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NYCTK

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Everything posted by NYCTK

  1. I just don't buy into a focus on "situational" hitting at all. The 125 milliseconds these players have to react should be instinct from their 10-30 years of swinging the bat. Plus, the Twins DID shorten their swing and focus more on contact in 2 strike situations, if this graph is to be believed.
  2. Don't forget my boy Bader, gonna carry this team for stretches. 82-80 - Call your bookie.
  3. As has been said regarding baseball since at least 1888 - Hope Springs Eternal. No room for negativity until May 1st. That being said... ...jk.
  4. You know who the "best" team was in situational hitting with the tying run on-base or at the plate with two strikes? The White Sox. Focusing on "situational hitting" doesn't really do anything. I expect zero actual changes in outcomes even if their "philosophy" has changed.
  5. Only thing that would get me a bit excited is seeing hit something like .342/.468/.526 in with a sub 25% K rate in Spring Training. Just like he did last Spring Training...
  6. You're assuming the Pohalds have any real business acumen and/or long-term thinking/planning just because they're rich and "successful". The reason they allegedly are looking to sell the team is because all their other businesses are struggling. Look at their estimated net worth versus the value of the Twins and then look at that ratio towards the end of Carl's life. Carl was a ruthless POS, which is why he was "successful" in business. There's nothing to suggest his nepo baby failsons have any real business acumen other than the fact that they have an important job that was handed to them.
  7. They didn't even sell out their playoff games in 23 and attendance then fell. I have to agree that the fan base is shriveling and the Pohlad's are largely the reason. They could win 90 games this year and wouldn't sell out their playoff games until they get to the ALCS.
  8. A billionaire worried about their wealth when the billionaire president that's using the world's richest billionaire to cut money for the poor to propose tax cuts for billionaires, well, they might be an idiot. But as we all know, plenty of billionaires are.
  9. That's one good metric. OAA is another, but the one that I find so fascinating, probably since it's so easily understood, is outfield jump from Statcast. Thank you to which ever TD author wrote about that metric recently. Of the 180 OF last year that met a certain minimum, Wallner covered more ground than only 2 other outfielders. And that is consistent with 2023, where he was 177th out of 181. He must be a bit better at the catch point than some of those comparable outfielders, because he's not as quite bad as Yordan Alvarez or Kyle Schwarber. But he's definitely not covering much ground out there. Feet covered in 3 seconds: Bader, Harrison 35.8 Buxton, Byron 35.8 Castro, Willi 35.1 Kepler, Max 33.3 Margot, Manuel 33.2 Martin, Austin 32.3 Larnach, Trevor 31.7 Kirilloff, Alex 31.4 Wallner, Matt 29.2
  10. The assumed starting defense is really looking spotty. Let's not forget Buxton has lost a few steps and is now merely a good CF, bookended by an atrocious Wallner and a barely adequate Larnach.
  11. Helps that Kepler played good defense. If either Larnach or Wallner contributed defensively, they'd get a lot more play against LHP too. Plus, Larnach hasn't hit LHP since 2019. Wallner should get a chance, but Larnach? Literally couldn't give less of a ****. No. The shopped for a backup CF for when Buxton is injured half the season, that just so happens to bat right handed.
  12. Him playing SS is a bit of a stretch, but I'd say better than Castro and just based on his performance last season, a bit better than Lee. His hitting was absolutely a fluke and returned to normal in the end of the season and postseason. But he's still a very valuable middle infielder with good hands and a very high baseball IQ, not to mention the single best clubhouse guy in all of baseball last season. He was allegedly looking for a two year deal, but wasn't able to find one. Just this weekend he used the Boras journalist to print a story to all but beg to come back to the Mets. Don't think that's happening unless he's willing to settle for a split contract. He's an immensely likable player so I hope he finds something soon.
  13. It's not Bader's fault that Buxton is going to go down for half the season. Unless it is, but that would make for a really good 30 for 30 documentary.
  14. That'll happen when your starting CF perpetually misses half the season and the second best outfielder forgot how to approach a major league at bat and struck out in half his PAs to start the year. Harrison Bader will likely play 100+ games, and have 350-400 PAs. None of that changes the fact that he's almost certainly starting the season as the 4th OF.
  15. Just because you guys don't understand how much a major league 4th OF works, doesn't mean Bader isn't a 4th OF. The Yankees 4th OF, with probably the best OF in all of baseball last year, still played 69 games in the OF.
  16. Having 300 PAs is a lot for never facing them. Actually, you'll easily be able to tell the 4th OF. It's the one that, at the start of the season, isn't starting as many games. Why, in your mind, was he valuable in his career despite having a career OPS+ of only 87? He's a bad, awful hitter, comparable to Bader actually. Was it malfeasance to allow him to get over 10,000 plate appearances in his career?
  17. Rodriguez isn't going to be on the major league roster until at least June, if at all, so being concerned he's moving ahead of him on the depth chart is putting the cart before the horse. Plus, I'll note the AL Champions everyday LF had an 83 OPS+ last season. Bader, and his massively better defense, starting 30 games in LF isn't some travesty.
  18. Yep. Don't think that's happening. Which is only to say there's no chance he goes to the Twins on a minor league contract.
  19. He just was kept in the minors for SD i believe. He was doing good, not great. He and the Mets were lucky cause he wasn't all that great in AAA either when they called him up but all their middle infield depth was either hurt or massively underperformed. So hispersistence and consistency in AAA earned him another shot. The glove doesn't play well at SS but he was plus at 2B. He reportedly has a meeting with the Mets Monday. He was holding out for a 2 year deal but it didn't come so he looks like he's trying to get back the one year deal he passed on, unlikely. But there's no chance he takes a minor league deal elsewhere. He would leave for a one year deal though. But Stearns would gladly give him another minor league deal from the Mets.
  20. Not gonna leave the Mets for a minor league deal.
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