TwinsDr2021
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Everything posted by TwinsDr2021
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Devin Smeltzer signs Minor League Pact with The Fish
TwinsDr2021 replied to MN_ExPat's topic in Other Baseball
I also wish him the best and won't really be missed, but lets not forget he had 6 quality starts in his 12 starts. Gray had 9 in 24, and Ryan 11 in 27, so average at best might not be accurate (he only gave up 3 or more runs in 4 times last year). He is never going to be a star in the league but I am not sure you could ask for a better AAAA starter. -
Trading a Bat for an Arm
TwinsDr2021 replied to Hunter McCall's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I hate to be that guy, but remind me again who (this FO) has developed? Jeffers? Miranda, Polanco, Arraez, AK, Gordon, and Buxton were carry overs (as was Garver) If you give this FO for developing previous regime top prospects than don't have also have to say what happened to all the other top prospects? There are a few maybes Larnach, Lewis, Wallner but as of now I would say they actually have done a way better job of getting guys they acquired to the majors as pitchers more than bats. Ryan, Ober, Winder, Varland, SWR, Duran, Alcala, Sands -
Then us Twins fans could be in for another long year, and this FO's jobs could be in trouble. IMO
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He turns 24 in a month and if he still has things to work on in the minors, he isn't the answer to any question other than as a AAAA type of player.
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Nick Gordon turned 27 in October, so the he's young logic IMO is completely wrong. I like Nick Gordon and it has taken time at each level to become really good so he should have a fine career as back up in the majors or a filler for bad teams. But he is the type of guy (along with Larnach and Celestino) that you don't build the future around, they are place holders until an actual young guy comes in and takes the job or a solid veteran extra guy that can fill in when needed. You don't block real prospects with these type of guys, so as now he is a fine fit, but if one or two of the actual young guys steps up he becomes very, very expendable.
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Have the Twins Improved the Roster this Winter?
TwinsDr2021 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
It should go without saying the Twins are in a better position now then the beginning of last year, first Archer and Bundy aren't on the team, but there is more reasons, Duran being a know commodity , Gordon proving he is a capable major league player, Miranda being up, a set spot for Arraez (1B or DH), Laranch and AK having to fight to a starting spot or even a major league job. What Moran, SWR, Varland did last year, Having Lopez and Mahle all year. Every team should be better at this point than they were last year or the FO should be fired. The real questions ares can Rocco be a better manager and can the players stay healthy. Both of them I am unsure of.- 29 replies
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- gary sanchez
- christian vazquez
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Why don't more people hate the Rays?
TwinsDr2021 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Other Baseball
I respects your opinion, the Rays have won 86 games or more the last 5 years (they were on pace for that in 2000) The Twins have done that twice, it seems more like jealousy than dislike. The Rays are doing things the Twins aren't and for a fraction of the price. "they're doing something kinda crappy to their players", you mean like sending Buxton to the minors or not bringing up prospects until the very end of the year in 21? I mean there is close to zero percent chance I could be a fan of the Rays, but the Twins are heading down that same road. -
Rumor: Twins Interested in Michael Wacha
TwinsDr2021 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I agree with everything in the post this quote is from. It is logical and spot on IMO. Sorry I didn't mean to come off with "your read" at all, I don't think they should be rebuilding at all, I was trying to say if the FO is going to rebuild they should tear it down and trade off they assets they have, not try this half arse rebuild and have another crappy year and get stuck only getting draft picks for guys they should have traded if they were going to rebuild. I don't think this FO has the luxury of rebuilding starting in the 7th year. (my crow comment was if they are trying to rebuild and they hit magic all year similiar to what happened in the first half of 22) Nothing less than a playoff victory is acceptable to me this year. I also believe bringing in a starter that isn't obviously better than Mahle, Gray and Ryan is a fools errand, unless it is Sale, I am all on board with that. Have a good weekend! -
Rumor: Twins Interested in Michael Wacha
