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August J Gloop

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Everything posted by August J Gloop

  1. August J Gloop
    Twins getting TONS of help from the schedule. The winning teams they have left to play are either at home or teams that they need to beat. They've got more home games than road games. KC and CLE play 6 more times so either they both lose some ground or one team gets wiped out. Always have two relievers ready to pitch so no reliever thinks that they can do their job. You don't like it because Texas defended it. Two outs isn't the contact play.
  2. August J Gloop
    Then why do you want them to reach the playoffs?
  3. August J Gloop
    Explain in simple terms how Rocco could have managed that situation.
  4. August J Gloop
    No reliever has ever been worthy of MVP even the ones who won it. Hernandez 84 over Cal Ripkin? Eck over Kirby? I'm a homer on that one but get out of here. Not meant to diss Jax in anyway. It's just not possible for a guy who will play in at most 80 innings to be an MVP. This Twins Team has no MVP. It's a very greater than the sum of its parts kind of team. And that's been fun.
  5. August J Gloop
    Oh for Pete (Maki)'s sake, Seager makes weak contact and barely drops a ball fair. Adolis swings at a pitch up and out of the zone and gets it real good. Some times hitters win. There isn't some big struggle to understand what happened there. The only really bad pitches were to Semien and Jung. You can quibble with the location on Taveres and Seager, but both hitters made the kind of contact you'd be looking for. Just went somewhere bad. Garcia has had a pretty bad season because he's been routinely swinging and missing or popping up that exact pitch. He got to it yesterday. Baseball. The real bummer was the Jung pitch as that one was thrown without intention or location. He clearly got frustrated and tried to blow Jung away, and then center cut a below average fastball.
  6. August J Gloop
    Let us not forget that the Twins having their worst games against the 3 teams ahead of them are all that actually separates them. If they just don't get swept by the yankees and go 2-4, the Twins are .5 up. 1-2 vs BAL, Tied. 3-6 rather than 2-7 vs CLE? Tied. Obviously the games were the games, but the season is long for a reason. At this point in the 117 games the the Twins and Yanks have played vs not each other the Twins are 70-47. The Yanks are 67-51.
  7. August J Gloop
    Because playing the outfield is orders of magnitude easier than the infield. The only limiter out there is athletic ability. Royce would have a cannon for a LF arm and likely some above average range. But that's not a mid season move.
  8. August J Gloop
    Wait, what? You just said that guys who are just OK in the field never play in the playoffs. Those guys are very valuable players because they hit. Their ceiling in the field is just OK. They're in some cases actively bad at fielding. It just doesn't really move the needle in player value like it does on the infield. It's because most high run value batted ball events to the outfield are completely indefensible and most low run value events are just so easy that pretty much anybody gets to most of them. The marginal outs that Max and Bux convert are useful, and often memorable. They might even save a game. But if a hitter is 27 outs worse than average, they've thrown a shut out against their own team,
  9. August J Gloop
    Yes, Like Aaron Judge and Juan Soto. Anthony Santander, Teoscar Hernandez, Fernando Tatis Jr.
  10. August J Gloop
    While I see plenty of names on the reliever side who could help the Twins, I'm coming up empty on the starters they should have traded for front. Kikuchi at half what Houston gave up for him? Might do it. Flaherty? I suppose but I doubt the Tigers would have taken the same deal from the Twins. Gotta go higher on intradivision trades. Maybe Trevor Rodgers. This has always been the plan to some degree. Joe's injury is probably not something they were suuper ready for.
  11. August J Gloop
    Literally 2 inches further up the middle and the game is tied. Andres Gimenez gloved it when it was past him, and then his momentum allowed a double play. That's frickin baseball. The two decisive hits in the game were both accidents that The only thing in baseball a hitter can control is what pitches they swing at and how good a swing they put on them. Those combinations then create exit velos and launch angles. These aren't totally in the batter's control. Imperfections in the bat and ball can impact the contact, as well as atmospheric conditions. But It's generally close enough to say that a hitter who regularly makes good contact should be taking more at bats. Buxton and Larnach are tied at 31st overall in average exit velo. That means he consistently makes top contact in the league. He's been striking out less, ergo a pretty good number 2 hitter. Essentially what's being argued here is that even though Larnach can't control where the ball goes after he hits it, nor can he do anything about the skill of the defender he should not be judged on how good he is (and how much he's improved at) the actual skill he can put to bear. Instead we should judge him on the basically random outcome of contact events, and the defensive skill of a totally different player.
