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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    Severino deserves a bit of attention as a loooong shot but the other guys aren’t very appealing.
  2. JD-TWINS
    After last 6 weeks of ‘24, spreading the offensive load amongst more capable bats is what I see as the TEAM’s logical goal. Frankly, I don’t care about …..when Emma & Walker are on the roster…,, they aren’t now, and may not really both contribute until 2027. Lots of water under the bridge for our pitchers and key vets between now and then! Team can always move somebody from a position of strength (that has actually been achieved) in another year or two. If not mortgaging the future, try to WIN NOW! Quero may be a great option - I am not familiar with him?
  3. JD-TWINS
    “In another year Matthews will be similar to Woo or Miller…” - that’s a really bold statement! Haven’t heard anything like that about Zebby. MAYBE in 2 years, IMO - he’s got some real development left to do. To your point on value, should Twins start with an offer of Matthews and Henriquez and maneuver from there?
  4. JD-TWINS
    Sounds nice BUT one has to execute the additional high level pitcher trade AND you have 1 year of that pitcher v. the control with Ryan & Ober………the one year of availability is what sours me more. Duran & Matthews for Casas seems attractive and fair for both sides - close?
  5. JD-TWINS
    With considerably more power.
  6. JD-TWINS
    He was a rookie & then played 63 games in his two seasons. Expecting more than 1.7 WAR from a mediocre defensive player seems unreasonable. His average OPS is .830 - that works for me at the league minimum. Duran & Matthews should work for the Red Sox.
  7. JD-TWINS
    Yes! Pushed for this very thing here in November/December…….seems like a win-win as they cannot rely on Chapman to be their backend by himself - not at this point in his career.
  8. JD-TWINS
    Paddack is up in the air as you state - IMO, he brings great value at $7.5M as an 80-100 inning guy. Couple times a week from PEN as well as dropping him into a 3-5 inning spot start once a month. A real weapon to me! Team needs more offense and a reasonable solution at 1B & C in the long-term. Duran seems to be the high value guy that would attract a “real player” from another club - not a “highly touted” or “nice upside” ….. a Catcher ……..OR, T. Casas for 1B, he has been a target of mine for 3 months. Hope SOX sign Bregman & Casas is freed up to move. Vazquez to a team that has young catching depth - for one of their guys - along with Duran and a young starter OR a guy like Henriquez or Tonkin? Gotta be a real player - immediate contributor. Blewett …….Paddack & Varland…….Alcala & Topa……. Coulombe & Sands…….. Jax. This seems like a group to roll with along with another 3-4 guys behind them & worth moving Duran for some offense. If they can get offense and keep Duran - wonderful!!
  9. JD-TWINS
    Alcala was in 54 games and threw 58 1/3 innings………the 2-3 inning at a time storyline isn’t real. In the timeframe where he was used more often than an inning at a time, earlier in the season, he had a 1.56 ERA (34 2/3 innings prior to All-star break). He had 3-4 bad outings through the year…….one, he was last guy in the Pen & had to finish, and another was the Texas debacle. He’s a good pitcher that had mostly great success………..but his problems aren’t due to the Manager as all relievers (pitchers/players) stumble sometimes through a season. His mental stamina and command will drive his success going forward.
  10. JD-TWINS
    Agreed. His fastball velocity is fine - his elevation with that pitch and his ability to throw it at the knees is great! His secondary, off-speed stuff & command will elevate his spot in the rotation over time……if he gets to Ober’s level at any point, he’s good enough for me. Ober is a solid #2 on probably 24-25 teams.
  11. JD-TWINS
    Let’s see them stay healthy and perform at a lower level for 6 weeks before burning veteran’s availability to the club.
  12. JD-TWINS
    That’s what people were saying about Mark Fydirich when he couldn’t throw any more for Tigers. Upside v. availability is the issue.
  13. JD-TWINS
    Agreed on SWR fitting in at #4 or #5 ……still in age 24 season and proven at MLB level. Lee, on the other hand, may drift down into the #5-#6 range for me…….not sure how injured he was after having time off for back issue? He was OK in the field with flashes of. rey good - at the plate he looked like a guy just trying to lay the bat on the ball, far too often. Sooo many weak ground balls to second base - often tough to watch. From what I saw of Brooks and what I read about Keaschall, the latter may be playing 2B by July 1.
  14. JD-TWINS
    Preach!! ……to me it’s disrespectful to assume Matthews is somehow more valuable after SWR proved his value in ‘24. Matthews is a year older and at least a year behind SWR’s development…...not his fault, but he was in A ball last May………. SWR needs an out pitch - personally, I think it’s his slider. He needs to find another pitch or just better command to set up his slider. His ERA (in a protected role) was very solid outside 3 rough starts. I think he can get to 30-31 starts and 165 innings in ‘25. If he keeps the ERA at 4.00 range or better, he’s a solid a developing 4 or 5 starter……that’s all he’s needed to do.