TwinsDr2021 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
My point wasn't really they gave up future all stars or anything, but the gave up quite a bit of prospect trade capital Petty, Hajjar, Steer, Strand to get draft choices back. (FYI - I liked all those trades so that isn't the part I am talking about) And remember this started about talk of a rebuild while holding on to two (three with Maeda) pitchers that could walk for only draft choices or nothing. Sure they could trade them at the deadline and get something but for that to happen one of two things happened, the Twins are terrible for the third year in a row and are sellers. (Which to me is a fire-able offense) or Varland, SWR, Ober, Ryan and somebody else stepped up and allowed them to trade free agent to be's. This would be the best possible scenario and I would have sides of corn bread and au gratin potatoes with my crow. Well 16 different teams in the last two years have made the playoffs so nearly every front office is bit of exaggeration. Also this will be this FO 7th year and the last two have been a downward trend and another year of that is unacceptable IMO. And in mind there is no upward trend without (Edit: went from with to without) a playoff victory. As for trading them see my comments above. (And again I hope I am asking does crow need to be well done or can you have it medium?) -
Rumor: Twins Interested in Michael Wacha
TwinsDr2021 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
True and that gives hope that in 4 to 7 years those picks will be the next wave of saviors. -
Rumor: Twins Interested in Michael Wacha
TwinsDr2021 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Well they haven't traded Gray, Mahle, Kepler, and Polanco (and they signed Gallo) so I am thinking this isn't a rebuilding year in their mind. Letting Gray and Mahle go for nothing at the end of the year after giving up what they gave up would be unforgivable and a fire able offense. IMO three years in a row with no playoffs is also a fire-able offense. -
Rumor: Twins Interested in Michael Wacha
TwinsDr2021 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Richardson pitched 107.3 innings last year at age 21 in AA and AAA with a 2.77 ERA and 115 K's. Varland pitched 126.3 innings in AA and AAA with a 3.06 ERA and 146 K's, Plus the 26 innings in 5 starts with the twins. Not sure it is the players fault they weren't given a chance to pitch in the majors last year and Archers was? Varland did enough last year to deserve the 5/6 starting pitcher as long as he doesn't pee down his leg in spring training. SWR did enough last year to be next guy up if/when an injury happens to a starter. The Twins absolutely need to establish at least another young starter this year (Assuming Ryan, Ober still are deserving) Plus they need to start figuring out what they have with all those prospects they have on the 40. This can be done without rebuilding and trying to compete. -
Rumor: Twins Interested in Michael Wacha
TwinsDr2021 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Those two (Canterino and Paddack) don't even have spots on the major league roster in my example, and Moran who will be 26 shortly and Megill (also not on my roster) who is 29 for sure could be upgraded, but please explain how Wacha or any other of the FA agent starters help? If you could convince Wacha to pitch in the pen to replace Pagan great. -
Rumor: Twins Interested in Michael Wacha
TwinsDr2021 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Why, why, why even bother talking to him, unless it is a minor league contract or for the bullpen. How old do Varland and Winder, Sands, Canterino, Headrick have be before giving them a chance? 30? even then people will probably be calling them young. With my view of things the major league starters look like, Gray, Mahle, Ryan, Ober, Maeda and Varland, with the AAA starters being Winder, Sands, SWR, Balazovic, Canterino, Enlow, Headrick and Henriquez. Seems like they they in theory have some starting pitching depth (Those are just the starters on the 40 man) As for the major league bullpen it looks like Pagan, Duran, Jax, Lopez, Thiebar, Alcala, Moran with AAA being Megill, and the assortment of starters above. So if a starter isn't better than Ryan, why bother, as the pen you would upgrade from Pagan, Alcala and Moran? but again the last two are pipelines guys. Can we just be done with this idea of a signing a free agent, please. -
To me it is pretty simple, bare minimum is win a playoff game. The front office was hired 11/16 (or at least introduced that day) and was given the 1st overall pick, and a very solid core of young players to work with (Rosario, Garver, Sano, Polanco, Buxton, Kepler, Berrios), vets to trade, and some pretty decent minor league players. Next year will be their 7th year and the team has been trending down since 2019. I don't care about the Covid year or injuries all the teams have to deal with that.
