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JD-TWINS

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  1. Wallner - best statistical hitter out. Correa - former #1 overall and offensively absent until last half dozen games Lewis - former #1 overall and hasn’t played an inning Keaschall - bright spot played a total of 5 games plus one AB Castro - nothing special at all from him prior to injury Get some average production from these guys and Team is above .500 w/o a problem. Clemons - Gasper - Kiersey………..these guys displaced by the injured guys and there’s instant respectability, IMO.
  2. Wallner & Lewis & now Keaschall are all talented guys that haven’t been able to be in the field……greatly missed!! Bader 3-5 …… Correa 2-5 ……. Buxton 2-5 ……. France 3-5 ……. today, the remaining talent did OK or better, still can’t score.
  3. Difficult to watch a Team NEVER play for a run and always assume the big inning will prevail. 13 hits for MN & 6 hits for Cleveland …….. how does a team give up 2 runs through 9 innings and not win the ball game with 12 hits through 9 and a handful of them doubles? Guys at 2B & 3B with no outs and can’t score - pathetic!!
  4. Not exactly sure how the PEN is blowing games a few days per week? Other teams score …….. the Twins do not, regularly. Team had 6 runs over last 3 games. Today, Thursday, they managed to have more than twice as many hits as Cleveland and still lost. Brutal bat to ball skills with guys in scoring position (on third), brutal!!
  5. Julien is on the Team out of nearly as much desperation as Gasper. He stands in the box as though he’s collecting data instead of looking like a professional hitter…….he’s at .210. There is no great loss with him not in the line-up. I wholeheartedly agree that Gasper is a stretch for any MLB line-up but this example of Eddie sitting isn’t real strong from my point of view. Tired of Eddie’s arrogance or confusion in the box!!!
  6. Reasons for doing things differently from game to game - one pitcher’s start v. his next - there must be a dozen potential variables (reasons) through the course of a year. For Paddack on Tuesday, stacking 99 pitch outings doesn’t bode well for him staying fresh as long as possible through the season…….his contact rate and velocity of bat to balls leaving the plate was pretty high as a rule all night ………. the bullpen was fresh. Those are 3 reasons to remove Paddack - analytics would provide more validity, I’m certain. They scored 1 run ……..why do all the strategic details matter so much (unless about run generation) when the Team doesn’t score?
  7. Surprised nobody here has taken the opportunity to roast Miranda on this (maybe I missed comments?)……..I saw a female blogger, that I guess follows the Twins regularly, take a shot right after it happened - pretty funny. I wasn’t sure of the accuracy? Apparently, he was checking out at Target or similar and started to drop a case of water and grabbed to catch it and got hurt………..hard to imagine. Professional athlete.
  8. Not enough pitch mix and his location isn’t sharp enough to make up for only two pitches. “Look for a fastball in a location I like” is literally the approach v. Stewart. Some days, a lot of days he looks electric……..he did throw the night before though. Bottom line is just lack of execution by him and by Lopez as well. Lopez threw Ramirez 3 straight down and in fastballs to start his AB and the 3rd was lined into right field - no logic to the pitch mix nor location! I think Lopez got pulled because he was emotionally wound after the throwing error and Stewart strikes guys out - not a terrible move. I gotta say here, & I generally like the guy, but Ryan Jeffers does his pitchers no favors behind the plate! His bobble of what was nearly a pitch out with Santana stealing was a blunder - happens. His inability to block pitch down & keep it in front of him allowed Santana to get to 3rd with only 1 out (maybe none?) - happens. However, his total lack of ability to frame anything close is really bad. The umpire is responsible ultimately to call strikes, strikes. 4 pitches within 2 batters were in the TV box (all called balls) and Jeffers catches the pitches and flails his mitt 18-24” away from where he catches the ball - it looks like he’s trying to steal every pitch by brining the to center of plate and belt high - it’s so obvious that (to me) it doesn’t give our pitchers (last night, Lopez) any chance of getting marginal pitches around the periphery of the zone. Catch the ball and be still - don’t appear surprised with each pitch’s location. Anyway, wish he was improving - don’t see it in defense. Costly!
