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Possumlad

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Everything posted by Possumlad

  1. Possumlad
    What is this based on? We've seen Buxton run the bases well enough. His speed is well-above league average. Do you have some inside information indicating that the Twins can't or won't ever again play Buxton in the field? Or or is it speculation?
  2. Possumlad
    If Gordon's not fast, what the hell is he doing in the bigs? His (supposed) speed's about his only asset... and the Twins seem to position & play him like he's much faster than he actually is.
  3. Possumlad
    Even if we assume he's much more likely to miss time playing in CF, Buck's more valuable to the Twins playing 70-90 games in CF than he is playing 140 @ DH. Buck @ DH means Taylor's (or a Taylor-equivelent's) bat in the line-up. 140 games of guaranteed below average production from one of your line-up spots is not worth the reduced injury risk to Buxton. The math just doesn't work out. Buck's not a good offensive player to be hidden at DH the way he is. Play him in CF at least 2-3 games a week, with a match-up based platoon at DH. DH him in another 1-2 w/ Taylor in Center. Worst-case scenario, Buck gets hurt. In that case, you're back to Taylor in CF and a platoon at DH. But in the games he plays, you get Taylor-level defense in Center without the corresponding hole in the line-up. Buck's worth what he is because he plays a premium defensive position. As with Mauer's move from C to 1B, he loses a ton of value once he's out of CF.
  4. Possumlad
    Agreed. Wonder how close Rocco is to considering a change at Hitting coach? I can't think of a single player who's meaningfully outperformed hitting expectations at the major league level. Hitting coaches only do so much in the bigs, but Popkins' seat has to be getting warm.
  5. Possumlad
    I don't know. I've had both, and I'd rather play baseball with plantar fascitis than a bad hangover.
  6. Possumlad
    Absolutely - the worst of all possible solutions. Robo-umps will be here full-time soon enough... hopefully we just fully bypass this ill-conceived interim step.
  7. Possumlad
    Agreed - but I don't think it should be all that hard to fix. The side to side & back to front components of the strike zone are 100% defined & agreed on. Only high/low need be addressed. What to do? In my mind there are a couple options: 1) Fixing the upper bound at a specific height. This would clearly benefit taller hitters. And likely also pitchers, as they could learn to groove pitches based on a fixed zone size. Clear losers would be shorter players. 2) Batter-specific strike zones based on height. Might feel a bit clunky, but not sure it would be all that hard. People grow very little (if at all) past age 18. Batters would be measured by an independent league official prior to joining the league, and their upper-bound would be a simple function of that height. Would assume the robo-ump could easily be tuned to accommodate batter-to-batter? I admittedly don't know the tech well enough. Interested in thoughts from others. Downsides to each - but both likely better than the current system.
  8. Possumlad
    Terrible. You're trading 2 Gallo ABs for 2 Solano ABs in a tie game. That's incredible mismanagement.
  9. Possumlad
    It's a an interesting idea, and I've thought similar in the past. But more than anything I think it points to the fact that ERA is a largely useless stat to begin with. There are many, many thing that contribute to the "why" of an opposing team scoring a run. The pitcher that allowed the runner on base; the defense; the pitcher that allowed them home; and (often as much as anything) luck. ERA does almost nothing to isolate the individual pitcher's contribution to that "why." One of the shortcoming could be partially solved with your solution above... but there are so many others that I'm not sure it really matters. (And as a specific complication, what about runs that more than two pitchers contribute to? First pitchers walks the batter; second pitcher throws two passed balls, getting runner to third; then gets two outs; third pitcher comes in & gives up a single?)
  10. Possumlad
    This is an odd take. How many "superstars" do you think there are in the MLB? If it's more than 5-10, Correa is one of them. He had the 23rd highest WAR in baseball among position players - essentially the same WAR as Juan Soto, Lindor, Carlos Rodon, and Altuve. Are those players superstars? He's not Judge or Ohtani, but he's right there in that next group and plays a super-premium position.
  11. Possumlad
    Not really much to talk about; is what it is. I think we've all collectively had our fair share of COVID and Vax conversations over the past 2+ years. Not worth more energy or ink at this point.
