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LastOnePicked

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Everything posted by LastOnePicked

  1. LastOnePicked
    Here's what makes me doubt this - Pohlad was the only one who mentioned tearing things down, and Falvey, by his own admission, talked him out it by showing him the early FG projections. I'm guessing that the more Tom has gotten involved, the more he's realized that Falvey's been misleading him and the team is in far worse shape than he realized,
  2. LastOnePicked
    Using FanGraphs as evidence that the status quo was the right choice this offseason is really a stretch, Scratch that - using a Fangraphs projection that has the Twins in the bottom half of all MLB teams is really, really, really a stretch. Look, for folks who wanted the status quo in 2026, you can relax. You won. The FO and ownership have agreed. The Twins will run it all out again, nibble at the fringes of the roster and see if they get a different result. Yes, they do have a new manager. No, he didn't seem to have an impact on a similarly-run franchise in Pittsburgh. All of this reminds me of my mother's garage sales. She inevitably prices everything far too high, because she believes that all of her things have great value and she really doesn't want to part with her stuff. So she expends a lot of energy for very little reward, and she ultimately has to just give things away a year or two later to clear space. This is not a good baseball team. This is not a team on the cusp of contention. Watching last year's playoffs was a stark reminder that the Twins aren't really even playing the same sport as their competition. I thought it was finally time to stop fooling ourselves and make wholesale changes. But apparently, that time is not now. So, enjoy. We'll revisit all of this in the 2025 offseason. Maybe even sooner.
  3. LastOnePicked
    Sure, the platoon matchups unlocked with these specific marginal free agents could potentially boost this club from being a 70-win team to being a 72-win team. Is this exciting? It doesn't feel exciting. I mean, these things are important and Cody does seem to have sussed out Falvey and Zoll's plan, but does any of it move the needle? Just feels like more obsessive nibbling on the fringes of the 40-man roster.
  4. LastOnePicked
    "I still see a clear opportunity to be opportunistic," said the timid lion, who hasn't scored a real kill in well over three decades.
  5. LastOnePicked
    This is the definition of counting chickens before eggs hatch. None of us have any idea how these guys will perform at the big league level. Neither do the Twins. That's what a rebuild is for - to let a young core get through their lumps together, figure out what you have as an organization and then patch gaps with free agents and savvy deadline trades when a contention window re-opens. But if you do things in half measures, young players stumble while wasting the prime years of established players. You end up with no value returned for what you either signed or developed. That's foolish. There's no other word for it. This team clearly isn't "going for it" in 2026. They've done next to nothing to improve the roster. Joe Ryan could have another very good year and it would do nothing to improve this team's chances. If they want to build a REAL contender (and that's a big IF), a team like the Twins cannot afford to stand pat and lose potential future value. Cleveland, Tampa and Milwaukee realize this, but the Twins don't.
  6. LastOnePicked
    "That would save the Twins roughly $5.3 million, which could be used to further reinforce the bullpen." This is the most sweetly naive sentence ever to appear on TwinsDaily. Bless your heart.
  7. LastOnePicked
    That's fair. It's also fun to read comments from others how each of these low-wattage nibble moves magically keep us right in the playoff hunt.
  8. LastOnePicked
    Not me. This offense isn't nearly good enough to build consistent leads.
  9. LastOnePicked
    They had the 23rd ranked bullpen last year, and that was including the pre-deadline contributions of Duran and others. They have added only Rogers thus far. There is every chance they will have one of the worst bullpens again in 2026.
  10. LastOnePicked
    "Instead, they chose to keep these players, to the delight of fans, as they announced their intention to contend in 2026." I'm fine if I'm in the minority on this, but I'm a fan, and I am not delighted. I want ownership that can make hard, unpopular decisions for the good of the team. Not for the good of their finances. Not for their short-term positive PR. For the good of their ability to win a championship. Keeping Ryan, Buxton and Lopez hurts that goal. They will almost certainly receive less in trade returns at the deadline than they would have received in the offseason. And with this team's injury luck, they may get nothing at all. Nibbling along the fringes of the 40-man roster is not a winning strategy for a 90-loss club. Cleveland and Detroit are far better organizations with better farm systems. This was the time to rebuild everything and emerge from the CBA year leaner, smarter and with a clearer vision for winning in '28 and beyond. Plus, I'm not delighted for Lopez, Buxton or Ryan. I like these guys a lot, and I want them to have a chance to compete while they have something to offer. They have no chance for that here this year.