  9. I gave a thumbs up to this because that’s probably the case but GASPER, with his supposed 3rd string catcher capabilities, and his switch hitting may supplant Eddie? Brooks now seems to be at top of heep at 2B and Castro can flex between OF & IF……… Gasper provides a relatively similar offensive potential to Eddie at this point.
  10. Just a reflection - no big disagreement here…….my recollection was Eddie had 7 HR and was hitting well overall with good OBP up to April 27……(future star coming off ‘23)…then 6-7 weeks of very BAD…..sent down to regroup. He didn’t shine that much in St Paul either…….came back up and was blah to bad the remainder of the year. My point is he’s had plenty of time to heal as an individual……I think he needs help between the ears if he isn’t already receiving it from organization. He’s mentally locked up quite often in the box - appears to be anyway. Not trying to diminish the emotional side or psyche a hitter needs - it’s not easy - but guys get roster spots & get paid to perform.
  11. Didn’t understand your comment initially - I think we’re on same page: Pretty sure his ERA after his first start is under 3.00…… shouldn’t have to shutout Teams to get a favorable outcome!! I’m not in love with Paddack in the rotation (lack of K’s & walks too many) but one has to be fair - he’s pitched well (well as expected) in last 5 consecutive outings.
  12. The issue with Eddie is “he’s been feeling the pressure” since about May 15 of last year. He needs a psychologist’s help IMO. The bat rack approach is waaay too prevalent and has been for months & months. Can’t hit .210, regardless of how many times you walk. France hit the ball hard at least 3 times - COACHING at 1B and veteran’s lack of awareness (France) rounding first base and getting thrown out is a big deal in an extremely tight game!! Can’t happen.
  13. Offense is finally nearing a level respectability from a Team standpoint. Buxton projects to 30HR & 85 RBI if he sits for a month at some point. Too many strikeouts but his bat to ball production sure looks good in April! Jax & Alcala are 0-4 with combined ERA of about 8.00………..if Team wins 2 of those 4 they are over .500. Those 2 guys are getting it together. My point is things aren’t all bad despite Wallner - Lewis - Castro - Keaschall all going down with injuries. Remaining competitive through this week will continue to level things……….3 more wins through Sunday would be big as Lewis & Castro seem to be coming back in a week or two……serious upgrades over Clemons & Kiersey.
  14. Bride - seems the Marlins really messed up! I don’t think the guy is hunting MVP just because he’s 7-14 with the Twins but he hit .276 last year in 232 AB’s - 11 HR - 122 OPS+. Sure seems the Marlins should have given him a longer runway. …….. maybe he’s seen enough of S. Florida and went in the tank to get released?? Just kidding but he’s a pretty good “scrap heap” pick up by the FO!! He might force Castro into primarily an OF role? Bride - Lewis - CC - Lee - Julien - France Larnach - Bader - Buxton - Wallner - Castro Anybody hear anything about Wallner or Castro’s health? I assume Lewis will be back by 5/5/25?
  15. Bride - seems the Marlins really messed up! I don’t think the guy is hunting MVP just because he’s 7-14 with the Twins but he hit .276 last year in 232 AB’s - 11 HR - 122 OPS+. Sure seems the Marlins should have given him a longer runway. …….. maybe he’s seen enough of S. Florida and went in the tank to get released?? Just kidding but he’s a pretty good “scrap heap” pick up by the FO!! He might force Castro into primarily an OF role? Bride - Lewis - CC - Lee - Julien - France Larnach - Bader - Buxton - Wallner - Castro Anybody hear anything about Wallner or Castro’s health? I assume Lewis will be back by 5/5/25?
  16. So do not have anything against Clemons but the asterisk is pretty big next to his double …… position player throwing 50/55 mph in mop up duty…….. he will be the first guy gone.
