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Hawkeye Bean Counter

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Everything posted by Hawkeye Bean Counter

  1. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Drilled outside pitch away. This is the valuable Lewis.
  2. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    For the elite of elite prospects the contact rate is a little suspect, he chases a bit too much and there is still work to do on defense. The power is really starting to show up and there have been incremental improvements on defense. That’s not too say what he is doing is crazy. Winokur is almost 2 full years younger and just got called up to AA. There is work to do and he will need to continue to improve the hit tool, but a power defensive catcher is still valuable.
  3. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    As Ashbury said, this rumor is effectively Yankee trade fodder that Bowden said both teams would say yes to. There is literally nothing to this other than Yankee fans think they have to trade Volpe. The issue is, what this year show with the Red Sox trade for Curtis Mead is there is minimal good hitters out there available. That Curtis Mead trade for Early is a crazy deal. There are many other teams available than just the Yankees. There will be an overpay the question is how much value can the Twins extract. Can they effectively get a $12 million overpay? I think it’s possible, Pitching is definitely more available than hitting but it doesn’t appear any high end starting pitcher will be traded. That includes Joe Ryan. I think Tom and Joe have a good relationship. maybe they can get a deal done. It will be pricey though.
  4. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    I think lengthening out Anderson will be the next guy up for the starting rotation is my guess.
  5. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    This feels like the Yankees side for the offer. To me doesn't look nearly good enough. Volpe would be trying to rehab his value without the bright lights of New York. For the remainder of 26 its interesting but it becomes harder to envision it working in 27/28 unless we are moving players all over. Definitely looks like round peg into a square hole. Now I think his confidence is shot in New York, so could I see a turn around. Absolutely. We don't seem like the best team unless we have zero confidence in Kreidler. I would give Larnach and Jeffers for Rodriguez and Volpe - but my guess is they will think its an overpay.
  6. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Right now Yankees look like the most plausible option for both Larnach and Jeffers. Due to injuries they need an outfielder and catcher. The issue is what are they willing to offer. This could end up as a 3 way trade but there are definitely options that are occurring. For 2 months I would be willing to deal with Wallner and Roden in right. Get some pitching help and see what you can do.
  7. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    If the Twins traded any of the 3 you mentioned about Jeffers, Larnach, Wallner or even Lewis to supplement the big league roster I don't think anyone would blink an eye. Edit: 3 article in 4 hours is impressive LOL.
  8. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Kreidler is this years version of Cody Clemens. Clemens had some incredible high and low months last year. The defense from Kreidler this year is off the charts. He may vary well become the Twins long term utility player.
  9. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    LOL, I think you should have published before yesterday. Kreidler's defense is crazy good. A .200 to .225 Kreidler is palatable for the remainder of the year. Anything better is gravy.
  10. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Mike Sixel Posted July 31, 2025 I'd still rather have Ryan......but Anthony would have to be the minimum I take.
  11. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    I stand corrected for the 1 site thanks. Even still last fall you said there was zero chance of a deal with Boston. Posted October 17, 2025 Boston isn't close. I doubt Philly deals painter, but good have to consider it if they do. I think the Mets are the ideal partner. Likely you'll get tong, sproah, and a hitter. You aren't getting three top 100 prospects.
  12. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    The Twins fanbase was killed all ready, trading Ryan would have been difficult for most to handle. I would know I was one of the few stating this was the best option and was actually stating the Trades the Twins did was good for the longterm. I would have been ok with the trade. However you had many thinking it was a light return. I can't change that. Most hated Bradley last year. We can't quite say the Twins do a horrible job at picking out talent. Rojas is definitely looking intriguing and I have like Abel more than most on this site.
  13. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Its coming from 2 things - 1 yes Hayes which gives some credence. 2 is this near the expected value of a contract.
  14. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    https://www.prospects1500.com/milb/overall-top-105-prospects-april-2025/ - 91 here in April https://www.boston.com/sports/boston-red-sox/2025/01/24/red-sox-mlb-pipeline-2025-top-100-prospect-rankings-roman-anthony/ - mlb pipeline was 76 https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2025-top-100-prospects/ - Fangraphs February of 25 didn't even have in top 100. I can find more if you wish.
  15. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Coming into last year Arias was not viewed as a high prospect to start the season. His value increased drastically in the middle and end of last year and this year. Good on Arias but multiple individuals claimed the return for Ryan was light. Looking in hindsight at players that have outperformed this year isn't realistic.
  16. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Gomez, Morris, and Nance are good. Rogers has provided some decent consistency. Funderburk is up and down. The last month the bullpen has performed so much better. The back end is still questionable. Right now Adams and Sands sub 95 mph fastball are not good enough. I actually think Anderson has some ability. Ryan is asking for 7 year $210 million contract.
