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JD-TWINS

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  1. JD-TWINS
    It’s not irrelevant if guys aren’t going to be effective - it’s not fantasy baseball. I’m not concerned with innings for the year at this point but guys can’t throw 20 plus pitches 3 days in a row at the end of September. The announcers were discussing the topic from 2nd inning forward ……,”pen is extremely short tonight”. Sure 2-3 of those guys were available if absolutely needed but not with 14 outs to go.
  2. JD-TWINS
    You say attendance is poor, or going to drop, 3 times a day for last week ……, don’t recall a lot of posts nearly all season …….maybe I missed them but I’m on here every day so doubtful. 26,000 and change last night with the season essentially over from a competitive standpoint. People in MN will go out and watch Pro-sports - no matter which team, if they’re competitive. Twins will be competitive or better making nearly zero changes to pitching and only a handful toward refreshing the offense. 2 days ago I said any forecast of more than 2% increase over ‘23 draw of 1.97 million would have been careless with all the TV issues that came out of the Winter. I also said they wouldn’t be more than 35-70K light on attendance (using your $75/fan revenue number) that would result in a maximum shortfall of ($75 x 70,000) $5.25M max. …………my comments were in response to what you had called out ……… then, you gave my comments a thumbs up!!! Today you’re back at the chicken little attitude on attendance……let it go instead of acting like the definitive Nostradamus .
  3. JD-TWINS
    Mr. Upbeat in New York………
  4. JD-TWINS
    ????
  5. JD-TWINS
    Look at the Bullpen chart above - Blewett threw 39 pitches Thursday - Tonkin threw 18 pitches on Thursday - Thielbar had already pitched in the game - Funderburk is the only guy left that hadn’t thrown the two previous days consecutively. 3 soft contact hits and he was in trouble - not pitching poorly just getting nicked to death. They DO NOT SCORE runs………. the Managerial decisions to use pitchers that are available aren’t the problem - strategy isn’t losing games - averaging 1-2 runs per game is a real problem………hitters need to look in the mirror!
  6. JD-TWINS
    156 - 147 - 126 - 121 - 120 are the top 5 guys on the roster for games played. I thought that with decent fortune that Buxton would/could play 120 games a year and hold things together. He’ll get to 104 in 2024 assuming we don’t make playoffs. Correa should get to 88 games. Celebration for Buxton is definitely over the top and unnecessary! However, getting to 85 games last year when he got completely shut down a couple times - not even jogging well, that was improvement. This year his knees seemed to be managed properly and he showed signs that he could play CF routinely. 104 games is a good next step. another 20-25 games next year gets him to 75-80 RBI & 22-25 HR. His defense isn’t as flashy as it once was but it’s still reasonable! I like the WAR # and with 20 more games in ‘25 he should reach 4.0 WAR plus - that’s a very good player!! 20 more games from Buxton and 35-40 more games from Correa and it should add up to another 1/2 dozen - dozen wins.
  7. JD-TWINS
    Maybe they should trade Jeffers - Julien - Martin ………. free up Kepler - Santana - Margot - Farmer………that would be a fresh start that may have a serious effect in the Clubhouse. Don't promote trading Jeffers but am pissed off at his offense since early July & after dropping ball last night & popping out in his last 2 AB’s, 2nd time while bunting, I’m kind of fed up. If the Team wins you or I could be the Manager. Lewis is an OK player last 2 months - Lee is a major disappointment at the plate. If these guys get it together they’ll succeed with or without Rocco at the helm. 3rd base coach & hitting coach seem to be appropriate staff moves IMO. Ober - Ryan - Lopez - 3 Rookies - Paddack should be deep enough for Spring Training staff………..I’d highly promote moving Paddack to Pen to join Varland ……..those two with Topa and we’re off to a much better start in ‘25…..,………I think Maki does a decent job - guys are developing new pitches - very high in MLB on staff strikeouts.
  8. JD-TWINS
    Completely agree 100% - why do we think nobody has been critical of Martin not scoring on a ball that was hit hard but took 3 hops in the grass to the RF? I thought that was the end of the game.
