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JD-TWINS

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  1. JD-TWINS
    BTW, when are they going to fire the hitting coach that was poisoning the entire team? ………except Jeffers & Kirilloff …….they were ignoring him. This was routine banter 3 weeks ago. Players gotta play and figure it out. Kepler started 1-20……..he’s 24-54 since he’s come back. Larnach has been hitting since his call up. Castro was terrible for a period and recently had a 10 game hit streak. Glad they’ve come around ……..up to a tie for 7th in baseball for HR’s and up to .242 BA from .195 BA 3 weeks ago. Nice shift!
  2. JD-TWINS
    Watched the game tonight and couldn’t wait for Kikuchi to get out of the game so we could bring a barrage of LH hitters lead by Kepler. Correa doubled in the 9th to get into scoring position and Castro went to the left side & got him to 3rd with a ground ball, two outs. Kepler to Pinch Hit ……,Toronto counters with a lefty. Kepler then gets ANOTHER 2 out RBI & it turns out to be the critical insurance run. Kepler has been waaay clutch! He extended his hits streak to 12 games as well. He’s hitting .444 since returning from injury. Just huge for the Team’s momentum continuing over these past 18 games! Hoping Wallner and Lewis are back and ready by first week of June to support the effort. Julien & Kirilloff need to get a pulse going soon - need those two!! Last - gotta admit I was wrong about Miranda. Had low to no expectations from him for this year. He doesn’t have much pop in his bat but his bat to ball skills sure are playing well and they seem to be consistent. Big RBI tonight on a ground ball through the right side - good piece of hitting.
  3. JD-TWINS
    IMO, Martin has to be screaming that it’s his ball - also, Kepler could have helped call off Julien…….he has the angle and everything is happening right in front of him. To me the issue is Martin’s inexperience in CF - he’s “the guy” in the Outfield at that position and he. reds to be more emphatic on letting all know he’s going after the ball. To me, it appeared there was indecisiveness all around. I’m sure it got discussed in the dugout with coaches and will be again between games.
  4. JD-TWINS
    I do not understand the Alcala sentiment. Yep, he was used for more than one inning and it didn’t go well - granted. HE didn’t get the job done and thus had to throw more pitches than optimal. There was nobody left that was available - maybe not fair, but no options for another path. He has options to go up & down - Jackson, Okert, Thielbar do not - gotta take advantage of the situation to keep the Pen as fresh as possible. It’s not some mis-treatment, it’s professional sports.
  5. JD-TWINS
    Personally, not interested in Kepler being best player from Germany nor his place, at this point, in Twin’s record books. Cool to know but not a hot topic for me. I am interested in the guy that is only one of 5 guys in 2nd half of ‘23 to hit .300 or better AND have 30 XBH. Kepler, Cory Seager & a couple other guys. Impressive!! Interested in the guy that was 1-20 to start the season and the went on the IL, and since his return has hit .433!!! The guy is only behind Juan Soto for best overall RF in the game at this point in ‘24. Hoping that he stays healthy!!! I realize the productivity has come over only 17 games but he sure looks locked in as he’s brought his BA up from .050 to .329 since his return……he’s got 2 HR off left handed pitchers…..he just looks like a complete offensive machine right now! Does the pitch clock have him thinking less and just being aggressive? I don’t believe for a second that it is connected to this being a “walk year”. My impression is he’s about happiness most and $$ less…….. if he’s still above .280 BA in mid-June, it seems a two year deal for $17.5M/year should be an offer for consideration. An aside - how about that Trevor Larnach over the same stretch of 17 games!!!
  6. JD-TWINS
    The 1970 Cy Young got him some notoriety as well!!
  7. JD-TWINS
    Keeping Jeffers fresh and able to hit much more often is a big value! Guiding pitchers and throwing guys out is a big value! Providing depth & experience just in case something happens to Jeffers health is a big value! If he hits .220 and his OPS is only .575 I’ll take it combined with the other positives. Good to point out his value, thanks, as many think he should go away.
  8. JD-TWINS
    They scored 6 runs. The bullpen gave up 8 runs in 4 innings. The managing did not lose the game. I agree, Margot sucks!! Until he has been removed from the 26-man roster he’s going to get opportunities when he has the “statistical advantage”. Mgmt. determining a better guy on the roster will help Baldelli look much better……maybe Kiersey? So, once Lewis comes back as there is some stability, it’s possible to move Martin back down for a couple weeks to take a look at Kiersey……in 4-5 weeks. If Keirsey can prove himself for a bit, Martin can be recalled and Margot released, with some confidence. The early - mid June call up might be Wallner as well? Something will change eventually - may be end of July though before they intentionally rid themselves of depth.