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How would you divvy up championships?
TwinsDr2021 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Swap out Minnesota State for SCSU and this is perfect. -
New Year's Resolutions for the Top 5 Twins Prospects
TwinsDr2021 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Not sure I really agree with any of these resolutions. Lewis needs to get and stay healthy and prove he is a major league player, not sure he can prove he is a long term SS in half of a season or less, since I assume he will spend a few weeks in the minors before joining the Twins. If Lee proves he is the top prospect that will because he forced his way to majors, there is absolutely no reason for him to be in the minors (just to be in the minors) if he is that good and succeeding. Kind of the same with ERod if he proves 2022 wasn't a fluke he should fly though the upper minors and either be in MN or pounding on the door to say give me a chance. For Prielipp IMO he just needs to be healthy and actually deserving of even being a prospect. He will spend at least the next two years in the minors building up his innings, and that point will be almost 24. SWR not sure IMO he could do anything in spring training that would leap frog him over Mahle, Gray, Ryan, Ober so that leaves the 5th/6th spot and I think Varland deserves that spot. I would love to SWR earn a spot as the piggyback guy to the others. Since I think most will be limited at the beginning of the year.- 14 replies
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- royce lewis
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Will the Real Trevor Larnach Please Stand Up
TwinsDr2021 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Please refresh my memory again, are we talking about the stretch in late April though May where he faced Detroit 8 times, Tampa 3 times, Baltimore 4 times, Oakland once, and KC 5 times? In June he faced Det(2)Tor(3), NYY(3), TBR(3), Sea(2), Ar(3)i, Cle(3) and hit 2 homers, 1 double and went 8 for 63. Now sure it could have been the injury holding him back (if so another wonderful job by the Twins FO and Manager) or it could have been a combo of that and facing good teams instead of the terrible teams he faced prior? I like Laranch and think he could be a solid starting major league outfielder, but I don't see a future all star, he will be 26 when the season starts so IMO this is a make or break year for him and the Twins, if he isn't good or hurt again the Twins need to quite having him hold down a 40 man spot, and if he is good and healthy that is awesome and lots of things to do with him, keep him or trade him since he isn't a free agent until 2028.- 25 replies
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- trevor larnach
- max kepler
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I absolutely look into this and see what the Sox want and willing to pay to take him off their hands. Looks like he has 75 million left over the next three years plus that pesky 50 million from 35-39. Maybe the Sox cover the 50 million the twins throw in a couple of prospect and the Twins start the season with a 6 man rotation and see how it shakes out.
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appreciate the time you put into this. The first trade is an absolute joke, if the twins could get Lopez for these two it would be done. For the Twins to get Lopez for 2 players (Pitcher/position player) it would be more like Lewis and Ober. The trade Simulator has your trade a 7 for 38.7. The second trade I don't see anyway the Twins do, trade a pitching prospect that is actually young (22 all of next season) for a 36 year old pitcher with no real spot in the rotation. The trade simulator has this the Twins receiving -4.7 and giving up 2. Again the 3rd one is a joke, if the Twins could get 25 year old Gilbert for Arraez it would be done, but that isn't going to be close to enough for Gilbert, maybe if the Twins added Ryan or Lee but that wouldn't be enough either. Teams don't trade good/great guys for other teams trash (not that Arraez is trash but...) The real problem with the Twins is they have no real trade chips that IMO they will be willing to trade. (Lee, Ryan, Duran) Polanco, Arraez, Miranda, Lewis, Ober and Larnach are decent trade chips but to get anything real it will take at least two of them and probably other prospects and if we are being honest besides Lewis and Miranda none of them are young (Arraez and Larnach are 25 so they are fairly young) Remember the twins got SWR and Martin and at the time were 21 and 22 I believe.