  9. JD-TWINS
    I get everyone putting there own “accurate” spin on what the issues for not getting things done. My thoughts from different view. Margot has made a bunch of unexpected plays and gotten key hits in a number of games. His performance v. LH pitching is at or above what Team expected. He wasn’t great but they knew they didn’t sign a star - they signed a depth guy that, due to other’s injuries or zero performance, had to bat v. RH pitching more than was desired or expected……….. Nobody expected Wallner to get sent down - Castro having to play infield all the time due to Julien’s poor performance & CC being out as well as Lewis being out. Kirilloff also disappeared and Larnach was hurt early. Santana has been great glove at 1B & leads Team in HR & RBI. He was signed as depth guy and then Kirilloff disappeared in the batter’s box. Gotta play him. Okert was consistently not consistent, brutal over all - no doubt. Farmer was laughable , in a sad way, to mid June - then hurt & on IL. He played 2B more than he should have because Julien sucked - Lee was hurt early - Castro or he had to play 3B due to Lewis lack of availability……. He’s 4th-5th in Slug. % in AL in September.? IMO - Julien - Kirilloff - Jeffers - Miranda ………all guys that at one point were key to the line-up, all disappeared last 6 weeks or earlier. Lee has an OPS in mid .500’s - brutal for our previous Top Prospect. All have had some highlights here and there but when crunch time arrived in August - they weren’t contributing at all.
  10. JD-TWINS
    Wasn’t paying attention in ‘84 and was only 5 in ‘67 ………older brother was 19 & he filled me in on that torture. This year is no piece of cake for the fans! If Atlanta takes out the Royals first game & if Sox keep their winning streak rolling, Baltimore might punt on last 2 games? Tigers aren’t losing 3! Royals have at least 30% chance to lose 3 in Atlanta - Braves are scratching for each win! Weather in ATL seems to be good going forward. Twins chances to win 3??? Correa better be ready to run out grounders………
  11. JD-TWINS
    He battles - he seems to have gained confidence and mental strength as the year has progressed. The confidence makes him appear stronger physically. He has some holes but most guys do - gotta work around his issues. He’s got 4th OF and emergency IF spot in his future, somewhere - maybe at Target!
  12. JD-TWINS
    Same comments and specifics for success can be applied across MiLB. Nothing new in these comments. I’m much more concerned about the ability to cultivate pitchers - behind the 3 Rookies currently being used. there are reasons to think they have 6 more guys that should be ready by ‘26. Even if just 2 of them hit, I’ll take that as a success. Matthews - SWR have OK stuff. - need to gain experience and guile - SWR is ahead between the ears, he’s 23. Matthews has enough stuff - probably needs another well executed pitch, same as Festa. Slider - Fastball need some more complimentary help.
  13. JD-TWINS
    I don’t blame Baldelli…….. He did have Ryan into August though, and to that point he may have given them the best overall performance as a starter. Relief core has lost games but that happens all over baseball. Twins were 17 games over .500 and could have coasted to the #2 Wildcard by finishing 2 games under .500 from there. COMPLETELY lost their offensive punch! Last night: I get people being on Santana a bit for getting doubled off but when Jeffers can’t get the ball on the ground but it’s a force at 3B and the bunt was going to the right side. Jeffers - popped out with no outs and bases loaded - popped out on sacrifice bunt attempt - dropped throw that was chest high for a force out at the plate. He was rough!!! Threw well to 2B to be fair but he butchered up some BIG opportunities/plays!!!
  14. JD-TWINS
    Way to not watch all summer and then post that you support a rebuild and that the farm system “isn’t in great shape……” If you haven’t watched nor paid attention since May I don’t think you have any clue on how “slow - undisciplined - lack of fire” the Team shows. If you don’t care to watch it’s your call - trying to recruit baseball fans to “join you…….for a free summer…,,,” is silly. Organization’s future isn’t bright? Look up the organization’s farm system rank. You read a lot this week for not caring. Team absolutely sucked offensively for the last 5-6 weeks - no doubt. Not going to quit following the club because of your negative spin………my assumption is since you don’t care about the Club and are freed up, you won’t care about what I post here either.
  15. JD-TWINS
    THAT would raise some eyebrows. Braves fans/organization - Twins fans/organization - VEGAS for season long wagers - etc.
  16. JD-TWINS
    Tuesday would be SWR’s turn…….I assume it would be more of an opener situation but he might not “open”. Festa would be on full rest (4 days off) by Tuesday. Probably some combination either way. Bad news is they have about a 15-20% chance to get in at this point. Detroit is a juggernaut & facing White Sox this weekend - they’re in! Mariners aren’t a concern as they need to pass us due to tie breaker. Royals need to lose & 2 or 3 losses are necessary……..possible since Braves will definitely be playing for something this weekend hosting Royals. Can Twins win 4? Can they win 3 just to have an opportunity?