  12. August J Gloop
    Cuz he's reached the end of the road. No fun when it happens, but The Doof will not be loose again.
  13. August J Gloop
    He's got to wait out the plantar fasciitis. The report would be. Every day 'still can't run too good.'
  14. August J Gloop
    Elevated outfield defense benefits you maybe once or twice a month, requiring several uncontrollable factors before the better fielder can even impact the play. Batters come up 3.4 times a game. Better hitting impacts every single game. Obviously, you'll take better hitting & elevated defense. But Max's defense does not routinely make up for his hitting. Larnach and Wallner's hitting has made up for their less good fielding. Wallner and Larnach aren't Delmon Young or Miguel Sano out there. They're able to convert most outs into outs.
  15. August J Gloop
    What happens in 3-6 weeks when all the pirate streams hardcoded into your box go bad? Do you live alone? If not did you let the people you share an IP with know that by operating that box on their internet you expose them to lawsuits? And that you have a packet sniffing device collecting all their traffic to be decoded later by unknown parties? I'm all for sticking it to the corporations but those things are super risky and never work very long. Better to just learn how to VPN your way to mlb.tv bliss.
  16. August J Gloop
    Lee won't sit on the bench. I wouldn't be shocked if Lee is sent out before Correa comes back in favor of Julien or someone else seen less as a member of The Future. He's been looking quite overmatched since he threw that game away in SF and probably needs a short reset.
  17. August J Gloop
    Both Larnach and Wallner have been considerably better than Max at hitting this year. They're not as good defensively, but that's barely important. Kepler and Polo before him are what's both great and terrible about baseball. We as fans build one sided relationships with the athletes, and surf the waves of success and failure. It causes some of us to like them more than their talent and others to dislike them more than their failings. Moving on from a relationship like this is hard. Max will not be back, let's just hope that his last game with the Twins is a win in late October.
  18. August J Gloop
    Most folks accept that ads are a reality on websites. The thing they're not wild about are sites that lie. You pop in a note saying 'no ads' and then on your splash page you're selling ad space. I know you think you've cracked the code by calling it 'page adoption', but the adoption can be used to promote a business? That is an ad. Your site lay out is pretty sweet, but if you want to stay afloat, might as well make peace with the ads.
  19. August J Gloop
    And when they lost to the Mets 2-1,000 it was only 1 loss. Their strand percentage is lower than league average this year on d and higher on o. As they creeps back toward average, their ERA will trickle down, and the run scoring up. They're a Top 5 pitching team by SIERA, XFIP, FIP, K/9 and hitting team by WRC+, OPS, Run expectancy, so on etc. Heck their fielding metrics are surprisingly top 10. But that's why they play the games. The random outcomes are where the fun hangs out.
  20. August J Gloop
    The Twins have a top 5 pitching staff by most measures. Their ceiling isn't ace high, but their floor on an elevated platform. You can expect a little regression with the strand rate, but since they're not walking anyone it shouldn't really spike the ERA too much. Some of the models even sense they've been unlucky, or underperformed their expected results.
  21. August J Gloop
    Exhibit 1million on why you don't spend prospect capital on relievers. They just go bad with no warning.
  22. August J Gloop
    Baseball simply has to see what's happening here and get out in front of it. Regional sports nets are dead. They'll bleed out slowly over the next couple years, but the sooner MLB realizes that they need to televise their games for free and consider it advertising to the ticket sale, the closer they are to selling out (nearly) every stadium (nearly) every day. Bally's might be back on comcast, but many people won't get it again, because of the premium tier. To say nothing of what happens next year when Bally's has lost all their money again.
  23. August J Gloop
    That's patently false. Moving protest to convenient locations doesn't increase it's effectiveness. Today's game is marred by the fact that some giant percentage of people are waking up to find out they can't watch it. Today they will be frustrated.
  24. August J Gloop
    That's what a lot of this crap is about, trying to project an illusion of razor thin margins to keep the salary growth for talent curtailed.
  25. August J Gloop
    You're still not describing PPV. They knew. They just chose to believe (or want us to think they believed) that Bally's had this in hand. I think what comes up every time a stunningly bad business deal has badness get out is this idea that business people are inherently smart and everyone else is so shocked that they didn't see it coming. Maybe by now we can start to accept that business people aren't any smarter than any other people. This was a crap deal put on the fans by The Pohlads(tm). They had a number that had to be reached in the broadcast line of the budget. They don't care how it impacts any individual fan as long as the final balance is printed in black. YMMV weather or not this a good way to run an MLB franchise.
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