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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    Don’t doubt the progress but are there any recent examples or numbers that illustrate Julien is coming around? I’d like his potential promotion be another “good problem”! Please comment.
  2. JD-TWINS
    I’d do that too……….just don’t see Max being worth much to anyone at this point in the season. He’s not going to energize a line-up and Teams that aren’t trying to push for a title aren’t trading prospects for him if he’s going to be a free agent. I guess he may fill a hole in some contenders OF? …… can’t see any trades of that type in the A.L. so the field of possibilities are pretty limited with him.
  3. JD-TWINS
    There’s no perfect staff……a bunch of other Teams would take Okert based on his performance over the year or Thielbar based on his last 6 outings and his past experience. Chafin or maybe Chapman are lefties that could potentially be acquired but you may need a Valium to be able to watch either of them pitch in October as well. I don’t see any Pen moves. Lorenzen from Texas may help them free up a 40-man spot for when Mahle & deGrom return…….he could be a hybrid to help with starting innings into mid-September and then shift him to Pen? Affordable.
  4. JD-TWINS
    Without some injuries through July, I don’t see any trades happening for a reliever at any level of competence. Topa - Sands - Funderburk - Thielbar are all possibilities for the last spot in October. Alcala - Staumont - Okert/Thielbar - Paddack - Varland - Stewart - Jax - Duran seems really good to me! Thielbar was written off by me 3-4 weeks ago. He got 8 days off in mid-June & since June 20th he’s appeared 6 times. He’s thrown 5 1/3 innings with 2 walks (in one outing) & 5 K’s……..zero earned runs while giving up just 1 hit over those 6 appearances. He sure seems confident & serious about regaining his status on this club!
  5. JD-TWINS
    Some games he played more than one spot this year….not just starts at those positions. Simien is starting and there are only 2 guys at 2B and plenty of other guys for other positions so I don’t see him playing multiple positions in the All-star game. Could be cool to see Correa & Castro up the middle for A.L. late in the game!
  6. JD-TWINS
    I don’t know Eflin? Eovaldi is playoff tested & playoff successful ……a 3.10 ERA is outstanding. Bad news is Texas won’t sell, arguably, their best pitcher and a guy that was key to their success in post season just last year. They get two other pitchers back in next 3-4 weeks …..,they have a pedigree (underperforming) of good offense! The Mariners scored 11 last night & may not score 2 more runs the rest of the weekend……meaning, they can be caught! Texas has money and are going to be confident well through the deadline, IMO. Lorenzen - maybe? Not better than Ober but serviceable to get SWR some rest and then as a potential bullpen guy through October…..very reasonable insurance piece.
  7. JD-TWINS
    So, if you can get 138 games from Lewis and he’s in the MVP conversation, is there any question that there’s more value with him v. a Skubal in Cy Young consideration having a 3.10 ERA over 32 starts? Over recent history of last couple decades, what’s more valuable year to year going forward…….maybe not valuable, more repeatable of similar performance going forward? I’d take the bat every time…….. potentially involved in affecting 115 more games per season. So the bat maybe only has 60 impact games relative to outcome. The pitcher may have a positive affect 25 of 32 starts. To me, seems the scale tips to the bat. I guess if this is considered outside of fantasy baseball realm, would the Twins trade Lewis? To me, there’s zero chance of that happening unless he’s still hurt repeatedly in a couple years….,,way too talented to walk away from.
  8. JD-TWINS
    Can’t imagine a scenario where Texas lets Eovaldi go. Seattle’s offense is horrendous and Texas could get hot and win 10 of 13 and catch Seattle over a 2 week stretch. Houston made up 7 games in 12 days a couple weeks ago. Texas has too many $$ invested to back off their current #1 starter. Flaherty & Fedde both being in our Division seems to be an obstacle to me. Flaherty had 9 straight solid starts until June 27 when he gave up 5 runs……..hasn’t pitched since, through yesterday. Must have some injury? Fedde would apparently be ecstatic to get out of Chicago. He’s affordable through next year. Kikuchi pitched well early and then struggled in 5 of 7 games from 5/26 forward. First 2 starts of July have been good though! He’s interesting!
  9. JD-TWINS
    Somebody’s gotta play. There are no perfect teams. I mention it a lot (his improved OPS) because it’s real (not some opinion) and not just some complaint about how the FO should do better. I could care less if they cut Margot at midnight but if they do there better be somebody that’s better ready to go. The bad news is they don’t have a crystal ball for who that might be.
  10. JD-TWINS
    2 things: 1) depth comes from the 40-man roster (that’s what I was eluding to with the expansion to 45) 2) Margot’s role entering the season was RH bat to help in a predominantly LH spot in LF or RF, as needed. He has .899 OPS from June 1 to July 3. I get your criticism of FO in general but you offer no solutions - are there (were there) a bunch of multi faceted hitters out there to bring in on a budget in the offseason?? Who might they be, these players with no faults?
