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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    “They” not preparing guys, is nearly every Team in MLB. Last year Twins were #1 in starter innings per outing through July - not sure where they finished. This year, with Paddack being injury prone, Varland struggling, SWR - Festa - Matthews as Rookies………much shorter starts on average for the rotation. Training for longer starts/more innings from starters is an issue across baseball - not just in Minneapolis. Major injuries are common because what is taught/promoted in minors is MAX velocity. Bailey Ober is the oddity in today’s game with an innings average of nearly 6 per start. Max velocity 91-92mph.
  2. JD-TWINS
    Point made - never seen it in 55 years of watching MLB nor any other level of baseball. My impression was once the guy was announced he was in for the AB, period. That’s why the opposing mgr. waits for that occurrence before going to the mound to make a pitching change. I guess the same for pitcher though I’ve never seen two pitchers switched in same AB either.
  3. JD-TWINS
    That’s why Julien spent most of the last 8 weeks in St Paul - he’s a stallion. Struck out looking 3 times in one game - he was pathetic. If Farmer’s playing 2B today it’s a win……… That said, I hope Eddie can be the regular 2B at some point but he needs to earn it……,,that’s not hitting 7 HR by April 27 and none since. It helps your OPS but you’re still the same confused looking guy most of the time. He has had a couple multi-hit games in the last few days - sure hope it sticks! I don’t care if they DFA Farmer by midnight - I just think looking at results and thinking they all should have been anticipated is unfair no matter who is making the decisions.
  4. JD-TWINS
    Can only make one move per AB - can’t pinch hit twice for same AB.
  5. JD-TWINS
    The reason he’s got more AB’s v Righties is because they make-up 75% of the arms in baseball AND because the “fantastic youth” have not been healthy enough to play. Lewis 51 games out of 130…….Lee 26 games of 130 …….Correa 75 games of 130. ……Julien couldn’t hit well enough to stick. These are not minor issues where an organization just clicks their heels and they all go away.
  6. JD-TWINS
    So, you don’t think Farmer should have been signed in the offseason I guess? He hit .256 last year (career BA of .255) and played in 120 plus games (missed 25-30 due to getting hit in the face). He started for the Reds at SS the year before. Pretty valuable piece in ‘23. Julien quit hitting before the end of April - Lewis got hurt the first day of the season - Lee was out with a bad back. Lee & Lewis (2 guys on 26 man going forward) were not available after 3 innings on Opening Day. Lee, apparently has a chronic bad back that reared its head in the spring & when he got healthy and called up he had a fantastic 2.5 weeks - then he took a nose dive for 3 weeks & then he couldn’t throw. He’s played in 26 games this year. Lewis has played in 51 games this year. Correa has played 75 games this year. Farmer has played in 77 games…….sometime availability rules if we like it or not.
  7. JD-TWINS
    Who are your saviors, in theory, from the minors?……..sounds like the same group that wanted to trade or DFA Vazquez 12 weeks ago.
  8. JD-TWINS
    If Lee would have kept hitting…..didn’t hurt his throwing arm, Farmer wouldn’t have been activated. That coupled with Correa being out has enabled him to stick after he was ready to come off IL. The amount of $$ he signed for last Winter doesn’t really relate to anything. If they cut him in May or July or September, they still have to honor the contract. Not real clear on how this is pertinent. The fact that he hasn’t played great is the rub with his contract - I get that. If CC were available - if Lewis was usually available - if Julien hit a lick - if Lee didn’t get hurt, he wouldn’t be on the roster now.
  9. JD-TWINS
    They face Fried & Sale in 2 of next 3 games….probably not the best time to jettison the right handed hitters. If Buxton & Correa were ready to go, as well as Lee, Farmer wouldn’t be around and there would need to be a decision between Martin & Margot. Until those guys are healthy nothing will change. Margot had to play today because Kepler is nicked up. When guys are hurt lesser players fill in due to necessity. Kepler-Larnach-Wallner-Castro-Buxton-Miranda-Correa-Lewis-Catcher Catcher-Lee-Martin-Santana on bench v. RH starter 3 guys here are hurt so Margot-Farmer-Julien are currently rostered.