  15. JD-TWINS
    One of your opening statements was that Sands was probably the 2nd most effective reliever in ‘24. His fastball velocity was up in ‘24 in the role he was used in regularly. With these things being true, there doesn’t seem to be any logical reason to move him from a role where he is thriving. “Most innings out of PEN in ‘24….”……. Same comments the past 3-4 months regarding Jax. Why? The Team has 5 starters in place coming out of ‘24……….in addition, Paddack & Varland are very solid options as long guys - bridge guys - 5/6 games as spot starters as needed through the year, with Paddack up first in those opportunities. Headrick is also a viable 1.2 - 2.0 inning guy. These 3 mixed with Stewart & Topa additions to Alcala - Sands - Jax - Duran infers a very solid PEN. Festa - SWR - Ryan - Ober - Lopez ……..Morris - Raya - Matthews - Lewis - Culpepper……,I realize 2-3 pitchers may get traded to try and help with a real Catcher or someone to play 1B that can hit. I don’t see any need to compromise the PEN to experiment in trying to find another starter!
  16. JD-TWINS
    My assumption on Grichuk being on the couch is that the market wants to pay him $5-$8M & his agent wants him to sign for $11-$14M. He’ll get signed w/o a problem. 140 OPS+ is pretty attractive, even if it’s a peak season for him. Santana hit 23 HR’s and won a Gold Glove…..so there’s that upside that probably drove his $12M. Guardians don’t overpay too often!
  17. JD-TWINS
    Grichuk hit .291 in ‘24…….he also had a 140 OPS+ ………2.2 WAR……..if Santana got $12M as a FA, I can’t imagine getting Grichuk for less than $10M - right? No Bader please!!
  18. JD-TWINS
    Guys that stick with the Twins don’t or wouldn’t get hurt?
  19. JD-TWINS
    Linus - anyone out there…….what will the Twins do to replace W. Castro in 2026? He’s not getting extended. Who will/how will they cover his innings? Is the answer wildly different than what they might do to replace him in ‘25, if traded?
  20. JD-TWINS
    Kiersey - Martin - Lee should be able to cover the innings Castro would give over a season. Assuming either Julien/Keaschall/Martin can play 2B (if Lewis doesn’t move over) ……if Lewis is at 2B, Lee/Miranda can cover 3B. Arraez plays 1B most of the time (70%). Lee is SS depth as of today (w/o Castro)……….Willi is gone in ‘26 for sure so that security of versatility is going away - deal with it now!
  21. JD-TWINS
    Padres signed Elias Diaz as a FA Catcher……don’t need Vazquez any longer. Larnach has more value, IMO, than Castro ….too much to give up for a team that needs offense. Castro (LF & IF depth) - Matthews - R. Henriquez ……. they get 2 controllable arms on an aging staff. They save $5.5M and gain a substitute starter and 2 other value players. To me, Preller seems to be too much of a win now & figure out next year, next year kind of guy to move high caliber pitchers - 1 year remaining for Cease & King - maybe searching for medium term viability as well?
  22. JD-TWINS
  23. JD-TWINS
    Darvish & Musgrave are locked into San Diego for years - King & Cease are both UFA after ‘25. King has a really good track record…. arguably better than Cease! King is at $8M plus & Cease is at $13M plus in ‘25. I think either can be argued to be superior to the other. SD is more motivated to move the $13M, IMO. Z. Matthews - W. Castro - R. Henriquez for Cease. SD gets a very reasonable PEN option and a fringe MLB ready starter and a solid LF that can bring IF depth. They get 3 players and save $5M at a minimum. Twins trade Paddack - Tonkin - Gonzalez - Julien for Luis Arraez…….SD gets a couple more real MLB arms and shed another $6.5M.
  24. JD-TWINS
    $30M is a piece from $17.2M - I like the aggression though!
  25. JD-TWINS
    ‘25 is definitely his last shot in Minnesota. I don’t ever see him playing SS. I know he hurt his arm 3 years ago - unless he’s still hurt, he was once a shortstop so he therefore has an adequate arm for an OFer. He’s not really “fast” he’s just not Donovan Solano slow - average baserunner is probably fair. Nobody expects the last guy on the bench to be really good at anything……if he can manage LF - a little 2B - a little CF ….,,,he’s a valuable guy to roster………..particularly if Castro gets traded!! He needs to turn into one of the “contact guys” - “situational hitter”…..if he can execute details he’ll probably be part of the 13 rostered guys most of the year.
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