  9. JD-TWINS
    Not personal here, general observations: Canterino & Prielipp are WAY out on the fringe of being contributors, ever ……..IMO, they’re on a par with decent A ball guys when considering their potential to add value…….they don’t actually play/pitch! SWR is going to have to throw more innings than was anticipated in January. If he holds up (regardless of AAA previous ERA, his stuff plays in MLB) I like the prospects of him being the 4th starter in Playoffs, when needed. Paddack - Varland - (maybe Topa) added to Stewart - Jax - Duran - Sands - two of our 3 lefties in the Pen in October (9 relievers). This would be a lights out Pen capable of picking up a starter whenever needed. Festa will certainly get a look to give guys a skipped turn as soon as June. Raya maybe up for a spot start or three in later July/August. The idea that the organization should kick up a “good starter” every other year from the Pipeline is a tall order……,difficult to imagine. A team would continuously have 4 home grown “good starters” under their control at all times. My expectation might be 4 relievers from inside system on a staff as guys slip out of the running to be a starter for health reasons or other issues. Then maybe a reliable starter every 2-3 years from inside the system. Now - forward in short-term….1) Ober is a guy. SWR was obtained, purposefully, at age 20 and is succeeding……2) he’s a guy. If Festa or Ryan work out by ‘26 & maybe Varland later this year or even in ‘25…….3) a third guy. The team is developing arms at a solid rate IMO. Smoltz started outside of Atlanta, Maddux was obtained, Liebrandt was obtained, …….Glavine was 2nd round pick & Avery was 1st round pick. Seems normal to have a mix of how to put together a successful staff.
  10. JD-TWINS
    If a team isn’t competitive, they are better off waiting for suitors to have more desperation to get a better return. Other than maybe 3-4 teams, I doubt many other teams have given up on the season…….even if their goal is to just return to .500 to gain fan respect. Stewart is probably a month away. Alcala will be available by the end next weekend. Topa is just a POTENTIAL benefit by mid-June the way things are going (MRI Sunday to re-evaluate), not very positive so far!! I like Staumont is up and getting a look. Almost a certainty he pitches today. 10.73 hits per 9 innings isn’t sustainable for success…….gotta strike out 10 per game every game to get through that amount of traffic on the bases ………his WHIP is 1.50. I like his stuff and think he’s a positive for the rotation! He’s gotta keep tightening up as he has been over last few starts.
  11. JD-TWINS
    Teammates need to hustle to the ball and stop play by asking for time. I have a torn ACL/MCL and cringed in sympathy but at the same time was yelling for BOTH runners to advance. A terrible accident while trying to avoid an accident. I was still disappointed that Martin didn’t advance or think to consider! If we as fans/society want a change in this behavior, the umpire or referee has to have the ability to stop play. If there is no whistle or a waving of arms and “timeout” called, the player’s role is to play. This way we would have something else to complain about with the umps. Kepler can feel bad, his human choice, but he did the right thing for his team.
  12. JD-TWINS
    The upbeat view of pitching prospects is good to see here!! On the other hand, Canterino, with his history, may never pitch in the Show. He has shown zero capability to throw more than 15 innings between injuries. I hope he’s a pleasant surprise at some point, but following him has gone by the boards for me. ………pitch over the course of a month w/o an injury first.
  13. JD-TWINS
    He is the most arrogant young man I’ve seen on the team for as long as I can remember. A I said last year - he thinks he’s Ted Williams. Morneau said last night - briefly - that his approach was riding a line between stubbornness and disciplined………to me, he needs to learn/try to fight off close 3rd strike offerings. Leading the League in called strike threes takes a lot away from his “disciplined approach”.
  14. JD-TWINS
    Sac fly drove in the go ahead run! Margot singled the 3rd run home.
  15. JD-TWINS
    I think 3rd time mentioning is a charm - we’re all concerned.
  16. JD-TWINS
    IMO - Wallner needs 3 weeks of some level of consistency at a minimum. Larnach isn’t going anywhere - Martin would be the guy to get displaced and he bats RH & can play CF - a different skill set. Wallner might not be back until July?