  17. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Arias wasn't even a top 100 prospect last year and Tolle was a top 16. Now I liked Tolle. There is value in having some leaders on your team showing the young players how to be professionals. The team is getting value from Ryan but yes we haven't seen a prospect return per se. The Twins sound like they wanted MLB talent last year and Duran was who they wanted. I am glad that trade did not go through LOL.
  18. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Winokur and Houston are outperforming expectations significantly. They have brought optimism, and a defensive and offensive jolt Witchita sorely needed. Now Winokur is one who tends to heat up as the year gets going and did something similar in his jump to high A then he leveled off. I am hoping something is clicking with him. These 2 are unicorns. Houston elite defense with very good contact bat with a little bit of pop. Winokur is an elite athletic talent, with potential high end power. At the beginning of the year I said we had 2 lotto tickets in Young and Winokur and that we wanted 1 to hit (literally and figuratively). Winokur was my hope and this ones appears to be working out. As to Wallner - him and Roden can fill in for Larnach if he gets traded or maybe Wallner gets traded to someone wanting to cash in on a bat that get hot for an ok prospect. The baseball being played in the minors right now is much better than even 2-3 weeks ago. I still feel like we are a little light on pitching and hitting, but some of the younger pitchers are starting to figure it out.
  19. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    This was a team that was never created to compete for the playoffs. The hope was to be mediocre for this year to try and get as many butts in the seats as possible. I do like your description for the bullpen but they are doing better. We have 4-5 arms that are legit bullpen arms. Then you get to the bottom of the pen and like yesterday, they just aren't good enough. Its why I would have preferred to have kept Anderson up. As to the starters, I think there is a reason Anderson went back down and its because we have some serious depth concerns for the starters. Paredes was the depth option and he is now out 4-6 weeks likely. I think they view Anderson as the plug in option. That is what I am gathering. Give him a start and he could be back up. Whether this was a Falvey team, Pohlad team or Zohl team this year was always going to be a bridge year to a full rebuild. Thats why they traded off the bullpen. We just don't have enough talented hitters/defensive combo players. Its why Houston/Culpepper are so enticing. Houston is better defensively than Kreidler and the bat is looking like a legit contact with some mediocre power. Culpepper will likely go to 2nd or 3rd. The range is very good for either position and has more than good enough arm from 3rd to make it work. Sadly this is exactly the type of season that Tom wanted. Decent fans in attendance - keeping revenues higher than a poor performing team while spending minimal prior to the new CBA. This is likely in agreement with the new minority owners. Now they paid at a 2 Billion valuation - what that did was knock down the debt and interest payments. This team will get sold for hope of the future. I see very little chance of them selling of any significant prospect before then. If they get to the playoffs, its a nice revenue boost, but my guess is they are quietly hoping they just miss and somehow get another lottery pick in the draft.
  20. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Mike there is only 2 plausible reasons. 1. they had him at the bottom of the pecking order with player option Sands they deemed as ready so sent down. They may have seen his success as a small sample size situation. 2. They want to stretch out Anderson at AAA because they are worried about starter depth for the remainder of the season. They may actually see something in Anderson and they view it as a cheaper to convert him back to a starter than trade for a starter.
  21. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Any buying is going to be light buying unless they are buying a long term asset. There is usually a premium at the deadline though. They may even consider Nance as part of the buying - just doing it early. That is the level of player I am expecting if we are trading. So if we trade a few of our 20-30 ranked prospects yet add a top 8 prospect, they system is still better. Do they Trade Ryan though? I don't think so, I think they are continuing to hold on to Ryan which is decreasing value return but is creating leadership to the other pitchers.
  22. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Because no one has ever traded a player before. I consider the international leagues a total crap shoot.
  23. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Now this is where it gets interesting. In my opinion, we will have traded Peyton Eeles for potentially a top 100 prospect, you can laugh but without getting Alex Jackson I don’t think the Twins consider trading Jeffers. We have a young staff the last thing we need is inexperienced Triple A catchers creating another hurdle in trying to make them successful. Now we got lucky no one put in a claim for Alex at the beginning of the season. I thought we would trade Alex then. However there was no major injuries of catchers no teams having major needs. The supply demand dynamics have completely flipped just as we are getting to the deadline.
  24. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    If you are traded the qualifying offer can’t be used. Hence why it’s in Jeffers best interest to be traded.
  25. Hawkeye Bean Counter
    Catcher is the demanding position. So he is risking that his stats are good and health remains good. The current opinion out there is he wants a long term deal. If I’m Jeffers I want to be traded because the QO is now gone and there is nothing decreasing the value of a long term contract. This free agent pool is so weak, he is going to walk away with a bag.
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