  11. JD-TWINS
    You going to expand the Roster to 45?? There’s only so many options that are real - so many players available. What’s your solution, not your reposting of a paragraph I wrote - 2 different times? If 5 guys get hurt in the first month, a Team is probably going to be forced into playing someone with lesser ability. Seems to be common sense, and as you mention, this type of thing happens every year. My recollection of history this year was put there for the guys that don’t recall the actual circumstances and think that Baldelli just has some love affair with Margot.
  12. JD-TWINS
    Offense is & has been rolling since late April - enough to pull the yearly totals up into very respectable level! 28 straight games with a HR is a nice roll. Lewis - Lee - Wallner all seem to be probable contributors in the last 70 games ……,,much bigger than in the first half. A not very popular move I’d like to see to help enable ALL good bats into the line-up would be Lewis to LF - can play every day and eliminate the Margot spot on the roster. Maybe worth a shot …..seems better than shifting to 2B in August? Lee is at 3B!! MLB averages, BA is .242 & OPS is .702 …….,2024 Twins: Larnach .238 & .723 Santana .242 & .737 Jeffers .239 & .798 Castro .268 & .784 Buxton .281 & .827 Martin .265 & .702 Kepler .253 & .704 Margot .231 & .627 Vazquez and Farmer are bad as we know Wallner .222 & .911 (BA .080 5 games ago) Lewis .292 & 1.039 Lee .364 & .947 Correa .310 & .905 Miranda .325 & .888 Farmer & possibly Margot are gone with Lewis & Martin becoming available in early/mid August. Don’t see any spots where additions are needed - nor do I see issues with the length of the line-up as some elude to above.
  13. JD-TWINS
    So the first 93 have gone about as well as could be expected. 11-5 in SWR’s starts 11-6 in Paddack’s starts 11-8 in Lopez’ starts 9-9 in Ober’s starts 10-8 in Ryan’s starts Top 3 guys are starting against tougher competition & Team is 30-25 in their games…not bad! The Maeda/Gray replacements have a Team record of 22–11 in their starts…..better than excellent! Festa/Varland have 7 combined starts and Team has won only 2 of those 7 games ….., ouch! Stewart - Topa seem to both be coming over next 2-4 weeks. Thielbar has had 6 straight decent outings. All I see are the comments about how the Team should assemble a perfect roster ….”need a lefty” …..”need a starter or else” …………..”need a starter and 2 relievers”…. I get this is a discussion forum but it’s not Fantasy Baseball. Only need 4 starters in Playoffs…..with health, SWR is at least an Opener as the 4th starter. Dodgers - Orioles - Red Sox - Guardians - Mets - Milwaukee - etc. etc. “need starting pitching & a little bullpen help for the stretch”……..good luck acquiring the Twin’s needs v. these other organizations. Playoff Pen: Thielbar or Okert - Alcala - Paddack - Varland - Staumont - Stewart - Jax - Duran ……how much better can a Pen get??? Are these guys flawless ….. nobody is, but I sure like this group! As a group, they have to have the best collective “stuff” in the game come October 1st.
  14. JD-TWINS
    I thought he looked a little tender after scoring yesterday, on the replay. 3 more games and a bit of rest…….I doubt rest makes the problem go away but maybe hurts less for a while? An absolute doubles machine! 31 XBH (out of 68 total) at this point in 70 games. He’s hitting .281!!! If he could somehow stay at .255 or better over the balance and play another 60 games…….would be huge.
  15. JD-TWINS
    What’s reasonable for a lefty with experience but slotted now as a 4th guy……. on a pretty decent staff. ……he can help Twins get to the finish line as a starter and could possibly slot into relief in October. 2 months of him to get us stronger. What’s that worth….generally? Not putting you on the spot here, just wondering what people think about this type of acquisition in prospect capital. I don’t know what may be reasonable?……..I would think Toronto just wants a reasonable piece as they aren’t going anywhere and save $3.3M. Competition for him is what drives the price up is my assumption.
  16. JD-TWINS
    I have no issues with Baldelli. Don’t understand the perpetual hindsight criticism of moves he makes. I particularly don’t get the criticism when a move is made and the player doesn’t get the job done. A good Team loses 45% of their games……essentially, regardless of the Manager …….that’s baseball. I did say in the voting he’s cost the Team 2 wins - just a general thought based on what he’s said after games. I have no specific thoughts on this/these “bad moves”. I’m sure he’s done many things that have worked out and WON games but that’s what he supposed to do……..why give him credit when he does things that work - right?