  17. Not sure but I thought all 3 guys, before Ryan’s injury, were in a few Top 35’s last year relative to pitching stats? …… not sure what Lopez needs to do to cement a #2 status? Lopez has a decent WHIP of 1.11 - he’s 2-1 after 4 starts and has a 5:1 strikeout to walk ratio - and the ERA is 2.08. …….. doesn’t seem to be a lot of slip in those numbers. We’ll see how he does on the road v. a team that knows him well this week in Cleveland…… Ryan - Ober - Lopez all under Team Control through ‘27 (limited somewhat, assuming arbitration payouts for Ryan & Ober) …….SWR through ‘28 ……. Festa through ‘28, maybe ‘29 ……. Matthews through ‘29 ……. Morris, etc. clock hasn’t started Paddack is the one guy Twins don’t control nor do they need/want to past ‘25. Festa isn’t bringing back, as I assume you would agree, “a haul”. IMO - Twins pitching is “playoff adequate” - they need offense NOW and not via some trades for prospects………Martin - Rodriguez - Lee are all the prospects “with potential” I can take at this point. I like trading pitching (not just the dregs) for a real bat at some point this summer……. young pitching control be damned. No idea who this mystery bat might be though 🙁
  18. Not really sure what SWR needs to do to get some respect for what he’s done to date. He’s 24 and came into ‘24 as the #7 guy and worked his way on to the MLB Rotation with Varland’s failure and DeSclafani’s injury in April. After Paddack went down he was in the #4 slot for 25 starts. To me, if anyone might get displaced in the current ‘25 rotation by the talent push from AAA, Chris Paddack is the more obvious choice. He hasn’t shown he can be expected to last much more than 100 innings ……… I’d like to see him in the Pen ultimately in ‘25. I think SWR is a fixture in rotation for another 3-4 years barring trade.
  19. Joe Ryan Experience! ………nice. Topa did a great job - really looked to be in control in and out with his pitch mix! 7 relievers got a day off……. 5 guys fresh headed to Cleveland on Monday. 2 v. Guardians this week would be nice but 3 would be huge!
  20. Correa seems to have turned a corner Larnach seems to have turned a corner. Jeffers seems to be more consistent. Lewis - Wallner - Castro will be back over 2-3 weeks……… they displace Kiersey - Gasper - ?? Lee is pushing to stay with the club with his recent 5 game hitting streak. Bride has no options but is 4-9 as a Twin……he needs to get a bit of consideration. He hit .272 with 11HR in the Show last year…….consideration! Castro should get “plenty of time to heal”. At some point (maybe not til beginning of ‘26?) either Lewis or Keaschall have to play 1B regularly. If Bryce Harper can move to 1B to stay healthy & get more AB’s for his Club, one of those two (Lewis) can move to 1B as well!! Lee - CC - Keaschall - Lewis is a formidable infield offensively………..Jeffers - Larnach - Buxton - Wallner fill out the position spots. Bader - Castro - Vazquez - France - Julien
  21. If the Team is .500 on July 31st they have a shot - not great, but a chance. There’s no reason to think that with Correa & Larnach starting to produce over past few games (even Lee)…….Wallner & Lewis returning over next 2-3 weeks…….. Keaschall back by All-Star break…….that the offense cannot be at least top 12-15 by end of July. Team has a good chance to be .500 June 15th without doing anything special at all. If they just have a few Series wins they can be at .500 by end of May - again, a pretty pedestrian path forward.
  22. Gasper, “hot” and in the 5th spot as our DH today ……….coming off his 2-3 game Friday….big reach but not much of a choice! Today’s #2 hitter (CC) - #5 hitter (Gasper) - #8 hitter (Kiersey) ………..OPS+ of 51 …. 71 ….. -48 respectively. Let’s go Joe Ryan!!!!!
  23. Last year’s failures were due to Ryan & Paddack not being available and thus forcing Festa & Matthews into action, neither prepared between the ears but the most talented of Team’s young group of options. The other hiccup was Varland proving (by late April) not to be valid as a starter. So, Team had a 23 year old that hadn’t thrown innings expected in the Show over season, forced into action - SWR, and Festa & Matthews. How does the Pen NOT get used regularly with these circumstances? The Manager would need to be David Copperfield to have it look any other way. The Team’s collapse the last 6 weeks of the season in ‘24 was 90% offensive output (lack of) related……a subjective % from my viewpoint.
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