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5 Reasons the Minnesota Twins Will Win in 2023
TwinsDr2021 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Young players? Miranda(24), Lewis(23), Larnach(26), Gordon(27), Kiriloff(25), Varland(25), Winder(26), Ober(27) I would say Lewis and Miranda could be considered young, but the rest are not young. I mean Shane Bieber is like 1 month older than Ober and a year and a few months older than Winder. Comparing the Twins to the Braves for example: Albies (25), Riley(25), Harris(21), Acuna(24), Grissom(21), Strider (23), Andrson(24)- 51 replies
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- royce lewis
- jose miranda
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Based on the trade simulator Burnes value is between 62.7 and 94, Woodruff between 40.4 and 60.6 The highest Twins are Lee between 31.1 and 46.7, Ryan 30.9 and 46.3, Duran 29.6 and 44.4. So to get Burnes, Lee is absolutely going to be required and that gets you to about half way, so unless you are adding Ryan or Duran I don't see much of a chance. Woodruff I don't believe is the workhorse people might thing he is, he completed 7 innings only 3 times last year in 27 starts, and 8 in 30 starts the year before (which isn't bad) He kind of fits the mold of Gray and Ryan. Regardless he is still not going to come cheap. I think it starts with Lee and would need probably SWR and 2 more real good prospects. Maybe Arraez could be swapped in for Lee, but then the near tier of guys go up (Arraez, Lewis, SWR). The real problem with the Twins is they don't really have much chips (Lee, Ryan, Duran, Lewis, Ober, Arreaz, Polanco)
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You are talking about the Max Kepler with a lifetime .232 batting average and in 8 years once hit over .243 and that was .252 in 2019 (which of the 9 full time starters that year he was 8th)?
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My thoughts on what the Twins are doing. Starting the season with Mahle, Gray, Ryan and Ober, like last year I think they start the season with 6 starters, those final two will be Maeda and Varland, the back up plan is to drop back to a 5 man rotation or adding one or more of WInder, SWR, Henriquez, Headrick to the rotation. If more than one prospect picks it up or Paddack is looking healthy, they can trade Mahle or Gray or both at the deadline, restocking prospects. Going into 2024 the Twins need 3 starters from the "pipeline", assuming Ryan, Ober, and Varland or SWR. In addition to those 3 Paddack will be the 4th starter and the 5th/6th starters will be another prospect. Now if prospects don't pan out we are looking at Bundy/Happ type signing. If this is the Twins plan they can always add a top end/ace type starter at the deadline or FA if you choose because they don't have any real money tied up in starting pitching and can trade prospects to get other needs if there is too many quality starters (Ha, ha like that has ever happened). Also by doing this plan they get to keep their pitching philosophy of facing 22/24 batters, lower innings (5/6/7) and low pitch count. You start paying real money to a starter and limiting them I am sure ownership and the player aren't going to be happy. Plus for example if they keep Joe Ryan to 180 innings or less, a ERA around 3.5, imagine other teams will be drooling over him come 2026 thinking they could get so much more out of him.
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What Is Max Kepler’s Trade Value?
TwinsDr2021 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I don't think Max has all that much trade value, sure he is a could fit for a team trying to win and has a minor league prospect pretty close and if said prospect proves he deserves a chance Max moves to a 4th outfielder role or if that prospect isn't ready Max is a solid but not great MLB outfielder. If the twins are looking at getting a starting pitcher back in a trade at least one and maybe more starting pitchers on the 40 man have to go. The Twins currently have 14 starters on the 40 man. And of those 14 only three haven't pitched in the majors (Headrick - 25, Enlow - 23, Balazovic - 24) and that doesn't include Canterino which I expect to be a relief pitcher. The problem being of those 14 only two are young - SWR and Henriquez at 22.

