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old nurse

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Everything posted by old nurse

  1. Boyd had a career year, Thor had a career worse. There is what your calculator says then there is what the teams that control them think. Type in DeGrom and that is about what the teams are asking for,
  2. You can call it a fact that the Twins could sign Wheeler, Bum and Odo without losing core players but it ignores that the bullpen and backup catcher needs. The starters could well command a combined 60 million. It would require some luck in arbitration with Rosario, Cron, Sano, Berrios, Buxton and Rogers. To keep the catcher ss strong as lasy year will not be cheap. Guessing bullpen arms will not be easy Will Smith (30, 1.2) -- received qualifying offer from SF (11/4) Will Harris (35, 1.1) Sergio Romo (37, 1.0) Chris Martin (34, 1.0) Jake Diekman (33, 1.0) Daniel Hudson (33, 0.9) Sam Dyson (32, 0.9) Brandon Kintzler (35, 0.9) Drew Pomeranz (31, 0.7) Brad Brach (34, 0.7) Tyler Clippard (35, 0.7) That is the top 10 by WAR in relievers. A good reliever is going to be an expensive crapshoot, an ineffective bargain, or somebody is going to think the FO is brilliant.
  3. The league average innings pitched for starters pitching 32 games or more is 6 and 1/10 innings Odo pitched in 5 innings or less 8 out of his 30 starts
  4. On Bumgarner. Pitching close to home? If he was a good old southern boy San Fransisco is the complete opposite of that. Bumgarner delayed free agency to stay and had a generous no trade clause to boot to stay in San Fransisco. I would doubt reports he wants to pitch closer to home. I wouldn't he wants a lot of money. The irony here is that Wheeler is the one who comes from outside of Atlanta.
  5. As the private plane flies, not much difference.
  6. You want to make it 2 positions where you have a well below average hitter for the position. Better defense at the expense of offense. The difference in woba would suggest you lose more runs on offense than you would save on defense.
  7. I did not explicitly say they should not spend money on big free agents, You can not find those words. The article was about spending like the Cubs and Houston and look what happened to them. The other side of that coin is what happens when you spend. and it does not work out. Any one year contract is great. Two years not so bad, Addison Reed being an exception. 3 years and you might get one good year. Now if the staff in Target Center are as smart as the Nationals at selecting pitcher the team will be fine. They seemed to have signed and extended the right players as well as not signed the right players. The only exception might be Giolito, but to me, a little more time to determine breakout versus fluke year.
  8. The sad reality is that the Cubs, Houston, Boston, Dodgers all have revenue streams that produce $100,000,000 or more than the Twins do. You cannot do what they do when you do not have the same resources. The Twins could have a 150 million payroll. They have the resources for that. The other teams have 58 million more or more that they can spend. Some spent more, than 208, some less. As these teams that have won a WS have spent near the cap err luxury tax threshold or over they have fallen afterwards.LA has maintained because they have developed talent. Unfortunately, they have not won a WS, or they would be the model. They had the resources to withstand the bad contracts. They still had to give away players to get under the cap tax. If being aware that you do not have the resources the other teams have and you can't do what they do is punting so be it. Strange use of the word
  9. Dodger were just below the luxury tax threshold. The cautionary tale there is the 40 million in dead money. A great 7 year run. 1 loss in the WS. The theory of spend and it will vault you to the next level (the subject of the blog) is wishful thinking
  10. Usually a player is well paid before the fans turn on them, Eddie will need a new song for walk up music. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wqg4taiLRRE
  11. What one team proves anther shows the opposite. The Phillies spent around 50 million more. Dombrowski spent, now Boston is looking like a wreck. Speaking of wrecks, there is the rise and fall of the Tigers. One and done are the Cubs. Like Boston they got to the top with spending and a core of young players. It lasted for a moment and now that moment is gone. (Sort of like dust in the wind) Year in and year out the Dodgers are at the top of the list. Did they win a WS this century? When it works like in Houston you are a genius. When it works once in a town that has not won, you are a genius. Elsewhere, pitchforks.
  12. If you think you are getting a front line starter for all four years versus a slim chance for 7 years of a player, take the known.
  13. Neither the player nor their agents will think either pitcher is second tier. 4/72 is a dream owner contract. They will look to slot in behind Strassburg. They would be looking more like a Corbin 6/140. The question becomes what does it take to get them to your team. 4/100? That also sets the price for a Berrios extention. 3 SP would make up nearly half of your payroll at some point. They should not get both as advocated.
  14. It could be said of any of the millions of prospects that he should have been traded. There is no value in a prospect unless another team values them highly.
  15. That is the reality of minor league baseball. It has been that way for a long time. There used to be many more levels of minor league ball. They got rid of them long ago. They are talking about cutting back the draft and minor leagues even more. It is not a new idea
  16. How do you know that they were not offered in trade and were not wanted? What is the point in trading potential for a player you could pick up for veteran's minimum in free agency?
  17. Thorpe, Romero, Graterol, Balzovic, Colina, Jax, Stashak, Wells, Poppen, Vazquez, a few 18-20 year old pitchers who were international signings at 16 Moran was sent to the AFL, they haven't given up on him. Hildenberger hasn't been released. There are plenty others in the system, likely not going to make it to the majors, but still a chance. Lujan and Acosta were promoted this year. Some of these might be released later, but it is still a chunk.
  18. So if you are not paid you do not understand baseball well enough to make an intelligent insight on a player
  19. The definition of a scout is one who observes to evaluate and obtain information. Which part of that are the faithful here incapable of doing?
  20. When the fans are knowledgeable it is free scouting. Are you saying something bad about the knowledge of the TD fanbase
  21. I do not think that anyone made that argument
  22. Baseball teams do not stay together. Players move on, players get old.
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