  17. JD-TWINS
    I completely agree on Santana’s lack of catching a reasonable throw to first from Ryan. Lead to first run. Ryan not leveling out mentally cost him BIG time with the 2 run homer. Up 1-2 in the count after walking a guy and he misses with 2 fastballs & then grooves one f oh r the 2 run homer ……lack of composure was a bummer. Julien has this arrogance about him & the TAKES on 3rd strikes doesn’t help! Is he guessing or just think he can take pitches that may be an inch out of the zone??? Fight off the pitch - gotta swing the bat with 2 strikes on pitches that are IN the zone. Come on!!! Miranda’s potential tumble to .220 scares me big time. He just does not look polished at all. Margot needs to contribute to 2-3 wins in the next couple weeks or he may be released by early June. ……..Kiersey/Martin can contribute at the .225 BA level and play better OF - maybe steal a base. Margot looks like he’s older than Santana & he’s 29!
  18. JD-TWINS
    Catchers are generally underrated. Jeffers is a decent catcher that’s hitting really well over 6-7 months. His success this year has come with other’s injuries and ridiculously slow starts throughout the roster making it impossible not to DH him. He’s in the line-up or is inserted essentially 90% of the games played. He’s been great - often clutch! Underrated, (nationally) absolutely!!
  19. JD-TWINS
    Nice win - 4 pitchers contribute ……,,Kepler still rolling……no big mistakes.
  20. JD-TWINS
    2 hits and a walk in 2/3 of an inning or in full inning……,,,that’s a lot of activity.
  21. JD-TWINS
    Santana makes 3 plays per week on defense that Miranda would not…….Miranda could be hitting .230 by early June & there’s no getting veterans back once released ……Martin might be hitting .190 in 15 more AB’s - Margot territory……..Martin won’t get a sniff of SS as long as Castro & Farmer are on the roster, he is a potential back-up at 2B however. With 65% of the season left, a Team can’t afford to scrap its depth. The young guys have options and can go up & down. As the season progresses health risk is reduced due to less games remaining. At some point you go with your top performers at that moment in time…… probably by August 15th. It’s May 4th……Vazquez was hitting .120 about 3 weeks ago and he’s around .220 now….Farmer was at .065 a week ago and is now at .136 ……Castro was in high .180’s about 2 weeks ago and is now up to .280 ….Kepler was 1 for 20 & hitting .050 to start the year and now he’s at .255…..and as you mentioned, Santana hit 4 homers in 5 games recently. Guys get back to their historical level of performance for the most part. Martin has no baseline to make assumptions about……..that’s one big reason.
  22. JD-TWINS
    2025: Lee - Correa - Julien - Kirilloff/Miranda…IF Lewis - Buxton/Castro - Larnach/Martin…OF Jeffers/Vazquez Farmer - Santana - Kepler salaries gone and a budget increase of $20M to high $140’s …that’s $42M to spend to supplement the rotation & DH or OF spot. Rotation is more than competitive & Pen is solid. I do not see why, with decent health, the club as assembled would not be competitive for the AL Pennant? Is this delusional?
  23. JD-TWINS
    If Gray pitches well - as was expected, against Houston, they could have realistically been in the ALCS last season. Not really sure what the beef is with their competitive stature? To me they keep re-molding the team to have more strengths every year. Correa - Lopez moves seem to not be discussed as positives and only the problem moves get discussed. The FO can’t control Buxton or Lewis’ health…..they have an excellent Pen - their rotation is average to above average. The Catcher - SS - 3B - 2B all have the capability to star in MLB. The Yankees have scored 2 runs or less for a handful of games in a row…….there are no perfect teams. It’s particularly difficult on the FO when ownership shifts the budget back to 2021 level in 2024!
  24. JD-TWINS
    The general opinion from those active in the TD forum would describe the FO in the bottom 2/3 of all the organizations ………… my personal guess on a pole would have them 22-26th……,some would argue 30th. Completely subjective, but I read everyday & have for a couple years. It’s certainly not a rosey sentiment……pretty close to a 180. Wildcard in first year - 2017 Division Titles in - 2019, 2020, & 2023 Team was absolutely beaten up by injury in ‘22………….4 playoff trips in 7 opportunities. Some good trades - some really good trades - some clunkers. Julien - Ober - Jeffers - Miranda - Duran - Larnach - Lewis - Lee and more guys to come have come through draft process. I know there are more than a handful of negatives some will be happy to point out…… I still think they do a much better than average job!
  25. JD-TWINS
    Another TD reader wrote - why isn’t Sands pitching the 8th?? …..Tough crowd. Sands looked good I thought. He’s in the proper roll. He’ll probably be the 6th/7th guy once Topa is healthy…….Sands may end up at AAA by July to stretch out if the rest of the Pen is covered with other guys. Kirilloff’s decline hasn’t been discussed much while winning 11 straight. I too am a big supporter. HR the other day took a little sting out of the decline. He needs to get back to .275/.340/.450 guy in next couple weeks!! Fingers crossed.
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