  21. DJL44
    I would rather give them qualifying offers when they're 32 and get the draft picks.
  22. DJL44
    If he proves that this season his price will certainly go up. He'll also be a year closer to free agency which makes him less likely to take a contract extension. Waiting is just as risky.
  23. DJL44
    Ryan, Ober and Lopez are already under contract until their early 30s. The Twins can't pay retail prices for starting pitchers in their 30s. My list would be Jeffers Woods-Richardson Lewis Duran
  24. DJL44
    Celebratory dances are fun. People like to go to soccer games and watch people kick a ball back and forth because they can do their chants and sing songs.
  25. DJL44
    If you believe in buying low, this is the time to buy. If they could get him to sign that KeBryan Hayes contract I think they would do very well in the long run.
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