  17. JD-TWINS
    Agree that Margot isn’t turning into some fabulous run producer as of June 1. Regressing back toward his norm……per the 2800 AB’s. What I don’t get is all the angst about how many games he’s played “outside of the platoon” and how he has too many AB’s v. RH pitching? He’s a poor option v. RH pitching - everyone knows that. Rocco knows that. Does “forced into action” mean anything? Julien sucks, Castro removed from OF play and stationed at 2B - Kirilloff to IL - Wallner can’t hit in April, sent down (biggest issue) - Kepler out most of 3 weeks, IL - Larnach bad toe can’t be brought up, IL - Buxton out with knee problems, IL - Lewis out 58 games, Quad, IL and Castro at 3B many games, no OF play - etc………..often no left handed options for corner OF action or no other option in CF. Martin could have played a bit more, & in hindsight, may have. The FO & Baldelli brought Margot in, as you (not some) are well aware …….that’s been stretched! ………he pinch hits and the pitcher gets replaced with a RH - good baseball by the opponents. I don’t really care if/when he gets replaced……I trust the Team to do what they think is best……just seems he & mgmt. get a lot of static for something that became unavoidable with circumstances of other’s health.
  18. JD-TWINS
    Seems more & more likely that Lee takes over at 3B the rest of the year ……Miranda getting reps there too. I think Lewis re-habs at another position or he’s relegated to DH the rest of the season. What’s the line-up when Lewis is back August 15? 13 guys on the 26-man hitting: Wallner - Larnach - Buxton - Kepler - Margot Lee - CC - Castro - Santana - Miranda Jeffers - Vazquez Lewis………..Martin added in September. It’s possible but highly unlikely…..Farmer could have a really good month and Margot could go south and Margot could be the guy to go in mid-August. Either way, w/o an injury, Margot or Farmer has to be DFA’d when Lewis returns.
  19. JD-TWINS
    Wallner is really doing a nice job through 4 games!! Hope he can keep the buzz going in SF this weekend.
  20. JD-TWINS
    Completely agree with the Thielbar details from DJL44…….I wanted to lynch him (Thielbar) 3 weeks ago but he seems to have come around. A few different situations as well - not just cake walk innings. He’s a proud & determined guy and still seems to have the same two-pitch stuff. He made some command mistakes but seems to be nearly back to normal. Thielbar - Topa - Funderburk are all possibilities for the 9th spot through the September roster expansion. Having troubles finding exact info on September. It appears one player & one pitcher for 28 total bodies from Sept. 8 - Sept. 29. This would be a big change in the start date. Anyway, by September 20th I expect, with health, the Pen to look like this: Thielbar or Okert - Varland - Alcala - Staumont - Stewart - Paddack - Jax - Duran…..that seems as competitive as anyone in the game.
  21. JD-TWINS
    Sounds like Stewart should be back on roster by 7/31……Topa has thrown in bullpen and my assumption is (with good knee) they should be able to evaluate him and he could be (if effective stuff) back by 8/10…..,that’s another month of getting ready to go……reasonable? If Stewart looks good and Topa is progressing and checking boxes, I don’t see any moves for relief help! ……..Varland and Paddack coming by mid to late September as well. Again, a Lorenzen type may help push/pull the starting group through September.
  22. JD-TWINS
    My assumption is that when Mahle - deGrom come back they don’t have room in their 26-man for all the bodies and the guys currently on the staff are not guys with remaining options. They have $$$ or they wouldn’t have all the salaries they already carry. Therefore, trading Eovaldi isn’t an option for remainder of this year nor for next, as I’m sure that they hope he’ll opt in! Obviously, they could cut some lower Pen guys or maybe there are options with the Pen? Seems to me that Lorenzen makes most sense for Twins both prospect capital and $$ wise. They’ll have to pay 1/3 of his salary ($1.5M) and won’t need to give up anything too significant - but there may be some competition for his services. Lorenzen is essentially a polished Louie Varland. He started in Pen with Cincinnati and worked his way out over 3-4 years. He’s about a 4.00 ERA guy that’s pretty durable. He could be a Pen weapon in October and could give the Team 7 of 9 good starts over last 2 months. Texas will remain thinking they are just a 6 game win streak away from competing for their Division crown. They could still win that Division with their talent!
  23. JD-TWINS
    No options with Paddack, pretty sure that’s right & signed through ‘25. ……..SWR hasn’t thrown a bunch of innings so far at 23 (neither has Paddack) so I think he might get a break for 2-3 weeks…..so he’s available through September. Maybe Paddack has a minor “injury” and goes to IL. He could be a weapon in late September and into October from the Pen! I don’t see them doing anything in trades for pitching. Henriquez & Stewart …….maybe Topa seem to be what’s used to get through 162 games. It’s very likely that they commit by September 15 to moving Varland to a relief role. Paddack a week or so later. Lewis strengthens the line-up so much I’d have to lean to (even 85% of his health) him to be the most valuable add from the injury list.
  24. JD-TWINS
    If he has a similar ERA in 10 weeks, it may be a good option. ……..still doesn’t mean he’s going to be ROY though.
  25. JD-TWINS
    Jack Morris pitched 30-40 years ago - not really sure what you’re rambling about with reference to him? A few guys often discussed as interesting potential acquisitions here at TD: Sonny Gray career WHIP 1.195 Seth Lugo career WHIP 1.15 Jack Flaherty career WHIP 1.185 Jesus Luzardo career WHIP 1.252 Nathan Eovaldi career WHIP 1.288
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