  10. JD-TWINS
    Ryan “overused” is not really a thing. Not heard that from anyone else anywhere ……and blaming it on Varland needing to stay stretched out until September doesn’t have anything to do with Ryan’s injury. Rushing guys back v. them getting hurt in the normal course of playing is different! Definitely agree there should be no playing guys immediately if they are not ready to perform.
  11. JD-TWINS
    Winder has pitched in 4 games in the Show in ‘24 - 9 total innings - not a big sample size, given. 3.00 ERA - WHIP of .889 - He’s got 10 K’s & 1 walk. Not much to be critical about there. I like Ronny & have been pushing for him at various spots during the year…..7 total innings in the Show over 6 games. 3.86 ERA - WHIP of 1.286 - He’s got 6 K’s & 1 walk. Good performances as well. Both had one bad outing. Don’t see anything here. or when I watched them both throw that has me believing Ronny has “clearly outpitched Winder” in ‘24.
  12. JD-TWINS
  13. JD-TWINS
    Not directed at you just general observations not just on Ryan but on the Top 3 guys: ERA……Ryan & Ober are 27th & 28th …….30 Teams with 5 starters each (do need minimum innings) Lopez has a 2.29 ERA over last 11 starts. Lopez is #49 in ERA. Innings pitched……..Ryan (has missed last 2 starts w/injury) 135 innings - Ober 140 innings - Lopez 148 innings. Top 10 guys are between 155-165 innings. Strikeouts……Lopez is #15 - Ryan is #21 - Ober is #25. WHIP………Ryan & Ober are 5th & 6th with a .99 each. Lopez is #21 with a 1.14 mark. To me, WHIP may be the most telling stat over the length of time. Wins…….(the “meaningless stat”) they are a combined 31-20 with Lopez & Ober (12 each) being tied for 7th place in the game!…….that projects to a 93-60 W-L over 2 plus years ……..effective guys helping the Team garner wins. Am not really worried about who the Ace may be nor whether we have an Ace. There are 3 guys going forward with big time capabilities. Unfortunately, Ryan actually contributing more this season is probably not realistic. These 3 with the 3 Rookies behind them bring real promise moving toward 2025.
  14. JD-TWINS
    Am glad to put the “un-hittable Sonny Gray” to rest. I like Gray - wish him well - he was not a necessity for this club to have success and tired of hearing that for last 9 months. Pablo showed up in a big head to head pitching match up! Gray’s ERA is 4.07 v. 2.79 in ‘23. He’s at .6 runs higher than his career 3.51 ERA. He’s given up 20 HR’s through August 24th, with 7 starts left in the season and last year he gave up 8 through September. He started great and may rally to have a decent year. He’s not a dominant Ace as was evidenced last year in the playoffs. He got out of a big jam in the 5th by picking a guy off 2nd. He was done after 5 innings. Then, he pitched poorly in his next outing v. Houston. Would it be a nice luxury to still have him on the Twin’s roster? Sure. Not down on the organization though, for not getting him signed at $25M/year through ‘26.
  15. JD-TWINS
    Bringing back guys whether they “are ready or not” doesn’t seem like a good plan…… Keirsey………maybe deserving on a lesser club but once Buxton is back (soon) he has no chance of being on the roster. Ready for Winder & Varland to displace Richards & Henriquez or Blewett.
  16. JD-TWINS
    Interesting, about Lewis. Seems Lee would then have a consistent spot to contribute from as well. Essentially, a hands down reason to be able to “free” Farmer.
