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  1. The odds are that a team trading for Julien is a contender filling a hole and probably one that thinks they have a reasonably long window. Those teams generally don't trade away established pitchers. The deal for Lopez is just not common because rarely do teams have excess pitching like Miami did in this case. Sure, it's possible but improbable. It would also be a trade 6 years of control for no more than 2 and that's not a good formula. They will have payroll space for a good free agent SP. I think that's the preferred way to add pitching next year and you know I am quite aware of how often free agent SPs fail. They need to choose wisely!
  2. Cedar Rapids. He is ranked as our #28 prospect on MLB.com.
  3. Good point! Julien's wRC+ is 9 points higher than Arraez. Solano's is 9 points lower. Just a sidenote, Julien's OAA (Statcast) was rated in the 12 percentile the first time I checked. As of today, he is in the 23rd percentile. Arraez is rated in the 3rd percentile.
  4. Not a lot but we got a fair amount of value from Urshela and Sanchez for a year and Hidalgo has a chance of making it to the big leagues. Heck, they can sign a pretty good BP arm for the buy-out they won't have to pay next year.
  5. Josh Donaldson cut by Yankees How good does that trade look now?
  6. I agree. So, if Sands goes down to STP, the additions of Castro, Buxton, and Kirilloff are covered with the roster expansion. Maybe I am just too optimistic, but it seems like there is a decent chance Stewart comes back at which point I would hope Gallo goes. After that Deleon seems like a logical cut which means it's not really a 40 man thing. It would appear to come down to they don't feel the need to add Martin with MAT and Castro to back-up CF especially if they believe Buxton is going to play the OF. If this is a fair assessment, the time would be right now until Buxton gets back. Get a look at him to see if they want him on the playoff roster and also get an idea of what he can do to help with roster construction this winter.
  7. He has some upside Arraez does not have given the physical tools for defense and base running. He won't be a 25HR guy but he should have a higher slugging percentage than Arraez and a lot of those singles will turn to doubles with stolen bases.
  8. Agree! Gallo was actually setting up for a smart / heads-up play in the event Lowe hit the ground. He simply spun out and fell. Salano made a pretty egregious mental error.
  9. I would agree if the only downside was sending Sands back to STP but we are going to have 4-6 players coming off the IL. Two will be taken up by the roster expansion. All six are highly likely but 4 seem probable so if we add Martin we have to cut 3. I really want to see Martin too but it's a tough call. Sands is getting cut. Who else goes is the question. Will they finally let Gallo go. It's not going to be Salano. The only other possibility I see is Farmer who has an option BTW. Gordon does not have an option. It's going to be very interesting if other injuries don't make decisions for them.
  10. What measure are you using to determine what is an average hitter? He is 39% below average for his last 101 ABs using wRC+ as a measure. I remember Chpettit19 during the off-season addressing his need to maintain an exceptionally high BA to be productive. When it falls his wRC+ or OPS+ is going to look bad.
  11. And having Gallo in CF helps that cause. Probably more to the point is getting to the WS is a product of developing talent. That's where we disagree. Our chances for an extended playoff run are slim but we would have no chance if not for the emergence of Julien / Kirilloff / Jeffers and Wallner. Again, you absolutely ignore how all of the successful teams have become successful. How do you continue to make this argument when literally every successful team has been built primarily from drafted players and players that were acquired before becoming established? The lower the revenue the more influential young players are to success. Do you pay any attention to the rest of the league?
  12. We should all look back to last off-season's commentary here . Kepler should be traded / Jeffers was a back-up at best / Gordon should be a starter according to many / How could anyone think Pagan should be on the team / many complained about trading Urshella. He has a wRC+ of 91 and .4 WAR. Many said Wallner would not make it / Julien's fielding precluded him from playing regularly / it would be a travesty of Correa was not signed / the addition of Solano was not exactly applauded / etc. Point being we keep score of FO decisions but ignore how often we as fans were way off.