  12. Possumlad
    I'm always surprised at how much sentiment shifts, even subtly, based on one or two games. Twins offense has been fine this year; they're 11 in MLB in OPS. Keep in mind that scoring & offense in general is way down in the MLB this year; it's all compared to what. Pitching has been great; 6th lowest ERA in MLB.
  13. Possumlad
    Not to be nitpicky, but Royce Lewis isn't 20. He's 22, turning 23 in June.
  14. Possumlad
    Lol. Editors, please make a note to never call start "impressive" until the pitcher clicks from 4 2/3 innings to 5. TwinsDr you've made this bizarre point like 7 times in the thread now; it makes no sense, and no one cares.
  15. Possumlad
    Not true in this case. They needed to test Buxton for COVID before disclosing the reason he left the game. Saying "left game with illness" without having that clarity would have created a lot of unnecessary drama.
  16. Possumlad
    Lotta angsty energy on this board after one of the more fun & interesting victories of the year. Not everything always goes according to plan in baseball. While they're seemingly yet to hit a real stride, the Twins are winning games and I'm having fun. If this thread is what we get after a almost no-hit, walk-off W, I'll take it as a reminder not to be hang around after a loss
  17. Possumlad
    It's not really a "problem," as no one in the thread or article is suggesting we should pay him like an ace, or that he'd demand it. 5/60 is middle of the rotation money, and probably right around what Berrios deserves at this point. Maybe a bit more if you're willing to be on his age & remaining upside.
  18. Possumlad
    Yes I did. The second (in particular) indicates that usage/volume is a contributing factor to injuy in pitchers. Of course injuries can happen for other reasons, but it's both logical--and proveable--that more usage increases the likelihood of injury. And this would make particular sense for someone without a ton of usage in recent seasons.
  19. Possumlad
    This isn't really an "in my opinion" question - given his lack of extended work, he's far more likely to to have arm issues starting & racking up innings over the course of the year. There have been actual studies to this end, and luckily the Twins don't need to rely on your apparently un-researched opinion. Two examples of recent studies: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6350667/ and http://harvardsportsanalysis.org/2016/01/predicting-pitcher-injuries/
  20. Possumlad
    Your best overall hitters should be at the top of the line-up - on base percentage is one component of "best," but not the only one. Being at the top of the line-up means you get substantially more at-bats over the course of the season than someone further down. And the goal should be to get the most possible at bats for your best overall hitters over the course of the season. Blindly plugging the player w/ the highest OBP in to the #1 slot--regardless of other factors--makes no sense at all, and would almost certainly produce fewer total runs over the course of the season than a more optimal line-up.
  21. Possumlad
    Seeing as Josh didn't write the column, I'm not sure what any teammates would have to be offended about.
  22. Possumlad
    The point of the original post is that the Twins may produce more runs w/ Donaldson batting somewhere other than #3 or #4 against righties. Slotting someone 3/4 because he's a run-producer and "that's where those guys belong" likely isn't a good strategy given all the options.
  23. Possumlad
    Oh I think it's very much real, but the MLB has no interest in the scandal getting any bigger than it already is.
  24. Possumlad
    This is another crazy video, given everything that's recently come to light. Here is Alex Cora, talking about a series against the Yankees. His discussion of Beltran & his "contributions" to the Yanks is pretty damning: https://twitter.com/JackFritzWIP/status/1217444224377008129
  25. Possumlad
    I'm not sure of corroboration, but Beltran's supposed niece tweeted about the buzzer scheme today, saying that Altuve & Bregman had buzzers on their right shoulders tipping them to pitches. This would make a lot more sense of Altuve's very odd behavior after his walk-off HR against Chapman in the ALCS. On his way to home-plate, he instructs teammates not to rip his shirt off & holds his jersey closed. And then he runs straight in to the dugout and changes in to a tshirt. Here's some of the video: https://twitter.com/MarcFarzetta/status/1217897217584963584 and to the dugout: https://twitter.com/RealShelfy/status/1217908818190962693 Trevor Bauer chimed in today as well, saying he heard from "multiple sources" the Astros players wore buzzers in 2017: https://www.wkyc.com/article/sports/mlb/trevor-bauer-says-he-heard-astros-players-wore-buzzers-to-tip-off-pitches/95-1cddd342-5cdb-42d9-b311-493bccaa47d6
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