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NYCTK

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Everything posted by NYCTK

  1. NYCTK
    Great points, but this I hadn't thought of. We could very well see the stock of the United States as a destination for exceptional international individuals crater like we're seeing with the nazi car company. The attempted deportation of a permanent resident protestor on flimsy "anti-american" accusations? The USA could very well look much like Russia within a few years, with all the protectionism and complete destruction of soft power, and the industries remaining would be left with a fraction of the value.
  2. NYCTK
    What this means for the Twins is attendance will drop further. Interest in the club is at a 25 year low.
  3. NYCTK
    Eh. Don't feel too bad. He got a 7 million dollar check 5 years ago, which I hope he's saved properly. It's just a shame that player didn't develop any skills at all. I can understand why scouts thought the incredible athlete would improve some facets of his game, but they were sadly mistaken.
  4. NYCTK
    Dashawn Keirsey should get a call up before Martin for the OF. Many should get the call up before him in the IF. Austin Martin is effectively done. Post your favorite Austin Martin memory. Here's mine: https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/sporty-videos?playId=7d62d974-e14d-4cd6-a2c1-45744caeed2c
  5. NYCTK
    No. He has plenty of experience. He's just bad. Maybe he can be only really bad instead of unbearably bad? But he's going to be bad, despite what Rocco says. I think the Twins are at the point where they're basically admitting he has no place with the team. Take the under on 250 PAs for him, and I'd take the under on 175. I said during the offseason that he'd fail to reach 1000 in his career, and I think that's being too kind to him now.
  6. NYCTK
    Still laughing at the ridiculous assertion that Austin Martin can just work harder and somehow become a better outfielder. That implies he hasn't worked hard the other thousand innings he's been out there. Matt Wallner should be expected to be far worse than average. Hope his defensive liability is small but he's nit going to be average. But this is the reason I was so happy to see the Twins hire Bader and the singular reason anyone fighting against it was just wrong.
  7. NYCTK
    Was curious, so I wanted to see what other's with his "profile" had for a BABIP. 300, 320, 330, et al I think it's totally reasonable to expect Matt Wallner to have a higher BABIP than average, but no one should expect a 390...or even a 350. Twins fans need to be comfortable with him hitting .230, with that same mammoth power and atrocious defense. If not, it's going to be a long season.
  8. NYCTK
    Matt Wallner is, indeed, a very, very bad OF. His OF jumps are amongst the worst, if not THE worst, in the entire league. Of 180 OF that played at least 10 balls, he covered the least ground, tied with a DH. In 2023 he was 178/181 OF beating out 2 players that teams rightfully have moved to DH, and a player that decided to hang em up. His arm doesn't make up for all of that, but it does help make it a bit more acceptable. Obviously his power is the reason he's in the majors. But with that K-rate there WILL be extremely bad stretches. There will be 2-3 week periods where he's hitting under .100. But there will also be week-long stretches where his bat alone wins games. He's going to be very frustrating, but should be somewhere in the 2.5-3.0 WAR range at the end of the year. I'm actually encouraged to see his K-rate at 25% in spring, a nice improvement from the 39% he showed last spring training which obviously foretold a very, very rough start to the season.
  9. NYCTK
    Truly. Odds are he flames out and doesn't do much of anything in the Majors, but you can say that about literally any of the prospects not named Jenkins. Twins not inviting a prospect in AAA at a position of extreme weakness just screams managerial incompetence. But what's new?
  10. NYCTK
    I've run into this criticism. I both understand that the catcher duty is fairly evenly split on the Twins, but also recognize that Jeffers is the "starter" and Vazquez is the "backup". Similarly, just because Bader is the 4th OF doesn't mean he'll never start in LF obviously, nor that he might even, at the end of the year, have the most games in the OF. Much like Margot did last season. That doesn't mean he isn't the 4th OF. All pedantry.
  11. NYCTK
    Finally, the Pohalds can ban people that criticize them. Knicks owner has done exactly that.