  13. I don't think that's entirely fair, Mike. They have Buxton, Kirrilloff, Castro, and Stewart, very likely coming back and possibly Paddack / Alcala / Gordon. That will require they cut quite a few guys from the 40 man. I think it's more about not losing guys they want to keep for next year. He is not guaranteed to be better than Taylor and they plan to use Buxton in CF. Plus, they are only 4 days away from adding two roster spots. The more immediate question is who goes off the active roster? We add 2 but have 3 coming back and Martin would make 4. Would you cut Taylor? Martin is not getting time at 2B. Julien and Polanco are ahead of him there. Add all of those things up and it's reasonable he is not being added. BTW .... Gallo is not getting many ABs when Kirilloff / Castro / Buxton are back. and Luplow only against LH pitching where frankly we need him.
  14. We all understand at this point that you loathe young players. We all understand that you utterly ignore the fact that it's by far the most successful way to build a team. Furthermore, we understand that you chose to ignore the many examples around the league. Even the Dodgers are primarily homegrown. Atlanta was built around their young players. Houston was built by getting rid of every decent experienced player they had and then remained good by the addition of young players. They let Springer and Correa go and replaced them with young players. You show extreme bias by using a tiny sample size (last game) regarding our young players instead of recognizing they have carried the team. Take the last month or the whole year or whatever reasonable sample size you like and the only veterans doing really well are Kepler and Solano. You ignore the fact that the two best records in the AL (by far) are products of building from within. As a matter of fact, those two teams often trade experienced players for prospects and rarely the other way around. You ignore the fact that our experienced players we were counting on (Buxton/Correa, and Vasquez have been mediocre at best. You ignore that Julien instantly made a difference. You ignore Arraez did the same thing when he came up and you ignore that it's happening all around the league. In other words, it's not a well-informed point of view to put it kindly.
  15. I don't know what else you could ask of him. He has been awesome in August. Hitting 359 with an OBP of 481. I just don't think anyone who is not on the 40-man gets a shot this year.
  16. Ohl has been on a roll. 1.99 ERA and a .88 whip in his last 10 starts.
  17. Are you really saying you don't think technology can be developed that will be more accurate than humans or are you saying an accurate and consistent strike zone would not be better for the game?
  18. Paddack starting facing live hitters on roughly 8/16. It seems feasible he could he be ready for 2 inning relief appearances but will he be sharp enough to put on a playoff roster? Stewart threw a 15 pitch BP session today. Maybe there is hope for him.
  19. Insufficient accuracy would explain why there has not been a more significant push. We won't see it until they can demonstrate great accuracy. My guess the umpire's union will fight it too. I had read a couple other articles that suggested they already have the accuracy down a fraction of an inch. If not, they will eventually come up with technology that is precise. When they do, it will change the game significantly for the better. For example, a 1-1 pitch called incorrectly changes the probability of getting a hit significantly. A 3-2 pitch like Wallner had last night changes the game. Accepting bad calls would be awfully crude once we have the technology to provide a fair outcome and the vast majority of fans an industry people will embrace it.
  20. It doesn't sound like he is leaving any money on the table and even if he was, Strausburg has made $250M. Buxton has made $35M. Not exactly the same. Buxton is not going away without being paid.
  21. Last off-season there were plenty people here who still favored umps calling games but I have not heard anyone defend the existing system in quite a while. The good news is Julien will be an on-base machine when we get the electronic strike zone or challenge system.
  22. Do you want to know if analytics are effective or if the twins have been effective with analytics? If you want to know if analytics are effective, you should want to look at the most complete array of information available. How could you tell from only looking at the twins if analytics are helpful? You would have to assume the Twins relative degree of success or lack thereof is caused solely by their use of analytics. I don't know why you want to use such a limited perspective in assessing anything. It's a good way to insure a very limited understanding by default. BTW .... The Dodgers have had the highest winning percentage in all of baseball for the last 15 years and the rays have had more success than any team in the bottom half of revenue.
  23. Good call! That's been an important part of how Cleveland / Tampa and Oakland have had far more 90+ win seasons than the other teams in the bottom half of revenue. There are lots of examples. Those teams have done a great job of trading for AA/AAA players and even guys that have made it to the ML level but were not yet established.
  24. Most successful teams will have a very similar distribution, especially if players like Duran and Ryan that were acquired before becoming established major league players are put in the 1st category. The percentage of impact players is not quite as high among the highest revenue teams who obviously can afford premium free agents.
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