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Possumlad

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Everything posted by Possumlad

  1. Possumlad
    This is an odd take. How many "superstars" do you think there are in the MLB? If it's more than 5-10, Correa is one of them. He had the 23rd highest WAR in baseball among position players - essentially the same WAR as Juan Soto, Lindor, Carlos Rodon, and Altuve. Are those players superstars? He's not Judge or Ohtani, but he's right there in that next group and plays a super-premium position.
  2. Possumlad
    Not really much to talk about; is what it is. I think we've all collectively had our fair share of COVID and Vax conversations over the past 2+ years. Not worth more energy or ink at this point.
  3. Possumlad
    I'm always surprised at how much sentiment shifts, even subtly, based on one or two games. Twins offense has been fine this year; they're 11 in MLB in OPS. Keep in mind that scoring & offense in general is way down in the MLB this year; it's all compared to what. Pitching has been great; 6th lowest ERA in MLB.
  4. Possumlad
    Not to be nitpicky, but Royce Lewis isn't 20. He's 22, turning 23 in June.
  5. Possumlad
    Lol. Editors, please make a note to never call start "impressive" until the pitcher clicks from 4 2/3 innings to 5. TwinsDr you've made this bizarre point like 7 times in the thread now; it makes no sense, and no one cares.
  6. Possumlad
    Not true in this case. They needed to test Buxton for COVID before disclosing the reason he left the game. Saying "left game with illness" without having that clarity would have created a lot of unnecessary drama.
  7. Possumlad
    Lotta angsty energy on this board after one of the more fun & interesting victories of the year. Not everything always goes according to plan in baseball. While they're seemingly yet to hit a real stride, the Twins are winning games and I'm having fun. If this thread is what we get after a almost no-hit, walk-off W, I'll take it as a reminder not to be hang around after a loss
  8. Possumlad
    It's not really a "problem," as no one in the thread or article is suggesting we should pay him like an ace, or that he'd demand it. 5/60 is middle of the rotation money, and probably right around what Berrios deserves at this point. Maybe a bit more if you're willing to be on his age & remaining upside.
  9. Possumlad
    Yes I did. The second (in particular) indicates that usage/volume is a contributing factor to injuy in pitchers. Of course injuries can happen for other reasons, but it's both logical--and proveable--that more usage increases the likelihood of injury. And this would make particular sense for someone without a ton of usage in recent seasons.
  10. Possumlad
    This isn't really an "in my opinion" question - given his lack of extended work, he's far more likely to to have arm issues starting & racking up innings over the course of the year. There have been actual studies to this end, and luckily the Twins don't need to rely on your apparently un-researched opinion. Two examples of recent studies: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6350667/ and http://harvardsportsanalysis.org/2016/01/predicting-pitcher-injuries/
  11. Possumlad
    Your best overall hitters should be at the top of the line-up - on base percentage is one component of "best," but not the only one. Being at the top of the line-up means you get substantially more at-bats over the course of the season than someone further down. And the goal should be to get the most possible at bats for your best overall hitters over the course of the season. Blindly plugging the player w/ the highest OBP in to the #1 slot--regardless of other factors--makes no sense at all, and would almost certainly produce fewer total runs over the course of the season than a more optimal line-up.
  12. Possumlad
    Seeing as Josh didn't write the column, I'm not sure what any teammates would have to be offended about.
  13. Possumlad
    The point of the original post is that the Twins may produce more runs w/ Donaldson batting somewhere other than #3 or #4 against righties. Slotting someone 3/4 because he's a run-producer and "that's where those guys belong" likely isn't a good strategy given all the options.
  14. Possumlad
    Oh I think it's very much real, but the MLB has no interest in the scandal getting any bigger than it already is.
  15. Possumlad
    This is another crazy video, given everything that's recently come to light. Here is Alex Cora, talking about a series against the Yankees. His discussion of Beltran & his "contributions" to the Yanks is pretty damning: https://twitter.com/JackFritzWIP/status/1217444224377008129
  16. Possumlad
    I'm not sure of corroboration, but Beltran's supposed niece tweeted about the buzzer scheme today, saying that Altuve & Bregman had buzzers on their right shoulders tipping them to pitches. This would make a lot more sense of Altuve's very odd behavior after his walk-off HR against Chapman in the ALCS. On his way to home-plate, he instructs teammates not to rip his shirt off & holds his jersey closed. And then he runs straight in to the dugout and changes in to a tshirt. Here's some of the video: https://twitter.com/MarcFarzetta/status/1217897217584963584 and to the dugout: https://twitter.com/RealShelfy/status/1217908818190962693 Trevor Bauer chimed in today as well, saying he heard from "multiple sources" the Astros players wore buzzers in 2017: https://www.wkyc.com/article/sports/mlb/trevor-bauer-says-he-heard-astros-players-wore-buzzers-to-tip-off-pitches/95-1cddd342-5cdb-42d9-b311-493bccaa47d6
  17. Possumlad
    Post-Donaldson signing, the Twins are in the envious position of knowing exactly where the roster needs work. For the next 2-3 years (at least), they can basically just ignore the offense & focus all their front office efforts on the rotation & bullpen. That's a great spot to be.
  18. Possumlad
    Absolutely! And there's no reason at all the payroll can't (or shouldn't) go above 50% of revenues during potential championship windows.
  19. Possumlad
    Agreed, I love this as well! I have to admit I mostly scan the longer stories for the names of top prospects. Obviously incredible work either way, but nothing wrong with this truncated/summary format in my opinion. As AZTwin says, you could always add commentary where warranted.
  20. Possumlad
    Incredible post. Reusse himself couldn't produce such a harmonious blend of old-school MN cynicism, parade raining, "real ball players" mumbo jumbo, and hyperbolic early-season doom & gloom. Hopefully they get back to losing so Number3 cheers up a little bit!
  21. Possumlad
    Agree, and I don't think it will be long..
  22. Possumlad
    Your second assertion is flat-out false. Buxton would net a significant return if the Twins decided to trade him (they won't).
  23. Possumlad
    Well I assume he'll focus on whichever looks most promising early in his MiLB career (assuming he does both out of the gates). Given that, 50% on each seems about right given only the information we have today. Of course if he fails at one the probability that he later suceeds at it falls a bunch, but I'm not sure how we'd know that today.
  24. Possumlad
    1) McKay 2) Gore 3) Greene 4) Lewis 5) Wright I don't understand the general anti-McKay leanings around here. While he's unlikely to both hit & pitch for long, the fact that he can do both greatly increases the chance the he hits on one of the two. Simple probability would dictate that if he has a 50% chance to succeed as a pitcher, and 50% chance to succeed as a hitter (both of which seem reasonable), then he has a 75% chance to hit on one of the two. Given that there is no clear consensus generational talent in this draft, why not go w/ the higher probability play? I suppose you could argue that Greene's as likely to hit on one of the two, but I don't see that from a HS Right-hander w/ no secondary pitches.
  25. Possumlad
    This is eye-ball test only - but Buxton also appears to accelerate slowly (relative to his overall speed). He's blazing fast at top speed, but his long strides seem to take a few steps to get going. Anyone else notice this? Seems to hurt most on SBs. I could be flat-out wrong here.
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