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old nurse

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Everything posted by old nurse

  1. High wiff rate.K% 23.5, not what he was but not horrible, either. Only 2 hits, could be an outlier, not a trend, Past numbers would say bad year. It make take more than one season's daa to normalize https://www.fangraphs.com/players/josh-donaldson/5038/heat-maps?position=3B&ss=2015-04-06&se=2018-09-30&type=5&hand=all&count=all&blur=1&grid=10&view=bat&pitch=&season=all&data=
  2. Statistical manipulation. Change the bar to 34 hr and the gushy story is a little different.
  3. The swing mechanics work, the Cubs are not going to trade him. The changes do not work, you don't want him, either.
  4. You can't blame a computer for a projection. The computer is only as smart as the programmer and user are.
  5. When the limitation are the great percentage of prospects that fail and the numbers of prospects with low or no rankings become good or great players that is a pretty severe limitation.
  6. Truth is that baseball is a business. It is not a non profit business. Franchises wouldn't have the same valuations if they did not make money. Baseball has revenue sharing. Baseball loses over a million fans, the Twins lose some revenue. Twins increase the number of fans, about half goes into the revenue sharing kitty. It is not as big of gain as you would think increasing attendance. Using Forbes estimates on revenue per fan it would take shy of 40,000 new fans to generate a million dollars of money for the Twins bottom line. Now a million dollars is a lot of money to the average fan, except for the California Mortgage Broker, but in baseball salary that does not buy much of a free agent. The 2019 increase was about 345 thousand. It still left them plenty of room for more fans as they are a million fans short of a sell out.
  7. Intentional because sometimes things get missed unless there is something that draws attention to it.
  8. Proves my point that top 100 doesn't mean much. Somebody could prove me a Dofus, but I don't think so.
  9. Having played a full season Young was not a prospect. Gomez, Humber and Guerra were all top 100 prospects Liriano and Bonser had been a top 100 prospect and had fallen out of the top 100 prior to the Twins trading for them. Natahan was not ranked If anything it shows that top 100 prospect lists do not mean much.
  10. Pineda signed a 2 year contract. The only way he is not back is bu anither PED suspension.
  11. How many times has Buxton hit the wall and had to leave the game or miss time from migraines. If you don't like the term injury prone there are other terms that are equally descriptive and accurate. Dofus prone?
  12. By the time Camargo develops Garver will be on the downside or DH. Anyone else one needs to remember prospect does not equal MLB player.
  13. For your amusement on how well PERCOTA worked last year look at the projections and the standings https://www.thescore.com/mlb/news/1712625
  14. If the Dodgers win the WS this year the trade is an A. Does the trade make it much more likely, yes. Does it help them the following year? No, it hurts them. Pointless though in an obvious win now scenario. Maeda trade is not a win now move. It is moving a player who is not likely to be happy being a bullpen pitcher Boston needed to get under the luxury threshold and get some prospects in their system. The consequences of being over are too great. They were going to lose Betts, the get a few years of a cost controlled replacement and another prospect.. The Twins. If the Twins landed a pitcher that could get them past the Yankees they won the trade. They needed a staring pitcher to help stabilize the rotation. Maeda has been over a 2 fwar as a starter That is actually above what you get out of most starters. Still a third best starter territory. A little above average starter should get you just a little above average grade. Gave up Graterol. to get him. As a reliever does he have 4 seasons of being a full time near top reliever in baseball? If you think yes it is a bad trade. The FO thought otherwise.
  15. That is the reality take. Pretty much you can only use the years of team control, not subsequent years afterwards. It make take longer than 10 years for the catcher to get to his six year point. The reality take is pointless if you are looking at win now.
  16. May was not that good as a starter.While it is more profitable to be a mediocre starter than a set up reliever, it is not screwing anyone up by putting them in roles they can have success. There is only one number that supports Graterol as a starter, which is called velocity
  17. Koepech is still a prospect. Potentially he is good. Potentially he is still just a work in progress.
  18. I thought perhaps Stu had changed his handle but the joke was not as cleverly written.
  19. The first event will be Hill going on the 60 day disabled list. All he needs to do is have better pitching than two of Baily, Dobnak, Smelltzer and Thorpe to start the year on the roster.. That doesn't make him an insurance policy
  20. .7 fwar in his 5 starts. That is fluke territory or a solid pitcher territory, not replacement level for a starter
  21. There are two different stories with Pineda. March to mid June and the rest of the season. What changed in what he did?
  22. It is not because they throw hard rather it is other factors. Graterol has nothing to prove in the minors. What he needs to learn is the art of getting major league hitters out. Romero likewise. It is like the start of Johan's career as a Twin , only a little different. Please name 3 ways that Romero is similar to any og the pitchers you listed.
  23. Dyson in Rochester might be a good idea,
  24. Deron Johnson was Ryan's guy, His team found most of the players currently on these prospect lists, most of the young players on the current roster. Just facts.
  25. Any of these pitchers that are under 30 on a minor league deal would be a great addition. It would be reasonable to add that the reason they are not signed yet is that they are holding out hope for a major league deal.
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