  12. NYCTK
    bah, stuff+ is just that. I don't care about your stuff if you don't know how to pitch.
  13. NYCTK
    A well managed bullpen can absolutely have a low leverage guy or two. But I think you and I are in agreement that the Twins are not well managed, particularly in the bullpen decisions.
  14. NYCTK
    The thing with relievers is they're hard to evaluate due to the fact that the always pitch in small samples. FIP is far more indicative than ERA, and fWAR is derived from FIP as you know. MLB relievers don't hardly even look at their own ERA, they know it's basically worthless. They also don't really look at W-L. Saves and Holds, sure, but cause they know those mean money, not necessarily because they're measures of skill. WHIP, (x)FIP, WPA (w/LI). Everything else is noise.
  15. NYCTK
    Prospect Rankings are basically just fun, silly exercises. Outside of THE top guys its mostly just hype. And I'm not even saying the top 3 here. Walker Jenkins is the only prospect anyone should actually expect true value from. The idea that the MLB #37 prospect with a K rate to match is for sure going to come up and be an impact player is obviously a ridiculous assertion. There's a very decent chance Eeles has a better career than Rodriguez. Which isn't to say I expect Rodriguez to fail, I'm just really tempering my expectations. Just compare Eeles to Austin Martin. Martin was the TwinsDaily #6 prospect last year. Why? The same age and and looks like the same defensive caliber. It wasn't that his performance in the minors was more impressive. You can make a very good argument that Eeles short time in the minors was far more impressive than anything Martin has showed. It's based purely on his high draft position and the fact that people WANTED him to be good because he was the main piece in a big trade.
  16. NYCTK
    Biggest revelations becoming an adult were learning: 1. Your parents are just humans doing their best. And sadly, some humans aren't equipped to be parents (not mine thankfully). 2. Half of experts are just as big of idiots as the loud mouth loser at the small town bar, but they had a combination of good fortune, charisma, maybe good looks, confidence (or arrogance), and sometimes hundreds of millions of dollars (and often a job) from their successful daddy. I envy anyone dumb enough to think we live in a meritocracy.
  17. NYCTK
    They could have non tendered him. That would have made him a free agent and they then could have tried to sign him to a lesser contract. Instead the Twins have exclusive control on him and they had the right to go into arbitration to claim he wasn't worth anything over the minimum. Unions are good.
  18. NYCTK
    This is such a sad comment about a veteran MLB player. Sounds like it's about some college junior.
  19. NYCTK
    With all his injuries, why don't the Twins simply quit the game and then reload the season?
  20. NYCTK
    No. Last Spring Training it was reported that he and Castro had a bet who was going to steal more bases in the 2024 season, and then went on to have a combined 21 SB. Quite honestly, Twins fans should expect 10 SB from him and be happy with anything more than that. It's just really sad they're instead discussing the injury risk for a player to run fast.
  21. NYCTK
    Sure. That's why I'm such a Bader defender, because of the 12 HR and not because of the totality of the player. Anyone even looking at AFL is just setting themselves up for disappointment. And as for AAA stats, Martin is arguably the 4th best option from AAA to play 2B last season. So why the hell do I care about Austin Martin? He's a junk player that is only hyped up because he was a first round draft pick and because he was the primary return in a big profile trade.
  22. NYCTK
    He wasn't that valuable. The market deemed he was worth a reliever and a prospect. The big failure is Twins scouting completely whiffing on the prospect. Jose Iglesias was available until yesterday. Jorge just isn't special.
  23. NYCTK
    Absolutely ridiculous. Outside of C, the burden of a position isn't meaningfully bringing down players hitting ability. It can allow a player to bulk up if they've moved off SS like ARod perhaps, but Martin isn't doing that. Austin Martin isn't suddenly going to add power because he's moved from CF to 2B.
  24. NYCTK
    No. Martin is one of the worst OF in the league. Rocco comments in Spring Training don't change that.
  25. NYCTK
    That trade was a nothing deal. A player of little value was dealt for a reliever of little value and a lemon of a top 100 prospect. It was a fine deal.
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