  17. JD-TWINS
    Julien is a big disappointment & Lee is more disappointing. Both are young. If Keaschall hadn’t needed arm surgery I think he may have had a shot at 2B by June 1 next year - recovery time puts him in flux until mid-summer at a minimum. Julien at 1B can’t be a serious option. He’s mediocre at 2B. His offense over last 5 months has shown very little promise. Trade value is low - can always move him for very little or release him next summer if he continues on current path. ……..He’s done it (130 OPS+ in ‘23) - so has Kirilloff (117 OPS+ in ‘23). I think Castro is leaned on early next year at 2B and they bring in OF help from FA market. Lee???? What’s he going to turn into? His current offense isn’t very bright! He may need 2-3 months in St Paul to get right next year?
  18. JD-TWINS
    I hear ya - comparing Minneapolis draw potential to San Diego though is a stretch just considering weather differences.
  19. JD-TWINS
    Not sure where your numbers come from? To me, worst case they are under 35,000 from ‘23. ……..most likely, with the weather expected and fan giveaways this weekend they match last year. If they budgeted 2% up tick (had to adjust any aggressiveness with TV so uncertain over winter) that’s about another 38,000 above last year. 73,000,000 x your $75 revenue per body is maximum of $5.5M
  20. JD-TWINS
    So, I get the rest of the Game is up in attendance and not matching that is unfortunate. The reasons for the apathy has been outlined many ways here. Bottom line though is they match last year’s attendance if they draw 27,000 over last 6 games. They average 24,000 fans/game. It’s supposed to be 82F & sunny Friday-Sunday. WIN ONE GAME tonight and “they will come”. Even if the Team only averages 20,000 per game they’ll end up just 35,000 light in ticket sales v. ‘23. My assumption (live in Cincinnati) is tickets cost a bit more this year than last year? My point is Revenues can’t be very far off expectations in a budget done by the Club! It’s not some huge cloud over the organization.
  21. JD-TWINS
    Williams was the best set-up guy in baseball for most of 3 previous years as well. ……..Duran at $3M isn’t going anywhere in any case. IMO, Duran, after a down year, may get to $2.1M based on his career as a whole…….that’s 3X his current base…..seems closer to real after this year of OK to good, not great. In ‘24 he’s 6-8 with a -.1 WAR and a 3.83 ERA.
  22. JD-TWINS
    Hoping the Yankees lock out the O’s from Division Winner contention tonight. Burnes is scheduled to throw Thursday and they’ll want him ready for next Tuesday - not facing the Twins. Hoping the O’s “rest some guys” over the weekend!!!! Beat the Marlins or else - today’s the day.
  23. JD-TWINS
    He doesn’t go to the plate and bat 40 times a night - the players need to get off their ass and get their chins up - it’s a personal revelation they need to come to through the entire line-up.
  24. JD-TWINS
    I’m coming to this discussion late but I gotta say what others probably have, hitters need to remove their hands from around their throats when they get in the box. Jeffers - Lee are horrible & Miranda is right there with them. Lee looks like the worst hitter on a church league team. The author here called it correctly, stating, “Jeffers popped out for the 12th time in his last 11 AB’s” ……Miranda seems to have reverted to ‘23 Jose. Julien has been so bad he got his first AB in a week, in the midst of nobody else performing. Lewis seems to have come alive - encouraging. Just saw on MLB Central some perspective from the Clubhouse Leader - Correa: …….paraphrasing……… “….This situation is poison to some and fuel for others. Those that use this as fuel go on to have beautiful, long careers. We have a bunch of young guys and they are getting help from a lot of sources. In the end it is up to you…..” Been preaching this here for a couple months - the Manager & hitting coach & experienced veterans can only do so much to guide one in the batters box. The hitters gray matter - ability to focus - ability to maintain a confident outlook - and just plain talent are what needs to come together. Gotta do it - get it done, yourself!!!
  25. JD-TWINS
    Boston series: ONE run through 11 innings on Friday night ……1 run in 9 innings first game Sunday ……..3 runs in finale on Sunday. Your point about the offense is very real. If the offense cannot get the pitchers 4 runs, there should be little expectation to win ballgames.
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