  11. LastOnePicked
    1) I'm guessing the Twins won't even get within 10 wins of this range. Terrible defense, slow on the bases, patchwork bullpen, light offense, plenty of injury question marks in the rotation. 2) Everyone seems to continue to ignore CLE, a far better team with a better farm system and a much stronger track record with regard to player development.
  12. LastOnePicked
    This could be nuts, but I'm starting to wonder if Falvey is anticipating an MLB Expansion Draft in the next few years. The last draft in 1997 had these rules: 1) For the first round, 15 players from the rosters of their entire organization—both their 40-man roster, plus all minor league affiliates. 2) Each team could add three more players to its protected list after each round. 3) All players in an organization were eligible to be drafted, except those with no prior major league experience who had less than three years service if signed at age 19 or older, or had less than four years of service if signed at age 18 or younger. 4) Players who were free agents after the end of the 1997 season need not be protected. It's the bolded provision that makes me wonder if Falvey is signing all these low-cost utility players to essentially block pathways to the big leagues for a number of Twins prospects, attempting to assure that they would not need to be protected in an upcoming expansion draft. I just could not understand why the Twins were refusing to commit to a youth movement in 2026, but this could be why. OR, this FO continues to be absolutely addicted to signing and trading for marginal veterans. That could just be the case, too.
  13. LastOnePicked
    This is a great list of questions, but they are not the questions that teams poised to win a playoff spot are usually asking of themselves. There are a lot of "who will avoid further regression" and "who will pitch in the 7th, 8th and 9th innings" type questions here, not "who has the best chance of earning MVP votes" and "who will build on their career best numbers" questions. A clear sign of the overall condition of this ballclub going into 2026.
  14. LastOnePicked
    May a big league callup be in the future for every one of these young guys.
  15. LastOnePicked
    Plus, fans haven't been showing up even with Ryan, Lopez, Buxton and Jeffers on the roster. The Twins don't have a must-see player. Their only hope to get fans back is to build a sustainable winner.
  16. LastOnePicked
    Bradford is great. That's how I get my tax returns sent in each year.
  17. LastOnePicked
    I'm genuinely surprised that anyone thought they were going to bolster the roster. This is an organization in free-fall. They made a big show about keeping Lopez, Ryan and Buxton merely to avoid headlines that might further tank season ticket sales. The plan is to kick the can right into 2027. And it's an awful plan.
  18. LastOnePicked
    The logic seems pretty clear to me. 30 starts of a premium pitcher are far more valuable to a team that sees itself in need and potentially in the hunt than 5-10 starts. Plus, it potentially allows the other team to keep their pitching prospects a bit longer in their farm system, delaying their service time.
  19. LastOnePicked
    But isn't that also true for Ryan, Lopez and Buxton? That logic cuts both ways.
  20. LastOnePicked
    "It was a credit to them to hold onto core players such as Joe Ryan and Pablo López this winter" Was it, though? If they had no intention of bolstering the roster, all it did was leave trade value to rot on the roster while hoping fans were foolish enough to buy their rhetoric of "hope" and "relentless pursuits" of a championship.
  21. LastOnePicked
    Yes. Not out of malice - I like Ryan and I think he deserves the money - but the Twins are clearly not going for it this year, so they need to be pursuing future value at every opportunity. And I love seeing former Twins get a shot at a World Series run if they can't get a shot at one here.
  22. LastOnePicked
    Fangraphs has them at 12th, with CLE and DET well ahead of them. I couldn't find any updated rankings that had them higher than 9th. Am I missing a more current ranking?
  23. LastOnePicked
    I think this is very much oversold. The Twins don't appear in any of the following "best of" categories: Best Farm System (DET is third) Best Use of the Draft (DET is fifth) Best Use of the International Market (CLE is fourth) Best at Developing Pitchers (CLE is fourth) Best at Developing Hitters (DET is third) If anything, the results of this poll make a pretty good case for firing Falvey and Zoll immediately. The Twins are simply not top-tier in anything.
  24. LastOnePicked
    "The decision to hold onto Ryan, Lopez and Buxton seems more motivated by preserving a semblance of fan favor as opposed to a baseball decision." This. And that's why I have little to no hope for the future under the new Pohlad. This offseason was the ideal time to make difficult decisions for the good of the club moving forward. Keeping these three (all of whom will see their trade value drop as the season progresses) without supplementing the roster in meaningful ways is simply kicking the can down the road - something we've seen this club do too often over the last three years. And it's also silly, because there are hardly any fans left to favor. Attendance is already below the Metrodome days, and that's with Lopez, Ryan and Buxton. Those three names won't make the Twins big again - only a championship run can do that.
  25. LastOnePicked
    That's fine. I'll probably be calling him Orlando Cabrera at least until August.
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