  17. JD-TWINS
    His ERA is up 1.22 runs over ‘23 and one-half a run higher than his career mark of 3.51. I doubt the Cardinals love those numbers…….his ERA is over 4.00 after tonight. He’s pitching a decent amount of innings. He can improve or bounce back over his last 6-7 starts. He started out well but has been steadily declining………they don’t regret it yet but they aren’t enamored with his performances.
  18. JD-TWINS
    Flexibility with not taking on $35M per year for these two guys extends past 2024. In ‘23, in games started by these two, the Twins had a losing record. Approximately, 6 games under in their starts combined. ERA is great (lack of run support sucked for Gray) but replacing the W’s is what needed to occur. Team has managed to do that and then some. Team has a better record by 10 plus games over this point in ‘23 with a Staff & Rotation ERA that’s much higher. Gray’s ERA in ‘24 is going to be at least 4.00 after tonight’s game. He’s 1.22 runs per 9 innings higher than his ‘23 mark……,he’s 1/2 a run higher than his career 3.51 ERA. His FIP may be in line as you say but he’s not getting good results - not $25M/yr results. Granted, he may improve over next 5 weeks! If Varland can slot into the Pen & Winder comes back up with more similar results, I think they’ll be fine through the next 6–10 weeks!
  19. JD-TWINS
    I have thought about it and offering him a 1 year deal for $7.5-$9M is probably not a bad move. He could be the 3.5 outfielder. Worth considering if he doesn’t melt the last 5 weeks!
  20. JD-TWINS
    4 of 7 all year is a 93 win pace……..good baseball, with the possibility of a couple more mixed in there. I saw the same future for Royals - pretty challenging!…..,4 games series with Guardians starting Monday gives Twins a. chance to pull even by Wednesday.
  21. JD-TWINS
    Duffy and nearly every other reliever were a starter within the previous 1-4 years. Not too many guys get drafted as a reliever out of college & obviously zero out of high school. He’s head strong - just watch him on the mound. IMO, it’s been wise to keep him available throughout the year but now Morris seems he may be on a similar par and able to give the Team 5 innings in a pinch. I’d add Louie & Winder (was optioned and is delayed) to the Pen ASAP!!
  22. JD-TWINS
    Needed a win! 4-3 on road is respectable……could’ve won 2 or 6……will take the 4. SWR keeps them competitive - nice confidence while getting through tough situations. Chance for a very successful home stand ……..hope they can take advantage.
  23. JD-TWINS
    Martin’s base-running in 2nd was a really heads-up move. Vazquez is stinging fastballs in his hot zone - nice to not feel like an automatic out in his spot. He’s well over .300 since July 1st, with some XBH pop. Matthews got squeezed on a few strikes up & down in the zone. In some AB’s he had trouble the count was 0-2……gotta be sharper with command. He hit Arraez in the foot in first and then had Merrill down and gave up the 0-2 double to clear bases. It’s his second start and nobody’s perfect. The TWO walks after the error really stung and made evident his struggles with command. He’s got 5 pitches……the change-up needs some work & maybe a couple more curve balls per inning?? He’s got nice potential!
  24. JD-TWINS
    Do not understand???? - in what way? These guys know they could be called on. They are all professionals!! The Manager doesn’t prepare batters for AB’s…..it’s not Little League.
  25. JD-TWINS
    So, again, I get how everyone wanted to get a WIN and just happened to have a better idea than Baldelli. Human nature to think your own thoughts are correct…..especially after the outcome turns out to be not so good. However, with a 4-0 lead, the least pressure that could be put on Alcala getting his inning in on Sunday & contributing was to start the 7th. He had a clean situation and still had Jax & Duran behind him. A 4 run cushion is considerable and he was under no excessive pressure. Lopez had been working through the same line-up without great stuff nor great command for 6 innings. The Rangers have a solid line-up but Lopez proved (and was proved over first 3 games) that it’s not murderers row. Alcala wasn’t up to the task - in a big way. Hoping he shakes it off for next outing.
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